Abel Pena

C DSL Reds

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 198 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKCIN	119	.190/.308/.220	0	0	5	—	.126/.231/.146
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBCIN	229	.202/.272/.264	1	1	54	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCIN	42	.207/.279/.281	0	0	60	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCIN	132	.211/.284/.294	1	0	64	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%57

Z-Con%34

K%29

Whiff%26

BB%21

wOBA12

CompsAndres Regnault (age 19) · Carlos Cauro (age 18) · Clayton Campbell (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .270 / .262

PA64

HR0

K%29

BB%7

ISO63

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	119	100	19	3	0	0	11	31	6	0	0	190	308	220	528	30	268	26	9	256	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	119	103	13	2	0	0	8	38	6	0	0	126	231	146	376	19	185	32	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	119	103	13	2	0	0	8	38	6	0	0	126	231	146	376	19	194	32	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	119	100	19	3	0	0	11	31	6	0	0	190	308	220	528	30	268	26	9	256	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	119	104	13	2	0	0	8	38	6	0	0	125	231	144	375	19	185	32	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	119	104	13	2	0	0	8	38	6	0	0	125	231	144	375	19	185	32	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	229	207	41	6	1	1	16	67	4	1	0	202	272	264	536	63	288	29	7	248	54	-12	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	121	110	22	3	1	1	8	35	2	0	0	206	278	278	556	72	290	29	7	256	60	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	272	246	52	8	2	3	19	77	5	1	0	210	283	290	573	80	291	28	7	263	64	-12	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	386	347	74	12	2	5	28	108	8	1	1	213	286	301	587	88	292	28	7	269	68	-15	-0	+0	+7	+8	0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	464	418	91	14	3	7	34	128	9	1	1	217	289	311	600	94	293	28	7	274	71	-16	-0	+0	+8	+10	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	515	462	101	16	3	8	38	141	10	1	1	219	292	319	611	100	294	27	7	278	74	-16	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	520	467	103	17	3	8	38	142	10	1	1	220	293	322	614	102	294	27	7	279	75	-15	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	520	467	104	17	3	9	38	142	10	1	1	220	293	323	616	103	294	27	7	280	76	-15	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	520	466	102	16	3	8	39	143	10	1	2	219	292	320	612	102	293	28	8	278	75	-16	-1	+0	+9	+11	0.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	CIN	59%	520	467	101	16	3	8	38	144	10	1	2	217	290	316	605	99	292	28	7	276	73	-17	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	CIN	61%	520	468	101	16	3	8	38	146	9	1	1	214	287	309	596	95	291	28	7	272	70	-18	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	CIN	62%	520	468	99	16	2	7	38	147	9	1	1	211	283	301	584	90	288	28	7	267	67	-20	-0	-2	+9	+11	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	42	38	7	1	0	0	3	12	1	0	0	207	279	281	560	74	291	29	7	258	60	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	132	119	25	4	1	1	9	38	3	0	0	211	284	294	578	83	292	29	7	265	64	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	209	188	40	6	1	3	15	59	4	1	0	215	288	305	593	91	293	28	7	271	68	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	263	237	51	8	1	4	19	73	5	1	0	218	291	316	606	98	294	28	7	276	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	291	262	58	9	2	5	21	80	6	1	0	221	294	325	618	104	295	27	7	281	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	294	264	59	9	2	5	22	80	6	1	0	222	294	327	621	106	295	27	7	282	75	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	294	264	59	9	2	5	22	80	6	1	1	222	294	329	623	107	295	27	7	283	76	-9	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	288	260	58	9	2	5	21	79	5	1	1	221	293	326	619	105	294	27	7	281	75	-9	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	CIN	59%	307	275	60	9	2	5	23	85	6	1	1	219	291	321	612	102	293	28	7	278	73	-10	-0	-0	+5	+7	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	CIN	61%	317	285	62	10	2	5	23	89	6	1	1	216	288	314	603	98	292	28	7	274	70	-11	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.0
2038	30	MLB CTX	CIN	62%	324	291	63	10	2	5	24	92	6	1	1	213	285	306	591	93	289	28	7	270	67	-13	-0	-1	+6	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2761	2483	542	84	17	43	202	767	54	9	5	218	291	318	609	99	296	28	7	277	70	-93	-0	-3	+49	+60	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	128	20	4	10	48	181	13	2	1	219	293	318	611	99	297	28	7	277	70	-22	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5061	4548	974	155	28	72	368	1410	99	10	11	214	287	308	595	94	291	28	7	271	70	-169	-2	-4	+88	+107	2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	125	20	4	9	47	181	13	1	1	214	287	308	595	94	291	28	7	271	70	-22	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.3	2,824	41	7	217	286	312	+50	+28	3.1	3.0
/162	664	10	2	+11.9	+6.6	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abel Pena (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	200/270/262	62	288	0	0	29%	7%	54	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	41	35→40	45	44	190/263/252	62	283	3	5	32%	8%	49	-2.4	198/278/298	100	289	10	5	32%	9%	65	-1.2	191/283/288	97	272	12	4	31%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Clayton Campbell 2023 · A	19	37→44	37→45	41→45	44	174/265/248	74	284	4	4	37%	9%	50	-2.3	177/259/266	89	265	7	6	33%	8%	52	-2.2	157/241/237	80	226	7	5	32%	8%	38	-1.2
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	40	37→45	45→30	42	191/256/259	68	246	4	5	24%	6%	48	-2.5	210/260/300	90	277	8	4	26%	4%	58	-1.7	184/228/264	80	253	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Jose Sibrian 2018 · A	19	41	35→50	48→30	43	193/255/256	63	250	3	5	23%	6%	47	-2.6	192/247/261	69	271	4	5	29%	5%	45	-2.7	195/253/281	87	245	8	0	23%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Frank Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	40	35→45	48→30	48	184/279/246	61	271	2	5	30%	9%	55	-2.0	187/249/270	83	271	7	4	32%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	36	40→50	45→40	43	179/248/267	88	250	7	4	30%	7%	47	-2.5	187/244/294	107	279	10	5	35%	6%	51	-2.2	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Richard Ramirez 2024 · A	19	34	39→55	48→40	46	173/246/259	86	244	7	5	31%	9%	45	-2.7	199/260/315	116	319	12	4	39%	7%	62	-1.4	198/255/335	137	313	16	2	40%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	40	36→50	45	37	191/233/259	68	269	3	6	30%	5%	38	-3.2	213/252/332	119	284	13	5	29%	5%	62	-1.4	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Enderson Delgado 2024 · A	19	32	38→45	44→30	42	160/240/231	71	233	6	5	32%	7%	36	-3.3	187/268/277	90	268	8	4	31%	7%	57	-1.8	177/262/262	85	246	8	2	29%	7%	51	-0.7
✕Raul Beracierta 2018 · A	19	44	35→45	46→50	40	209/258/267	58	287	3	7	27%	5%	49	-2.4	214/280/300	86	302	6	8	29%	7%	66	-1.1	212/267/336	123	303	13	5	33%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Jose Peroza 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	45	36	191/234/262	72	300	3	7	36%	5%	39	-3.1	210/269/340	130	308	13	6	34%	6%	72	-0.7	207/280/327	120	310	12	4	35%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Cam Gallagher 2012 · A	19	36	38→45	48→30	42	181/228/254	72	232	7	5	25%	6%	35	-3.4	196/248/282	86	230	7	3	17%	6%	49	-2.4	215/276/319	104	267	9	0	22%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	40	185/238/269	84	259	7	4	30%	6%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	78	247	5	3	22%	5%	44	-2.8	242/310/379	137	297	17	3	24%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Martin Cervenka 2012 · A	19	40→47	36→45	50→40	39	191/243/261	71	284	3	6	33%	6%	42	-2.9	194/259/254	60	308	3	5	34%	8%	47	-2.5	214/259/323	109	288	12	2	29%	5%	62	-0.8

Abel Pena

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps