Marcos Belen — OGILVIE

Marcos BelenOF DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 157 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 101 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .286 / .276

PA8

HR0

K%28

BB%9

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	120	91	16	3	0	0	26	24	1	12	4	176	364	209	573	33	235	20	22	287	81	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	120	101	12	2	0	0	16	35	1	12	4	119	246	139	384	20	180	29	13	198	20	-11	+1	—	—	+3	-0.8
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	120	101	12	2	0	0	16	35	1	12	4	119	246	139	384	20	179	29	13	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	120	91	16	3	0	0	26	24	1	12	4	176	364	209	573	33	235	20	22	287	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	120	102	12	2	0	0	16	35	1	12	4	118	246	137	383	20	180	29	13	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	120	102	12	2	0	0	16	35	1	12	4	118	246	137	383	20	180	29	13	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		288	25	12	262	64	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	191	169	36	6	1	2	18	52	2	4	1	213	296	296	592	83	290	27	9	273	71	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	325	288	63	11	2	4	31	86	3	6	1	219	301	312	614	94	291	26	10	280	76	-9	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	424	377	82	14	2	6	40	111	4	8	1	218	299	313	612	95	292	26	9	285	79	-10	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	489	435	97	17	3	8	46	127	5	10	1	223	305	331	636	108	293	26	9	289	82	-11	+2	+0	-3	+11	-0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	532	471	105	18	3	9	50	138	6	10	2	223	306	331	637	108	294	26	9	291	83	-11	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	557	493	111	19	3	10	53	144	6	11	2	225	308	337	645	112	294	26	10	292	84	-11	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	571	506	114	20	3	10	54	148	6	11	2	225	307	336	643	111	294	26	9	293	85	-10	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	575	509	114	20	3	10	55	149	6	11	2	224	307	334	641	110	294	26	10	293	85	-11	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.0
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	573	507	113	20	3	10	55	150	6	11	2	223	306	333	640	110	293	26	10	292	84	-11	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	564	498	111	19	3	10	55	148	6	11	2	223	308	333	641	110	292	26	10	290	83	-12	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	66	59	12	2	0	1	6	18	1	1	0	203	288	288	576	85	288	27	9	263	71	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	157	139	30	5	1	2	15	42	2	3	0	216	301	309	611	94	289	27	10	270	76	-5	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	230	204	44	8	1	3	22	60	2	5	1	216	298	309	607	93	290	26	10	275	79	-6	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	277	246	55	10	2	4	26	72	3	5	1	224	305	329	635	106	291	26	9	278	82	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	301	267	59	10	2	5	28	78	3	6	1	221	302	330	632	109	292	26	9	280	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	315	279	62	11	2	5	30	82	3	6	1	222	304	330	634	108	292	26	10	281	84	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	323	286	63	11	2	5	31	84	3	6	1	220	303	325	628	105	292	26	10	282	85	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	319	282	63	11	2	5	31	83	3	6	1	223	307	330	637	106	292	26	10	282	85	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	315	279	62	11	2	5	30	82	3	6	1	222	304	330	634	108	291	26	10	281	84	-6	+1	-0	-2	+7	-0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	302	267	59	10	2	5	29	79	3	6	1	221	304	330	634	109	290	26	10	279	83	-6	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2605	2308	509	89	16	40	248	680	26	50	8	221	303	325	628	104	293	26	10	279	81	-55	+7	-1	-16	+56	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	127	22	4	10	62	170	6	12	2	220	303	325	627	104	292	26	10	279	81	-14	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4929	4361	959	166	26	79	474	1290	51	105	20	220	304	324	628	104	292	26	10	287	81	-102	+12	-2	-29	+104	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	126	22	3	10	63	170	7	14	3	219	304	320	624	101	291	26	10	287	81	-14	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.1	2,704	45	53	223	303	331	-16	+0	0.8	1.0
/162	664	11	13	-4.0	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marcos Belen (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	205/286/276	71	288	1	2	28%	9%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Edwin Gomez 2007 · A	19	42	35→45	52→50	42	197/253/253	57	281	2	16	29%	7%	45	-2.7	219/296/310	91	297	7	13	26%	9%	74	-0.5	224/321/329	105	291	9	17	24%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2009 · A	19	44	39→40	48→55	47	209/298/288	79	282	7	17	26%	8%	72	-0.7	199/266/274	75	324	6	12	37%	7%	55	-1.9	172/232/231	59	310	6	11	43%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Michael Hermosillo 2015 · A	20	42→47	39→50	51→55	43	200/270/292	92	292	6	11	32%	8%	61	-1.5	217/292/295	78	287	5	17	24%	8%	70	-0.9	227/300/346	119	306	11	20	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	54	-2.0	216/266/306	90	282	7	10	24%	6%	61	-1.5	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	41	37→40	53→55	43	195/256/271	76	260	4	13	25%	6%	50	-2.3	197/266/280	83	273	6	17	28%	7%	56	-1.9	189/268/272	83	254	9	24	27%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Daniel Lopez 2011 · A	19	45	36→45	49→60	40	210/278/277	67	296	2	12	28%	6%	60	-1.6	223/284/315	92	289	5	17	23%	5%	71	-0.8	238/296/355	116	291	6	30	19%	4%	82	-0.0
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	195/252/281	86	270	8	16	30%	6%	51	-2.2	228/294/330	102	309	8	38	27%	7%	78	-0.3	236/312/340	103	313	6	38	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	43→41	41→50	47→50	51	206/290/306	101	284	7	8	28%	10%	72	-0.7	190/261/308	118	286	11	9	35%	8%	61	-1.5	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
●Jordy Lara 2010 · A	19	40→50	40→55	48→40	51	190/286/284	94	270	6	9	30%	11%	66	-1.1	177/249/292	115	259	12	5	34%	8%	53	-2.1	240/287/384	144	293	14	0	23%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Juan Lagares 2008 · A	19	40→50	39→45	52→50	39	194/239/288	94	268	5	12	29%	5%	47	-2.6	218/247/301	83	286	5	12	25%	3%	52	-2.2	268/308/373	106	324	7	13	19%	4%	89	+0.3
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	37→47	37→50	52→50	43	181/245/254	73	265	4	14	32%	7%	42	-2.9	199/255/296	97	301	6	9	33%	7%	55	-2.0	213/280/360	147	293	15	9	31%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Brennen Davis 2019 · A	19	48→41	36→50	51→45	46	221/299/289	68	305	3	12	26%	8%	71	-0.8	229/297/367	138	308	15	8	29%	7%	88	+0.5	183/283/356	173	231	23	4	31%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	65	-1.2	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Stanley Martinez 2017 · A	20	40	38→45	48→50	45	192/266/269	77	269	5	10	29%	8%	54	-2.0	216/284/317	101	292	9	7	27%	7%	72	-0.7	213/282/313	100	281	9	5	26%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	58	-1.7	202/252/288	86	301	6	4	33%	4%	53	-2.1	211/249/305	94	308	7	2	33%	3%	52	-1.1
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2017 · A	19	41→45	40→50	50→45	38	202/241/292	90	278	7	6	29%	5%	49	-2.4	190/233/287	97	311	9	5	40%	5%	45	-2.7	215/287/377	162	320	23	6	38%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	211/276/297	86	310	7	9	32%	8%	63	-1.3	236/282/327	91	298	8	17	23%	5%	72	-0.7	253/310/346	93	295	7	12	16%	7%	85	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps