Jose Martinez — OGILVIE

Jose MartinezOF DSL Reds

Age 18 L/R 5'8" / 150 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION113 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .200

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP306

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	82	64	21	1	0	0	17	15	0	7	4	328	469	344	813	16	429	18	21	381	144	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	82	71	18	1	0	0	10	22	0	7	4	254	346	268	613	14	358	27	12	282	77	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	82	71	18	1	0	0	10	22	0	7	4	254	346	268	613	14	367	27	12	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	82	64	21	1	0	0	17	15	0	7	4	328	469	344	813	16	429	18	21	381	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	82	72	18	1	0	0	10	22	0	7	4	250	346	264	610	14	358	27	12	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	82	72	18	1	0	0	10	22	0	7	4	250	346	264	610	14	358	27	12	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	CIN	—	113	94	24	4	2	0	14	30	1	6	3	255	358	340	698	85	358	27	12	308	95	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	CIN	—	113	85	28	5	2	0	23	21	1	6	3	329	477	435	912	106	418	19	20	402	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	CIN	0%	11	10	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		304	27	9	277	73	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	CIN	—	124	104	26	4	2	0	15	33	1	6	3	250	350	327	677	77	351	27	12	305	93	-1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	191	169	39	6	2	2	18	49	2	6	1	231	312	325	638	95	304	26	9	286	80	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	329	291	68	10	3	5	32	83	3	10	3	234	316	340	656	107	305	25	10	295	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	435	385	90	14	3	7	42	109	5	13	3	234	317	340	657	106	305	25	10	300	89	-5	+1	+0	-3	+9	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	509	449	107	17	4	9	49	126	6	15	4	238	321	354	676	116	306	25	10	305	92	-5	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	CIN	58%	559	494	117	18	4	11	54	138	6	17	5	237	319	356	676	119	307	25	10	307	94	-4	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	592	522	127	20	5	12	58	145	7	18	5	243	327	370	697	126	308	24	10	310	96	-3	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	611	539	131	20	5	13	60	150	7	19	5	243	327	371	698	128	308	25	10	312	97	-2	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	621	548	132	20	5	13	61	152	7	19	5	241	325	367	691	126	308	24	10	313	98	-2	+2	+0	-4	+13	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	622	548	132	20	5	13	62	153	7	19	5	241	326	367	693	126	307	25	10	313	98	-2	+2	+0	-4	+13	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	618	544	131	20	5	13	62	153	7	19	5	241	326	368	694	127	307	25	10	312	97	-2	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	608	535	128	20	5	12	61	152	7	18	5	239	325	363	688	123	306	25	10	310	96	-3	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	598	526	124	19	4	12	60	151	7	17	5	236	322	356	678	120	305	25	10	307	94	-4	+1	-2	-4	+13	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	CIN	60%	584	513	119	18	4	11	59	149	7	17	4	232	320	347	666	115	302	26	10	303	91	-6	+2	-3	-4	+13	0.2
2040	32	MLB MLE	CIN	61%	566	498	114	17	4	10	57	147	6	16	4	229	316	339	655	110	299	26	10	297	87	-9	+2	-4	-3	+12	-0.2
2027	19	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	66	59	14	2	1	1	6	17	1	2	1	237	318	356	674	119	307	26	9	283	80	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	159	141	32	5	1	2	15	40	2	5	1	227	310	319	629	92	307	25	9	291	86	-3	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	236	208	50	8	2	4	23	59	3	7	2	240	325	356	681	115	308	25	10	296	89	-3	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	288	255	62	10	2	6	28	71	3	9	2	243	325	369	694	125	309	25	10	301	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	CIN	58%	322	284	70	11	3	7	31	79	4	10	3	246	329	380	709	134	310	25	10	304	94	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	337	297	72	11	3	7	33	83	4	10	3	242	326	370	697	128	311	25	10	306	96	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	347	306	76	12	3	8	34	85	4	11	3	248	331	386	717	137	311	24	10	308	97	-1	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	351	310	76	12	3	8	34	86	4	11	3	245	328	381	708	135	311	25	10	309	98	-1	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	345	304	75	12	3	8	34	85	4	11	3	247	330	385	715	138	311	25	10	309	98	-1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	339	298	73	11	3	8	34	84	4	10	3	245	330	383	713	138	310	25	10	308	97	-1	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	325	285	69	11	2	7	33	81	4	10	3	242	329	368	698	126	309	25	10	306	96	-2	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	341	300	71	11	2	7	34	86	4	10	3	237	322	357	679	120	308	25	10	303	94	-2	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	CIN	60%	348	306	72	11	2	7	35	89	4	10	3	235	322	353	675	118	305	26	10	299	91	-4	+1	-2	-2	+8	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	CIN	61%	347	305	71	11	2	7	35	90	4	10	3	233	320	351	671	118	302	26	10	294	87	-5	+1	-2	-2	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4151	3658	883	138	32	87	409	1035	49	126	36	241	326	368	694	127	311	25	10	303	93	-31	+11	-6	-25	+90	3.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	139	22	5	14	64	162	8	20	6	243	328	372	699	129	312	25	10	303	93	-5	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	7536	6642	1579	240	58	143	746	1882	84	230	63	238	322	356	678	118	308	25	10	306	93	-57	+21	-10	-45	+162	7.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	136	21	5	12	64	162	7	20	5	237	321	354	675	117	308	25	10	306	93	-5	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	4.8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
/162	664	12	20	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#4Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.4	4,237	81	126	238	318	357	-25	+0	6.8	5.9
/162	664	13	20	-4.0	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Martinez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	219/301/296	77	304	1	3	26%	10%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	53	-2.1	230/299/329	99	282	6	10	20%	6%	80	-0.1	244/324/361	117	272	11	9	14%	7%	95	+0.9
●Jahmai Jones 2016 · A	18	42→50	38→50	50	42	202/259/282	79	273	5	16	27%	6%	54	-2.0	226/281/327	101	292	8	16	24%	6%	72	-0.7	248/345/422	173	324	16	18	26%	11%	114	+1.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→45	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	54	-2.0	216/272/315	99	296	8	14	28%	7%	66	-1.1	219/279/346	127	314	10	7	32%	7%	73	-0.6
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Jason Martin 2014 · A	18	44→49	36→60	48→50	49	205/271/275	69	267	2	11	22%	8%	56	-1.9	215/274/318	103	282	7	11	25%	7%	67	-1.1	219/286/408	189	272	25	8	29%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Luis Liberato 2014 · A	18	41→49	37→50	48→50	41	195/252/268	73	282	4	13	31%	6%	48	-2.5	191/251/270	79	288	4	11	32%	7%	48	-2.5	213/280/360	147	293	15	9	31%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	80	-0.2	198/270/312	114	300	8	13	34%	9%	65	-1.2	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	38→48	37→45	46→55	47	183/255/256	73	241	5	11	25%	8%	47	-2.6	207/259/305	98	267	5	11	23%	6%	59	-1.7	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→52	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	51	-2.2	205/253/316	111	261	11	14	25%	5%	59	-1.6	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
●Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	42→52	39→50	52→50	42	203/266/292	89	271	6	13	26%	6%	59	-1.6	205/253/299	94	283	8	9	29%	4%	55	-1.9	249/315/369	120	307	12	15	22%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→54	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	72	-0.7	243/298/367	124	326	10	10	27%	7%	87	+0.4	246/302/387	142	310	12	11	24%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	202/254/274	72	296	2	25	30%	6%	49	-2.4	242/294/410	167	331	20	27	32%	6%	94	+0.4
✕Rafael Ortega 2009 · A	18	46→54	36→50	54→55	48	216/267/276	61	252	3	15	16%	6%	55	-2.0	241/282/321	80	288	4	22	17%	5%	70	-0.8	239/312/392	154	285	17	17	22%	9%	96	+0.8
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	44→54	37→40	52→65	44	204/291/284	80	291	3	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	208/298/282	74	292	3	17	27%	10%	69	-0.9	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Jorge Ruiz 2022 · A	18	46→51	37→40	52→50	47	216/289/292	77	265	4	17	19%	6%	68	-1.0	232/284/306	74	288	3	12	20%	5%	68	-1.0	225/273/295	70	286	4	13	21%	5%	59	-0.9
●Brice Turang 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→50	53→60	49	216/286/282	66	296	3	14	26%	9%	64	-1.3	213/285/281	68	287	4	16	25%	9%	63	-1.3	266/344/401	135	328	13	29	21%	10%	110	+2.1
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	71	-0.8	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	47	-2.5	278/317/371	94	319	8	6	15%	4%	95	+0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps