Isaac Garcia

OF DSL Reds

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 163 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2255ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Rojos	159	.275/.367/.399	1	5	40	—	.176/.259/.232
2026	18	ROKCIN	182	.329/.467/.455	3	4	70	—	.204/.328/.276
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBCIN	292	.223/.291/.306	2	4	71	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCIN	50	.228/.298/.323	1	1	76	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCIN	120	.232/.302/.336	2	2	80	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%89

wOBA88

wRC+83

Whiff%80

Z-Con%80

Chase%56

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsRubén Tejada (age 19) · Nick Allen (age 19) · Isiah Kiner-Falefa (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .289 / .303

PA95

HR1

K%22

BB%7

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	159	138	38	10	2	1	13	13	7	5	0	275	367	399	766	123	296	8	8	346	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	182	143	47	9	0	3	28	23	9	4	1	329	467	455	921	126	370	13	15	416	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	159	142	25	6	1	0	9	16	7	5	0	176	259	232	492	56	193	10	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	182	152	31	5	0	2	19	28	9	4	1	204	328	276	604	72	229	15	10	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	159	142	25	6	1	0	9	16	7	5	0	176	259	232	492	56	197	10	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	159	138	38	10	2	1	13	13	7	5	0	275	367	399	766	123	296	8	8	346	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	182	152	31	5	0	2	19	28	9	4	1	204	328	276	604	72	234	15	10	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	182	143	47	9	0	3	28	23	9	4	1	329	467	455	921	126	370	13	15	416	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	159	142	25	6	1	0	9	16	7	5	0	176	259	232	492	56	193	10	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	182	152	31	5	0	2	19	28	9	4	1	204	328	276	604	72	229	15	10	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	159	142	25	6	1	0	9	16	7	5	0	176	259	232	492	56	193	10	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	182	152	31	5	0	2	19	28	9	4	1	204	328	276	604	72	229	15	10	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	292	265	59	11	2	2	20	65	5	4	1	223	291	306	597	83	284	22	7	273	71	-10	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	146	132	30	5	1	2	10	32	3	2	1	227	297	320	616	93	285	22	7	280	76	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	248	223	51	9	2	3	18	54	5	4	1	230	301	331	632	101	287	22	7	286	80	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	358	322	75	14	2	5	26	78	7	6	2	233	304	340	644	108	288	22	7	291	83	-7	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	431	388	91	16	3	7	32	94	8	7	3	235	306	348	654	113	289	22	7	295	86	-7	+0	+0	-3	+9	-0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	476	429	100	18	3	8	36	103	8	8	3	237	308	354	661	117	290	22	8	298	88	-7	+0	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	504	452	106	19	3	9	38	109	9	8	3	237	308	355	663	118	290	22	8	299	88	-7	+0	+0	-3	+11	0.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	517	464	109	20	3	9	39	112	9	8	3	237	308	355	663	118	290	22	8	299	88	-7	+0	+0	-3	+11	0.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	521	468	110	20	3	9	39	114	9	8	3	236	307	353	660	117	289	22	7	297	87	-8	+0	+0	-3	+11	0.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	517	464	109	20	3	9	39	114	9	7	3	234	305	348	653	114	288	22	8	295	85	-9	+0	-1	-3	+11	-0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	506	455	105	19	3	8	38	113	8	6	3	231	302	341	643	110	287	22	8	291	83	-10	+0	-1	-3	+11	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	50	45	11	2	0	1	4	11	1	1	0	228	298	323	621	95	286	22	8	282	76	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	120	108	25	4	1	2	9	26	2	2	1	232	302	336	638	104	288	22	8	289	80	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	194	174	40	7	1	3	14	42	4	3	1	234	305	345	651	111	289	22	7	294	83	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	244	220	52	9	2	4	18	53	4	4	1	237	308	353	661	117	290	22	7	298	86	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	269	242	58	10	2	5	20	58	5	4	2	238	309	360	669	121	291	22	7	301	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	285	257	62	11	2	6	21	62	5	5	2	239	310	361	671	122	291	22	7	302	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	292	263	63	11	2	6	22	63	5	5	2	239	310	361	671	123	291	22	8	302	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	289	260	62	11	2	6	22	63	5	4	2	237	309	359	667	121	290	22	8	300	87	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	284	256	60	11	2	5	21	63	5	4	2	236	307	354	660	118	289	22	7	297	85	-5	+0	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	271	245	57	10	2	5	20	61	4	3	2	233	304	347	651	114	288	23	7	294	83	-5	-0	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2298	2070	490	86	16	43	171	502	40	35	15	237	307	356	663	119	291	22	7	298	83	-39	+1	-1	-14	+50	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	139	24	5	12	48	142	11	10	4	237	307	357	664	119	292	22	7	298	83	-11	+0	-0	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4660	4177	961	174	28	72	350	988	93	74	26	230	304	337	641	107	283	21	8	291	83	-76	+3	-2	-26	+94	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	134	24	4	10	49	138	13	10	4	230	304	336	641	106	282	21	8	291	83	-11	+0	-0	-4	+14	-0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Reds · 182 PAwOBA .409 → .272 (−137)K% 12.6% → 15.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.64%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	15.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.84%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	10.33%
HBP% /PA	4.95%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	3.44%
Singles /BIP	29.17%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	18.75%
Doubles /BIP	7.50%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	4.25%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.50%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.17%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .409 → .272; ISO .126 → .070; BABIP .370 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rojos · 159 PAwOBA .339 → .227 (−112)K% 8.2% → 10.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.18%	÷0.993	×1.220	—	—	10.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.18%	÷1.011	×0.700	—	×1.008	5.70%
HBP% /PA	4.40%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	3.10%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.976	×0.680	×0.980	×1.008	13.77%
Doubles /BIP	8.00%	÷1.013	×0.600	×0.980	×1.008	4.68%
Triples /BIP	1.60%	÷0.978	×0.600	×0.980	×1.008	0.97%
Home runs /BIP	0.80%	÷0.987	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.38%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 95, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .339 → .227; ISO .123 → .073; BABIP .296 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
#3Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#4Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.6	2,393	40	36	235	303	348	-14	+0	1.2	1.3
/162	664	11	10	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#6James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Isaac Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	50	25	45	30	221/289/303	82	284	1	1	22%	7%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rubén Tejada 2009 · A	19	47→57	36→40	47→50	47	220/280/288	68	271	3	9	19%	6%	63	-1.4	249/304/321	72	295	3	9	16%	6%	79	-0.2	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	42	205/255/273	69	279	4	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	210/260/281	71	273	2	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	51→58	34→40	50→55	44	236/285/290	53	305	2	14	22%	6%	64	-1.3	241/294/285	44	301	1	9	19%	6%	67	-1.1	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Carlos Tocci 2016 · A	20	50→60	36→40	43→45	40	235/276/303	68	301	3	8	22%	4%	64	-1.3	255/297/330	75	322	3	8	21%	5%	78	-0.3	262/305/334	72	329	2	6	20%	5%	79	-0.2
✕Dorssys Paulino 2014 · A	19	46→50	41→45	49→45	41	223/264/328	105	285	7	9	24%	5%	65	-1.2	225/271/326	101	303	7	7	27%	5%	68	-1.0	242/297/349	107	319	9	8	26%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Colton Welker 2017 · A	19	49→57	42→45	46→45	42	237/273/344	107	283	9	7	20%	4%	72	-0.7	253/292/357	104	323	9	5	23%	5%	82	+0.0	251/292/355	104	322	9	4	24%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Jadher Areinamo 2023 · A	19	47→55	35→45	45→55	47	218/278/282	64	272	2	7	20%	6%	61	-1.5	242/281/336	94	284	7	15	17%	5%	74	-0.6	248/287/352	104	282	9	18	15%	5%	79	-0.2
✕Tim Kennelly 2006 · A	19	46→52	38→40	48→40	51	217/292/304	87	269	4	7	20%	9%	72	-0.7	214/271/302	88	296	5	6	27%	7%	63	-1.4	239/299/330	91	299	5	4	20%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Cesar Quintas 2022 · A	19	44→48	38→45	50→45	45	209/292/292	83	270	5	7	23%	7%	70	-0.8	200/279/275	75	302	5	5	33%	6%	61	-1.5	200/288/307	107	285	10	6	31%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Jon Gilmore 2008 · A	19	45→55	36→40	48→30	37	214/241/278	64	282	4	4	25%	3%	45	-2.7	241/268/312	71	307	4	2	22%	3%	63	-1.4	264/297/339	76	330	5	1	21%	4%	78	-0.2
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	231/276/323	91	287	5	5	21%	6%	69	-0.9	235/273/310	75	276	5	6	16%	4%	64	-1.3	240/274/305	65	276	5	5	15%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Mikey Edie 2016 · A	19	47	34→30	49→50	43	217/292/269	52	283	2	13	22%	6%	64	-1.3	211/266/268	57	313	2	15	31%	4%	53	-2.1	184/233/237	53	275	2	10	32%	3%	30	-1.5
✕Ozzie Martínez 2008 · A	20	46→56	36→40	47→50	47	216/268/283	66	263	4	9	19%	6%	57	-1.8	253/296/337	84	301	5	9	17%	5%	79	-0.2	269/315/355	86	313	4	10	15%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Tyler Freeman 2019 · A	20	47→57	39→40	50→55	45	224/280/315	91	262	6	8	17%	5%	70	-0.9	251/302/338	87	291	4	11	15%	4%	82	+0.0	274/347/365	91	312	8	15	14%	6%	103	+0.8
✕Victor Rodrigues 2024 · A	19	42	37→30	47→50	51	198/275/273	75	246	5	10	21%	9%	58	-1.7	215/298/280	65	272	5	7	21%	10%	69	-0.9	213/306/263	50	270	4	5	20%	11%	66	-0.5
✕Wyatt Mathisen 2013 · A	19	47→54	37→50	44→40	47	223/289/295	72	272	4	12	19%	6%	68	-1.0	226/281/287	61	280	3	5	19%	6%	63	-1.4	223/310/358	136	283	15	3	25%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Emerson Landoni 2008 · A	19	43→53	35→40	45	45	201/274/257	56	276	2	7	26%	7%	54	-2.0	223/278/293	70	290	4	8	23%	6%	63	-1.3	259/302/329	70	307	3	4	16%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Edinson Rincon 2010 · A	19	47→56	37→45	48→30	45	218/288/289	71	313	4	5	30%	8%	66	-1.1	233/279/353	120	293	12	2	24%	5%	78	-0.3	255/295/362	107	317	10	1	22%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5

Isaac Garcia

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps