Jhonny Osta — OGILVIE

Jhonny OstaOF DSL Red Sox Red

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 163 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 152 proj PA

wRC+64

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .275 / .300

PA152

HR1

K%26

BB%7

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	129	112	22	4	0	2	13	30	4	3	1	196	302	286	588	89	250	23	10	277	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	181	156	48	13	3	2	18	31	4	2	1	308	393	468	861	160	368	17	10	378	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	129	117	14	2	0	1	8	38	4	3	1	120	202	162	364	43	168	29	6	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	181	162	32	8	2	1	12	38	4	2	1	198	270	290	560	93	237	21	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	129	117	14	2	0	1	8	38	4	3	1	120	202	162	364	43	167	29	6	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	129	112	22	4	0	2	13	30	4	3	1	196	302	286	588	89	250	23	10	277	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	181	162	32	8	2	1	12	38	4	2	1	198	270	290	560	93	248	21	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	181	156	48	13	3	2	18	31	4	2	1	308	393	468	861	160	368	17	10	378	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	129	116	14	2	0	1	8	38	4	3	1	121	202	164	365	43	168	29	6	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	181	163	32	8	2	1	12	38	4	2	1	196	270	288	558	92	237	21	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	129	116	14	2	0	1	8	38	4	3	1	121	202	164	365	43	168	29	6	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	181	163	32	8	2	1	12	38	4	2	1	196	270	288	558	92	237	21	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	291	265	57	11	2	3	20	76	4	4	1	214	277	302	580	89	285	26	7	263	64	-12	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	235	214	47	9	2	3	16	60	3	4	2	218	283	315	598	97	287	26	7	271	70	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	81	74	16	3	1	1	6	21	1	1	1	218	283	315	598	97	287	26	7	271	70	-3	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	81	74	16	3	1	1	6	21	1	1	1	216	284	324	608	108	288	26	7	271	52	-3	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	128	24	8	8	48	169	8	8	8	215	283	323	606	108	288	26	7	271	52	-23	-2	+0	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	697	632	122	25	5	6	46	175	13	11	5	193	262	277	539	84	255	25	7	244	52	-15	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	114	23	5	6	43	163	12	10	5	194	262	280	543	87	255	25	7	244	52	-25	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	233	2	4	216	277	308	-1	+0	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	7	10	-4.0	+0.0	-1.1	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhonny Osta (OGILVIE)	19	46→51	32→37	45→50	50	212/275/300	88	285	1	2	26%	7%	64	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	46	38→40	48→45	50	212/301/299	87	300	5	8	28%	10%	74	-0.5	199/264/269	70	309	2	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	176/234/225	50	289	0	8	36%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Darryl Collins 2021 · A	19	47	36→40	48→45	46	221/281/298	76	288	2	5	23%	7%	65	-1.2	208/289/282	74	269	4	10	22%	9%	65	-1.2	199/289/270	71	258	3	11	22%	10%	62	-0.9
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	42	38→45	46→50	48	198/278/293	95	270	4	9	26%	8%	64	-1.3	187/263/295	108	293	10	8	37%	8%	59	-1.6	153/242/259	106	250	10	8	40%	8%	42	-0.7
✕Yeicok Calderon 2011 · A	19	43	39→40	49→45	51	207/290/296	88	267	6	7	24%	10%	70	-0.9	185/242/299	114	287	11	6	37%	7%	51	-2.2	179/226/296	117	283	14	3	41%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	40	38→40	49→50	45	192/259/276	85	264	5	8	28%	8%	53	-2.1	181/236/251	70	267	4	6	32%	6%	38	-3.2	148/203/199	52	218	3	3	32%	5%	12	-1.4
✕Dillon Head 2024 · A	19	46→43	40→45	49→60	47	221/287/321	99	287	6	9	24%	8%	73	-0.6	206/271/299	93	283	6	20	27%	8%	62	-1.4	197/265/289	92	267	6	31	27%	8%	55	-1.0
✕Esteban González 2022 · A	19	45	37→45	55	47	206/288/291	85	281	2	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	208/275/302	94	298	6	18	30%	6%	65	-1.2	207/269/318	111	298	8	29	32%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Diego Hernandez 2021 · A	20	45→54	36→40	46→60	40	212/256/277	64	287	4	10	27%	5%	51	-2.3	232/283/305	73	325	5	26	28%	6%	68	-1.0	235/286/309	74	327	5	32	28%	6%	67	-0.7
✕Sam Shaw 2024 · A	19	46	38→40	43→50	51	212/298/293	81	291	4	6	26%	10%	72	-0.7	194/283/290	96	248	8	10	23%	10%	66	-1.1	179/281/288	109	228	11	11	25%	11%	63	-0.5
✕Jeisson Rosario 2019 · A	19	50→52	36→45	46→50	48	231/302/299	68	321	3	11	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/298/284	70	316	4	10	30%	10%	70	-0.9	207/300/312	106	295	10	12	30%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Ricardo Burgos 2006 · A	19	42	37→40	48→40	51	197/283/270	73	274	5	9	28%	10%	61	-1.5	201/292/304	103	274	9	5	27%	11%	72	-0.7	185/288/299	114	245	11	3	27%	12%	68	-0.3
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A	19	43→50	37→45	49→50	47	199/284/273	74	302	3	11	32%	10%	62	-1.4	217/300/325	108	317	8	16	31%	9%	80	-0.2	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Cesar Quintas 2022 · A	19	44→48	38→45	50→45	45	209/292/292	83	270	5	7	23%	7%	70	-0.8	200/279/275	75	302	5	5	33%	6%	61	-1.5	200/288/307	107	285	10	6	31%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Cornelius Randolph 2016 · A	19	48→51	38→45	46→45	50	224/305/314	90	293	3	8	23%	9%	79	-0.2	226/294/317	91	317	7	6	28%	8%	75	-0.5	226/294/313	87	317	7	5	29%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Jordan Scott 2011 · A	19	47→49	35→30	47→50	40	219/270/282	63	313	2	9	29%	6%	57	-1.8	232/281/290	58	303	2	10	22%	6%	63	-1.4	227/286/290	64	295	1	14	22%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Michael Siani 2019 · A	20	46→45	38→45	47→60	42	220/270/298	78	291	5	8	25%	6%	61	-1.5	200/261/277	77	286	6	21	30%	6%	53	-2.1	211/284/306	95	276	9	33	25%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Albert Fabian 2021 · A	19	41→45	38→50	47→45	47	195/270/276	81	266	4	7	27%	8%	57	-1.8	193/253/309	116	288	12	5	35%	7%	59	-1.7	217/272/336	119	265	13	9	23%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Cam Collier 2024 · A	19	46→44	40→45	47→40	46	215/292/308	93	309	8	5	31%	9%	72	-0.7	214/289/325	111	309	11	3	32%	9%	76	-0.4	204/279/320	116	291	12	1	32%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Anderdson Rojas 2023 · A	19	43→53	37→40	51→55	41	203/252/277	74	259	3	12	22%	5%	49	-2.4	214/258/294	80	275	3	14	22%	5%	55	-1.9	229/281/302	73	293	4	20	22%	6%	64	-1.1
✕Jean Ramirez 2019 · A	18	44→49	36→40	51→65	47	208/275/276	67	273	3	15	24%	8%	59	-1.7	204/271/266	62	260	4	22	21%	8%	55	-2.0	200/270/265	65	257	6	39	23%	8%	53	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps