Maikol Tovar — OGILVIE

Maikol TovarOF DSL Red Sox Blue

Age 19 L/L 6'0" / 157 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .291 / .279

PA95

HR1

K%26

BB%9

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE72

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	97	79	19	3	0	0	16	19	2	4	0	241	381	278	660	38	317	20	16	319	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	112	87	15	3	1	0	22	22	2	2	2	172	351	230	581	57	227	20	20	288	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	97	83	15	2	0	0	12	23	2	4	0	181	299	205	504	24	239	24	12	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	112	93	11	2	1	0	16	27	2	2	2	118	261	161	423	43	145	24	14	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	97	83	15	2	0	0	12	23	2	4	0	181	299	205	504	24	250	24	12	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	97	79	19	3	0	0	16	19	2	4	0	241	381	278	660	38	317	20	16	319	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	112	93	11	2	1	0	16	27	2	2	2	118	261	161	423	43	164	24	14	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	112	87	15	3	1	0	22	22	2	2	2	172	351	230	581	57	227	20	20	288	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	97	83	15	2	0	0	12	23	2	4	0	181	299	205	504	24	239	24	12	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	112	93	11	2	1	0	16	27	2	2	2	118	261	161	423	43	145	24	14	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	97	83	15	2	0	0	12	23	2	4	0	181	299	205	504	24	239	24	12	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	112	93	11	2	1	0	16	27	2	2	2	118	261	161	423	43	145	24	14	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	222	197	42	7	2	1	21	58	2	4	1	211	293	282	575	71	287	26	9	266	66	-9	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	185	164	36	6	1	2	17	47	2	3	1	215	298	295	593	80	289	25	9	273	71	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	64	57	12	2	0	1	6	16	1	1	0	221	303	303	606	82	297	25	9	278	71	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	64	57	12	2	0	1	6	16	1	1	0	211	297	298	595	88	275	25	9	278	53	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	121	20	0	10	61	162	10	10	0	209	295	295	591	86	273	25	9	278	53	-22	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	489	425	81	13	3	3	54	122	7	11	3	191	292	256	549	66	258	25	11	246	53	-10	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	107	17	4	4	72	162	9	15	4	189	291	255	546	65	256	25	11	246	53	-24	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Maikol Tovar (OGILVIE)	19	46→51	28→33	48→53	72	209/291/279	70	287	1	2	26%	9%	66	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	46	38→40	48→45	50	212/301/299	87	300	5	8	28%	10%	74	-0.5	199/264/269	70	309	2	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	176/234/225	50	289	0	8	36%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Marco Vargas 2024 · A	19	45→46	37→40	50→60	57	208/302/289	81	267	4	13	22%	12%	72	-0.7	214/295/280	66	304	3	25	27%	10%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Esteban González 2022 · A	19	45	37→45	55	47	206/288/291	85	281	2	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	208/275/302	94	298	6	18	30%	6%	65	-1.2	207/269/318	111	298	8	29	32%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A	19	43→50	37→45	49→50	47	199/284/273	74	302	3	11	32%	10%	62	-1.4	217/300/325	108	317	8	16	31%	9%	80	-0.2	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Ricardo Burgos 2006 · A	19	42	37→40	48→40	51	197/283/270	73	274	5	9	28%	10%	61	-1.5	201/292/304	103	274	9	5	27%	11%	72	-0.7	185/288/299	114	245	11	3	27%	12%	68	-0.3
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	42	38→45	46→50	48	198/278/293	95	270	4	9	26%	8%	64	-1.3	187/263/295	108	293	10	8	37%	8%	59	-1.6	153/242/259	106	250	10	8	40%	8%	42	-0.7
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	41	35→40	46→50	53	191/283/246	55	262	2	10	26%	11%	55	-1.9	187/254/251	64	288	3	9	33%	8%	45	-2.7	169/235/228	58	266	2	10	34%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Yeicok Calderon 2010 · A	18	45	36→40	52→45	51	211/299/277	65	280	4	9	24%	10%	68	-1.0	195/262/299	104	279	9	6	31%	8%	59	-1.6	174/238/294	121	251	12	4	34%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2024 · A	19	47→46	36→45	51→55	59	218/319/284	66	282	2	16	21%	12%	78	-0.3	220/304/299	79	303	4	13	26%	10%	75	-0.5	214/298/296	82	295	5	16	27%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Jeisson Rosario 2019 · A	19	50→52	36→45	46→50	48	231/302/299	68	321	3	11	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/298/284	70	316	4	10	30%	10%	70	-0.9	207/300/312	106	295	10	12	30%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Darryl Collins 2021 · A	19	47	36→40	48→45	46	221/281/298	76	288	2	5	23%	7%	65	-1.2	208/289/282	74	269	4	10	22%	9%	65	-1.2	199/289/270	71	258	3	11	22%	10%	62	-0.9
✕Cornelius Randolph 2016 · A	19	48→51	38→45	46→45	50	224/305/314	90	293	3	8	23%	9%	79	-0.2	226/294/317	91	317	7	6	28%	8%	75	-0.5	226/294/313	87	317	7	5	29%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2024 · A	19	40→43	40→45	50→60	54	191/279/282	92	228	7	12	19%	10%	62	-1.4	201/284/307	106	276	10	23	29%	9%	70	-0.8	195/276/301	106	276	11	32	31%	9%	63	-0.9
✕Sam Shaw 2024 · A	19	46	38→40	43→50	51	212/298/293	81	291	4	6	26%	10%	72	-0.7	194/283/290	96	248	8	10	23%	10%	66	-1.1	179/281/288	109	228	11	11	25%	11%	63	-0.5
✕Jean Ramirez 2019 · A	18	44→49	36→40	51→65	47	208/275/276	67	273	3	15	24%	8%	59	-1.7	204/271/266	62	260	4	22	21%	8%	55	-2.0	200/270/265	65	257	6	39	23%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Jakey Josepha 2023 · A	19	42→45	35→40	52→55	50	198/273/252	54	267	3	12	25%	9%	53	-2.1	193/262/270	77	318	6	13	38%	8%	53	-2.1	177/248/256	79	304	7	17	41%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Dario Laverde 2024 · A	19	46→34	37→40	52→30	50	214/292/297	83	279	3	11	23%	9%	70	-0.9	207/268/284	77	295	4	4	29%	7%	57	-1.8	196/254/265	68	282	4	0	30%	6%	45	-1.6
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	46→44	39→40	55→50	52	216/312/311	95	298	6	15	27%	11%	81	-0.1	202/278/301	99	278	7	11	27%	9%	65	-1.2	203/291/297	94	273	5	13	25%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Carlos Sanchez 2024 · A	19	49→54	37→40	50	56	218/326/301	83	327	4	13	30%	13%	84	+0.2	217/305/303	86	356	6	12	36%	11%	76	-0.4	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Victor Padron 2013 · A	19	45	37→30	53→55	52	210/285/283	73	255	3	10	18%	9%	64	-1.3	214/278/259	45	264	1	15	18%	8%	55	-1.9	215/285/233	18	262	0	20	16%	9%	49	-0.8