Jealmy Frias — OGILVIE

Jealmy FriasSS DSL Reds

Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION144 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.077 / .143 / .077

PA14

HR0

K%36

BB%7

BABIP264

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	127	108	17	2	3	1	17	38	2	7	1	157	283	259	543	102	232	30	13	258	61	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	127	115	12	1	2	1	10	55	2	7	1	104	189	174	363	70	187	43	8	166	-1	-15	+1	—	—	+3	-1.2
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	127	115	12	1	2	1	10	55	2	7	1	104	189	174	363	70	186	43	8	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	127	108	17	2	3	1	17	38	2	7	1	157	283	259	543	102	232	30	13	258	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	127	114	12	1	2	1	10	55	2	7	1	105	189	175	364	70	187	43	8	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	127	114	12	1	2	1	10	55	2	7	1	105	189	175	364	70	187	43	8	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	CIN	—	144	121	17	4	1	1	17	58	5	4	1	140	273	215	488	74	254	40	12	227	40	-10	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	CIN	—	144	111	24	6	1	2	27	40	5	4	1	216	392	342	734	126	314	28	19	344	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	CIN	0%	14	13	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	77	143	77	220		262	36	7	245	52	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	CIN	—	158	134	18	4	1	1	18	63	5	4	1	134	261	201	463	67	239	40	11	229	41	-11	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	215	189	35	6	2	3	20	68	4	4	1	185	277	286	563	101	265	32	9	257	60	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	349	308	59	11	2	6	32	107	6	7	2	192	280	299	579	107	269	31	9	266	66	-14	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	449	396	77	14	3	8	42	135	8	9	2	194	285	306	590	111	271	30	9	273	71	-16	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	520	457	92	17	4	10	49	154	9	11	3	201	291	322	613	120	272	30	9	276	73	-17	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	CIN	58%	568	500	99	18	4	11	53	168	10	12	3	198	288	316	604	118	273	30	9	278	75	-17	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	599	527	105	19	4	12	56	177	11	13	3	199	290	319	608	120	274	30	9	280	75	-17	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	617	543	108	20	4	12	58	182	11	13	3	199	289	317	606	118	274	29	9	280	76	-18	+1	+0	+7	+13	0.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	CIN	60%	626	551	110	20	4	13	59	184	11	14	3	200	290	321	611	122	274	29	9	281	76	-18	+2	+0	+7	+14	0.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	CIN	58%	627	551	110	20	4	13	60	185	11	14	3	200	291	321	612	122	274	30	10	281	76	-18	+2	+0	+7	+14	0.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	CIN	60%	622	546	108	20	4	12	60	185	11	13	3	198	290	315	605	117	273	30	10	280	76	-18	+1	-1	+7	+13	0.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	613	537	106	19	4	12	60	183	11	13	3	197	291	315	606	117	273	30	10	278	74	-19	+1	-1	+7	+13	0.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	602	527	104	19	4	11	59	181	11	12	3	197	291	311	603	114	272	30	10	276	73	-20	+1	-2	+6	+13	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	74	66	12	2	1	1	7	23	1	1	0	182	270	288	558	106	267	31	9	248	60	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	169	148	28	5	1	3	16	52	3	3	1	189	281	297	579	108	272	31	9	257	66	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	244	215	43	8	2	5	23	73	4	5	1	200	289	326	615	126	274	30	9	264	71	-9	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	294	259	52	10	2	6	28	87	5	6	2	201	291	324	615	124	275	30	10	268	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	CIN	58%	327	287	58	11	2	7	31	97	6	7	2	202	293	328	621	125	276	30	9	270	75	-10	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	341	300	60	11	2	7	32	101	6	7	2	200	290	320	610	120	277	30	9	271	75	-10	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	350	308	63	12	2	8	33	103	6	8	2	205	294	334	628	130	277	29	9	272	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	CIN	60%	378	332	69	13	3	8	36	111	7	8	2	208	299	337	636	130	277	29	10	272	76	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	CIN	58%	361	316	64	12	2	8	35	107	7	8	2	203	296	329	625	127	277	30	10	272	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	CIN	60%	376	330	67	12	3	8	36	112	7	8	2	203	295	330	625	127	276	30	10	271	76	-11	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	347	304	60	11	2	7	34	104	6	7	2	197	291	316	606	118	276	30	10	270	74	-11	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	328	287	58	11	2	7	32	99	6	7	2	202	295	328	623	125	275	30	10	267	73	-11	+1	-1	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3589	3152	634	118	24	75	343	1069	64	75	20	201	292	325	618	124	276	30	10	269	72	-111	+7	-2	+38	+78	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	115	21	4	14	62	194	12	14	4	201	293	326	619	124	276	30	10	269	72	-20	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6548	5760	1126	204	45	124	619	1969	116	142	33	195	287	311	598	116	271	30	9	275	72	-201	+14	-4	+69	+139	1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	111	20	4	12	61	195	12	14	3	194	285	306	591	112	269	30	9	275	72	-20	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.6	3,705	71	78	199	287	317	+40	+24	3.2	3.0
/162	664	13	14	+7.1	+4.3	0.6	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jealmy Frias (OGILVIE)	18	20→25	33→38	50→55	61	172/264/256	83	262	1	2	33%	9%	52	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Robel García 2011 · A	18	36→37	37→50	50→40	47	170/256/251	81	261	4	9	33%	10%	47	-2.6	181/249/282	101	277	7	7	35%	8%	51	-2.3	189/259/371	183	269	25	2	39%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	38→40	42→45	44	193/266/276	83	281	5	6	31%	8%	55	-1.9	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	71	-0.8	193/314/286	93	255	5	7	23%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Francis Grullon 2019 · A	18	39	35→45	47→55	45	184/247/246	62	246	2	9	25%	7%	41	-3.0	202/273/292	90	249	7	13	20%	8%	62	-1.4	191/274/289	97	228	9	18	19%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	49	-2.4	225/287/322	97	319	6	19	29%	7%	74	-0.6	203/263/320	117	308	11	21	36%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Yamal Encarnacion 2022 · A	18	43	37→40	51→60	47	204/269/281	77	269	4	13	24%	8%	57	-1.8	205/266/267	62	274	3	17	24%	7%	53	-2.1	225/283/303	79	291	5	45	23%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Derwin Barreto 2019 · A	18	40	39→40	49→50	51	191/279/279	88	254	6	10	26%	10%	62	-1.4	199/274/291	92	289	7	10	31%	9%	62	-1.4	148/241/195	47	257	4	9	40%	10%	26	-0.8
✕Wondy De Los Santos 2008 · A	18	40	35→40	52→50	43	192/257/251	59	262	3	8	27%	6%	46	-2.6	207/256/275	68	267	3	9	22%	5%	51	-2.3	208/250/275	67	259	1	11	19%	4%	47	-0.7
✕Emmanuel Morel 2015 · A	18	42	36→30	51→55	41	199/261/262	63	278	3	9	28%	6%	50	-2.3	192/267/250	58	298	2	16	33%	9%	50	-2.3	173/256/219	46	280	0	22	34%	9%	37	-0.9
✕Deivi Estrada 2019 · A	18	40	36→30	45→50	43	190/259/260	71	280	2	10	31%	7%	49	-2.4	210/287/274	64	289	3	9	26%	9%	63	-1.4	195/270/241	46	288	2	8	30%	8%	47	-0.8
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	45	-2.7	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	55	-2.0	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	40	41→50	51→40	43	201/255/295	94	263	9	9	27%	6%	55	-1.9	189/255/261	72	263	5	5	28%	7%	47	-2.5	162/251/260	98	233	11	2	33%	10%	46	-0.8
✕Alejandro Flores 2014 · A	18	41	37→50	48→40	43	196/253/264	68	270	4	7	28%	7%	47	-2.5	190/255/273	83	275	7	6	31%	8%	51	-2.3	197/254/327	129	264	12	3	29%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Enderson Delgado 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	45→30	42	194/262/251	57	270	2	6	27%	6%	49	-2.4	176/258/262	86	262	7	4	33%	7%	51	-2.3	175/262/263	87	248	9	2	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Leandro Arias 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→40	51→45	44	187/262/262	75	279	4	11	32%	8%	51	-2.2	199/268/279	80	262	6	10	25%	7%	57	-1.8	194/265/264	69	249	6	8	23%	7%	51	-1.1
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	54	-2.0	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	73	-0.6	224/288/270	46	274	0	22	17%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Nolan Perez 2017 · A	18	39	39→40	46→40	39	188/258/270	82	280	6	8	33%	6%	51	-2.2	187/235/267	80	275	6	4	33%	5%	41	-3.0	171/209/244	74	259	6	2	35%	4%	25	-1.4
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	38	-3.2	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	58	-1.7	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	61	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps