Jealmy Frias — OGILVIE

Jealmy FriasSS DSL Reds

Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR +9%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.9 · 2034

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .265 / .290

PA106

HR1

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.9peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.4	$32M	+$32M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.7	$36M	+$35M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.9	$40M	+$39M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+3.9	$41M	+$33M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+3.7	$40M	+$27M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+3.5	$39M	+$21M
Totals		$41M		$228M	+$187M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Reds	127	115	12	1	2	1	10	55	2	7	1	.104	.189	.174	.363	.070	.186	43	8	.168	-13	-16	+1	+0	+1	+4	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	CIN	106	96	19	3	1	1	8	33	1	2	0	.198	.267	.281	.548	.083	.289	31	8	.255	53	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	CIN	197	177	39	7	1	4	16	58	2	4	1	.220	.292	.339	.631	.119	.304	29	8	.289	80	-5	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.4
2028	20	MLB 28%	CIN	335	298	69	12	2	8	30	95	4	8	2	.232	.310	.366	.676	.134	.310	28	9	.305	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.1
2029	21	MLB 48%	CIN	440	390	93	16	3	12	41	121	6	12	3	.238	.320	.387	.708	.149	.311	28	9	.315	99	-0	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.8
2030	22	MLB 65%	CIN	514	452	110	18	4	15	50	138	7	15	3	.243	.328	.400	.729	.157	.311	27	10	.322	105	+3	+2	+0	+6	+15	2.5
2031	23	MLB 86%	CIN	564	495	121	20	4	17	56	149	8	17	4	.244	.331	.404	.735	.160	.311	26	10	.328	109	+6	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.0
2032	24	MLB	CIN	596	522	128	21	4	19	61	156	8	18	4	.245	.333	.410	.743	.165	.312	26	10	.332	112	+8	+2	+0	+6	+17	3.4
2033	25	MLB	CIN	615	537	133	22	4	20	64	160	9	18	4	.248	.338	.415	.753	.168	.312	26	10	.335	115	+10	+2	+0	+7	+17	3.7
2034	26	MLB	CIN	625	544	134	22	4	20	67	162	9	19	4	.246	.339	.412	.750	.165	.313	26	11	.337	116	+11	+2	+0	+7	+18	3.9
2035	27	MLB	CIN	626	545	134	22	4	20	67	163	9	18	4	.246	.338	.411	.749	.165	.313	26	11	.337	116	+11	+2	+0	+7	+18	3.9
2036	28	MLB	CIN	622	540	133	22	4	20	68	163	9	17	3	.246	.340	.413	.753	.167	.313	26	11	.336	115	+11	+2	-1	+7	+18	3.7
2037	29	MLB	CIN	612	531	129	21	4	19	67	162	9	16	3	.243	.338	.405	.743	.162	.312	26	11	.334	114	+9	+2	-1	+7	+17	3.5
2038	30	MLB	CIN	602	523	127	21	4	19	66	162	8	14	2	.243	.337	.407	.744	.164	.310	27	11	.331	111	+8	+2	-2	+6	+17	3.2
2039	31	MLB	CIN	588	511	123	20	4	18	64	160	8	11	1	.241	.334	.401	.736	.160	.309	27	11	.327	108	+6	+2	-3	+6	+17	2.8
2040	32	MLB	CIN	570	495	117	19	3	17	62	159	8	8	0	.236	.331	.390	.721	.154	.308	28	11	.322	105	+3	+2	-4	+6	+16	2.4
2041	33	MLB	CIN	540	470	108	17	3	15	58	154	7	6	0	.230	.323	.374	.698	.145	.306	29	11	.317	100	+0	+1	-4	+6	+15	1.9
2042	34	MLB	CIN	493	431	97	15	3	13	53	145	6	4	0	.225	.318	.364	.683	.139	.305	29	11	.310	95	-3	+1	-5	+5	+14	1.3
2043	35	MLB	CIN	437	381	84	13	3	11	47	133	6	3	0	.220	.316	.357	.673	.136	.302	30	11	.302	90	-5	+1	-6	+5	+12	0.7
2044	36	MLB	CIN	376	328	71	11	2	9	40	118	5	2	0	.216	.311	.345	.656	.128	.300	31	11	.293	83	-7	+0	-6	+4	+11	0.1
2045	37	MLB	CIN	311	272	56	8	2	7	32	101	4	1	0	.206	.299	.327	.626	.121	.296	32	10	.284	75	-9	+0	-7	+3	+9	-0.3
2046	38	MLB	CIN	241	212	41	6	1	4	24	80	3	0	0	.193	.285	.288	.572	.094	.291	33	10	.273	67	-9	+0	-8	+3	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10137	8865	2078	337	66	289	1051	2827	138	220	39	.234	.325	.385	.710	.151	.308	28	10	.319	102	+24	+28	-46	+109	+287	41.0
/ 162G	—			650	568	134	22	4	19	67	181	9	14	3	.236	.326	.389	.715	.153	.310	28	10	.319	102	+2	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Reds	127	108	17	2	3	1	17	38	2	7	1	.157	.283	.259	.543	.102	.232	30	13	.258	56	-6	+1	—	—	+4	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jealmy Frias (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	.200/.265/.290	.090	.289	1	2	31%	7%	53	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Yonathan Perlaza 2017 · A	18	42→52	39→60	48→50	39	.202/.246/.290	.088	.283	6	14	30%	5%	43	-2.2	.205/.246/.278	.073	.299	4	11	31%	5%	40	-2.4	.235/.307/.417	.182	.303	19	12	28%	9%	100	+1.6
●Marwin Gonzalez 2007 · A	18	39→49	41→55	42→50	37	.195/.232/.290	.096	.264	9	5	30%	4%	38	-2.6	.205/.245/.289	.084	.267	5	6	24%	5%	43	-2.2	.272/.342/.450	.178	.320	21	4	21%	9%	121	+2.7
●César Hernández 2008 · A	18	44→54	39→45	51→55	41	.212/.255/.308	.097	.268	5	8	23%	4%	52	-1.6	.222/.280/.298	.076	.270	3	15	18%	7%	60	-1.0	.277/.367/.382	.105	.344	8	16	20%	12%	114	+2.9
●Eduardo Escobar 2007 · A	18	43→53	35→60	45→50	43	.202/.257/.262	.060	.276	2	10	26%	6%	41	-2.3	.219/.259/.270	.051	.298	2	12	26%	5%	43	-2.2	.260/.320/.471	.211	.286	26	4	19%	7%	117	+2.9
●Anthony Santander 2013 · A	18	45→49	42→65	47→45	39	.217/.275/.326	.110	.305	9	8	31%	6%	66	-0.6	.201/.254/.302	.101	.269	9	7	27%	5%	51	-1.7	.242/.317/.473	.231	.257	31	2	20%	9%	120	+3.4
●Luis Rengifo 2015 · A	18	38→48	36→50	48→55	48	.181/.257/.249	.067	.242	3	9	25%	8%	39	-2.5	.215/.272/.301	.086	.272	5	18	22%	6%	58	-1.2	.267/.318/.414	.147	.301	17	16	17%	6%	105	+1.6
✕Dalton Pompey 2011 · A	18	42→52	42→45	50→55	40	.207/.261/.307	.100	.284	10	11	30%	6%	55	-1.4	.201/.270/.294	.093	.283	8	18	29%	8%	56	-1.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
●Dylan Carlson 2018 · A	19	41→51	40→55	43→50	42	.199/.266/.292	.092	.292	8	6	33%	7%	54	-1.4	.216/.284/.350	.134	.284	14	9	28%	8%	77	+0.1	.242/.327/.396	.154	.296	14	4	22%	9%	105	+1.6
✕Yolmer Sánchez 2010 · A	18	44→54	37→50	50	44	.205/.279/.279	.074	.312	4	8	33%	8%	56	-1.3	.229/.299/.292	.063	.297	3	10	22%	8%	67	-0.5	.248/.310/.361	.113	.309	7	9	21%	7%	87	+0.8
●Wilin Rosario 2007 · A	18	42→52	38→60	47→45	36	.201/.246/.271	.071	.298	6	7	34%	5%	39	-2.5	.204/.247/.300	.096	.302	9	5	34%	5%	47	-1.9	.265/.302/.457	.192	.301	26	4	21%	5%	107	+1.6
●Franmil Reyes 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→65	50→45	42	.204/.266/.299	.095	.285	6	10	29%	7%	55	-1.4	.208/.259/.302	.094	.287	7	6	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.256/.325/.480	.224	.314	34	0	29%	9%	126	+2.6
●Maikel Franco 2011 · A	18	39→49	38→55	49→40	39	.190/.242/.270	.080	.272	5	4	31%	5%	37	-2.6	.217/.256/.335	.118	.271	12	3	24%	4%	60	-1.0	.263/.299/.434	.171	.290	19	2	17%	4%	100	+1.6
★Carlos Correa 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→60	51→55	37	.205/.244/.299	.094	.289	6	8	31%	5%	45	-2.1	.257/.317/.390	.133	.320	11	13	22%	7%	100	+1.7	.284/.360/.488	.204	.328	24	14	20%	10%	137	+4.4
●Zoilo Almonte 2007 · A	18	37→47	42→50	46→50	42	.187/.250/.290	.103	.269	10	6	33%	8%	46	-2.0	.194/.238/.289	.095	.259	9	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	.256/.295/.398	.142	.314	18	3	24%	5%	91	+0.9
✕Josue Briceño 2023 · A	18	39→41	42→60	44→40	38	.195/.242/.294	.099	.280	10	5	33%	6%	43	-2.2	.222/.286/.353	.131	.282	14	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	.228/.304/.389	.161	.273	19	2	23%	9%	94	+0.6
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→55	49→55	45	.217/.279/.319	.102	.277	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	.233/.280/.389	.156	.311	18	19	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
●Elly De La Cruz 2021 · A	19	44→54	37→60	42→65	37	.205/.258/.279	.074	.313	4	6	34%	6%	46	-2.0	.226/.270/.389	.163	.347	16	22	37%	5%	80	+0.4	.249/.324/.437	.188	.339	19	44	30%	9%	108	+2.5
●Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	45→54	37→40	51→65	44	.205/.292/.286	.080	.293	3	15	28%	7%	64	-0.8	.210/.299/.284	.074	.292	3	18	26%	10%	66	-0.6	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
●Mark Vientos 2018 · A	18	43→50	40→60	42→30	38	.207/.253/.302	.095	.293	8	4	31%	5%	50	-1.7	.206/.255/.327	.121	.274	14	3	29%	6%	59	-1.1	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Thairo Estrada 2014 · A	18	44→54	39→50	48→55	41	.211/.266/.306	.095	.271	5	9	23%	5%	56	-1.3	.222/.272/.315	.093	.283	6	9	23%	5%	61	-1.0	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)