Jealmy Frias — OGILVIE

Jealmy FriasSS DSL Reds

Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION76 act + 50 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .276 / .307

PA50

HR1

K%34

BB%8

BABIP289

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	127	115	12	1	2	1	10	55	2	7	1	104	189	174	363	70	186	43	8	167	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	127	108	17	2	3	1	17	38	2	7	1	157	283	259	543	102	232	30	13	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	CIN	—	76	66	10	3	0	1	8	33	2	3	0	152	263	242	506	91	281	43	11	239	41	-5	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
YTD	18	ROK	CIN	—	76	61	15	4	0	2	13	23	2	3	0	246	395	410	805	164	361	30	17	368	140	+3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.7
ROS	18	ROK	CIN	0%	50	45	9	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	197	276	307	583	109	266	34	8	242	43	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		268	—	—	234	37	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	CIN	—	76	67	10	3	0	1	8	33	2	3	0	149	263	239	502	90	273	43	11	239	41	-5	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
TOT	18	ROK	CIN	—	126	111	19	5	0	2	12	50	3	4	0	170	268	269	537	99	285	39	9	240	42	-8	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	CIN	34%	197	176	34	6	2	3	16	64	3	4	1	193	272	301	573	108	271	32	8	255	54	-10	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	CIN	48%	335	299	59	10	3	6	28	105	5	7	1	197	277	311	588	114	275	31	8	264	60	-15	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	CIN	54%	440	393	78	14	3	8	37	135	7	10	2	198	279	310	590	112	277	31	8	270	65	-17	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.1
2030	22	MLB	CIN	57%	514	457	93	17	4	10	44	156	8	11	2	204	285	324	609	120	278	30	9	274	68	-19	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.3
2031	23	MLB	CIN	58%	564	502	101	18	4	11	48	171	9	13	2	201	283	319	601	118	279	30	9	275	69	-20	+2	+0	+6	+16	0.4
2032	24	MLB	CIN	57%	596	531	107	19	4	12	51	180	9	13	2	202	283	320	603	119	280	30	9	277	70	-20	+2	+0	+6	+17	0.5
2027	19	MLB	CIN	34%	68	61	12	2	1	1	6	22	1	1	0	197	279	311	591	115	274	32	9	247	47	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	CIN	48%	162	145	28	5	1	3	14	51	2	3	1	193	273	303	577	110	277	31	9	256	54	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2029	21	MLB	CIN	54%	239	213	44	8	2	5	20	73	4	5	1	207	287	333	620	127	279	31	8	261	58	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2030	22	MLB	CIN	57%	291	260	53	10	2	6	25	88	4	6	1	204	284	327	611	123	281	30	9	265	61	-13	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
2031	23	MLB	CIN	58%	325	289	60	11	2	7	28	98	5	7	1	208	289	332	621	125	281	30	9	267	62	-14	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.0
2032	24	MLB	CIN	57%	340	303	62	11	3	7	29	103	5	8	1	205	285	330	615	125	282	30	9	268	63	-14	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1425	1272	259	47	11	29	122	435	21	30	5	204	284	326	611	123	282	31	9	264	60	-65	+4	+0	+15	+40	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	117	21	5	13	56	198	10	14	2	202	284	322	606	121	280	30	9	264	60	-29	+2	+0	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	2823	2518	493	87	22	52	238	883	44	66	11	196	277	310	586	114	276	31	8	266	62	-121	+9	+0	+30	+80	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	113	20	5	12	55	203	10	15	3	195	276	309	585	114	274	31	8	266	62	-28	+2	+0	+7	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	127	108	17	2	3	1	17	38	2	7	1	157	283	259	543	102	232	30	13	258	56	-6	+1	—	—	+4	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,530	28	33	200	278	315	+16	+12	0.4	0.6
	/162	664	12	14	200	278	315	+7.1	+5.2	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jealmy Frias (OGILVIE)	18	20→25	35→40	51→56	57	170/268/269	99	285	2	4	39%	9%	42	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Robel García 2011 · A	18	36→37	37→50	50→40	47	170/256/251	81	261	4	9	33%	10%	40	-2.4	181/249/281	100	277	7	7	34%	8%	43	-2.2	192/262/383	192	272	27	2	39%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Leandro Arias 2023 · A	18	40	38→30	51→45	43	188/262/268	80	284	4	11	33%	8%	46	-2.0	199/267/280	81	262	6	10	25%	7%	51	-1.7	199/277/263	64	267	6	7	25%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Alejandro Flores 2014 · A	18	41	37→50	48→40	43	196/253/264	68	270	4	7	28%	7%	40	-2.4	190/255/273	83	275	7	6	31%	7%	44	-2.1	199/256/338	139	264	14	3	29%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	42	-2.3	225/287/323	98	318	6	19	29%	7%	70	-0.3	201/262/323	122	304	12	21	36%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Francis Grullon 2019 · A	18	39	35→45	47→55	45	184/247/246	62	246	2	9	25%	7%	33	-2.9	202/273/292	90	249	7	13	20%	8%	57	-1.2	192/274/289	97	228	9	18	19%	9%	56	-0.4
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	42→45	45	194/268/281	86	278	5	6	30%	8%	52	-1.6	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	68	-0.5	190/311/283	93	253	5	7	24%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	41→40	51→30	43	201/256/296	95	262	9	9	26%	7%	50	-1.7	189/256/262	73	263	5	5	28%	8%	42	-2.3	168/252/275	106	241	12	2	34%	9%	42	-0.6
✕Emmanuel Morel 2015 · A	18	42	36→30	51→55	41	199/261/262	63	278	3	9	28%	6%	43	-2.2	192/267/250	58	298	2	16	33%	9%	43	-2.2	173/256/219	46	280	0	22	34%	9%	29	-0.9
✕Nolan Perez 2017 · A	18	39	39→40	46→40	39	188/258/270	82	280	6	8	33%	6%	45	-2.1	187/235/267	80	275	6	4	33%	5%	33	-2.9	171/209/244	74	259	6	2	35%	4%	15	-1.4
✕Deivi Estrada 2019 · A	18	40	36→30	45→50	43	190/259/260	71	280	2	10	31%	7%	43	-2.2	210/287/274	64	290	3	9	26%	9%	58	-1.2	195/270/241	46	289	2	8	30%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Wondy De Los Santos 2008 · A	18	40	35→40	52→50	43	192/257/251	59	262	3	8	27%	6%	39	-2.5	207/256/275	68	267	3	9	22%	5%	44	-2.1	208/250/275	67	259	1	11	19%	4%	40	-0.7
✕Adrian Placencia 2022 · A	19	36→37	40→45	48→50	44	172/262/264	92	283	8	7	39%	10%	46	-2.0	186/278/306	120	309	13	12	40%	10%	63	-0.8	178/272/297	119	295	14	13	41%	10%	56	-1.1
✕Franyerber Montilla 2023 · A	18	37	39→40	48→55	42	172/252/257	85	296	6	11	41%	9%	39	-2.5	189/273/295	106	280	9	20	33%	9%	59	-1.1	182/275/291	109	262	10	28	32%	10%	56	-0.5
✕Abiezel Ramirez 2018 · A	18	37	36→45	45→55	41	177/239/242	65	274	3	9	35%	7%	29	-3.2	205/267/286	81	279	4	15	26%	7%	52	-1.6	200/264/296	96	310	7	21	35%	7%	52	-0.6
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	25	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	52	-1.6	192/263/269	77	285	7	32	32%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Hector Garcia 2008 · A	18	38	40→45	49→40	41	188/237/274	86	249	7	6	27%	6%	36	-2.7	212/263/289	77	269	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	39	39→45	53→45	38	185/246/275	89	296	6	8	38%	7%	41	-2.3	197/260/287	90	318	5	8	36%	7%	50	-1.8	215/289/325	110	304	4	8	28%	9%	69	-0.2