Jealmy Frias

SS DSL Reds
Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKCIN127.157/.283/.25917-1—.088/.189/.133
202618ROKCIN144.216/.392/.3422436—.134/.280/.210
2027PROJMLE19MLBCIN254.185/.266/.2662553-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBCIN44.192/.273/.2841158-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Chase%74
BB%73
ISO55
wOBA50
Speed47
wRC+43
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsJonathan Mejía (age 19) · Franyerber Montilla (age 19) · Raimundo De Los Santos (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 74 proj PA
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .264 / .263
PA74
HR1
K%30
BB%9
ISO80
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 37
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT29
scouting grade only
POWER37
scouting grade only
EYE65
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Reds — 127108 17231 17382 71 157283259543 102232 3013 258 -1 — — — — — —
202618 ROKDSL Reds — 144111 24612 27405 41 216392342734 126314 2819 344 36 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 127113 10120 12472 71 88189133322 44158 379 166 -1 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 144119 16411 19495 41 134280210490 76195 3413 222 36 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 127113 10120 12472 71 88189133322 44152 379 166 -1 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Reds — 127108 17231 17382 71 157283259543 102232 3013 258 -1 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 144119 16411 19495 41 134280210490 76214 3413 222 36 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWDSL Reds — 144111 24612 27405 41 216392342734 126314 2819 344 36 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 127112 10120 12472 71 89189134323 45158 379 166 -1 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 144119 16411 19495 41 134280210490 76195 3413 222 36 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 127112 10120 12472 71 89189134323 45158 379 166 -1 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 144119 16411 19495 41 134280210490 76195 3413 222 36 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLECIN 0% 254227 41722 22773 51 185266266532 80266 309 246 53 -14 +1 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLECIN 34% 128114 21411 11382 31 191272280552 89269 309 254 58 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202820 MLB CTXCIN 34% 4439 7101 4131 10 192273284557 92269 309 256 58 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4439 7101 4131 10 179273282555 103240 309 256 35 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650576 10415015 5919215 150 181274285559 104241 309 256 35 -32 +3 +0 +7 +14 -0.8
Career— MLE — 473413 601153 4815610 153 145251218468 73223 3310 219 35 -11 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650568 821574 6621414 214 144250217467 72221 3310 219 35 -34 +1 +0 +7 +14 -1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Reds · 144 PAwOBA .339 → .222 (−117)K% 27.8% → 33.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.78%÷1.000×1.220——33.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.75%÷1.000×0.700—×1.00813.22%
HBP% /PA3.47%—×0.700—×1.0082.45%
Singles /BIP21.13%÷1.000×0.680×0.954×1.00813.80%
Doubles /BIP8.45%÷1.000×0.600×0.954×1.0084.87%
Triples /BIP1.41%÷1.000×0.600×0.954×1.0080.81%
Home runs /BIP2.82%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0081.33%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .339 → .222; ISO .126 → .069; BABIP .314 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Reds · 127 PAwOBA .252 → .166 (−86)K% 29.9% → 36.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.92%÷0.993×1.220——36.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.39%÷1.038×0.700—×1.0229.23%
HBP% /PA1.57%—×0.700—×1.0221.13%
Singles /BIP15.71%÷0.994×0.680×1.011×1.02211.12%
Doubles /BIP2.86%÷1.065×0.600×1.011×1.0221.66%
Triples /BIP4.29%÷0.900×0.600×1.011×1.0222.95%
Home runs /BIP1.43%÷0.994×0.470—×1.0220.69%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 99, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .252 → .166; ISO .102 → .060; BABIP .232 → .158. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).