Emilio Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Emilio GonzalezC DSL Astros Orange

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 186 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+69

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .300 / .288

PA60

HR0

K%26

BB%8

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$8M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$8M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+1.6	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$20M		$46M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	58	47	7	2	0	0	5	14	6	2	0	149	310	191	502	43	212	24	9	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	58	43	9	3	0	0	9	10	6	2	0	209	414	279	693	70	273	17	16	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	—	—	60	53	10	2	0	0	5	15	2	1	0	189	283	226	510	38	290	25	8	275	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	153	135	29	6	1	1	12	38	5	2	0	215	303	296	599	81	292	25	8	284	76	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	300	263	60	12	2	4	24	74	10	4	1	228	316	335	651	106	294	25	8	291	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	414	364	82	16	2	6	34	102	13	6	1	225	314	330	644	104	295	25	8	295	84	-8	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.3
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	495	435	99	19	3	7	41	121	16	7	2	228	317	333	650	106	296	24	8	298	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.6
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	520	455	104	20	3	8	43	127	17	7	2	229	318	338	657	110	297	24	8	300	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	520	455	105	20	3	8	43	126	17	7	2	231	320	341	661	110	297	24	8	301	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	520	455	105	20	3	8	43	126	17	7	2	231	320	341	661	110	298	24	8	302	89	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	520	455	105	20	3	8	43	126	17	7	2	231	320	341	661	110	297	24	8	303	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	520	454	104	20	3	8	44	127	17	7	2	229	320	339	660	110	297	24	8	303	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	520	454	104	20	3	8	44	127	17	7	2	229	320	339	660	110	297	24	8	302	89	-6	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.8
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	520	454	104	20	3	8	44	128	17	6	1	229	320	339	660	110	296	25	8	300	87	-7	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2038	30	MLB	—	53%	520	453	103	20	3	8	45	130	17	6	1	227	320	338	658	110	294	25	9	297	85	-9	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.4
2039	31	MLB	—	52%	504	440	98	19	2	7	43	127	16	5	1	223	315	323	637	100	292	25	9	293	82	-10	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.1
2040	32	MLB	—	56%	489	429	93	18	2	6	42	125	15	4	1	217	309	310	619	93	289	26	9	287	78	-12	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.7
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	53	47	10	2	0	1	4	13	2	1	0	213	302	319	621	106	292	25	8	284	76	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	145	127	29	6	1	2	12	36	5	2	0	228	319	339	658	110	294	25	8	291	81	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	225	198	45	9	1	3	18	55	7	3	1	227	314	328	642	101	295	24	8	295	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.7
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	280	246	56	11	2	4	23	68	9	4	1	228	317	337	654	110	296	24	8	298	86	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	299	262	61	12	2	5	25	73	10	4	1	233	323	351	674	118	297	24	8	300	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	296	261	61	12	2	5	24	72	9	4	1	234	320	352	672	119	297	24	8	301	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	295	260	61	12	2	5	24	72	9	4	1	235	321	354	675	119	298	24	8	302	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	294	259	61	12	2	5	24	71	9	4	1	236	322	355	677	120	297	24	8	303	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	289	254	59	11	2	5	24	70	9	4	1	232	321	350	671	118	297	24	8	303	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	286	251	57	11	1	5	24	70	9	4	1	227	317	339	656	112	297	24	8	302	89	-4	+0	-0	+5	+8	1.0
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	278	243	55	11	1	4	24	69	9	3	1	226	319	329	648	103	296	25	9	300	87	-4	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.9
2038	30	MLB	—	53%	274	240	53	10	1	4	23	68	9	3	1	221	312	321	633	100	294	25	8	297	85	-5	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.7
2039	31	MLB	—	52%	263	230	51	10	1	4	23	66	8	3	1	222	314	326	640	104	292	25	9	293	82	-5	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.6
2040	32	MLB	—	56%	275	241	53	10	1	4	23	70	9	2	0	220	311	320	631	100	289	25	8	287	78	-7	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3552	3119	712	139	19	56	295	873	113	45	11	228	318	339	656	111	298	25	8	298	86	-56	+5	-6	+63	+101	11.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	129	25	3	10	54	160	21	8	2	226	316	333	649	107	295	25	8	298	86	-10	+1	-1	+12	+18	2.0
Career	—			—	6633	5801	1312	254	36	95	555	1633	219	85	20	226	317	331	649	105	296	25	8	297	85	-109	+9	-10	+118	+188	20.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	129	25	4	9	54	160	21	8	2	227	317	333	650	106	298	25	8	297	85	-11	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	58	43	9	3	0	0	9	10	6	2	0	209	414	279	693	70	273	17	16	344	122	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,611	54	46	228	314	335	+64	+32	11.3	9.3
	/162	664	10	9	228	314	335	+11.9	+5.9	2.1	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Emilio Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	212/300/288	76	290	0	1	26%	8%	69	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Edward Duran 2022 · A	18	49→45	37→40	49→50	46	231/297/312	81	291	3	9	21%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/287	70	281	2	8	22%	8%	63	-0.9	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→47	36→55	49→30	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	43	-2.2	204/277/283	79	275	6	5	26%	8%	56	-1.3	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	211/291/293	83	275	4	8	23%	9%	65	-0.7	213/293/327	114	268	10	14	23%	8%	75	-0.0	214/280/327	113	274	11	12	25%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	62	-0.9	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	46	-2.0	215/312/294	79	295	8	4	27%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Ivan Ramirez 2010 · A	18	50	38→40	50→40	43	235/293/316	81	288	5	5	20%	5%	71	-0.3	244/294/308	64	287	3	3	15%	6%	69	-0.4	263/310/310	48	297	2	1	12%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	74	-0.1	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Sebastian Valle 2008 · A	18	46→49	38→50	43→40	49	216/286/302	86	264	5	6	20%	8%	65	-0.7	209/261/312	103	271	8	4	25%	5%	56	-1.3	229/281/373	143	303	16	2	29%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→46	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	63	-0.9	210/268/306	96	286	7	34	27%	7%	58	-1.2	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	42→44	37→45	47→60	37	197/271/278	80	298	4	8	33%	5%	53	-1.5	219/295/319	100	315	8	15	31%	6%	74	-0.1	224/303/332	108	321	10	20	31%	6%	76	+0.1