Joyner Perez — OGILVIE

Joyner PerezOF FCL Twins

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 215 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION80 act + 53 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .281 / .310

PA53

HR1

K%32

BB%7

BABIP297

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	105	90	20	4	0	3	11	25	4	2	1	222	333	367	700	144	274	24	10	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	105	83	26	6	0	3	18	17	4	2	1	313	457	494	951	181	365	16	17	427	185	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	MIN	—	80	67	9	2	0	0	7	33	4	0	1	134	256	164	421	30	250	41	9	192	5	-9	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.7
YTD	18	ROK	MIN	—	80	63	12	3	0	0	11	23	4	0	1	190	346	238	584	48	286	29	14	283	74	-2	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	ROK	MIN	0%	53	48	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	0	0	207	281	310	592	103	284	32	7	258	55	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	MIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		284	—	—	242	43	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	MIN	—	80	68	9	2	0	0	7	33	4	0	1	132	256	162	418	29	243	41	9	192	5	-9	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.7
TOT	18	ROK	MIN	—	133	115	19	4	0	1	11	50	5	0	1	165	266	225	492	61	271	38	8	218	25	-11	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIN	34%	182	161	33	6	1	3	15	55	4	1	0	205	289	311	599	106	286	30	8	268	63	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2028	20	MLB	MIN	48%	323	286	60	11	2	5	27	94	7	1	0	210	294	315	608	105	288	29	8	277	70	-11	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.4
2027	19	MLB	MIN	34%	63	57	11	2	0	1	5	19	1	0	0	193	270	281	551	88	286	30	8	253	52	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	MIN	48%	157	140	29	5	1	3	13	46	3	0	0	207	288	321	610	114	288	29	8	262	59	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	220	198	40	7	1	4	18	65	4	0	0	202	283	308	591	106	277	30	8	259	57	-11	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	119	21	3	12	53	192	12	0	0	203	284	311	596	108	279	30	8	259	57	-32	+0	+0	-4	+18	-1.8
Career	—			—	663	585	123	23	3	12	57	191	16	4	1	210	298	321	619	111	288	29	9	278	71	-22	+0	+0	-4	+19	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	121	23	3	12	56	187	16	4	1	211	299	324	623	113	288	29	9	278	71	-22	+0	+0	-4	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	105	83	26	6	0	3	18	17	4	2	1	313	457	494	951	181	365	16	17	427	185	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	309	5	1	208	285	308	-2	+0	-0.5	-0.3
	/162	664	10	2	208	285	308	-4.0	+0.0	-1.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joyner Perez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	165/266/225	61	271	1	0	38%	8%	25	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	48	-1.9	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	53	-1.5	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	39	-0.7
✕Douglas Glod 2023 · A	18	41	41→45	45	44	191/273/288	97	305	8	7	37%	9%	56	-1.3	173/273/269	96	330	8	5	44%	11%	53	-1.5	137/247/219	82	283	7	3	48%	11%	28	-1.3
✕Alexander Mojica 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	47→40	41	194/262/289	96	287	9	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6	185/266/295	110	307	11	4	40%	9%	56	-1.3	155/253/274	119	262	13	2	42%	10%	42	-0.8
✕Hector Garcia 2008 · A	18	38	40→45	49→40	41	188/237/274	86	249	7	6	27%	6%	36	-2.7	212/263/289	77	269	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Jhon Torres 2018 · A	18	41→40	42→45	45	45	202/274/305	103	267	9	6	27%	7%	61	-1.0	208/270/313	105	302	11	6	33%	7%	61	-1.0	199/252/306	107	283	10	3	32%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→34	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	48	-1.9	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	70	-0.1
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→32	37→40	43→50	40	199/260/273	73	295	4	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	184/285/263	79	357	5	9	44%	10%	56	-1.3	152/269/228	75	334	5	7	49%	11%	40	-1.1
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Joe DeCarlo 2013 · A	19	39→37	41→55	43→30	45	190/272/291	102	269	8	3	30%	8%	57	-1.2	186/266/288	102	300	9	2	38%	8%	54	-1.4	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Israel Mota 2014 · A	18	39	37→45	47→50	45	186/266/260	74	272	4	7	31%	8%	46	-2.0	197/247/292	95	286	8	9	32%	5%	45	-2.1	192/240/304	112	265	12	11	31%	5%	43	-0.7
✕Sherten Apostel 2018 · A	19	38→32	44→45	43→40	47	188/273/305	117	271	11	5	33%	10%	61	-1.0	192/270/313	121	279	13	4	34%	9%	62	-0.9	185/258/310	124	270	15	2	35%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Jandel Paulino 2019 · A	18	39	35→40	41→45	40	185/261/243	58	280	3	8	33%	7%	40	-2.4	212/286/295	83	307	6	6	31%	7%	63	-0.8	215/300/291	76	303	6	4	28%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Enger Jimenez 2013 · A	18	39	41→40	48→50	36	191/243/287	95	290	8	8	36%	6%	42	-2.3	193/242/288	95	273	7	10	30%	5%	42	-2.3	195/245/291	96	261	6	12	26%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	39	39→45	45→55	38	193/252/278	85	266	7	8	29%	5%	44	-2.1	196/255/289	93	278	8	10	31%	6%	48	-1.9	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Wladimir Galindo 2015 · A	18	42→31	43→45	45→40	37	207/260/321	115	290	11	5	32%	5%	59	-1.1	221/270/328	107	313	8	5	30%	5%	64	-0.8	183/223/269	87	287	8	1	38%	4%	25	-1.5
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	42→34	38→45	46→50	39	192/268/272	80	307	5	9	36%	7%	50	-1.7	206/287/306	100	302	9	7	32%	9%	67	-0.5	197/289/306	108	288	11	5	33%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Emilio King 2008 · A	18	40	39→45	44→40	38	192/250/280	89	281	6	5	33%	5%	44	-2.1	184/255/258	74	259	4	7	29%	6%	41	-2.3	206/259/300	94	298	6	4	31%	4%	49	-0.8
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	39	39→45	53→45	38	185/246/275	89	296	6	8	38%	7%	41	-2.3	197/260/287	90	318	5	8	36%	7%	50	-1.8	215/289/325	110	304	4	8	28%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→40	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	53	-1.5	195/240/313	118	278	11	5	32%	5%	47	-1.9	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2