Luis Sanchez — OGILVIE

Luis SanchezOF DSL Cubs Blue

Age 18 L/L 5'10" / 163 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION64 act + 43 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .279 / .263

PA43

HR0

K%28

BB%9

BABIP269

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.6M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$10M		$10M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	128	107	17	4	3	1	13	47	8	8	5	159	297	280	577	121	271	37	10	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	128	99	24	5	5	1	21	33	8	8	5	242	414	424	838	182	354	26	16	382	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	CHC	—	64	51	6	1	1	1	8	19	4	4	0	118	286	235	521	118	156	30	12	228	33	-5	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
YTD	18	ROK	CHC	—	64	46	7	1	1	1	13	13	4	4	0	152	381	283	664	130	182	20	20	322	105	+0	+1	+0	-0	+2	0.3
ROS	18	ROK	CHC	0%	43	38	7	1	1	0	4	12	1	1	0	184	279	263	542	79	273	28	9	270	65	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	252	51	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	CHC	—	64	52	6	1	1	1	8	19	4	4	0	115	286	231	516	115	152	30	12	228	33	-5	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
TOT	18	ROK	CHC	—	107	89	13	2	2	1	12	31	5	5	0	146	283	247	530	101	207	29	11	245	46	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	CHC	34%	198	173	35	6	2	3	18	55	5	4	1	202	296	312	608	110	276	28	9	279	72	-6	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	CHC	48%	336	295	62	11	4	6	30	92	8	7	1	210	300	336	636	125	279	27	9	288	78	-8	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.0
2029	21	MLB	CHC	54%	440	386	82	15	5	8	40	119	11	9	1	212	304	339	644	127	281	27	9	293	83	-9	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2030	22	MLB	CHC	57%	514	450	98	17	6	11	46	137	13	10	2	218	308	356	664	138	282	27	9	297	86	-8	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.4
2031	23	MLB	CHC	58%	564	494	107	19	6	12	51	150	14	11	2	217	308	352	660	136	283	27	9	300	88	-8	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.6
2032	24	MLB	CHC	57%	596	522	114	20	7	13	54	158	15	12	2	218	310	358	668	140	284	27	9	302	89	-7	+2	+0	-4	+17	0.8
2033	25	MLB	CHC	57%	615	539	118	21	7	14	56	163	15	12	2	219	310	362	672	143	284	27	9	303	90	-7	+2	+0	-4	+17	0.9
2034	26	MLB	CHC	57%	625	547	121	21	7	15	57	166	16	12	2	221	313	367	680	146	284	27	9	304	91	-6	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.9
2035	27	MLB	CHC	55%	626	547	120	21	7	15	58	166	16	12	2	219	312	366	678	146	284	27	9	304	91	-6	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.9
2036	28	MLB	CHC	55%	622	543	119	21	7	14	58	166	16	12	2	219	313	361	674	142	283	27	9	303	90	-7	+2	-1	-4	+18	0.8
2037	29	MLB	CHC	53%	612	535	116	20	7	14	57	165	15	11	2	217	310	359	669	142	282	27	9	301	89	-8	+1	-1	-4	+17	0.6
2038	30	MLB	CHC	57%	602	525	112	20	6	13	57	164	15	9	2	213	308	349	657	135	281	27	9	299	87	-9	+1	-2	-4	+17	0.3
2027	19	MLB	CHC	34%	68	60	12	2	1	1	6	19	2	1	0	200	294	317	611	117	278	28	9	262	59	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	CHC	48%	163	143	30	5	2	3	15	45	4	3	1	210	302	336	638	126	281	28	9	270	65	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2029	21	MLB	CHC	54%	239	210	45	8	3	5	21	64	6	5	1	214	304	352	656	138	282	27	9	276	70	-8	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.2
2030	22	MLB	CHC	57%	291	256	55	10	3	6	26	78	7	6	1	215	304	348	652	133	284	27	9	280	73	-9	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2031	23	MLB	CHC	58%	325	285	62	11	4	7	29	87	8	6	1	218	307	358	665	140	285	27	9	283	75	-9	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2032	24	MLB	CHC	57%	340	298	66	12	4	8	31	90	8	7	1	221	312	369	681	148	285	26	9	285	76	-9	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.0
2033	25	MLB	CHC	57%	349	305	68	12	4	8	32	93	9	7	1	223	315	367	682	144	286	27	9	286	77	-9	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.0
2034	26	MLB	CHC	57%	354	310	68	12	4	8	32	94	9	7	1	219	311	361	672	142	285	27	9	287	78	-9	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.0
2035	27	MLB	CHC	55%	347	303	67	12	4	8	32	92	9	7	1	221	314	366	680	145	285	27	9	287	78	-9	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.0
2036	28	MLB	CHC	55%	342	298	66	12	4	8	32	91	9	6	1	221	316	369	685	148	285	27	9	286	77	-9	+1	-0	-2	+10	-0.1
2037	29	MLB	CHC	53%	327	285	62	11	4	7	31	88	8	6	1	218	312	358	670	140	284	27	9	285	76	-9	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
2038	30	MLB	CHC	57%	344	301	65	11	4	8	32	93	8	5	1	216	308	359	667	143	282	27	9	282	74	-10	+1	-1	-2	+10	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3489	3055	666	118	41	77	319	934	87	66	11	218	310	359	669	141	286	27	9	283	75	-99	+9	-2	-21	+99	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	124	22	8	14	59	174	16	12	2	218	309	359	668	141	286	27	9	283	75	-18	+2	-0	-4	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	6521	5701	1228	217	75	139	599	1760	168	130	26	215	308	353	661	138	284	27	9	299	87	-98	+16	-4	-39	+185	6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	122	22	7	14	60	175	17	13	3	215	309	352	661	137	283	27	9	299	87	-10	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	128	99	24	5	5	1	21	33	8	8	5	242	414	424	838	182	354	26	16	382	150	+7	-0	—	—	+4	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,594	77	68	217	306	355	-22	+0	3.6	3.4
	/162	664	14	13	217	306	355	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Sanchez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	146/283/247	101	207	1	5	29%	11%	46	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	41	43→50	47→40	43	202/274/320	118	277	9	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	227/287/334	107	295	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	248/308/368	120	321	11	2	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→44	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	59	-1.1	188/250/298	110	251	9	7	28%	7%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	190/267/305	115	300	11	8	37%	8%	59	-1.1	154/245/264	110	254	11	8	41%	8%	37	-0.7
●Tirso Ornelas 2019 · A	19	43→53	40→50	50→45	45	206/273/299	93	288	7	5	30%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/266	76	279	5	5	31%	8%	41	-2.3	249/309/383	134	307	16	7	23%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→50	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/320	103	296	8	14	28%	7%	63	-0.8	218/277/350	132	309	11	7	31%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Luis Liberato 2014 · A	18	41→51	37→55	48→50	41	195/252/268	73	282	4	13	31%	6%	41	-2.3	192/253/275	83	290	4	11	32%	7%	43	-2.2	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	43→45	38→45	46→50	44	201/275/277	76	311	6	9	35%	9%	54	-1.4	211/298/310	99	331	7	14	35%	9%	72	-0.2	226/292/355	129	316	11	14	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
●Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	38→48	37→45	46→55	47	183/255/256	73	241	5	11	25%	8%	40	-2.4	207/259/305	98	267	5	11	23%	6%	53	-1.5	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→47	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	52	-1.6	206/257/295	89	285	7	8	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
●Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	42→52	39→50	52→50	42	203/266/292	89	271	6	13	26%	6%	54	-1.4	205/253/299	94	283	8	9	29%	4%	50	-1.8	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
●Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→54	42→55	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	77	+0.1	195/265/303	108	302	7	13	35%	8%	56	-1.3	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	46→53	44→55	54→60	41	222/283/347	125	322	10	12	33%	7%	75	-0.0	211/270/330	119	351	11	13	40%	7%	65	-0.7	214/281/384	170	311	19	29	36%	8%	81	+0.4
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3