Randy Baron — OGILVIE

Randy Baron P ACL Guardians

Age 18 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%19.2%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%7.5%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	15	0	31	128	21	13	1	0%	2.1	11.2%	12.7%	-1.5%	0.8%	3.16	4.22	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	15	0	31	128	21	13	1	0%	2.1	11.2%	12.7%	-1.5%	0.8%	3.16	4.22	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	15	0	31	128	21	13	1	0%	2.1	16.4%	10.2%	6.2%	0.8%	3.16	3.42	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	9	2	18	83	21	13	1	22%	2.0	17.2%	19.6%	-2.4%	1.7%	5.60	5.05	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	9	2	18	83	21	13	1	22%	2.0	17.2%	19.6%	-2.4%	1.7%	5.60	5.05	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	CLE	9	2	18	83	21	13	1	22%	2.0	25.3%	15.7%	9.6%	1.2%	5.60	3.61	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CLE	28	0	30	125	25	13	4	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.8%	9.6%	2.9%	4.78	4.70	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	CLE	14	0	15	63	13	7	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.8%	9.6%	2.9%	4.78	4.70	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	61	12	7	2	0%	1.0	20.3%	10.8%	9.6%	2.9%	4.78	4.32	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	96	27	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.8%	9.6%	2.9%	4.78	4.32	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		24	2	49	211	29	32	2	8%	2.0	13.5%	15.4%	-1.9%	1.2%	4.04	4.55	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		98	8	200	861	117	133	10	8%	2.0	13.5%	15.4%	-1.9%	1.2%	4.04	4.55	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Randy Baron (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	19.2%	11.8%	2.9%	—	4.70	20.3%	9.6%	30	-0.25	—	—	—
Harold Cortijo R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	18	SU	4.46	19.1%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	5.64	13.5%	2.2%	73	+1.18	4.15	179	90
Kevin Rodriguez R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	18	SU	4.37	17.4%	12.8%	2.0%	.279	4.14	16.7%	7.6%	41	-0.23	2.34	188	89
Kevin Tejada R 2023 · 3.97 FIP	18	SU	3.97	17.4%	10.0%	1.9%	.284	5.53	13.1%	2.7%	78	+1.56	3.97	108	87
Greiber Mendez R 2022 · 4.92 FIP	18	SU	4.92	15.7%	11.5%	3.1%	.330	4.78	16.7%	2.5%	152	-0.14	3.64	247	86
Leury Tejada R 2018 · 4.03 FIP	18	SW	4.03	16.5%	10.1%	1.9%	.286	5.06	17.4%	6.2%	39	+1.03	4.03	183	85
Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	19	SU	4.56	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.92	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.64	3.67	140	84
Blake Workman R 2018 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.98	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.02	3.09	213	84
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	84
Raimon Gomez R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	19	SW	4.90	17.3%	13.6%	2.8%	.265	3.28	19.5%	8.0%	48	-1.62	3.28	103	83
David Tiburcio R 2021 · 4.36 FIP	19	SU	4.36	15.0%	10.2%	2.2%	.241	6.16	13.3%	0.6%	96	+1.80	4.36	126	82
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	82
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	82
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	82
Diego Blanco R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	18	SU	4.77	17.7%	12.4%	2.9%	.269	4.08	14.7%	1.6%	29	-0.69	3.51	102	82
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	82
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.01	538	82
José Cruz R 2018 · 5.53 FIP	18	SU	5.53	15.3%	11.8%	4.1%	.256	3.65	18.8%	3.8%	70	-1.88	2.18	227	82
Fauris Guerrero R 2015 · 3.88 FIP	18	SU	3.88	15.5%	10.7%	1.3%	.282	3.54	16.3%	9.8%	115	-0.34	3.30	165	82
Angel Guillen R 2015 · 3.92 FIP	18	SU	3.92	20.6%	10.2%	2.3%	.411	3.44	15.7%	8.6%	78	-0.48	3.37	181	81
Yorlin Calderon R 2019 · 4.90 FIP	17	SW	4.90	15.4%	8.3%	3.7%	.275	5.02	20.3%	13.1%	84	+0.12	3.43	287	81