David Tiburcio — OGILVIE

David Tiburcio P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.30

FIP5.30

K%18.0%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%5.1%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	15	0	30	122	27	10	2	0%	2.0	15.0%	10.2%	4.8%	2.2%	3.94	4.36	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	15	0	30	122	27	10	2	0%	2.0	22.1%	8.2%	13.9%	1.6%	3.94	3.17	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	8	3	21	100	23	5	4	38%	2.7	15.6%	6.2%	9.4%	6.1%	3.80	5.94	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	8	3	21	100	23	5	4	38%	2.7	23.0%	5.0%	18.0%	4.0%	3.80	4.08	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	1	30	135	23	17	4	5%	1.5	12.1%	15.3%	-3.2%	3.9%	4.25	6.18	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	1	30	135	23	17	4	5%	1.5	12.1%	15.3%	-3.2%	3.9%	4.25	6.18	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	1	30	135	23	17	4	5%	1.5	17.0%	12.6%	4.4%	3.0%	4.25	5.02	—
2024	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	1	45	217	38	26	8	4%	1.6	13.0%	14.1%	-1.2%	4.5%	6.35	6.25	—
2024	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	1	45	217	38	26	8	4%	1.6	13.0%	14.1%	-1.2%	4.5%	6.35	6.25	—
2024	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	1	45	217	38	26	8	4%	1.6	17.5%	12.0%	5.5%	3.7%	6.35	5.44	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	LAA	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.0%	13.0%	5.1%	3.1%	5.30	5.30	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAA	39	0	41	174	34	20	5	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.7%	7.7%	3.1%	5.09	5.01	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAA	17	0	18	76	15	9	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.7%	7.7%	3.1%	5.09	5.01	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	75	14	9	2	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.7%	7.7%	3.1%	5.09	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	102	23	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.7%	7.7%	3.1%	5.09	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		71	5	126	574	78	70	24	7%	1.8	13.7%	12.2%	1.5%	4.2%	4.86	5.78	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		113	8	200	911	124	111	38	7%	1.8	13.7%	12.2%	1.5%	4.2%	4.86	5.78	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
David Tiburcio (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	18.0%	13.0%	3.1%	—	5.01	19.4%	7.7%	41	-0.29	—	—	—
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	88
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	88
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	87
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	86
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	86
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	86
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	85
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	85
Armando Ruiz R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	24	SU	4.26	18.4%	11.4%	2.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	113	85
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	85
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	85
Justin Garcia R 2017 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	17.5%	12.2%	4.0%	.265	4.84	14.7%	0.1%	14	-0.54	4.06	164	85
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	85
Morgan McSweeney R 2022 · 5.16 FIP	24	SU	5.16	18.0%	13.9%	3.3%	.278	4.36	16.0%	6.0%	107	-0.80	3.20	213	84
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	84
Reid Schaller R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	20.2%	13.1%	2.8%	.298	3.89	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.71	3.61	186	84
Ryan Ledbetter R 2016 · 4.76 FIP	24	SU	4.76	18.5%	12.3%	3.0%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	4.76	124	84
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	84
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	84
Stephen Perakslis R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	14.6%	9.9%	2.6%	.254	3.99	16.9%	9.9%	190	-0.55	3.07	211	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	18.9%	12.2%	1.19	5.17
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64