Jesús Pérez

SS DSL Cardinals

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1456ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKSTL	96	.241/.305/.379	1	6	5	—	.124/.179/.169
2026	18	ROKSTL	170	.282/.387/.423	3	8	47	—	.174/.268/.242
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBSTL	280	.218/.281/.308	3	6	67	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBSTL	48	.223/.287/.320	1	1	72	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBSTL	117	.226/.292/.330	2	3	76	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%85

Z-Con%68

ISO62

Whiff%61

wOBA58

wRC+52

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsGilberto Celestino (age 19) · Nick Allen (age 19) · Luisangel Acuña (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 88 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .279 / .305

PA88

HR1

K%25

BB%7

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	96	87	21	7	1	1	8	25	0	6	0	241	305	379	685	138	323	26	8	303	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	170	142	40	11	0	3	21	24	4	8	4	282	387	423	809	141	316	14	12	362	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	96	89	11	4	0	0	6	32	0	6	0	124	179	169	347	45	195	33	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	170	149	26	7	0	1	15	29	4	8	4	174	268	242	509	67	204	17	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	96	89	11	4	0	0	6	32	0	6	0	124	179	169	347	45	190	33	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	96	87	21	7	1	1	8	25	0	6	0	241	305	379	685	138	323	26	8	303	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	170	149	26	7	0	1	15	29	4	8	4	174	268	242	509	67	207	17	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	170	142	40	11	0	3	21	24	4	8	4	282	387	423	809	141	316	14	12	362	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	96	90	11	4	0	0	6	32	0	6	0	122	179	167	346	44	195	33	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	170	149	26	7	0	1	15	29	4	8	4	174	268	242	509	67	204	17	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	96	90	11	4	0	0	6	32	0	6	0	122	179	167	346	44	195	33	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	170	149	26	7	0	1	15	29	4	8	4	174	268	242	509	67	204	17	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	STL	0%	280	255	56	11	2	3	20	71	3	6	1	218	281	308	589	90	289	25	7	267	67	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	STL	34%	140	127	29	6	1	2	10	35	2	3	1	222	286	320	606	98	290	25	7	274	72	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	STL	48%	241	218	49	10	2	3	18	60	3	5	1	225	291	330	621	105	292	25	7	280	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	STL	54%	352	319	72	15	2	5	26	87	4	8	2	228	294	338	632	111	292	25	7	285	79	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	STL	57%	426	386	89	18	3	7	32	104	5	10	3	230	297	345	642	115	293	24	8	289	82	-9	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	STL	57%	473	429	99	20	3	8	36	115	5	11	3	232	299	351	649	119	294	24	8	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	STL	57%	500	452	105	21	3	9	38	121	6	11	3	232	299	352	651	120	294	24	8	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	STL	56%	515	465	107	21	3	9	39	125	6	12	3	232	299	352	651	120	294	24	8	292	84	-10	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	STL	55%	518	468	107	21	3	9	39	127	6	11	3	231	298	350	648	119	293	25	8	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	STL	55%	515	466	107	21	3	9	39	127	5	11	3	229	296	345	641	116	293	25	8	289	81	-11	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	STL	53%	504	456	104	21	3	8	38	126	5	10	3	227	294	339	633	112	292	25	8	285	79	-13	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	STL	53%	492	447	101	20	3	8	37	124	5	9	4	224	290	332	622	108	290	25	8	281	76	-14	+0	-2	+5	+11	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	STL	34%	48	44	10	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	223	287	320	608	97	293	25	6	275	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	STL	48%	117	106	25	5	1	2	9	29	1	3	1	226	292	330	621	104	294	25	8	281	76	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	STL	54%	191	173	39	8	1	3	14	47	2	4	1	228	295	338	632	109	295	25	7	285	79	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	STL	57%	241	218	51	10	2	4	18	59	3	6	2	231	297	344	641	113	296	24	7	289	82	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	STL	57%	267	242	56	12	2	4	20	65	3	6	2	232	299	349	649	117	296	24	7	292	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	STL	57%	283	257	60	12	2	5	21	69	3	6	2	233	300	350	650	118	296	24	7	292	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	STL	56%	291	264	62	13	2	5	22	71	3	7	2	233	300	350	650	118	296	24	8	292	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	STL	55%	287	260	60	12	2	5	22	70	3	6	2	232	299	348	647	117	296	24	8	291	83	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	STL	55%	283	257	60	12	2	5	21	70	3	6	2	230	297	344	641	114	295	25	7	288	81	-6	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	STL	53%	269	244	55	11	2	4	20	67	3	5	2	228	294	338	632	111	294	25	7	285	79	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	STL	53%	259	235	53	11	1	4	19	65	3	5	2	225	291	331	622	106	293	25	7	281	76	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2536	2300	531	108	17	42	189	624	28	55	18	231	297	347	645	117	297	25	7	288	78	-57	+4	-2	+27	+55	2.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	136	28	4	11	48	160	7	14	5	231	296	347	644	117	296	25	7	288	78	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5030	4552	1025	209	30	79	379	1234	57	117	33	225	293	336	629	111	290	25	8	284	78	-110	+9	-4	+51	+103	5.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	132	27	4	10	49	159	7	15	4	224	291	335	627	111	289	24	8	284	78	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Cardinals · 170 PAwOBA .357 → .237 (−120)K% 14.1% → 17.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.12%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	17.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.35%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	8.60%
HBP% /PA	2.35%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.64%
Singles /BIP	22.03%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.001	×0.995	14.93%
Doubles /BIP	9.32%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.001	×0.995	5.57%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.001	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.54%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.19%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .357 → .237; ISO .141 → .079; BABIP .316 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Cardinals · 96 PAwOBA .299 → .175 (−124)K% 26.0% → 33.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.04%	÷0.961	×1.220	—	—	33.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷1.022	×0.700	—	×1.008	5.75%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.35%	÷1.019	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	12.37%
Doubles /BIP	11.29%	÷0.990	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	6.55%
Triples /BIP	1.61%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	0.81%
Home runs /BIP	1.61%	÷1.047	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.73%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .299 → .175; ISO .138 → .070; BABIP .323 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.0	2,624	44	57	230	293	344	+28	+21	4.5	4.2
/162	664	11	14	+7.1	+5.3	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesús Pérez (OGILVIE)	19	49→54	33→38	52→57	53	216/279/305	89	289	1	2	25%	7%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	42	205/255/273	69	279	4	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	210/260/281	71	273	2	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Ryan Brett 2011 · A	19	47→57	37→45	54→60	42	219/270/295	76	299	3	17	26%	6%	60	-1.6	240/286/340	100	292	6	24	19%	6%	76	-0.4	266/307/374	108	325	8	30	20%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	212/278/299	87	312	7	9	32%	8%	65	-1.2	240/287/333	93	302	8	17	22%	5%	76	-0.4	268/325/364	96	311	7	12	15%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Tim Lopes 2013 · A	19	48→58	37→45	55	47	222/273/314	92	274	2	8	19%	6%	65	-1.2	233/277/307	74	298	3	13	21%	5%	65	-1.2	267/317/348	81	330	3	20	19%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Oswald Peraza 2019 · A	19	44→54	35→50	54→60	41	204/271/267	63	292	2	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	229/284/316	87	301	8	20	25%	6%	71	-0.8	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2011 · A	19	45	41→45	51→50	43	215/278/316	101	296	7	11	29%	7%	68	-1.0	197/266/293	96	297	7	13	33%	8%	59	-1.6	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Cole Tucker 2015 · A	19	45→51	37→45	50→55	45	212/276/286	75	285	5	13	26%	7%	61	-1.5	233/279/311	78	310	4	18	24%	6%	67	-1.1	230/292/338	108	300	7	25	24%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Johan Rojas 2021 · A	20	46→56	37→45	51→65	45	215/269/298	83	268	3	11	20%	6%	61	-1.5	227/275/338	111	290	9	31	24%	5%	72	-0.7	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Samad Taylor 2017 · A	19	46→56	38→50	50→65	42	216/268/295	79	293	4	10	27%	6%	60	-1.6	195/261/290	95	278	6	18	30%	7%	57	-1.8	242/320/377	134	335	14	46	29%	9%	98	+0.7
✕Rubén Tejada 2009 · A	19	47→57	36→40	47→50	47	220/280/288	68	271	3	9	19%	6%	63	-1.4	249/304/321	72	295	3	9	16%	6%	79	-0.2	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	43→53	39→45	54→60	42	206/268/296	90	278	5	17	27%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/320	98	295	8	26	26%	5%	69	-0.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Jansel Luis 2024 · A	19	44→54	41→45	53→55	41	216/268/318	101	271	9	14	23%	5%	65	-1.2	239/284/354	115	319	8	16	26%	5%	79	-0.2	249/291/371	122	332	9	19	27%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2015 · A	20	48→58	34→40	50→55	44	226/277/276	51	291	2	11	23%	6%	58	-1.7	252/304/303	51	305	2	9	17%	5%	74	-0.5	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→45	54→50	43	226/277/312	86	293	6	14	24%	6%	67	-1.1	258/305/354	96	315	6	11	19%	6%	86	+0.3	281/332/373	92	325	5	8	14%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	41→51	40→45	50→65	42	201/260/289	88	279	8	16	30%	6%	56	-1.9	234/302/339	105	318	8	38	27%	8%	83	+0.1	239/313/347	108	322	9	47	26%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	44	38→45	50	46	210/269/292	82	266	4	13	22%	6%	59	-1.6	202/248/279	77	299	4	11	32%	5%	49	-2.4	176/218/244	68	280	3	12	36%	4%	25	-1.1
✕Dariel Lopez 2021 · A	19	45→48	37→50	50→45	44	213/269/293	80	271	4	8	22%	6%	60	-1.6	228/275/336	108	332	11	4	33%	5%	72	-0.7	230/276/341	110	334	13	3	34%	5%	71	-0.6
✕Jamie Westbrook 2014 · A	19	45→54	39→50	50→45	43	215/270/310	95	283	4	6	24%	6%	63	-1.3	237/278/349	112	290	10	7	21%	5%	76	-0.4	246/298/391	146	280	17	3	19%	5%	92	+0.6

Jesús Pérez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps