Jesús Pérez — OGILVIE

Jesús PérezSS DSL Cardinals

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION89 act + 59 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .287 / .313

PA59

HR1

K%27

BB%7

BABIP295

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.8	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.7	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+1.5	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$21M		$43M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	96	90	13	4	0	1	5	39	0	6	0	144	189	222	412	78	235	41	5	179	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	96	87	21	7	1	1	8	25	0	6	0	241	305	379	685	138	323	26	8	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	STL	—	89	80	20	3	0	2	5	22	3	6	2	250	318	362	681	112	316	25	6	289	79	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
YTD	18	ROK	STL	—	89	77	26	5	0	2	8	15	3	6	2	338	420	481	901	143	393	17	9	400	164	+6	+0	+0	+1	+3	1.1
ROS	18	ROK	STL	0%	59	54	12	2	0	1	4	16	1	2	0	221	287	313	599	92	294	27	7	267	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	18	MLB	STL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		293	—	—	257	55	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	STL	—	89	81	20	3	0	2	5	22	3	6	2	247	318	358	676	111	310	25	6	289	79	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
TOT	18	ROK	STL	—	148	134	32	5	0	3	9	38	4	8	2	238	305	342	648	104	307	26	6	280	73	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	STL	34%	177	161	37	7	1	3	12	47	2	4	1	230	291	342	633	112	296	27	7	277	70	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2028	20	MLB	STL	48%	319	289	66	12	2	6	22	83	5	6	1	228	294	346	640	118	297	26	7	285	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2029	21	MLB	STL	54%	427	387	89	17	2	8	30	110	7	9	2	230	297	346	643	116	298	26	7	291	81	-9	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.9
2030	22	MLB	STL	57%	505	457	108	20	3	11	35	129	8	10	2	236	302	365	667	129	299	26	7	295	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.2
2031	23	MLB	STL	58%	557	504	119	22	3	12	39	142	9	11	2	236	303	363	666	127	300	25	7	298	86	-9	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.5
2032	24	MLB	STL	57%	591	535	126	23	3	13	42	150	9	12	3	236	302	363	665	127	300	25	7	300	88	-8	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.6
2033	25	MLB	STL	57%	611	553	131	24	3	14	43	155	10	12	3	237	304	367	671	130	301	25	7	301	89	-8	+1	+0	+7	+17	1.8
2034	26	MLB	STL	57%	621	562	133	24	3	15	44	157	10	12	3	237	304	370	674	133	300	25	7	302	89	-8	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.8
2035	27	MLB	STL	55%	623	563	133	24	3	15	45	158	10	12	3	236	304	369	674	133	300	25	7	302	89	-8	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.8
2036	28	MLB	STL	55%	619	559	131	24	3	14	45	158	10	12	3	234	303	363	666	129	300	26	7	301	89	-8	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.7
2037	29	MLB	STL	53%	610	550	130	24	3	14	45	157	10	12	3	236	306	367	673	131	299	26	7	299	87	-9	+1	-1	+7	+17	1.5
2038	30	MLB	STL	53%	600	542	126	23	3	13	44	156	9	11	3	232	301	358	659	125	299	26	7	297	85	-10	+1	-2	+6	+17	1.3
2039	31	MLB	STL	52%	586	529	122	22	3	13	43	154	9	11	2	231	299	357	657	127	296	26	7	293	82	-12	+1	-3	+6	+17	1.0
2040	32	MLB	STL	56%	568	512	117	21	3	12	42	152	9	10	2	229	298	352	650	123	293	27	7	288	78	-14	+1	-4	+6	+16	0.6
2027	19	MLB	STL	34%	61	56	12	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	214	279	304	582	89	295	26	7	267	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	STL	48%	155	142	33	6	1	3	10	40	2	3	1	232	292	352	644	120	297	26	6	274	68	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB	STL	54%	232	210	49	9	1	5	16	60	4	5	1	233	300	357	657	124	298	26	7	280	72	-7	+1	+0	+2	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB	STL	57%	286	260	61	11	2	6	20	73	4	6	1	235	299	362	661	127	298	26	7	283	75	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB	STL	58%	321	290	69	13	2	7	23	82	5	6	1	238	305	369	674	131	299	26	7	286	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2032	24	MLB	STL	57%	337	305	72	13	2	8	24	85	5	7	2	236	302	370	673	134	300	25	7	288	79	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2033	25	MLB	STL	57%	347	314	75	14	2	8	25	88	5	7	2	239	305	373	678	134	300	25	7	289	79	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2034	26	MLB	STL	57%	351	317	75	14	2	8	25	89	6	7	2	237	305	369	674	132	300	25	7	290	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2035	27	MLB	STL	55%	346	313	75	14	2	8	25	88	5	7	2	240	306	374	680	134	300	25	7	290	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2036	28	MLB	STL	55%	340	307	73	13	2	8	25	87	5	7	1	238	306	371	677	134	300	26	7	289	80	-8	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.6
2037	29	MLB	STL	53%	326	294	69	13	2	7	24	84	5	6	1	235	303	364	667	129	299	26	7	288	78	-8	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.5
2038	30	MLB	STL	53%	316	285	66	12	1	7	23	82	5	6	1	232	300	354	655	123	298	26	7	285	76	-8	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.4
2039	31	MLB	STL	52%	306	276	63	11	1	7	22	80	5	6	1	228	297	351	648	123	296	26	7	281	73	-9	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.2
2040	32	MLB	STL	56%	319	288	65	12	1	7	23	85	5	6	1	226	294	347	642	122	293	27	7	276	70	-11	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4043	3658	857	157	21	90	289	1039	62	80	17	234	301	362	664	128	301	26	7	285	76	-108	+9	-6	+43	+115	5.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	137	25	3	14	46	167	10	13	3	233	300	357	657	124	299	26	7	285	76	-17	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	7569	6847	1593	293	38	165	540	1963	118	152	33	233	300	359	659	126	300	26	7	295	84	-139	+17	-10	+81	+214	16.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	136	25	3	14	46	169	10	13	3	231	298	355	653	124	299	26	7	295	84	-12	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	96	87	21	7	1	1	8	25	0	6	0	241	305	379	685	138	323	26	8	303	90	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,125	90	80	234	298	361	+44	+24	9.5	8.0
	/162	664	14	13	234	298	361	+7.1	+3.9	1.5	pk7: 7
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesús Pérez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	238/305/342	104	307	3	8	26%	6%	73	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→48	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	45	-2.1	206/254/321	115	262	11	14	25%	5%	56	-1.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Yairo Muñoz 2013 · A	18	41→51	37→50	48→55	41	195/247/274	79	274	2	8	29%	6%	40	-2.4	202/253/286	84	263	5	7	24%	6%	46	-2.0	262/304/399	137	319	15	17	22%	5%	91	+0.7
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
●José Fermín 2017 · A	18	42→50	37→45	48→55	44	201/258/285	84	274	3	8	27%	7%	48	-1.9	201/251/277	76	239	4	11	17%	4%	43	-2.2	256/343/399	143	276	14	28	13%	10%	110	+1.2
●Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	42→52	39→50	52→50	42	203/266/292	89	271	6	13	26%	6%	54	-1.4	205/253/299	94	283	8	9	29%	4%	50	-1.8	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	196/253/282	87	272	8	16	30%	6%	45	-2.1	225/290/327	102	307	8	38	27%	7%	72	-0.2	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→47	36→55	49→30	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	43	-2.2	204/277/283	79	275	6	5	26%	8%	56	-1.3	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	42→44	37→45	47→60	37	197/271/278	80	298	4	8	33%	5%	53	-1.5	219/295/319	100	315	8	15	31%	6%	74	-0.1	224/303/332	108	321	10	20	31%	6%	76	+0.1
✕Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	42→52	40→45	53→50	41	203/261/302	99	285	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	203/241/283	80	277	4	10	27%	4%	39	-2.5	261/302/366	105	316	7	13	19%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2018 · A	18	45	37→55	51→40	37	209/263/281	71	306	3	8	31%	5%	49	-1.8	197/253/262	65	271	2	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	183/253/290	107	242	12	2	29%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0