Adrian Tusen — OGILVIE

Adrian TusenSS DSL Nationals

Age 18 S/R 6'1" / 140 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION119 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP278

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	50	40	4	0	0	0	8	15	1	5	2	100	265	100	365		160	30	16	199	21	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	50	44	3	0	0	0	4	22	1	5	2	68	163	68	231		128	44	8	123	-31	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	50	44	3	0	0	0	4	22	1	5	2	68	163	68	231		136	44	8	123	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	50	40	4	0	0	0	8	15	1	5	2	100	265	100	365		160	30	16	199	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	50	45	3	0	0	0	4	22	1	5	2	67	163	67	230		128	44	8	123	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	50	45	3	0	0	0	4	22	1	5	2	67	163	67	230		128	44	8	123	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	WSH	—	119	106	15	1	1	1	9	49	3	17	6	142	229	198	427	57	250	41	8	205	25	-11	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	WSH	—	119	101	23	2	2	2	14	34	3	17	6	228	339	347	686	119	323	29	12	314	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	WSH	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		281	30	10	240	49	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	WSH	—	129	115	16	1	1	1	10	52	3	18	6	139	227	191	418	52	242	40	8	208	27	-11	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	193	173	35	5	2	3	15	62	3	8	2	202	277	306	584	104	286	32	8	256	59	-9	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2028	20	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	331	298	60	9	3	5	25	104	5	13	3	201	274	302	576	101	288	31	8	266	66	-13	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	436	392	82	12	4	8	34	134	7	17	4	209	284	321	605	112	289	31	8	272	70	-15	+2	+0	+5	+9	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	510	457	96	14	4	10	40	155	8	20	4	210	285	324	609	114	290	30	8	277	73	-16	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	WSH	58%	559	501	106	16	5	11	44	170	9	22	5	212	287	329	616	118	291	30	8	279	75	-17	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	592	530	114	17	5	13	47	179	10	23	5	215	291	340	631	125	292	30	8	281	76	-17	+3	+0	+6	+13	0.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	611	548	116	17	5	13	48	185	10	24	5	212	287	332	619	120	292	30	8	283	77	-16	+3	+0	+7	+13	0.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	620	556	119	18	5	14	49	187	10	24	5	214	289	340	629	126	292	30	8	283	78	-16	+3	+0	+7	+13	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	WSH	55%	621	556	118	17	5	14	50	188	10	24	5	212	289	336	625	124	292	30	8	284	78	-16	+3	+0	+7	+13	0.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	WSH	55%	617	552	118	17	5	14	50	188	10	24	5	214	291	339	630	125	292	30	8	283	77	-17	+3	-1	+7	+13	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	607	542	115	17	5	13	50	186	10	23	5	212	291	334	625	122	291	31	8	281	76	-17	+3	-1	+7	+13	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	597	533	112	16	5	13	49	184	10	22	5	210	289	332	621	122	290	31	8	278	75	-18	+2	-2	+6	+13	0.2
2027	19	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	66	60	12	2	0	1	5	21	1	3	1	200	273	283	556	83	283	32	8	243	59	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	160	145	29	4	1	3	12	50	2	6	1	200	270	303	574	103	285	31	8	252	66	-6	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	236	212	44	7	2	4	18	73	4	9	2	208	282	316	598	108	287	31	8	258	70	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	289	259	54	8	2	6	23	88	5	11	2	208	286	324	610	116	288	30	8	263	73	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	WSH	58%	322	289	61	9	2	7	25	98	5	12	3	211	285	329	614	118	289	30	8	265	75	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	337	302	64	10	2	7	27	102	5	13	3	212	287	328	615	116	290	30	8	267	76	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	347	311	66	10	2	8	27	105	6	13	3	212	288	334	622	122	290	30	8	268	77	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	351	314	67	10	2	8	28	106	6	14	3	213	290	334	625	121	290	30	8	269	78	-9	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	WSH	55%	345	308	66	10	2	8	28	105	6	13	3	214	292	338	630	123	289	30	8	269	78	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	WSH	55%	339	302	63	9	2	7	28	103	6	13	3	209	289	321	610	113	289	30	8	268	77	-9	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	325	290	61	9	2	7	27	100	5	12	3	210	289	328	616	117	289	31	8	267	76	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	314	280	58	8	2	7	26	97	5	12	2	207	286	325	611	118	288	31	8	264	75	-10	+2	-1	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3431	3072	645	96	21	73	274	1048	56	131	29	210	287	326	613	116	290	31	8	265	74	-101	+15	-2	+37	+74	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	122	18	4	14	52	199	11	25	5	210	287	326	614	117	290	31	8	265	74	-19	+3	-0	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6354	5691	1195	175	53	131	506	1947	103	250	55	210	286	328	615	118	292	31	8	278	74	-189	+28	-4	+68	+137	4.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	122	18	5	13	52	199	11	26	6	210	287	325	612	115	292	31	8	278	74	-19	+3	-0	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.3	3,503	72	135	212	284	330	+38	+21	4.5	4.1
/162	664	14	26	+7.1	+4.0	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Tusen (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	184/257/259	75	281	1	4	34%	7%	49	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Chris Garia 2011 · A	18	39→49	35→40	52→60	43	185/248/243	58	253	3	19	27%	6%	40	-3.0	207/268/262	55	286	2	20	26%	7%	52	-2.2	232/271/341	109	306	8	32	26%	4%	67	-0.6
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	58	-1.7	218/283/318	100	304	7	21	28%	8%	71	-0.8	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Miguel Tamares 2023 · A	18	39	39→40	56→60	50	186/287/273	87	280	6	24	32%	11%	64	-1.3	179/270/249	70	298	4	19	37%	10%	52	-2.2	131/245/158	27	239	0	24	39%	11%	22	-1.1
✕Herard Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	40	35→40	52→50	43	191/255/247	56	277	3	20	31%	7%	45	-2.7	207/284/281	74	316	6	11	33%	9%	63	-1.3	193/275/278	85	303	8	10	36%	9%	59	-1.0
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→45	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	57	-1.8	195/258/260	65	272	4	9	28%	7%	48	-2.5	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Leandro Arias 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→40	51→45	44	187/262/262	75	279	4	11	32%	8%	51	-2.2	199/268/279	80	262	6	10	25%	7%	57	-1.8	194/265/264	69	249	6	8	23%	7%	51	-1.1
✕Steward Berroa 2018 · A	19	43→49	37→45	52→65	41	200/262/273	74	297	3	17	32%	7%	53	-2.1	207/271/277	70	311	3	17	31%	8%	57	-1.8	221/299/315	94	323	7	52	31%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Olvy Marte 2013 · A	18	46	36→40	49→55	44	213/288/277	65	286	3	18	25%	7%	64	-1.3	220/281/292	72	293	2	16	24%	6%	64	-1.3	224/283/295	71	296	1	19	23%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→45	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	54	-2.0	216/272/315	99	296	8	14	28%	7%	66	-1.1	219/279/346	127	314	10	7	32%	7%	73	-0.6
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	41→47	40→45	50	42	201/257/287	86	280	8	15	30%	7%	54	-2.0	198/247/280	82	297	6	9	33%	6%	48	-2.5	225/259/347	121	301	14	5	30%	4%	66	-0.9
✕Yamal Encarnacion 2022 · A	18	43	37→40	51→60	47	204/269/281	77	269	4	13	24%	8%	57	-1.8	205/266/267	62	274	3	17	24%	7%	53	-2.1	225/283/303	79	291	5	45	23%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	45→46	39→45	55→60	46	214/284/299	85	303	7	19	30%	9%	68	-1.0	195/254/269	74	314	6	18	37%	7%	49	-2.4	210/276/309	99	295	8	34	30%	8%	64	-1.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2011 · A	19	44→49	39→55	57→55	44	210/262/301	91	273	5	14	24%	6%	59	-1.7	233/267/327	94	309	6	15	26%	4%	66	-1.1	234/276/378	144	307	14	25	28%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	49	-2.4	225/287/322	97	319	6	19	29%	7%	74	-0.6	203/263/320	117	308	11	21	36%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	34	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	57	-1.8	193/264/273	80	285	7	32	32%	8%	52	-0.7
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	46	38→50	55→65	49	214/295/302	88	304	4	19	29%	10%	72	-0.7	205/281/334	129	306	12	34	34%	9%	75	-0.5	202/277/349	146	289	15	47	33%	8%	74	-0.5
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps