Brayden Smith

2B Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ABAL	68	.200/.343/.327	1	3	50	—	.169/.269/.288
2026	22	A+STL	105	.253/.324/.442	3	5	59	—	.194/.248/.327
2026	22	ASTL	356	.247/.365/.402	8	28	63	—	.188/.280/.300
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBSTL	505	.194/.274/.306	9	13	65	-0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBSTL	140	.198/.278/.313	3	4	69	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBSTL	217	.201/.281/.320	4	5	72	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed71

ISO70

wOBA51

wRC+47

Z-Con%41

Whiff%23

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRiver Town (age 24) · Loidel Chapelli (age 22) · Trey Sweeney (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .272 / .303

PA320

HR6

SB8

K%31

BB%9

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT26

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	55	11	2	1	1	12	18	0	3	1	200	343	327	671	127	278	26	18	308	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	105	95	24	7	1	3	9	34	1	5	2	253	324	442	766	189	362	32	9	339	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	356	296	73	12	5	8	50	93	6	28	5	247	365	402	767	155	328	26	14	345	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	59	10	2	1	1	8	25	0	3	1	169	269	288	557	119	258	37	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	105	98	19	5	1	2	6	43	1	5	2	194	248	327	574	133	327	41	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	356	313	59	9	4	6	34	126	6	28	5	188	280	300	581	112	286	35	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	59	10	2	1	1	8	25	0	3	1	169	269	288	557	119	273	37	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	55	11	2	1	1	12	18	0	3	1	200	343	327	671	127	278	26	18	308	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	461	410	78	14	5	8	41	170	7	33	7	190	275	307	582	117	298	37	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	461	391	97	19	6	11	59	127	7	33	7	248	356	412	768	164	336	28	13	344	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	60	10	2	1	1	8	25	0	3	1	167	269	283	552	117	258	37	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	461	410	78	14	5	8	41	170	7	33	7	190	275	307	582	117	295	37	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	60	10	2	1	1	8	25	0	3	1	167	269	283	552	117	258	37	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	461	410	78	14	5	8	41	170	7	33	7	190	275	307	582	117	295	37	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	STL	0%	505	451	87	17	3	9	44	155	5	13	3	194	274	306	580	112	270	31	9	264	65	-21	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	STL	30%	465	416	82	16	3	9	41	141	5	12	3	198	278	316	594	118	272	30	9	270	69	-17	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	STL	44%	492	440	88	17	3	10	44	147	5	12	3	201	281	323	604	122	273	30	9	274	72	-17	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	STL	51%	508	453	93	18	3	11	45	149	5	12	3	203	283	327	610	124	274	29	9	276	73	-16	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	STL	52%	513	457	94	18	3	11	46	150	5	12	3	204	284	329	612	124	274	29	9	277	74	-16	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	STL	53%	511	456	94	18	3	11	45	148	5	10	3	205	284	328	612	123	274	29	9	277	74	-16	+1	-1	+2	+11	-0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	STL	53%	503	449	90	17	3	10	44	148	5	8	2	202	281	322	602	119	272	29	9	273	71	-17	+1	-1	+2	+11	-0.5
2028	24	MLB CTX	STL	30%	140	126	25	5	1	3	12	42	1	4	1	198	278	313	592	115	274	30	9	269	69	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	STL	44%	217	194	39	8	1	4	19	65	2	5	1	201	281	320	601	119	275	30	9	273	72	-7	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	STL	51%	258	230	47	9	2	5	23	76	3	6	2	203	283	324	607	121	276	29	9	275	73	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	STL	52%	269	240	49	10	2	5	24	79	3	6	2	204	284	325	609	121	276	29	9	276	74	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	STL	53%	272	243	50	10	2	5	24	79	3	5	1	205	284	325	609	120	276	29	9	276	74	-9	+1	-0	+1	+6	-0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	STL	53%	264	236	48	10	1	5	23	77	3	4	1	202	281	319	600	116	274	29	9	272	71	-9	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1420	1269	258	52	9	27	125	418	15	30	8	203	282	322	605	119	278	29	9	274	70	-47	+3	-1	+5	+31	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	118	24	4	12	57	191	7	14	4	203	282	320	602	117	278	29	9	274	70	-21	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3841	3426	685	131	26	77	342	1177	40	110	27	200	280	321	601	121	277	31	9	271	70	-113	+7	-2	+12	+72	-2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	115	22	4	13	58	199	7	19	5	198	280	317	597	119	274	31	9	271	70	-22	+1	-0	+2	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.6	1,740	35	40	202	278	323	+6	+4	-0.1	0.0
/162	664	13	15	+2.4	+1.5	-0.0	pk7: 0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayden Smith (OGILVIE)	23	21→26	39→44	58→63	58	192/272/303	111	270	6	8	31%	9%	65	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	44→40	55→50	47	201/283/322	121	254	11	15	25%	8%	74	-0.6	215/303/306	91	265	8	14	20%	9%	77	-0.3	215/311/283	68	261	5	15	18%	9%	73	-0.3
✕Loidel Chapelli 2024 · A	22	39→36	43→45	56→55	46	196/271/312	116	271	10	18	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/259/284	88	300	7	17	34%	7%	54	-2.0	176/233/238	63	279	4	20	36%	6%	31	-2.0
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→45	48→50	57→55	45	200/273/344	144	263	16	19	30%	8%	74	-0.5	218/289/354	136	286	15	17	28%	8%	82	+0.0	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Gavin Cross 2024 · A	23	37→40	47→50	55	42	190/264/327	138	277	14	18	35%	8%	68	-1.0	203/255/336	133	283	15	23	32%	6%	65	-1.2	200/247/333	133	277	16	26	33%	5%	59	-1.3
✕Cody Rogers 2012 · A	23	38→40	43→45	56→50	41	194/254/310	116	261	11	16	29%	6%	59	-1.7	201/260/294	93	294	7	16	32%	6%	57	-1.8	191/251/265	74	290	4	19	34%	6%	45	-1.8
✕Kaden Polcovich 2022 · AA	23	39→41	46→45	54→55	46	195/283/323	128	276	13	17	32%	9%	74	-0.6	200/283/317	117	274	11	17	29%	9%	72	-0.7	190/277/301	111	259	10	19	29%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	41→40	54→60	55	164/295/261	97	258	8	24	35%	14%	66	-1.1	191/307/295	104	295	8	20	33%	12%	77	-0.3	192/310/298	105	297	8	21	33%	12%	77	-0.2
✕Eddinson Paulino 2024 · A	22	42	46→50	54→50	43	210/273/349	139	282	12	17	29%	7%	75	-0.5	202/261/322	120	278	12	13	30%	6%	64	-1.3	186/244/297	111	257	12	11	31%	6%	49	-1.3
✕Kameron Misner 2021 · A	23	46→43	39→50	54→55	47	218/294/306	88	309	7	13	29%	9%	73	-0.6	202/287/334	132	324	13	21	38%	10%	77	-0.3	193/290/335	142	306	15	26	38%	11%	76	-0.4
✕Alex Iadisernia 2024 · A	23	38→37	46→50	52→55	43	196/263/328	132	261	14	16	30%	7%	67	-1.1	197/263/295	98	277	8	16	30%	7%	59	-1.7	178/248/250	72	257	3	19	30%	7%	42	-2.0
✕Chris Grayson 2013 · A	23	40→37	43→45	56→50	42	198/261/311	114	270	9	20	29%	7%	61	-1.5	195/259/291	96	265	7	15	28%	7%	57	-1.8	184/250/270	86	247	6	15	27%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Gabriel Rincones Jr. 2024 · A	23	41→42	47→50	54→55	42	207/279/346	139	294	14	18	33%	8%	77	-0.3	212/287/351	139	290	15	20	30%	8%	81	-0.1	206/286/345	139	274	16	20	29%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	38→45	39→45	55→60	43	187/258/272	85	276	7	25	33%	8%	52	-2.2	210/281/311	101	279	9	30	26%	8%	69	-0.9	211/284/306	95	276	9	33	25%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Jonny Butler 2024 · AA	25	41→33	44→50	61→55	41	203/266/328	125	283	11	21	32%	7%	68	-1.0	188/263/297	109	256	9	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	164/247/265	101	220	7	12	27%	9%	44	-1.4
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	43→45	50	47	194/280/301	107	268	12	10	30%	9%	68	-1.0	192/268/302	110	281	9	13	32%	9%	63	-1.4	180/256/297	117	269	7	16	33%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→42	48→55	55→50	42	209/275/352	143	286	15	11	31%	7%	76	-0.4	216/263/365	149	280	15	11	28%	5%	74	-0.5	214/256/366	152	271	15	10	27%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2024 · AA	23	47→48	44→45	57→55	46	230/292/354	124	295	9	20	25%	8%	82	+0.0	211/279/311	100	292	9	17	29%	8%	68	-1.0	200/274/289	89	282	8	17	30%	9%	59	-1.2
✕Zach Kokoska 2023 · A	24	42	48→55	56→55	41	215/277/355	140	278	15	16	28%	6%	78	-0.3	198/266/359	161	275	20	17	34%	6%	76	-0.4	173/245/335	163	243	21	19	37%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Agustin Septimo 2008 · A	24	41→34	40	56→55	42	201/255/292	91	269	8	19	28%	6%	55	-2.0	204/254/290	86	284	7	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	195/224/256	61	275	3	11	30%	4%	31	-0.9
✕Isaiah Greene 2024 · A	22	41→42	38→40	56→55	50	187/286/268	81	306	5	19	36%	12%	62	-1.4	198/272/294	96	312	7	14	35%	9%	62	-1.4	155/236/258	102	239	4	15	34%	10%	37	-0.6

Brayden Smith

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps