Mario Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Mario Gonzalez P DSL Giants Orange

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 182 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 19 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 113

ERA5.08

FIP5.08

K%19.4%

BB%12.8%

K-BB%6.6%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	15	8	31	147	26	21	1	53%	2.1	12.0%	17.9%	-5.8%	0.9%	6.10	4.86	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	15	8	31	147	26	21	1	53%	2.1	12.0%	17.9%	-5.8%	0.9%	6.10	4.86	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	15	8	31	147	26	21	1	53%	2.1	17.7%	14.3%	3.4%	0.7%	6.10	3.87	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	11	11	32	153	37	14	3	100%	2.9	16.4%	11.4%	5.0%	2.7%	6.96	4.67	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	11	11	32	153	37	14	3	100%	2.9	16.4%	11.4%	5.0%	2.7%	6.96	4.67	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	11	11	32	153	37	14	3	100%	2.9	24.2%	9.2%	15.0%	2.0%	6.96	3.32	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	SF	3	3	19	80	16	10	2	100%	6.3	19.4%	12.8%	6.6%	2.9%	5.08	5.08	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SF	6	6	31	129	26	15	4	100%	5.1	20.4%	11.5%	8.9%	2.9%	4.88	4.80	+0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	SF	3	3	15	63	13	7	2	100%	5.0	20.4%	11.5%	8.9%	2.9%	4.88	4.80	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	15	64	13	7	2	100%	5.0	20.4%	11.5%	8.9%	2.9%	4.88	4.42	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	173	93	27	100%	4.8	20.4%	11.5%	8.9%	2.9%	4.88	4.42	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		26	19	63	300	43	44	6	73%	2.4	14.3%	14.6%	-0.3%	1.9%	6.54	4.76	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	60	200	947	135	138	18	73%	2.4	14.3%	14.6%	-0.3%	1.9%	6.54	4.76	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mario Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.08	19.4%	12.8%	2.9%	—	4.80	20.4%	8.9%	31	-0.28	—	—	—
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	89
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	87
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	83
Ulices Campos R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	20	SP-	4.58	17.9%	11.5%	2.8%	.253	5.32	12.0%	1.0%	65	+0.74	4.11	153	83
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	82
Cristian Aray R 2024 · 4.99 FIP	17	SP-	4.99	14.8%	11.8%	3.0%	.272	4.48	13.0%	-2.3%	72	-0.51	4.44	104	82
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	82
Gilberto Batista R 2024 · 4.00 FIP	19	SP-	4.00	16.9%	11.4%	1.6%	.308	5.86	14.7%	4.9%	172	+1.86	3.63	250	80
Jared Ruxer R 2015 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	17.3%	10.6%	2.1%	.333	4.29	14.9%	7.5%	240	+0.13	3.39	270	80
Adam Bates R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP-	5.12	16.2%	14.1%	2.9%	.358	6.39	13.0%	-7.2%	146	+1.27	5.12	183	80
Jose Disla R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	20	SP	5.52	15.8%	13.4%	3.8%	.296	4.49	19.7%	8.8%	70	-1.03	3.61	139	79
Randry De Leon R 2024 · 4.49 FIP	19	SP	4.49	18.0%	11.5%	2.6%	.284	5.01	18.6%	1.6%	80	+0.52	4.37	153	79
Carson Fulmer R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	21	SP	4.15	21.4%	11.5%	2.5%	.259	4.96	17.1%	4.0%	364	+0.81	3.88	910	79
Deyvis Julian R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP	4.54	15.2%	10.5%	2.5%	.241	4.74	11.2%	-3.5%	48	+0.20	3.44	116	79
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	79
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	79
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	79
Gio Arriera R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	19	SP	5.41	15.1%	13.9%	3.3%	.333	4.34	15.5%	2.0%	79	-1.07	4.34	185	79
Jonawel Valdez R 2024 · 4.13 FIP	20	SP-	4.13	17.5%	13.8%	1.4%	.309	5.20	12.5%	0.2%	81	+1.07	4.04	141	78
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	78