Mario Gonzalez
P
DSL Giants Orange
Age 19
RHP
6'0" / 182 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.46
FIP4.46
K%22.4%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 15 | 8 | 31 | 147 | 26 | 21 | 1 | 53% | 2.1 | 12.0% | 17.9% | -5.8% | 0.9% | 6.10 | 4.85 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 15 | 8 | 31 | 147 | 26 | 21 | 1 | 53% | 2.1 | 17.7% | 14.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 6.10 | 3.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | 6 | 6 | 17 | 88 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 2.9 | 13.1% | 11.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 8.31 | 3.43 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | SF | 3 | 3 | 18 | 78 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.46 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | SF | — | — | 36 | 166 | 34 | 16 | 2 | — | — | 20.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 1.4% | 6.33 | 3.96 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | SF | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | SF | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 3.94 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 4.6 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 21 | 14 | 48 | 235 | 29 | 36 | 1 | 67% | 2.3 | 12.4% | 15.4% | -3.0% | 0.6% | 6.89 | 4.32 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 58 | 200 | 972 | 121 | 150 | 6 | 67% | 2.3 | 12.4% | 15.4% | -3.0% | 0.6% | 6.89 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mario Gonzalez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 22.4% | 10.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.32 | 22.9% | 13.4% | 20 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Edwin Jimenez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.12 | 19.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .330 | 4.67 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 277 | +0.55 | 4.12 | 386 | 83 |
| Sheng-En Lin R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .223 | 4.19 | 17.8% | 3.4% | 61 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 108 | 82 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2027 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 81 |
| Fraynel Nova R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .296 | 4.17 | 14.9% | 4.9% | 110 | +0.17 | 3.49 | 129 | 80 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2029 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 79 |
| Ryan Fernandez R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .357 | 3.52 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 53 | -0.92 | 2.97 | 335 | 78 |
| Moises Castillo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 65 | -0.50 | 3.77 | 101 | 78 |
| Grant Holman R 2028 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.18 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | .308 | 3.75 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 133 | -1.43 | 3.08 | 184 | 78 |
| Carlos Jimenez R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.11 | 20.6% | 12.9% | 2.0% | .274 | 5.12 | 20.4% | -0.0% | 141 | +1.01 | 4.07 | 257 | 78 |
| Clarke Schmidt R 2029 · 3.53 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.53 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 108 | -0.30 | 2.76 | 537 | 78 |
| Chad Donato R 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 78 |
| Luis Arejula R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .318 | 4.42 | 15.7% | 3.5% | 71 | +0.96 | 3.46 | 115 | 78 |
| Carson Rudd R 2029 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 77 |
| Luis Victorino R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.27 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .301 | 4.95 | 15.9% | -5.0% | 84 | +0.68 | 4.27 | 148 | 77 |
| Reny Artiles R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.91 | 24.2% | 12.4% | 2.3% | .419 | 5.75 | 14.8% | -6.5% | 109 | +1.84 | 3.91 | 165 | 76 |
| Gilberto Batista R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.99 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 1.6% | .308 | 5.50 | 14.5% | 4.3% | 149 | +1.51 | 3.97 | 227 | 76 |
| Jose Morban R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.42 | 18.7% | 11.2% | 2.7% | .333 | 3.98 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 61 | -0.44 | 3.98 | 178 | 76 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2028 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 76 |
| Deretd Parra R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 75 |
| Alejandro Rivera R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.30 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 116 | 75 |