Robert Moreno

P DSL Red Sox Red

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 200 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Red Sox R…	9	3	15	6.60	3.90	21.1%	19.7%	—	K 14.4% · BB 24.6% · FIP 5.01
2026	20	ROKDSL Red Sox R…	11	1	29	7.98	3.99	19.6%	16.1%	—	K 13.3% · BB 20.1% · FIP 5.06
2027PROJ	21	MLB—	14	0	15	5.79	5.79	19.3%	18.5%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLB—	13	0	14	5.41	5.25	20.8%	15.6%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsHansel Rosario (age 21) · Keegan Collett (age 21) · Conor Grady (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.79

FIP5.79

K%19.3%

BB%18.5%

K-BB%0.8%

Proj IP15

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	9	3	15	71	15	14	0	33%	1.7	14.4%	24.6%	-10.3%	0.0%	6.60	5.01	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	9	3	15	71	15	14	0	33%	1.7	14.4%	24.6%	-10.3%	0.0%	6.60	5.01	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	9	3	15	71	15	14	0	33%	1.7	21.1%	19.7%	1.4%	0.0%	6.60	3.90	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	11	1	29	143	28	23	1	9%	2.7	13.3%	20.1%	-6.8%	1.0%	7.98	5.06	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	11	1	29	143	28	23	1	9%	2.7	13.3%	20.1%	-6.8%	1.0%	7.98	5.06	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	11	1	29	143	28	23	1	9%	2.7	19.6%	16.1%	3.5%	0.7%	7.98	3.99	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	—	14	0	15	63	12	12	2	0%	1.1	19.3%	18.5%	0.8%	2.9%	5.79	5.79	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	—	26	0	28	117	24	18	3	0%	1.1	20.8%	15.6%	5.3%	2.8%	5.41	5.25	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	—	13	0	14	59	12	9	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	15.6%	5.3%	2.8%	5.41	5.25	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	57	12	9	2	0%	1.0	20.8%	15.6%	5.3%	2.8%	5.41	4.87	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	132	29	0%	1.1	20.8%	15.6%	5.3%	2.8%	5.41	4.87	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		20	4	44	214	29	46	1	20%	2.2	13.7%	21.6%	-7.9%	0.7%	7.51	5.04	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	18	200	965	132	209	6	20%	2.2	13.7%	21.6%	-7.9%	0.7%	7.51	5.04	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robert Moreno (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.79	19.3%	18.5%	2.9%	—	5.25	20.8%	5.3%	28	-0.54	—	—	—
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	86
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	84
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	83
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	82
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	82
Jaydenn Estanista R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	21	SU	6.67	16.7%	25.7%	3.1%	.348	4.95	21.5%	5.6%	143	-1.72	4.59	230	81
Yovanny Cabrera R 2022 · 6.15 FIP	21	SU	6.15	17.5%	19.5%	3.8%	.274	4.91	18.2%	1.9%	128	-1.24	4.39	243	81
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	81
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	80
Adilson Peralta R 2024 · 5.29 FIP	21	SU	5.29	20.9%	17.5%	3.2%	.316	5.11	18.7%	3.0%	83	-0.18	3.79	181	80
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	80
Geison Urbaez R 2021 · 5.03 FIP	21	SW	5.03	14.1%	18.2%	1.5%	.322	4.71	15.5%	4.7%	112	-0.32	4.04	241	80
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	80
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	80
Bryant Salgado R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	21	SW	5.65	14.2%	20.4%	2.1%	.219	4.83	15.9%	3.5%	89	-0.82	4.83	110	79
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	79
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	79
Nicolas Cruz R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	20	SW	4.84	19.2%	16.1%	2.4%	.437	3.32	20.4%	11.4%	117	-1.52	3.01	194	79
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	79
Alexis Paulino R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	21	SU	4.62	20.4%	21.3%	1.0%	.247	4.39	16.7%	1.4%	20	-0.23	4.39	102	78