Yamvier Carrero — OGILVIE

Yamvier CarreroSS Augusta GreenJackets

Age 20 R/R A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 212 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .276 / .290

PA212

HR3

SB5

K%29

BB%8

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	118	103	29	1	0	3	15	30	0	7	1	282	373	379	752	97	371	25	13	344	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	108	85	22	3	0	0	15	18	7	10	2	259	411	294	705	35	324	17	14	339	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	118	107	25	1	0	2	11	41	0	7	1	234	305	299	604	65	359	35	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	108	91	18	2	0	0	9	26	7	10	2	198	318	220	538	22	260	24	8	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	226	198	43	3	0	2	20	67	7	17	3	217	311	263	574	45	315	30	9	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	226	188	51	4	0	3	30	48	7	17	3	271	391	340	732	69	348	21	13	342	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	226	197	43	3	0	2	20	67	7	17	3	218	311	264	575	46	312	30	9	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	226	197	43	3	0	2	20	67	7	17	3	218	311	264	575	46	312	30	9	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	336	303	62	9	2	5	26	97	4	8	2	204	278	293	571	89	280	29	8	261	63	-15	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	291	262	54	8	1	5	23	82	4	7	1	209	283	305	588	96	282	28	8	268	68	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	395	355	75	11	2	7	32	110	5	10	2	212	287	315	601	102	283	28	8	274	71	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	462	415	89	13	2	9	38	127	6	12	2	215	290	322	612	107	284	27	8	278	74	-14	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	506	453	99	15	3	10	41	137	7	13	3	218	292	329	621	111	285	27	8	282	77	-14	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	531	475	105	16	3	11	44	142	7	14	3	219	294	334	628	114	286	27	8	284	78	-14	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	544	487	106	16	3	11	45	146	7	14	3	219	294	333	627	114	285	27	8	284	78	-14	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	547	490	107	16	3	11	45	148	7	14	3	218	293	331	624	113	285	27	8	283	77	-15	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	ATL	59%	545	488	106	16	3	11	45	148	7	13	3	216	291	326	617	110	284	27	8	280	76	-16	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	ATL	61%	537	482	103	16	2	10	44	148	6	12	3	214	288	320	609	106	283	28	8	277	73	-17	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.0
2037	30	MLB MLE	ATL	62%	527	473	99	15	2	9	43	147	6	11	3	211	285	313	598	102	281	28	8	272	70	-19	+1	-2	+6	+11	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	100	91	19	3	0	2	8	28	1	2	1	209	283	305	588	96	282	28	8	268	68	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	191	171	36	5	1	3	15	53	3	5	1	212	287	315	601	102	283	28	8	274	71	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	251	226	48	7	1	5	20	69	3	6	1	215	290	322	612	107	284	27	8	278	74	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	280	251	54	8	1	6	23	76	4	7	1	218	292	329	621	111	285	27	8	282	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	297	267	58	9	1	6	24	80	4	8	2	219	294	334	628	114	286	27	8	284	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	306	274	60	9	2	6	25	82	4	8	2	219	294	333	627	114	285	27	8	284	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	303	271	58	9	1	6	25	82	4	8	2	218	293	331	624	113	285	27	8	283	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	ATL	59%	322	288	63	10	2	6	27	88	4	8	2	216	291	326	617	110	284	27	8	280	76	-9	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	ATL	61%	327	293	63	10	1	6	27	90	4	7	2	214	288	320	609	106	283	28	8	277	73	-10	+1	-1	+4	+7	-0.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	ATL	62%	328	294	62	9	1	6	27	91	4	7	2	211	285	313	598	102	281	28	8	272	70	-12	+1	-1	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2705	2426	521	79	11	52	221	739	35	66	16	215	290	321	610	106	284	27	8	279	74	-81	+7	-3	+29	+59	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	125	19	3	12	53	178	8	16	4	214	288	319	607	105	285	27	8	279	74	-19	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5323	4768	1025	151	25	99	437	1463	72	142	30	215	291	319	610	104	286	27	8	277	74	-156	+14	-4	+55	+110	2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	125	18	3	12	53	179	9	17	4	215	290	318	608	103	287	28	8	277	74	-20	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.4	2,917	56	71	216	287	323	+31	+18	3.1	2.9
/162	664	13	16	+7.1	+4.1	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yamvier Carrero (OGILVIE)	20	35→40	35→40	57→62	57	203/276/290	88	280	3	5	29%	8%	63	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Alcantara 2012 · A	20	44	40→45	52→50	42	209/274/307	98	306	7	12	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/261/285	95	288	7	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Danny De Andrade 2024 · A	20	41	42→45	51→50	45	201/277/305	104	269	9	11	28%	8%	67	-1.1	201/270/315	114	278	10	11	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/254/309	120	266	11	10	31%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	40→39	40→45	54→55	43	189/275/278	90	295	7	14	35%	8%	61	-1.5	189/271/295	106	262	9	15	30%	8%	63	-1.4	166/254/289	123	223	13	23	31%	8%	53	-1.3
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	43→53	39→45	54→60	42	206/268/296	90	278	5	17	27%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/320	98	295	8	26	26%	5%	69	-0.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	41→49	40	53→60	46	191/289/283	92	297	8	16	35%	10%	67	-1.1	200/301/282	82	297	6	18	31%	11%	71	-0.8	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Jesus Hernandez 2024 · A	20	42	37→40	51→55	53	199/281/271	72	257	5	13	23%	10%	60	-1.6	199/278/287	88	284	6	18	29%	9%	63	-1.4	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Cutter Coffey 2024 · A	20	38→45	39→45	49→50	44	185/262/271	86	271	7	13	32%	8%	53	-2.1	201/271/317	116	296	12	10	34%	8%	67	-1.1	199/268/315	116	299	12	9	35%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Jorge Vega-Rosado 2012 · A	20	46	41→45	55	41	224/274/324	100	303	8	19	28%	6%	69	-0.9	204/260/285	81	308	6	14	33%	6%	55	-2.0	172/231/229	57	271	4	15	36%	6%	30	-1.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→40	38→50	54→55	44	200/273/281	81	280	6	20	29%	7%	59	-1.6	210/281/330	120	279	11	18	27%	7%	74	-0.6	204/280/342	138	273	13	19	29%	8%	74	-0.5
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Wilfredo Lara 2024 · A	20	39→43	42→45	50	44	193/267/300	108	271	10	12	31%	8%	62	-1.4	197/271/298	101	275	9	15	29%	8%	63	-1.4	186/266/282	96	258	8	18	29%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Gilberto Celestino 2019 · A	20	43→53	38→45	52→55	42	209/257/289	80	280	6	12	27%	6%	54	-2.0	226/281/328	102	291	8	8	24%	7%	72	-0.7	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→45	54→50	42	182/250/279	97	263	6	9	32%	7%	50	-2.3	207/280/322	115	282	9	13	28%	9%	71	-0.8	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	208/273/317	109	269	11	18	26%	7%	68	-1.0	210/276/360	150	277	17	18	29%	7%	79	-0.2	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps