Alfredo Guzman

P DSL Arizona Black
Age 22 RHP ROK
Overview
ROKPROSPECT
ETA2028MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202621ROKDSL Arizona B…137326.405.3016.1%20.8%—K 11.0% · BB 26.0% · FIP 6.50
2027PROJ22MLBARI44196.056.0518.8%20.0%-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB23MLBARI33155.645.4920.3%16.7%-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsWilian Bormie (age 22) · Radhames Liz (age 23) · Alex Makarewich (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132
ERA6.05
FIP6.05
K%18.8%
BB%20.0%
K-BB%-1.3%
Proj IP19
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP
K: -0.6 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -2.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -0.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +0.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.33 (19 IP)-0.3WAR
-0.2-0.12728
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
202621ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black137321492431254%2.511.0%26.0%-15.1%1.9%6.406.50—
202621ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black137321492431254%2.511.0%26.0%-15.1%1.9%6.406.50—
202621ROK RAWDSL Arizona Black137321492431254%2.516.1%20.8%-4.7%1.3%6.405.30—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
202722MLBARI44198015162100%4.818.8%20.0%-1.3%3.0%6.056.05-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
202823MLB MLEARI663012826214100%5.020.3%16.7%3.5%2.9%5.645.49-0.2
202823MLB CTXARI33156313112100%5.020.3%16.7%3.5%2.9%5.645.49-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW33156313102100%4.920.3%16.7%3.5%2.9%5.645.11-0.0
/ 200 IP— RAW373720084417513527100%5.320.3%16.7%3.5%2.9%5.645.11-0.5
Career— MLE137321491639354%2.511.0%26.0%-15.1%1.9%6.406.50-0.2
/ 200 IP— MLE80432009221012401754%2.511.0%26.0%-15.1%1.9%6.406.50-1.4