Carlos Taveras — OGILVIE

Carlos TaverasOF FCL Twins

Age 18 L/R 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION101 act + 67 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .267 / .321

PA67

HR1

K%27

BB%7

BABIP277

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	72	62	12	2	1	2	8	22	1	2	1	194	296	355	651	161	256	31	11	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	72	57	14	3	1	2	13	15	1	2	1	246	394	439	833	193	293	21	18	370	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	MIN	—	101	91	19	3	1	1	9	29	0	2	1	209	280	297	577	88	290	29	9	252	51	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
YTD	18	ROK	MIN	—	101	85	24	5	1	1	15	20	0	2	1	282	390	400	790	118	354	20	15	356	131	+4	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.6
ROS	18	ROK	MIN	0%	67	62	13	2	1	1	5	18	0	1	0	209	267	321	588	112	289	27	7	270	64	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	MIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		289	—	—	265	61	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	MIN	—	101	92	19	3	1	1	9	29	0	2	1	207	280	293	573	87	286	29	9	252	51	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
TOT	18	ROK	MIN	—	168	153	32	5	2	2	14	47	0	3	1	209	275	307	581	98	285	28	8	259	56	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIN	34%	216	194	43	8	2	3	18	58	2	4	1	222	294	330	624	108	291	27	8	280	72	-7	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	MIN	48%	350	315	71	13	3	6	29	92	3	7	2	225	297	343	640	117	293	26	8	288	78	-9	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	MIN	54%	449	403	91	16	3	9	38	116	5	9	3	226	300	347	648	122	294	26	8	293	83	-9	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.2
2030	22	MLB	MIN	57%	519	464	107	19	4	11	44	133	6	10	3	231	305	360	665	129	295	26	8	297	85	-9	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.4
2031	23	MLB	MIN	58%	566	507	117	21	4	12	48	145	6	11	3	231	305	359	664	128	296	26	8	299	87	-8	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.6
2032	24	MLB	MIN	57%	597	535	123	22	4	13	51	152	6	12	4	230	304	359	663	129	296	25	9	301	89	-8	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.7
2033	25	MLB	MIN	57%	614	550	129	23	5	14	52	156	7	12	4	235	309	371	680	136	297	25	8	303	90	-7	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.8
2027	19	MLB	MIN	34%	74	67	15	3	1	1	6	20	1	1	0	224	297	343	641	119	291	27	8	274	68	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	MIN	48%	170	152	34	6	1	3	14	45	2	3	1	224	298	336	633	112	293	26	8	281	73	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	MIN	54%	244	219	50	9	2	5	20	63	3	5	1	228	302	356	658	128	294	26	8	286	77	-6	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.0
2030	22	MLB	MIN	57%	294	264	60	11	2	6	25	75	3	6	2	227	301	352	654	125	295	26	9	289	80	-7	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.0
2031	23	MLB	MIN	58%	326	292	67	12	2	7	28	83	3	6	2	229	303	356	660	127	296	25	9	292	81	-7	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.1
2032	24	MLB	MIN	57%	340	304	71	13	2	8	29	87	4	7	2	234	309	368	677	135	297	26	9	294	83	-7	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2033	25	MLB	MIN	57%	348	311	73	13	3	8	30	89	4	7	2	235	310	373	683	138	297	26	9	295	84	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1796	1610	370	67	13	38	152	462	20	35	10	230	304	358	663	129	297	26	8	290	80	-41	+3	+0	-11	+51	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	134	24	5	14	55	167	7	13	4	230	304	360	664	130	296	26	8	290	80	-15	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	3450	3092	706	126	27	71	293	892	36	68	21	228	303	355	658	127	296	26	8	295	84	-62	+5	+0	-21	+98	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	133	24	5	13	55	168	7	13	4	228	302	353	656	125	296	26	8	295	84	-12	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	72	57	14	3	1	2	13	15	1	2	1	246	394	439	833	193	293	21	18	370	142	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,887	39	36	230	300	357	-11	+0	1.3	1.4
	/162	664	14	13	230	300	357	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Taveras (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	209/275/307	98	285	2	3	28%	8%	56	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→44	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	59	-1.1	188/250/298	110	251	9	7	28%	7%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	41	43→50	47→40	43	202/274/320	118	277	9	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	227/287/334	107	295	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	248/308/368	120	321	11	2	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	190/267/305	115	300	11	8	37%	8%	59	-1.1	154/245/264	110	254	11	8	41%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→50	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/320	103	296	8	14	28%	7%	63	-0.8	218/277/350	132	309	11	7	31%	7%	70	-0.3
●Tirso Ornelas 2019 · A	19	43→53	40→50	50→45	45	206/273/299	93	288	7	5	30%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/266	76	279	5	5	31%	8%	41	-2.3	249/309/383	134	307	16	7	23%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Luis Liberato 2014 · A	18	41→51	37→55	48→50	41	195/252/268	73	282	4	13	31%	6%	41	-2.3	192/253/275	83	290	4	11	32%	7%	43	-2.2	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→47	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	52	-1.6	206/257/295	89	285	7	8	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
●Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	38→48	37→45	46→55	47	183/255/256	73	241	5	11	25%	8%	40	-2.4	207/259/305	98	267	5	11	23%	6%	53	-1.5	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	43→45	38→45	46→50	44	201/275/277	76	311	6	9	35%	9%	54	-1.4	211/298/310	99	331	7	14	35%	9%	72	-0.2	226/292/355	129	316	11	14	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Steven Moya 2010 · A	18	41→44	41→60	45→50	42	200/268/290	90	290	9	6	33%	8%	54	-1.4	172/209/274	102	315	12	4	47%	4%	24	-3.5	224/249/423	200	293	28	7	34%	3%	79	+0.3
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→48	44→55	48→45	40	209/264/317	108	283	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	232/286/390	158	298	19	7	28%	7%	88	+0.9	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
✕Luis Barrera 2014 · A	18	37→47	43→45	47→50	47	186/254/303	117	227	10	7	23%	7%	52	-1.6	193/246/273	80	269	5	7	28%	6%	40	-2.4	237/281/345	108	308	5	17	24%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	41	41→50	46→45	44	205/260/295	90	268	9	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	207/258/303	96	281	7	7	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/277/353	132	285	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.1