Carlos Taveras — OGILVIE

Carlos TaverasOF DSL Twins

Age 18 L/R 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.2 · 2034

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .267 / .293

PA68

HR1

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.2peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.7	$26M	+$25M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.0	$30M	+$29M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.2	$32M	+$31M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+3.2	$33M	+$27M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+3.1	$33M	+$23M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+2.8	$31M	+$17M
Totals		$33M		$185M	+$152M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	72	62	11	2	0	2	8	22	1	2	1	.177	.282	.306	.588	.129	.231	31	11	.261	58	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	MIN	68	62	13	2	1	1	5	21	1	1	0	.210	.279	.323	.602	.113	.290	31	7	.257	55	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	MIN	161	145	32	5	1	3	13	47	2	3	1	.221	.294	.331	.625	.110	.305	29	8	.291	81	-3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.0
2028	20	MLB 28%	MIN	307	272	65	11	2	8	28	85	4	7	2	.239	.319	.382	.701	.143	.311	28	9	.311	96	-1	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.6
2029	21	MLB 48%	MIN	418	369	90	15	3	12	40	112	6	11	3	.244	.328	.398	.726	.154	.312	27	10	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	-3	+12	1.2
2030	22	MLB 65%	MIN	498	438	107	18	3	15	50	130	7	14	3	.244	.331	.402	.733	.158	.312	26	10	.330	111	+6	+2	+0	-3	+14	1.9
2031	23	MLB 86%	MIN	552	482	121	20	4	18	57	141	8	16	3	.251	.340	.421	.761	.170	.312	26	10	.335	115	+9	+2	+0	-3	+16	2.4
2032	24	MLB	MIN	587	512	128	21	4	19	62	148	8	17	4	.250	.340	.418	.758	.168	.312	25	11	.340	118	+12	+2	+0	-4	+17	2.7
2033	25	MLB	MIN	608	528	134	22	4	21	66	153	9	18	4	.254	.347	.430	.777	.176	.313	25	11	.343	120	+14	+2	+0	-4	+17	3.0
2034	26	MLB	MIN	618	536	135	22	4	21	68	155	9	18	4	.252	.346	.425	.771	.174	.313	25	11	.344	122	+15	+2	+0	-4	+18	3.2
2035	27	MLB	MIN	620	537	135	22	4	21	69	156	9	18	3	.251	.346	.425	.771	.173	.314	25	11	.345	122	+15	+2	+0	-4	+18	3.2
2036	28	MLB	MIN	617	534	134	22	4	21	69	157	9	17	3	.251	.346	.425	.771	.174	.313	25	11	.343	121	+15	+2	-1	-4	+17	3.1
2037	29	MLB	MIN	608	527	131	21	4	20	68	156	8	15	2	.249	.343	.417	.761	.169	.312	26	11	.341	119	+13	+2	-1	-4	+17	2.8
2038	30	MLB	MIN	598	518	129	21	4	20	67	155	8	14	2	.249	.344	.421	.765	.172	.311	26	11	.338	117	+11	+2	-2	-4	+17	2.5
2039	31	MLB	MIN	584	505	124	20	4	19	66	154	8	11	1	.246	.342	.414	.756	.168	.310	26	11	.334	114	+9	+2	-3	-4	+17	2.2
2040	32	MLB	MIN	566	489	118	19	3	18	64	152	8	8	0	.241	.339	.403	.742	.162	.308	27	11	.330	110	+7	+2	-4	-3	+16	1.8
2041	33	MLB	MIN	536	464	109	17	3	16	60	148	7	6	0	.235	.331	.388	.719	.153	.307	28	11	.324	106	+4	+1	-4	-3	+15	1.3
2042	34	MLB	MIN	489	426	98	15	3	14	54	139	6	4	0	.230	.325	.378	.703	.148	.305	28	11	.317	101	+1	+1	-5	-3	+14	0.8
2043	35	MLB	MIN	433	377	85	13	3	12	48	128	5	2	0	.225	.321	.371	.692	.146	.303	30	11	.310	95	-2	+0	-6	-3	+12	0.2
2044	36	MLB	MIN	372	323	70	11	2	9	41	114	5	2	0	.217	.314	.347	.661	.130	.300	31	11	.301	88	-5	+0	-6	-2	+11	-0.3
2045	37	MLB	MIN	307	267	56	8	2	7	33	97	4	1	0	.210	.306	.333	.639	.124	.296	32	11	.291	81	-7	+0	-7	-2	+9	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9619	8373	2025	327	62	297	1036	2570	132	205	36	.242	.335	.402	.737	.160	.311	27	11	.329	110	+108	+27	-38	-58	+273	31.7
/ 162G	—			650	566	136	22	4	20	70	174	9	14	2	.240	.333	.399	.733	.159	.309	27	11	.329	110	+7	+2	-3	-4	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	72	57	14	3	1	2	13	15	1	2	1	.246	.394	.439	.833	.193	.293	21	18	.370	142	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Taveras (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	.202/.267/.293	.092	.290	1	1	31%	7%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Jason Heyward 2008 · A	18	46→56	41→55	47→50	41	.220/.274/.320	.100	.304	7	7	29%	6%	64	-0.8	.259/.317/.406	.147	.307	14	9	20%	7%	105	+2.1	.255/.348/.438	.183	.301	21	14	22%	12%	121	+3.1
●Franmil Reyes 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→65	50→45	42	.204/.266/.299	.095	.285	6	10	29%	7%	55	-1.4	.208/.259/.302	.094	.287	7	6	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.256/.325/.480	.224	.314	34	0	29%	9%	126	+2.6
★Austin Meadows 2014 · A	19	45→55	43→65	49→55	43	.214/.282/.336	.122	.308	10	6	32%	8%	72	-0.2	.242/.292/.362	.120	.310	9	10	24%	6%	82	+0.5	.255/.336/.495	.240	.289	30	8	23%	10%	129	+2.7
●Gregory Polanco 2010 · A	18	43→53	35→60	52→55	44	.202/.266/.269	.067	.286	2	10	28%	7%	47	-1.9	.199/.250/.288	.089	.261	7	18	25%	6%	45	-2.1	.250/.322/.455	.204	.278	24	14	19%	9%	113	+2.3
●Mike Moustakas 2008 · A	19	46→54	38→65	50→45	42	.216/.278/.302	.086	.300	4	6	28%	6%	61	-1.0	.223/.263/.373	.150	.258	18	6	21%	4%	74	-0.1	.258/.320/.491	.233	.260	33	2	16%	7%	121	+3.2
●Max Kepler 2011 · A	18	46→56	35→60	51→50	42	.215/.262/.278	.063	.294	2	9	27%	6%	46	-2.0	.212/.269/.313	.101	.284	8	6	27%	6%	60	-1.0	.234/.319/.433	.200	.248	24	4	17%	10%	108	+2.2
●Oscar Taveras 2011 · A	19	44→54	42→55	49→45	42	.216/.260/.323	.108	.269	8	9	23%	5%	58	-1.2	.270/.309/.419	.149	.313	13	7	18%	5%	104	+2.0	.293/.330/.463	.170	.326	16	7	15%	4%	124	+2.0
●Eloy Jiménez 2016 · A	19	40→50	40→65	49→40	39	.197/.240/.291	.094	.269	7	7	29%	5%	41	-2.3	.251/.286/.404	.153	.321	16	4	26%	4%	91	+1.1	.273/.314/.492	.219	.314	30	0	23%	5%	125	+2.3
●Anthony Santander 2013 · A	18	45→49	42→65	47→45	39	.217/.275/.326	.110	.305	9	8	31%	6%	66	-0.6	.201/.254/.302	.101	.269	9	7	27%	5%	51	-1.7	.242/.317/.473	.231	.257	31	2	20%	9%	120	+3.4
●Jonathan Aranda 2017 · A	19	43→53	37→55	48→45	43	.204/.265/.282	.078	.268	4	7	24%	6%	50	-1.7	.215/.268/.288	.073	.280	3	9	23%	6%	53	-1.5	.269/.345/.441	.173	.339	20	4	25%	8%	122	+2.7
✕Akil Baddoo 2017 · A	18	39→49	39→55	53→55	40	.186/.255/.266	.081	.304	6	11	38%	8%	43	-2.2	.208/.284/.324	.116	.290	8	12	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.232/.314/.375	.143	.300	15	24	26%	11%	91	+0.8
●Rowdy Tellez 2014 · A	19	41→50	39→60	51→45	43	.199/.255/.290	.091	.270	6	5	28%	6%	48	-1.9	.229/.281/.344	.115	.286	12	4	23%	6%	73	-0.1	.249/.317/.464	.215	.286	29	1	24%	8%	114	+1.6
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→55	52→55	41	.212/.263/.298	.086	.291	6	10	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.258/.304/.406	.148	.329	14	21	25%	5%	99	+1.7	.278/.321/.456	.177	.328	21	21	21%	5%	116	+2.7
●Oneil Cruz 2017 · A	18	46→51	37→60	51→55	42	.214/.266/.301	.088	.311	2	11	30%	7%	55	-1.4	.208/.249/.316	.108	.314	10	9	35%	5%	52	-1.6	.241/.304/.442	.201	.317	25	22	31%	8%	103	+1.7
●Jackson Merrill 2022 · A	19	45→55	36→55	52→50	39	.211/.260/.286	.076	.314	3	9	32%	6%	48	-1.9	.251/.293/.383	.132	.306	13	12	22%	5%	88	+0.9	.266/.310/.441	.174	.301	19	10	18%	6%	107	+1.9
●Dylan Carlson 2017 · A	18	41→51	40→55	48→50	36	.196/.244/.290	.094	.305	6	7	36%	6%	43	-2.2	.207/.277/.319	.112	.286	10	7	29%	8%	66	-0.6	.242/.327/.396	.154	.296	14	4	22%	9%	105	+1.6
●Riley Greene 2021 · A	20	44→54	44→60	53→50	39	.215/.271/.330	.115	.305	11	9	32%	6%	66	-0.6	.252/.315/.404	.152	.357	15	10	31%	8%	103	+1.9	.263/.332/.466	.203	.338	25	5	28%	9%	124	+3.1
●Logan Morrison 2007 · A	19	45→55	38→65	49→45	46	.217/.270/.296	.079	.271	5	6	22%	7%	56	-1.3	.243/.296/.392	.149	.293	17	5	22%	6%	92	+1.2	.275/.354/.423	.148	.329	11	5	18%	10%	122	+2.7
●Steven Souza Jr. 2008 · A	19	37→47	41→60	49→55	38	.182/.248/.279	.096	.291	8	7	38%	7%	43	-2.2	.191/.250/.282	.091	.285	8	14	34%	6%	44	-2.1	.258/.336/.452	.194	.336	23	25	29%	10%	124	+2.2
★Carlos Correa 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→60	51→55	37	.205/.244/.299	.094	.289	6	8	31%	5%	45	-2.1	.257/.317/.390	.133	.320	11	13	22%	7%	100	+1.7	.284/.360/.488	.204	.328	24	14	20%	10%	137	+4.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)