Eliomar Garces

SS DSL Tampa Bay

Age 19 R/R 5'8" / 159 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#510ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKTB	181	.257/.392/.361	2	10	40	—	.163/.273/.216
2026	18	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	248	.297/.517/.382	2	35	84	—	.200/.383/.249
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBTB	358	.219/.310/.296	3	9	76	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTB	63	.227/.318/.314	1	1	82	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBTB	146	.230/.321/.327	2	3	86	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%99

K%98

BB%97

Z-Con%97

wRC+94

wOBA93

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsCristofer Torin (age 19) · Victor Rodrigues (age 19) · Tyler Rodriguez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .308 / .293

PA136

HR1

K%21

BB%10

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$39M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	181	144	37	5	2	2	29	22	3	10	5	257	392	361	753	104	285	12	16	340	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	248	165	49	6	1	2	67	20	8	35	7	297	517	382	898	85	324	8	27	413	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	181	153	25	3	1	1	20	27	3	10	5	163	273	216	488	52	181	15	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	248	185	37	4	1	1	47	24	8	35	7	200	383	249	632	49	209	10	19	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	181	153	25	3	1	1	20	27	3	10	5	163	273	216	488	52	188	15	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	181	144	37	5	2	2	29	22	3	10	5	257	392	361	753	104	285	12	16	340	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	248	185	37	4	1	1	47	24	8	35	7	200	383	249	632	49	222	10	19	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	248	165	49	6	1	2	67	20	8	35	7	297	517	382	898	85	324	8	27	413	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	181	156	25	3	1	1	20	27	3	10	5	160	273	212	484	51	181	15	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	248	191	37	4	1	1	47	24	8	35	7	194	383	241	624	47	209	10	19	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	181	156	25	3	1	1	20	27	3	10	5	160	273	212	484	51	181	15	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	248	191	37	4	1	1	47	24	8	35	7	194	383	241	624	47	209	10	19	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TB	0%	358	314	70	11	3	3	37	75	4	9	2	219	310	296	606	76	277	21	10	280	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	34%	184	161	36	6	1	2	19	38	2	4	1	224	315	312	628	88	279	21	10	289	82	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	TB	48%	301	263	60	9	2	4	31	63	4	7	2	228	319	326	644	98	281	21	10	295	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2030	22	MLB MLE	TB	54%	399	349	81	13	3	6	41	83	6	9	2	231	321	336	657	105	283	21	10	300	89	-5	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.9
2031	23	MLB MLE	TB	57%	462	406	94	15	3	8	47	96	6	10	2	233	322	344	666	111	284	21	10	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	TB	57%	502	439	103	17	3	9	51	104	7	11	3	235	323	350	674	115	285	21	10	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	TB	57%	526	461	109	17	4	10	53	109	7	12	3	235	324	352	676	116	285	21	10	306	94	-4	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	TB	60%	538	472	112	18	4	10	54	112	7	12	3	235	324	352	676	117	285	21	10	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	TB	62%	539	472	112	18	4	10	55	113	7	11	3	234	323	350	672	115	285	21	10	305	93	-5	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	TB	63%	536	470	109	17	3	10	54	113	7	10	3	233	321	345	666	113	284	21	10	303	91	-6	+1	-1	+6	+12	1.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	TB	64%	523	458	106	17	3	9	53	112	7	9	3	230	318	339	657	109	283	21	10	299	89	-7	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.9
2038	30	MLB MLE	TB	65%	511	449	102	16	3	8	51	111	6	9	3	227	315	332	646	104	281	22	10	295	86	-9	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.6
2039	31	MLB MLE	TB	65%	494	436	97	15	3	7	49	109	6	7	3	223	310	322	632	99	279	22	10	289	82	-11	+0	-3	+5	+11	0.3
2040	32	MLB MLE	TB	65%	473	419	91	14	3	6	46	107	5	6	5	218	304	310	614	92	275	23	10	282	77	-13	-1	-4	+5	+10	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	34%	63	56	13	2	0	1	6	13	1	1	0	227	318	314	632	87	283	21	10	290	82	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	TB	48%	146	128	29	4	1	2	15	30	2	3	1	230	321	327	648	96	285	21	10	297	86	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	TB	54%	216	189	45	7	2	3	22	45	3	5	1	233	323	337	660	104	286	21	10	301	89	-3	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	TB	57%	262	229	54	8	2	4	27	54	4	6	1	236	324	345	669	109	288	21	10	305	91	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	TB	57%	284	249	59	9	2	5	29	59	4	6	1	237	325	351	677	114	289	21	10	307	93	-2	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	TB	57%	297	261	62	10	2	5	30	62	4	6	1	238	326	352	678	115	289	21	10	308	94	-2	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	TB	60%	325	285	67	10	2	6	33	68	4	7	2	238	326	353	679	115	289	21	10	308	94	-2	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	TB	62%	335	294	69	11	2	6	34	70	4	7	2	237	325	350	675	114	288	21	10	306	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2036	28	MLB CTX	TB	63%	339	298	70	11	2	6	34	72	4	7	2	235	323	346	669	111	288	21	10	304	91	-4	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.8
2037	29	MLB CTX	TB	64%	334	293	68	10	2	6	34	72	4	6	2	233	320	340	660	107	286	22	10	301	89	-5	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	TB	65%	332	292	67	10	2	5	33	72	4	6	2	230	317	332	649	103	285	22	10	296	86	-6	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	TB	65%	321	282	65	10	2	5	32	71	4	5	2	226	312	323	635	97	282	22	10	290	82	-7	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	TB	65%	307	271	60	9	2	4	30	69	3	4	3	221	306	311	618	90	279	22	10	283	77	-8	-0	-2	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3561	3127	728	111	23	58	359	757	45	69	20	233	321	339	659	106	287	21	10	300	87	-49	+6	-7	+38	+77	6.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	133	20	4	11	66	138	8	13	4	233	321	340	661	107	287	21	10	300	87	-9	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6553	5712	1300	203	42	102	685	1350	90	165	49	228	320	331	651	104	279	21	10	297	87	-85	+9	-10	+66	+133	11.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	129	20	4	10	68	134	9	16	5	228	320	330	650	102	279	21	10	297	87	-9	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 248 PAwOBA .408 → .293 (−115)K% 8.1% → 9.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.06%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	9.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	27.02%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	18.82%
HBP% /PA	3.23%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	2.25%
Singles /BIP	27.59%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.973	×0.995	18.17%
Doubles /BIP	4.14%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.973	×0.995	2.40%
Triples /BIP	0.69%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.973	×0.995	0.40%
Home runs /BIP	1.38%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.65%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .408 → .293; ISO .085 → .053; BABIP .324 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rays · 181 PAwOBA .338 → .228 (−110)K% 12.2% → 14.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.15%	÷1.003	×1.220	—	—	14.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.02%	÷1.020	×0.700	—	×1.008	11.07%
HBP% /PA	1.66%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.17%
Singles /BIP	22.95%	÷0.985	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	15.17%
Doubles /BIP	4.10%	÷0.989	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	2.38%
Triples /BIP	1.64%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	0.82%
Home runs /BIP	1.64%	÷1.022	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.76%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .338 → .228; ISO .104 → .058; BABIP .285 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Spike Owen'83-'95 * career totals — 13 seasons, 5,615 PA	8.5	5,615	46	82	242*	322*	356*	+55	+30	15.6	15.3
/162	664	5	10	+6.5	+3.6	1.8	pk7: 15
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.6	3,696	60	72	231	316	338	+40	+27	9.6	8.3
/162	664	11	13	+7.1	+4.8	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eliomar Garces (OGILVIE)	19	45	25	55	60	217/308/293	76	277	1	3	21%	10%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Victor Rodrigues 2024 · A	19	42	37→30	47→50	51	198/275/273	75	246	5	10	21%	9%	58	-1.7	215/298/280	65	272	5	7	21%	10%	69	-0.9	213/306/263	50	270	4	5	20%	11%	66	-0.5
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Luis Sanchez 2023 · A	19	47	36→30	54→50	56	217/311/282	65	249	4	16	14%	9%	75	-0.5	208/284/263	55	268	2	11	21%	9%	59	-1.6	199/274/240	41	260	1	9	22%	8%	47	-1.1
✕Marco Vargas 2024 · A	19	45→46	37→40	50→60	57	208/302/289	81	267	4	13	22%	12%	72	-0.7	214/295/280	66	304	3	25	27%	10%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	47	36→40	44→45	52	220/303/284	64	270	3	8	18%	9%	72	-0.7	199/266/269	70	259	4	5	23%	8%	53	-2.1	215/270/283	69	275	5	4	23%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2024 · A	19	45→36	39→40	55→60	56	209/320/298	89	285	6	19	26%	12%	82	-0.0	221/297/305	84	297	7	25	26%	9%	74	-0.6	206/283/289	83	268	8	31	25%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Dameury Pena 2024 · A	18	49→59	36→30	53→55	51	226/285/298	73	256	2	16	13%	7%	67	-1.1	228/286/308	80	252	6	15	12%	7%	70	-0.9	241/299/311	70	264	6	18	11%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	46	35→30	52→60	58	211/316/272	60	275	2	16	22%	12%	74	-0.5	203/291/255	52	279	2	18	25%	10%	61	-1.5	204/303/231	27	262	0	30	19%	10%	59	-0.7
✕Miguel Rodríguez 2024 · A	18	48	35→40	45	58	218/327/282	64	261	2	10	16%	11%	82	-0.0	223/312/301	78	263	5	7	16%	9%	80	-0.2	228/321/301	73	263	6	6	15%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Erick Brito 2022 · A	20	47→44	34→30	51→55	57	216/314/267	51	272	1	17	19%	11%	72	-0.7	208/270/268	60	266	2	18	21%	7%	55	-2.0	221/277/288	67	285	3	23	22%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Hector Osorio 2024 · A	19	44	35→45	51→50	62	200/321/262	62	245	2	15	17%	13%	76	-0.4	216/319/308	92	262	8	12	19%	11%	84	+0.1	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Henry Henry 2007 · A	20	50	37→30	48→60	54	233/319/310	78	285	4	15	18%	10%	83	+0.1	220/295/291	71	250	4	20	13%	8%	70	-0.9	212/273/266	54	232	3	30	9%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	46	36→30	55→60	54	207/312/275	67	298	3	21	28%	12%	74	-0.6	231/313/303	72	312	3	22	24%	10%	79	-0.2	242/324/311	68	323	3	29	23%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	48	37→45	53→50	53	218/293/303	85	243	3	11	12%	7%	72	-0.7	240/312/325	85	281	5	9	16%	7%	84	+0.1	232/299/348	116	287	12	10	23%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	44	34→30	52→60	50	201/303/251	50	270	2	16	24%	9%	66	-1.1	204/286/251	47	269	1	19	22%	8%	58	-1.7	200/279/232	31	261	0	26	21%	8%	48	-0.7

Eliomar Garces

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps