Tyler Spangler

SS Clearwater Threshers

Age 19 L/R A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP54ETA2029MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	APHI	42	.176/.317/.294	1	0	43	—	.167/.268/.278
2027PROJ4% MLB	19	MLBPHI	3	.221/.294/.341	0	0	78	0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB	20	MLBPHI	64	.224/.298/.349	1	1	82	0.1
2029PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBPHI	155	.227/.302/.357	4	3	85	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$4M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Z-Con%91

BB%63

K%54

Chase%53

Whiff%44

Max EV18

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 11, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 88%

CompsMoisés Ballesteros (age 19) · Carter Jensen (age 20) · Canaan Smith-Njigba (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .294 / .341

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP295

ISO85

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$10M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	42	34	6	1	0	1	6	10	1	0	0	176	317	294	611	118	208	24	14	283	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	42	36	6	1	0	1	4	14	1	0	0	167	268	278	546	111	195	33	10	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	42	36	6	1	0	1	4	14	1	0	0	167	268	278	546	111	227	33	10	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	42	34	6	1	0	1	6	10	1	0	0	176	317	294	611	118	208	24	14	283	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	42	37	6	1	0	1	4	14	1	0	0	162	268	270	539	108	195	33	10	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	42	37	6	1	0	1	4	14	1	0	0	162	268	270	539	108	195	33	10	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PHI	4%	152	137	30	5	1	3	12	43	2	2	1	220	293	335	628	116	295	28	8	284	78	-4	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	19	MLB CTX	PHI	4%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	221	294	341	635	120	295	33	0	286	78	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	36%	179	161	36	6	1	4	14	50	2	3	1	223	297	343	640	121	296	28	8	289	82	-4	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	PHI	49%	316	283	64	11	2	7	26	87	4	5	2	225	300	350	651	125	297	28	8	293	85	-6	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	416	373	84	14	2	10	34	113	6	7	3	228	303	357	659	129	297	27	8	297	87	-6	+0	-0	+4	+9	0.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	483	433	100	17	3	12	40	130	7	8	3	230	305	362	666	132	298	27	8	299	89	-6	+0	+0	+5	+10	1.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	526	470	109	19	3	13	44	140	7	9	4	232	306	366	672	135	298	27	8	302	90	-6	+0	+1	+6	+11	1.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	552	493	115	20	3	14	46	147	8	9	4	232	307	367	674	135	298	27	8	302	91	-6	+0	+1	+6	+12	1.3
2034	26	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	565	505	117	20	3	14	47	150	8	9	4	232	306	367	674	135	298	27	8	302	91	-6	+0	+1	+6	+12	1.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	570	510	117	20	3	14	47	152	8	9	4	231	306	365	670	134	298	27	8	301	90	-7	+0	+1	+6	+12	1.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	567	508	117	20	3	14	47	153	7	8	4	229	304	360	664	131	297	27	8	298	88	-8	+0	+0	+6	+12	1.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	559	501	113	19	3	13	46	152	7	8	5	227	301	354	655	127	296	27	8	295	86	-9	-0	-1	+6	+12	0.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	550	493	111	19	3	12	45	152	7	7	6	224	298	347	644	123	294	28	8	291	83	-11	-1	-1	+6	+12	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	PHI	60%	536	482	105	18	2	11	43	150	6	6	9	220	293	337	630	117	292	28	8	285	79	-13	-2	-2	+6	+12	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	36%	64	58	12	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	224	298	349	648	125	296	28	8	292	82	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	PHI	49%	155	139	32	5	1	4	13	43	2	3	1	227	302	357	658	130	297	28	8	296	85	-3	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	227	203	47	8	1	6	19	62	3	4	2	230	304	363	667	134	298	27	8	300	87	-4	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	274	245	57	9	2	7	23	74	4	5	2	232	306	368	675	137	298	27	8	303	89	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	298	267	62	10	2	8	25	79	4	5	2	233	308	373	681	140	299	27	8	305	90	-3	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	312	279	65	11	2	8	26	83	4	5	2	234	308	374	682	140	299	27	8	306	91	-3	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	319	286	67	11	2	9	26	85	4	5	2	234	308	374	682	141	299	27	8	306	91	-4	+0	+1	+3	+7	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	316	283	66	11	2	8	26	85	4	5	2	232	307	371	679	139	298	27	8	304	90	-4	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	311	278	65	11	2	8	26	84	4	5	2	231	305	367	672	136	297	27	8	302	88	-4	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	299	268	61	10	2	7	25	81	4	4	3	228	303	361	663	132	296	27	8	298	86	-5	-0	-0	+3	+6	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	314	281	62	10	1	7	26	87	4	4	3	226	299	353	652	127	295	28	8	294	83	-6	-0	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	PHI	60%	319	286	63	10	1	7	26	89	4	4	5	222	294	343	638	122	292	28	8	288	79	-8	-1	-1	+3	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3208	2873	659	108	18	80	266	870	42	50	26	229	304	363	667	134	298	27	8	300	87	-50	-0	-0	+34	+70	5.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	134	22	4	16	54	176	9	10	5	230	305	364	670	134	300	27	8	300	87	-10	-0	-0	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5926	5307	1206	206	31	140	488	1608	79	89	49	227	302	357	659	130	297	27	8	296	87	-92	-2	-1	+63	+127	9.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	132	23	3	15	54	176	9	10	5	227	303	354	657	127	296	27	8	296	87	-10	-0	-0	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Gonzalez'94-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,528 PA	8.3	5,528	137	97	232*	290*	379*	+55	+6	8.3	10.0
/162	664	16	12	+6.6	+0.8	1.0	pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#4Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	4.2	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.7	7.1
/162	664	11	12	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.8	3,211	76	48	229	300	359	+34	+3	7.3	6.5
/162	664	16	10	+7.1	+0.7	1.5	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Tom Downey'09-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,468 PA	3.7	2,468	7	87	234*	299*	359*	+17	-2	3.8	3.8
/162	664	2	23	+4.6	-0.5	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Spangler (OGILVIE)	19	30→54	35→53	50→45	45	218/290/332	115	295	1	1	28%	8%	78	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	41→51	46→50	45→40	50	210/283/334	125	261	14	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	248/309/379	131	301	14	4	21%	8%	95	+0.9	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	38→48	42→55	45→50	49	189/279/298	109	272	9	7	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/296/340	135	284	14	9	30%	11%	82	-0.0	233/312/421	188	299	22	7	28%	10%	105	+1.6
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	46→51	41→45	46→55	51	218/304/317	98	298	9	7	28%	10%	79	-0.2	237/308/353	116	333	10	11	29%	9%	88	+0.5	242/319/359	118	343	9	15	29%	10%	91	+0.4
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	45→54	44→50	50→40	45	221/278/350	129	289	10	8	27%	7%	76	-0.4	241/308/352	111	311	9	4	23%	9%	88	+0.4	246/316/351	105	316	8	2	23%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	44→50	42→50	44→50	43	216/269/322	106	282	10	6	27%	6%	66	-1.1	235/294/368	133	322	13	11	29%	7%	87	+0.4	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→51	43→55	48→45	42	203/262/304	101	271	11	4	29%	6%	61	-1.5	241/298/398	157	309	18	7	27%	7%	95	+1.0	240/301/413	173	300	21	6	27%	7%	98	+0.9
✕John Drennen 2006 · A	19	39→49	47→45	47→45	42	202/262/333	131	257	15	8	28%	6%	68	-1.0	224/283/327	103	291	9	6	25%	6%	74	-0.6	250/301/374	124	298	8	1	18%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Khalil Lee 2017 · A	19	44→54	44→45	50→55	43	205/286/327	123	320	10	9	36%	9%	76	-0.4	209/286/328	119	343	11	17	39%	8%	75	-0.5	216/317/330	114	346	10	25	36%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Josue Briceño 2024 · A	19	43	44→60	45→40	45	212/270/332	119	265	11	5	24%	7%	70	-0.9	231/302/376	145	286	16	3	24%	8%	92	+0.7	230/310/399	168	278	22	1	25%	9%	99	+0.6
✕Max Clark 2024 · A	19	44→53	42→45	51→55	48	207/292/314	106	308	9	11	33%	10%	74	-0.5	238/314/357	119	306	11	17	24%	9%	92	+0.7	245/323/369	124	304	11	19	22%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Gosuke Katoh 2014 · A	19	45→52	44→45	49→50	44	217/281/340	123	299	11	6	30%	8%	75	-0.5	191/268/274	83	323	5	11	38%	9%	55	-1.9	225/294/323	98	318	8	11	29%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Samuel Zavala 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	48→50	46	206/278/339	133	281	12	10	30%	9%	74	-0.5	193/287/305	112	289	11	12	34%	11%	71	-0.8	193/290/301	108	265	12	12	29%	11%	68	-0.8
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
●Reid Brignac 2006 · A	20	43→53	44→55	42→50	38	215/260/331	116	297	12	5	32%	5%	65	-1.2	240/286/391	151	302	16	9	25%	6%	89	+0.5	242/288/399	157	297	17	10	24%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Ronny Hernandez 2024 · A	19	44→53	39→40	49→30	46	211/281/302	91	288	6	4	28%	8%	67	-1.1	227/301/310	83	296	7	3	24%	9%	76	-0.4	229/306/323	94	287	11	1	22%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Isan Díaz 2016 · A	20	44→43	47→55	48→45	41	216/276/358	142	306	13	9	32%	7%	78	-0.3	206/276/342	136	304	13	8	34%	8%	74	-0.5	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Bryan Anderson 2006 · A	19	49→59	45	51→30	42	242/288/365	123	304	13	9	25%	6%	84	+0.1	257/306/348	91	327	6	3	22%	6%	86	+0.3	270/319/355	85	341	5	1	21%	6%	90	+0.4
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	43	41→45	45	56	204/303/316	112	273	7	8	26%	12%	79	-0.2	186/265/271	85	280	6	5	33%	9%	55	-2.0	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0

Tyler Spangler

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps