Abel Valdes — OGILVIE

Abel ValdesC DSL Rangers Red

Age 20 L/R 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 56 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .286 / .280

PA56

HR1

K%27

BB%9

BABIP265

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$6M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
Totals		$11M		$31M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	122	95	16	1	1	0	18	38	7	0	0	168	342	200	542	32	271	31	15	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	122	83	18	1	1	0	30	24	7	0	0	217	458	253	711	36	295	20	25	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	TEX	—	47	43	8	1	0	2	4	10	0	0	0	186	255	349	604	163	194	21	9	258	56	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
YTD	20	ROK	TEX	—	47	40	10	2	0	2	7	7	0	0	0	250	362	450	812	200	258	15	15	363	136	+2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.4
ROS	20	ROK	TEX	0%	56	50	10	1	0	1	5	15	1	0	0	200	286	280	566	80	278	27	9	269	64	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	20	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	259	57	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	TEX	—	47	44	8	1	0	2	4	10	0	0	0	182	255	341	596	159	188	21	9	258	56	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK	TEX	—	103	93	18	2	0	3	9	25	1	0	0	194	272	312	584	118	231	24	9	264	60	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TEX	34%	189	167	36	6	1	3	17	50	3	2	1	216	299	317	617	102	281	26	9	278	71	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2028	22	MLB	TEX	48%	317	280	61	10	2	6	29	83	5	3	1	218	303	332	635	114	283	26	9	285	76	-8	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.7
2029	23	MLB	TEX	54%	405	359	80	13	3	8	37	105	6	3	1	223	306	343	649	120	285	26	9	290	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.0
2030	24	MLB	TEX	55%	464	412	91	15	3	9	42	119	7	4	1	221	304	337	641	117	286	26	9	293	82	-9	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.3
2031	25	MLB	TEX	56%	498	443	98	16	3	10	45	128	7	4	2	221	303	339	642	117	286	26	9	294	83	-9	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.4
2032	26	MLB	TEX	56%	517	457	101	16	3	11	47	133	8	4	2	221	305	341	646	120	286	26	9	295	84	-9	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2033	27	MLB	TEX	55%	520	459	102	16	3	11	48	134	8	4	2	222	307	342	649	120	286	26	9	295	84	-9	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2034	28	MLB	TEX	55%	520	458	101	16	3	11	49	135	8	4	2	221	307	341	647	120	285	26	9	294	83	-10	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.4
2035	29	MLB	TEX	53%	519	458	101	16	3	11	49	135	7	4	1	221	305	341	646	120	284	26	9	292	82	-11	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.3
2036	30	MLB	TEX	57%	510	450	97	15	3	10	48	134	7	3	1	216	301	329	630	113	283	26	9	289	80	-12	+0	-2	+9	+14	1.0
2037	31	MLB	TEX	60%	482	427	91	14	3	9	45	128	7	3	1	213	299	323	622	110	280	27	9	285	77	-13	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.7
2038	32	MLB	TEX	61%	451	400	84	13	3	8	42	122	6	2	1	210	295	318	612	108	277	27	9	280	72	-14	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.3
2039	33	MLB	TEX	62%	410	363	74	11	2	7	38	113	6	1	1	204	290	303	593	99	273	28	9	274	67	-15	-0	-4	+7	+12	-0.1
2040	34	MLB	TEX	58%	356	315	63	9	2	6	33	100	5	1	0	200	286	298	585	98	268	28	9	265	61	-16	+0	-5	+6	+10	-0.4
2027	21	MLB	TEX	34%	65	58	12	2	0	1	6	17	1	1	0	207	292	293	585	86	283	26	9	269	64	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	22	MLB	TEX	48%	154	137	30	5	1	3	14	40	2	1	0	219	301	336	636	117	285	26	9	276	69	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	23	MLB	TEX	54%	220	195	42	7	1	4	20	57	3	2	1	215	298	323	621	108	286	26	9	280	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2030	24	MLB	TEX	55%	257	228	51	8	2	5	23	66	4	2	1	224	306	342	648	118	288	26	9	284	75	-7	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2031	25	MLB	TEX	56%	279	248	56	9	2	6	25	72	4	2	1	226	307	351	658	125	288	26	9	285	76	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	26	MLB	TEX	56%	291	258	57	9	2	6	27	75	4	2	1	221	304	341	646	120	287	26	9	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2033	27	MLB	TEX	55%	288	255	57	9	2	6	27	74	4	2	1	224	308	345	653	122	287	26	9	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2034	28	MLB	TEX	55%	285	252	56	9	2	6	27	74	4	2	1	222	307	345	653	123	287	26	9	285	76	-8	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.5
2035	29	MLB	TEX	53%	277	245	55	9	2	6	26	72	4	2	1	224	309	351	660	127	286	26	9	283	75	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2036	30	MLB	TEX	57%	291	258	57	9	2	6	27	77	4	2	1	221	304	341	646	120	284	26	9	280	73	-9	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.3
2037	31	MLB	TEX	60%	287	254	55	8	2	6	27	76	4	2	1	217	302	335	636	118	282	26	9	276	70	-10	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.2
2038	32	MLB	TEX	61%	276	244	52	8	2	5	26	75	4	1	0	213	299	324	623	111	279	27	9	271	66	-11	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.0
2039	33	MLB	TEX	62%	256	227	46	7	1	4	24	71	3	1	0	203	287	295	583	93	275	28	9	265	61	-11	+0	-3	+5	+7	-0.2
2040	34	MLB	TEX	58%	206	182	36	5	1	3	19	58	3	1	0	198	284	286	570	88	269	28	9	257	55	-11	+0	-3	+4	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3432	3042	662	104	22	67	318	904	48	23	9	218	302	332	634	115	286	26	9	278	71	-112	+1	-12	+61	+97	3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	126	20	4	13	60	171	9	4	2	219	302	335	637	116	287	26	9	278	71	-21	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	6336	5593	1206	188	38	121	592	1672	98	42	17	216	302	328	629	112	283	26	9	287	78	-159	+2	-20	+113	+180	11.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	123	19	4	12	61	172	10	4	2	214	301	324	625	110	282	26	9	287	78	-16	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	122	83	18	1	1	0	30	24	7	0	0	217	458	253	711	36	295	20	25	356	131	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,535	69	24	217	298	332	+63	+36	7.1	6.2
	/162	664	13	4	217	298	332	+11.9	+6.8	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abel Valdes (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	194/272/312	118	231	3	0	24%	9%	60	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	39→45	47→45	45	181/267/268	87	282	7	6	36%	9%	49	-1.8	190/265/267	77	299	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	35→45	42→55	45→50	44	176/254/278	102	265	9	7	35%	9%	46	-2.0	196/287/331	135	277	14	9	32%	11%	73	-0.1	224/298/396	172	291	21	8	29%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→50	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	194/272/271	77	286	5	5	31%	9%	52	-1.6	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→49	41→45	46→55	51	216/301/314	97	294	9	7	28%	10%	74	-0.1	230/299/349	119	326	11	11	30%	9%	82	+0.5	228/302/349	121	326	10	15	31%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	53	-1.5	217/280/375	158	316	19	7	36%	7%	82	+0.5	220/290/392	172	269	20	6	26%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→47	42→50	43→50	42	210/262/309	99	277	9	6	27%	6%	56	-1.3	229/287/360	131	315	13	11	30%	7%	80	+0.4	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	40→55	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	59	-1.1	228/295/379	151	303	17	5	29%	7%	89	+1.0	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	63	-0.8	179/241/260	81	267	8	5	34%	7%	35	-2.8	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
✕Omar Martinez 2021 · A	20	43→38	39→45	48→40	47	206/280/291	85	290	7	5	30%	9%	59	-1.1	197/282/309	112	296	12	5	34%	9%	66	-0.6	174/263/292	118	262	14	4	37%	10%	52	-1.0
✕Carlos Soto 2019 · A	20	41	40→50	43→30	45	199/265/285	86	265	8	3	27%	8%	52	-1.6	200/264/298	98	278	9	4	30%	7%	55	-1.4	169/256/291	122	232	12	0	31%	10%	49	-0.8
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→47	39→55	49→30	44	205/276/287	82	282	6	6	28%	7%	56	-1.3	210/273/295	85	266	7	4	22%	7%	57	-1.2	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Colson Montgomery 2022 · A	20	47→46	36→55	44→45	43	214/284/285	71	310	3	5	30%	7%	59	-1.1	214/299/331	117	300	11	4	30%	9%	79	+0.3	191/270/374	184	250	25	4	34%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	50	-1.7	197/299/316	119	271	14	6	30%	9%	76	+0.1	174/315/272	98	251	9	3	30%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.4	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	53	-1.5	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	1	-1.4
✕Joe Mack 2022 · A	19	43→40	39→55	45	49	193/294/276	83	327	6	5	38%	12%	63	-0.9	197/277/301	104	294	12	2	34%	9%	61	-1.0	212/278/383	171	271	23	5	30%	7%	80	+0.3
✕John Whittleman 2007 · A	20	40→43	40→50	46→45	47	196/260/288	92	257	7	7	26%	8%	50	-1.7	204/282/322	118	281	11	4	29%	10%	69	-0.4	197/284/318	121	270	11	2	29%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Creed Willems 2023 · A	20	37→44	40→50	47→30	35	181/239/272	91	272	7	4	35%	4%	37	-2.6	188/250/322	134	253	16	3	32%	6%	56	-1.3	203/272/343	140	248	18	1	26%	7%	68	-0.3