Blaine Bullard

CF Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 20 S/L 6'2" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	ATOR	477	.245/.331/.365	8	37	53	—	.200/.269/.292
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBTOR	587	.204/.268/.306	9	15	62	-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBTOR	151	.211/.276/.323	3	4	69	-0.2
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBTOR	236	.215/.281/.334	5	7	73	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$3M2033Arb-2$5M2034Arb-3$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed93

Max EV77

Whiff%43

K%39

Chase%38

Z-Con%31

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.3, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%

CompsJorge Barrosa (age 20) · Dalton Pompey (age 20) · Allan Castro (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .266 / .304

PA210

HR3

SB6

K%27

BB%7

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$9M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$5M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$7M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.9M		$3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	477	417	102	20	3	8	44	130	10	37	5	245	331	365	695	120	331	27	9	313	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	477	431	86	16	3	6	31	177	10	37	5	200	269	292	561	93	304	37	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	477	431	86	16	3	6	31	177	10	37	5	200	269	292	561	93	316	37	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	477	417	102	20	3	8	44	130	10	37	5	245	331	365	695	120	331	27	9	313	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	477	433	86	16	3	6	31	177	10	37	5	199	269	291	560	92	304	37	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	477	433	86	16	3	6	31	177	10	37	5	199	269	291	560	92	304	37	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	587	536	109	21	3	9	38	161	8	15	3	204	268	306	575	102	271	27	6	260	62	-26	+2	-1	+2	+13	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	439	400	83	16	2	8	30	118	6	12	2	210	275	322	597	112	273	27	7	270	69	-16	+2	-0	+2	+10	-0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	487	443	95	18	3	10	34	128	7	14	3	214	281	333	614	119	275	26	7	276	73	-16	+2	+0	+2	+11	-0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	542	490	107	20	3	12	39	140	8	16	3	217	285	341	626	124	276	26	7	282	77	-15	+2	+1	+2	+12	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	578	523	115	22	3	13	42	147	8	17	3	220	288	348	636	128	278	25	7	286	79	-14	+2	+2	+2	+13	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	590	534	118	22	3	14	43	149	8	17	3	222	290	352	642	130	279	25	7	288	81	-13	+2	+2	+2	+13	0.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	599	542	120	23	3	14	44	151	8	17	3	221	290	352	641	130	278	25	7	288	81	-14	+2	+2	+2	+13	0.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	596	539	120	23	3	14	44	152	8	16	3	220	289	349	638	129	278	26	7	286	80	-14	+2	+2	+2	+13	0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	151	138	29	5	1	3	10	40	2	4	1	211	276	323	599	112	274	26	7	270	69	-6	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	236	215	46	9	1	5	16	62	3	7	1	215	281	334	615	119	276	26	7	277	73	-8	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	294	267	58	11	2	6	21	76	4	8	2	218	285	342	628	124	278	26	7	282	77	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	320	290	64	12	2	7	23	82	4	9	2	221	289	349	637	128	279	26	7	286	79	-8	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	330	298	67	13	2	8	24	83	5	9	2	222	291	353	644	131	280	25	7	289	81	-7	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	337	304	68	13	2	8	25	85	5	9	2	222	291	353	643	130	280	25	7	289	81	-8	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	330	299	65	12	2	7	24	84	4	9	2	221	290	350	640	129	279	25	7	287	80	-8	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1998	1811	397	75	12	44	143	512	27	55	12	219	286	347	633	128	279	26	7	284	74	-52	+6	+4	+7	+43	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	129	24	4	14	47	167	9	18	4	219	287	345	632	126	279	26	7	284	74	-17	+2	+1	+2	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4518	4093	883	168	24	94	321	1220	66	152	26	216	283	337	621	122	281	27	7	278	74	-111	+15	+7	+14	+88	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	127	24	3	14	46	176	9	22	4	216	283	338	620	122	280	27	7	278	74	-18	+2	+1	+2	+14	0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADunedin Blue Jays · 477 PAwOBA .308 → .246 (−61)K% 27.3% → 37.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.25%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	37.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.01%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.030	6.41%
HBP% /PA	2.10%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	1.68%
Singles /BIP	24.74%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.997	×1.030	23.38%
Doubles /BIP	6.97%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.997	×1.030	5.94%
Triples /BIP	1.05%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.997	×1.030	0.98%
Home runs /BIP	2.79%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.030	2.30%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .308 → .246; ISO .120 → .093; BABIP .331 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#3John Shelby'81-'91 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,326 PA	5.0	3,326	70	98	237*	281*	385*	+1	-4	1.7	3.8
/162	664	14	20	+0.1	-0.9	0.3	pk7: 6
#4Gerald Williams'92-'05 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,323 PA	5.0	3,323	85	106	242*	287*	395*	-18	+7	1.9	3.6
/162	664	17	21	-3.5	+1.4	0.4	pk7: 5
#5Luis Matos'00-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,773 PA	2.7	1,773	30	72	245*	304*	365*	+1	+10	3.2	3.2
/162	664	11	27	+0.3	+3.9	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.3	2,208	47	62	218	282	342	-11	+10	-0.4	-0.1
/162	664	14	19	-3.4	+3.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Joe Simpson'75-'83 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	9	45	237*	289*	336*	-9	+2	-2.3	-1.8
/162	664	4	20	-4.0	+1.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blaine Bullard (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	203/266/304	101	271	3	6	27%	7%	62	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Barrosa 2021 · A	20	46→52	38→45	55	45	218/283/303	84	283	5	18	24%	6%	68	-1.0	233/297/347	114	294	9	19	23%	7%	83	+0.1	234/307/360	127	282	11	18	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	41→51	40→45	55	44	198/266/291	93	280	8	16	30%	8%	59	-1.7	243/305/349	106	326	7	24	25%	8%	86	+0.3	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→45	54→50	42	182/250/279	97	263	6	9	32%	7%	50	-2.3	207/280/322	115	282	9	13	28%	9%	71	-0.8	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Danny Mars 2015 · A	21	43→53	40	54→55	43	210/262/297	87	274	7	15	26%	6%	58	-1.7	238/279/308	70	311	4	19	23%	5%	66	-1.1	257/294/328	70	338	3	19	24%	4%	73	-0.4
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Jonatan Clase 2022 · A	20	43→48	40→50	59→65	47	205/283/296	91	289	7	26	30%	9%	66	-1.1	211/287/356	145	315	14	39	35%	9%	82	-0.0	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jansel Luis 2024 · A	19	44→54	41→45	53→55	41	216/268/318	101	271	9	14	23%	5%	65	-1.2	239/284/354	115	319	8	16	26%	5%	79	-0.2	249/291/371	122	332	9	19	27%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→50	41→50	50	45	204/264/307	103	268	7	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	231/294/358	127	293	12	10	24%	7%	84	+0.2	236/284/389	154	280	16	12	22%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2009 · A	20	44→54	41→40	58→55	45	214/276/316	101	271	7	21	23%	6%	68	-1.0	239/308/317	78	289	5	20	18%	8%	80	-0.2	245/318/310	65	292	4	22	16%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Lucius Fox 2017 · A	20	42→50	38→40	55→60	43	198/264/277	79	283	5	20	30%	7%	55	-2.0	217/285/288	71	314	4	22	30%	7%	65	-1.2	194/260/277	83	283	8	24	32%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	43→53	39→45	54→60	42	206/268/296	90	278	5	17	27%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/320	98	295	8	26	26%	5%	69	-0.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	42→52	38→50	52→50	44	203/259/282	79	268	5	14	25%	7%	53	-2.1	228/290/353	125	327	10	8	31%	7%	82	-0.0	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2019 · A	20	43→53	38→45	52→55	42	209/257/289	80	280	6	12	27%	6%	54	-2.0	226/281/328	102	291	8	8	24%	7%	72	-0.7	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Steward Berroa 2018 · A	19	40→50	36→45	52→65	45	189/257/257	67	264	2	17	28%	8%	47	-2.5	204/269/271	67	302	2	17	30%	8%	55	-2.0	227/306/323	96	332	8	52	31%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Michael Beltre 2015 · A	20	40→50	35→45	50→60	43	187/269/245	58	279	2	12	31%	8%	51	-2.3	200/263/276	76	291	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	224/296/341	118	306	9	22	28%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Frainyer Chavez 2019 · A	20	46→47	38→40	54→50	42	217/271/293	76	299	5	21	28%	6%	61	-1.5	207/269/264	57	287	2	13	26%	7%	53	-2.1	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Anthony Alford 2014 · A	20	44→52	40→45	55	45	209/282/305	97	298	6	12	30%	8%	68	-1.0	213/286/308	95	348	7	16	37%	9%	70	-0.8	220/302/313	92	336	7	21	33%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Karexon Sanchez 2008 · A	20	40→47	38→45	50	46	194/262/268	74	258	6	14	26%	8%	52	-2.2	208/274/317	109	299	10	11	32%	7%	68	-1.0	220/298/324	104	305	10	11	29%	8%	76	-0.3
●Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→47	45	53→55	45	210/280/332	122	276	12	11	28%	8%	74	-0.6	194/285/295	101	272	9	22	29%	10%	68	-1.0	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2

Blaine Bullard

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps