Blaine Bullard — OGILVIE

Blaine BullardOF Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 19 S/L 6'2" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION330 act + 220 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .280 / .333

PA220

HR4

SB12

K%32

BB%6

BABIP315

ISO114

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$5M	+$3M
2034	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$5M	+$2M
Totals		$14M		$26M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	TOR	—	330	300	63	13	2	6	19	126	7	30	4	210	273	327	600	117	331	38	6	265	61	-15	+4	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
YTD	19	A	TOR	—	330	291	78	15	3	8	27	89	7	30	4	268	344	423	766	155	354	27	8	339	117	+6	+4	+0	-2	+9	1.9
ROS	19	A	TOR	0%	220	201	44	9	1	4	13	71	4	12	2	219	280	333	613	114	308	32	6	277	70	-7	+2	-0	-1	+6	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		310	—	—	266	62	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	A	TOR	—	330	301	63	13	2	6	19	126	7	30	4	209	273	326	599	116	329	38	6	265	61	-15	+4	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
TOT	19	A	TOR	—	550	501	107	22	3	10	32	197	11	42	6	214	276	329	605	116	324	36	6	270	65	-22	+6	-0	-3	+16	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TOR	34%	570	519	116	22	4	13	37	175	9	20	3	224	287	356	643	133	307	31	6	286	77	-15	+3	-0	-3	+16	0.1
2028	21	MLB	TOR	48%	597	541	122	23	4	14	41	178	10	21	3	226	292	360	653	135	307	30	7	294	83	-12	+3	-0	-4	+17	0.5
2029	22	MLB	TOR	54%	615	557	127	24	4	15	43	179	10	22	3	228	295	366	661	138	307	29	7	298	87	-9	+3	-0	-4	+17	0.8
2030	23	MLB	TOR	57%	628	568	132	25	4	16	45	181	10	22	4	232	300	375	675	143	307	29	7	302	89	-8	+3	-0	-4	+18	0.9
2031	24	MLB	TOR	57%	634	573	134	25	4	17	45	182	11	22	4	234	302	380	683	147	308	29	7	304	90	-7	+3	-0	-4	+18	1.0
2032	25	MLB	TOR	57%	639	577	134	25	4	17	46	183	11	23	4	232	301	378	679	146	308	29	7	305	91	-6	+3	-0	-4	+18	1.1
2033	26	MLB	TOR	56%	642	580	136	26	4	17	46	184	11	23	4	234	303	381	684	147	308	29	7	305	92	-6	+3	-0	-4	+18	1.1
2034	27	MLB	TOR	55%	639	576	134	25	4	17	47	183	11	23	4	233	303	378	681	146	308	29	7	305	92	-6	+3	-0	-4	+18	1.1
2035	28	MLB	TOR	55%	633	570	133	25	4	17	47	182	11	21	3	233	304	381	685	147	307	29	7	304	91	-7	+3	-1	-4	+18	1.0
2036	29	MLB	TOR	53%	621	560	129	24	4	16	46	180	10	19	3	230	300	373	674	143	306	29	7	302	89	-8	+3	-2	-4	+18	0.8
2027	20	MLB	TOR	34%	196	178	40	8	1	4	13	60	3	7	1	225	289	348	637	124	309	31	7	275	69	-7	+1	-0	-1	+6	-0.2
2028	21	MLB	TOR	48%	289	262	60	11	2	7	20	86	5	10	2	229	296	366	663	137	308	30	7	282	74	-8	+1	-0	-2	+8	-0.1
2029	22	MLB	TOR	54%	334	302	69	13	2	8	23	97	6	12	2	228	296	364	660	136	308	29	7	287	78	-8	+2	-0	-2	+9	0.1
2030	23	MLB	TOR	57%	355	321	74	14	2	9	25	102	6	13	2	231	298	371	669	140	309	29	7	290	80	-8	+2	-0	-2	+10	0.2
2031	24	MLB	TOR	57%	358	323	75	14	2	9	26	103	6	13	2	232	301	372	673	139	310	29	7	292	82	-7	+2	-0	-2	+10	0.2
2032	25	MLB	TOR	57%	361	326	76	14	2	10	26	103	6	13	2	233	302	380	682	147	310	29	7	293	83	-7	+2	-0	-2	+10	0.3
2033	26	MLB	TOR	56%	363	328	76	14	2	10	26	104	6	13	2	232	300	378	678	146	309	29	7	294	83	-7	+2	-0	-2	+10	0.3
2034	27	MLB	TOR	55%	354	319	75	14	2	10	26	101	6	13	2	235	305	386	690	150	309	29	7	294	83	-7	+2	-0	-2	+10	0.3
2035	28	MLB	TOR	55%	347	312	73	14	2	9	26	100	6	12	2	234	305	378	683	144	309	29	7	293	82	-7	+2	-0	-2	+10	0.2
2036	29	MLB	TOR	53%	332	298	70	13	2	9	25	96	6	10	2	235	307	383	690	148	308	29	8	291	81	-7	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3289	2970	688	129	19	85	236	952	56	116	19	232	301	374	674	142	309	29	7	290	80	-74	+16	-2	-20	+93	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	136	25	4	17	47	188	11	23	4	232	301	375	676	143	308	29	7	290	80	-15	+3	-0	-4	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	6438	5822	1341	253	41	163	456	1878	108	228	37	230	298	372	670	142	309	29	7	300	88	-90	+31	-4	-39	+182	8.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	135	26	4	16	46	190	11	23	4	230	298	369	667	139	309	29	7	300	88	-9	+3	-0	-4	+18	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,610	92	122	232	296	374	-22	+12	4.7	4.4
	/162	664	17	22	232	296	374	-4.0	+2.2	0.9	pk7: 4
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blaine Bullard (OGILVIE)	19	30→52	25→40	60	47	214/276/329	116	324	10	42	36%	6%	65	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Leody Taveras 2018 · A	19	45→53	39→50	52→55	44	217/261/302	85	268	6	12	21%	6%	53	-1.5	218/262/298	80	293	5	16	26%	6%	52	-1.6	239/291/390	151	301	16	19	25%	6%	88	+0.8
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42	45	53→60	45	210/279/333	123	274	12	11	27%	8%	70	-0.3	194/289/295	101	275	9	22	30%	11%	66	-0.6	172/263/292	120	248	13	35	34%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	245/292/346	101	303	7	14	21%	5%	78	+0.2	237/292/339	102	303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.1	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→50	51→50	47	213/285/285	72	291	5	12	27%	8%	59	-1.1	243/293/354	111	312	8	11	23%	6%	80	+0.4	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2008 · A	19	40→50	42→40	56→55	40	199/252/310	111	278	8	14	30%	6%	52	-1.6	223/287/308	85	277	6	19	20%	7%	66	-0.6	232/302/304	72	281	5	22	18%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Jasson Domínguez 2023 · AA	20	42→52	45→50	56→60	43	204/277/332	129	309	12	20	36%	8%	69	-0.4	234/307/374	140	323	15	28	30%	9%	92	+1.2	244/319/382	138	325	16	33	28%	10%	96	+1.1
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	52→45	43	216/277/348	132	271	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	235/292/359	124	285	14	8	22%	5%	82	+0.5	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→58	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	73	-0.1	221/273/317	96	291	7	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
●Danny Santana 2010 · A	19	42→52	39→60	59→55	41	205/247/303	97	262	5	15	24%	5%	46	-2.0	208/245/300	92	288	6	15	29%	4%	46	-2.0	242/287/452	210	303	27	22	29%	5%	101	+1.1
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	241/291/379	138	314	14	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Henry Ramos 2011 · A	19	47→56	41→50	48→50	41	225/276/322	97	299	8	14	27%	6%	65	-0.7	210/251/308	98	290	8	11	29%	5%	50	-1.7	253/314/397	144	315	16	7	24%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Sean Henry 2006 · A	20	42→52	43→50	55	42	204/270/313	108	299	11	15	34%	8%	61	-1.0	227/282/354	127	289	11	19	24%	6%	76	+0.1	248/301/378	130	297	12	17	20%	6%	88	+0.7
●Leandro Castro 2008 · A	19	43→53	42→55	53→50	44	212/271/311	99	261	10	18	23%	6%	60	-1.0	213/252/312	99	267	9	14	23%	4%	52	-1.6	250/292/410	161	269	20	11	16%	5%	92	+0.9
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1