Miguel Flores

C DSL Astros Orange

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 177 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	37	.156/.270/.219	0	0	-10	—	.091/.189/.121
2025	20	ROKDSL Astros Or…	125	.241/.344/.324	1	0	18	—	.150/.232/.186
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBHOU	235	.222/.288/.299	2	2	67	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBHOU	38	.228/.294/.315	0	0	71	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBHOU	111	.231/.297/.325	1	1	75	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Whiff%99

Z-Con%99

K%95

Chase%65

ISO41

wOBA37

CompsBryan Lavastida (age 22) · Jeferson Morales (age 22) · Blake Hunt (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .285 / .296

PA66

HR0

K%23

BB%7

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1.0M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	32	5	2	0	0	3	9	2	0	0	156	270	219	489	62	217	24	8	239	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	108	26	4	1	1	13	13	4	0	0	241	344	324	668	83	266	10	10	312	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	33	3	1	0	0	2	11	2	0	0	91	189	121	310	30	143	30	5	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	113	17	2	1	0	8	16	4	0	0	150	232	186	418	35	170	13	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	33	3	1	0	0	2	11	2	0	0	91	189	121	310	30	136	30	5	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	32	5	2	0	0	3	9	2	0	0	156	270	219	489	62	217	24	8	239	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	113	17	2	1	0	8	16	4	0	0	150	232	186	418	35	175	13	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	108	26	4	1	1	13	13	4	0	0	241	344	324	668	83	266	10	10	312	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	33	3	1	0	0	2	11	2	0	0	91	189	121	310	30	143	30	5	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	112	17	2	1	0	8	16	4	0	0	152	232	188	419	36	170	13	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	33	3	1	0	0	2	11	2	0	0	91	189	121	310	30	143	30	5	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	112	17	2	1	0	8	16	4	0	0	152	232	188	419	36	170	13	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	235	213	48	8	2	2	16	54	4	2	1	222	288	299	586	77	286	23	7	268	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	110	99	23	4	1	1	8	25	2	1	0	225	291	310	601	85	288	23	7	274	71	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	46%	240	217	50	8	2	3	17	55	4	2	1	228	294	321	615	93	289	23	7	279	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	326	295	68	11	3	4	23	74	5	3	1	229	296	329	625	99	289	23	7	283	78	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	383	347	81	14	3	6	28	87	5	4	2	231	298	336	634	105	289	23	7	286	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	413	374	86	15	3	6	30	94	6	4	2	230	298	337	635	106	289	23	7	287	80	-10	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	429	389	88	15	3	6	31	99	6	4	2	229	296	332	628	103	288	23	7	284	78	-11	+0	-1	+8	+9	0.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	431	391	88	15	3	6	31	101	6	4	3	226	293	326	619	99	286	23	7	280	76	-12	-0	-1	+8	+9	0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	38	34	7	1	0	0	3	9	1	0	0	228	294	315	609	87	292	24	8	277	71	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	46%	111	100	23	4	1	1	8	25	2	1	0	231	297	325	622	95	293	23	7	282	75	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	168	152	35	6	1	2	12	38	2	2	1	232	299	333	632	101	293	23	7	286	78	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	208	188	45	8	2	3	15	47	3	2	1	234	300	340	640	106	293	23	7	289	80	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	224	203	47	8	2	3	16	51	3	2	1	233	301	341	641	107	293	23	7	289	80	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	233	211	49	9	2	3	17	54	3	2	1	231	298	336	634	105	292	23	7	287	78	-6	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	229	207	47	8	2	3	17	53	3	2	2	229	296	330	625	101	290	23	7	283	76	-7	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1211	1095	253	44	10	15	88	277	17	11	6	231	298	331	629	100	294	23	7	286	73	-32	-0	-1	+22	+26	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	136	24	5	8	47	149	9	6	3	231	298	330	628	99	295	23	7	286	73	-17	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2560	2318	517	87	20	32	183	577	41	23	11	223	292	319	611	96	282	23	7	276	73	-65	+0	-2	+43	+52	2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	131	22	5	8	46	147	10	6	3	222	290	317	607	95	281	23	7	276	73	-18	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Al Spohrer'28-'35 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,383 PA	3.6	2,383	6	13	230*	282*	337*	+43	+0	2.6	2.9
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,276	17	12	229	293	330	+23	+16	2.5	2.4
/162	664	9	6	+11.9	+8.3	1.3	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Flores (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	220/285/296	76	286	0	1	23%	7%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→44	38→45	46→55	46	221/290/302	81	298	5	8	26%	8%	70	-0.8	224/291/339	115	293	11	13	26%	7%	79	-0.2	221/293/333	112	282	11	27	24%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	42→47	40→45	47→50	52	201/291/303	102	246	6	8	20%	9%	72	-0.7	201/282/330	129	264	13	9	28%	8%	75	-0.5	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→50	49→40	44	206/262/301	95	270	7	6	26%	6%	59	-1.6	193/252/308	115	279	11	4	33%	6%	58	-1.7	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Stevie Berman 2017 · A	22	45	37→45	48→40	45	211/277/283	72	278	4	6	24%	7%	61	-1.5	211/270/298	87	265	7	4	22%	6%	61	-1.5	204/292/318	114	244	13	2	21%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Dustin Garneau 2010 · A	22	44→38	39→50	51→45	47	208/287/296	88	277	5	6	25%	8%	68	-1.0	202/269/324	122	253	11	5	24%	8%	68	-1.0	178/254/344	166	215	21	0	29%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Aramis Garcia 2015 · A	22	44→42	38→50	49→45	45	207/268/289	81	284	4	6	27%	7%	59	-1.7	212/264/332	120	287	14	3	30%	6%	68	-1.0	213/253/349	135	283	17	0	31%	4%	65	-0.7
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2021 · A	22	43	36→45	50→40	46	202/265/271	69	260	4	5	23%	7%	53	-2.1	217/264/312	95	267	7	4	21%	5%	62	-1.4	233/269/347	114	277	11	0	20%	4%	71	-0.4
✕Nick Fortes 2019 · A	22	43→45	37→45	49→45	50	200/268/274	74	240	4	6	18%	8%	55	-1.9	201/265/295	94	250	8	5	22%	6%	59	-1.6	221/288/344	123	250	15	8	18%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→45	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	70	-0.8	192/278/307	115	300	13	5	37%	9%	68	-1.0	214/298/346	132	289	15	6	29%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	290	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	200/254/277	77	265	5	3	25%	5%	51	-2.3	195/253/281	87	245	8	0	23%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Luis Caicuto 2024 · A	21	48	37→45	46→50	46	223/294/301	78	298	4	6	25%	8%	72	-0.7	210/278/278	68	274	4	6	23%	6%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Chris Denove 2006 · A	23	43	40	46→40	46	208/282/298	90	275	7	5	26%	8%	67	-1.1	197/256/268	71	266	4	4	26%	6%	49	-2.4	242/298/332	90	292	6	3	18%	6%	77	-0.1
✕Robert Mullen 2018 · A	22	43	38→50	51→45	46	203/268/288	85	276	4	6	27%	8%	58	-1.7	214/263/324	110	299	11	4	31%	5%	65	-1.2	211/252/341	130	285	17	0	32%	3%	63	-0.6
✕Luis Alvarez 2012 · A	22	45	39→40	42→45	44	215/273/300	85	266	6	5	21%	6%	63	-1.3	220/272/344	124	281	13	5	26%	5%	74	-0.6	209/252/367	157	250	21	0	26%	3%	69	-0.2
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→45	39→45	49→30	43	213/268/301	88	286	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	234/265/337	103	307	9	2	26%	4%	68	-1.0	244/279/354	110	291	9	0	19%	4%	75	-0.3
✕Kody Huff 2024 · A	23	45→42	39→45	48→45	44	210/281/297	86	301	6	5	30%	8%	65	-1.2	212/281/318	106	292	10	7	29%	8%	71	-0.8	208/282/330	122	275	12	8	27%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2021 · A	22	45	38→40	47→45	46	212/265/289	77	262	5	6	21%	6%	57	-1.8	220/266/308	88	269	9	6	21%	5%	62	-1.4	216/277/308	92	237	10	8	14%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→47	39→45	48→50	45	184/277/270	87	267	6	10	31%	8%	60	-1.6	204/274/301	97	277	7	11	27%	6%	65	-1.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Javier Valdes 2021 · A	22	40	37→55	50→30	45	190/265/263	73	265	4	7	28%	8%	53	-2.1	210/293/324	114	277	11	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	206/302/346	140	255	16	3	25%	9%	84	+0.1

Miguel Flores

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps