Jesus Mejia — OGILVIE

Jesus Mejia P DSL Tigers 1

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 17 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.89

FIP4.89

K%21.0%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	10	0	15	74	13	11	1	0%	1.5	11.9%	18.6%	-6.6%	2.0%	3.60	5.54	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	10	0	15	74	13	11	1	0%	1.5	11.9%	18.6%	-6.6%	2.0%	3.60	5.54	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	10	0	15	74	13	11	1	0%	1.5	17.6%	14.9%	2.7%	1.4%	3.60	4.43	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	13	5	34	149	32	16	3	38%	2.6	14.6%	13.4%	1.2%	0.9%	5.88	4.05	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	13	5	34	149	32	16	3	38%	2.6	14.6%	13.4%	1.2%	0.9%	5.88	4.05	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	13	5	34	149	32	16	3	38%	2.6	21.5%	10.7%	10.7%	2.0%	5.88	3.78	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	DET	16	0	17	72	15	9	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.4%	8.6%	3.0%	4.89	4.89	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	DET	30	0	32	134	30	15	4	0%	1.1	22.2%	11.0%	11.1%	2.9%	4.69	4.60	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	DET	15	0	16	68	15	7	2	0%	1.1	22.2%	11.0%	11.1%	2.9%	4.69	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	66	15	7	2	0%	1.0	22.2%	11.0%	11.1%	2.9%	4.69	4.22	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	90	26	0%	1.1	22.2%	11.0%	11.1%	2.9%	4.69	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		23	5	49	223	31	34	3	22%	2.1	13.7%	15.1%	-1.4%	1.2%	5.18	4.54	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	21	200	916	126	139	11	22%	2.1	13.7%	15.1%	-1.4%	1.2%	5.18	4.54	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jesus Mejia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.89	21.0%	12.4%	3.0%	—	4.60	22.2%	11.1%	32	-0.29	—	—	—
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	84
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	84
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	84
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	83
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	83
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	83
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	82
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	82
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	82
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	82
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	82
Brandon Beckel R 2024 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	19.4%	10.3%	1.8%	.250	4.23	19.5%	10.5%	147	+0.48	3.75	194	82
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	81
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	81
Luis F. Castillo R 2016 · 4.51 FIP	21	SU	4.51	16.7%	10.5%	2.7%	.337	3.50	19.7%	12.3%	96	-1.01	2.95	254	81
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.17	28.8%	15.2%	112	-0.85	3.14	173	81
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	81
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	81
Reiss Knehr R 2018 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	21.3%	12.3%	2.6%	.267	4.86	18.8%	7.2%	171	+0.57	3.36	398	80
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	80