Roiner Cespede

SS DSL Phillies White

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 161 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Phillies …	119	.238/.353/.238	0	4	22	—	.170/.261/.170
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLB—	229	.211/.282/.264	1	3	57	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	42	.215/.287/.278	0	1	62	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLB—	132	.219/.291/.290	1	2	67	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%73

K%65

BB%54

Whiff%41

Z-Con%30

wRC+29

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 19) · Andres Regnault (age 19) · Chris Suero (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA

wRC+57

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .280 / .261

PA64

HR0

K%26

BB%8

ISO52

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	119	101	24	0	0	0	17	22	1	4	2	238	353	238	591		304	18	14	288	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	119	106	18	0	0	0	12	28	1	4	2	170	261	170	430		224	24	10	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	119	106	18	0	0	0	12	28	1	4	2	170	261	170	430		231	24	10	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	119	101	24	0	0	0	17	22	1	4	2	238	353	238	591		304	18	14	288	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	119	105	18	0	0	0	12	28	1	4	2	171	261	171	432		224	24	10	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	119	105	18	0	0	0	12	28	1	4	2	171	261	171	432		224	24	10	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	229	207	43	4	1	1	18	60	2	3	1	211	282	264	545	52	289	26	8	253	57	-12	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	121	109	24	3	1	1	10	31	1	2	0	215	287	278	565	62	290	26	8	261	62	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	48%	272	245	53	6	1	3	22	70	3	4	1	219	291	290	581	71	291	26	8	267	67	-11	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	54%	386	347	77	9	2	5	32	98	4	5	2	222	294	301	595	79	292	25	8	273	71	-13	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	57%	464	418	93	11	2	7	38	117	5	6	2	225	297	310	608	86	293	25	8	277	74	-14	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	515	462	105	13	3	8	43	129	5	7	2	227	300	319	618	92	294	25	8	282	77	-14	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	546	491	112	14	3	9	45	137	5	7	2	227	300	321	621	94	294	25	8	283	78	-15	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	564	506	115	14	3	9	47	141	6	7	3	228	300	323	623	95	294	25	8	283	78	-15	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	570	511	116	14	3	9	48	144	6	7	3	227	299	320	620	94	293	25	8	282	77	-16	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	59%	570	512	116	14	3	9	48	145	5	7	3	225	297	316	613	91	293	25	8	280	75	-17	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	61%	562	505	113	14	3	8	47	144	5	7	3	223	295	310	605	87	292	26	8	276	73	-18	+0	-1	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	42	39	8	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	215	287	278	565	62	290	26	7	261	62	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	48%	132	119	26	3	1	1	11	34	1	2	1	219	291	290	581	71	291	26	8	267	67	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	54%	209	188	42	5	1	3	17	53	2	3	1	222	294	301	595	79	292	25	8	273	71	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	57%	263	236	53	6	1	4	22	66	3	4	1	225	297	310	608	86	293	25	8	277	74	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	291	262	60	7	2	5	24	73	3	4	1	227	300	319	618	92	294	25	8	282	77	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	309	277	64	8	2	5	26	77	3	4	1	227	300	321	621	94	294	25	8	283	78	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	319	286	65	8	2	5	27	80	3	4	1	228	300	323	623	95	294	25	8	283	78	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	316	284	65	8	2	5	26	80	3	4	1	227	299	320	620	94	293	25	8	282	77	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	59%	337	303	68	8	2	5	28	86	3	4	2	225	297	316	613	91	293	26	8	280	75	-10	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	61%	343	309	69	8	2	5	28	88	3	4	2	223	295	310	605	87	292	26	8	276	73	-11	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2561	2303	520	62	15	38	212	648	24	34	11	226	298	315	613	89	296	25	8	279	73	-77	+2	-1	+27	+55	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	133	16	4	10	54	164	6	9	3	227	300	320	619	92	296	25	8	279	73	-19	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4753	4270	953	113	24	68	397	1201	47	64	23	223	296	309	605	85	293	25	8	276	73	-141	+4	-2	+50	+100	1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	129	15	3	9	54	164	6	9	3	221	293	303	596	82	290	25	8	276	73	-20	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.0	2,623	39	34	226	295	314	+28	+18	2.3	2.3
/162	664	10	9	+7.1	+4.6	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roiner Cespede (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	209/280/261	52	289	0	1	26%	8%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Marco Guzman 2014 · A	19	37	35→50	44→50	52	173/258/237	64	224	2	8	22%	9%	45	-2.7	189/250/263	74	224	4	7	16%	7%	46	-2.6	218/259/314	97	279	5	8	23%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	38→40	37→45	47→40	51	178/266/252	74	226	3	8	21%	9%	51	-2.2	196/294/293	97	262	8	6	26%	11%	71	-0.8	190/299/286	95	257	10	4	27%	13%	70	-0.5
✕Frank Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	40	35→45	48→30	48	184/279/246	61	271	2	5	30%	9%	55	-2.0	187/249/270	83	271	7	4	32%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Jose Sibrian 2018 · A	19	41	35→50	48→30	43	193/255/256	63	250	3	5	23%	6%	47	-2.6	192/247/261	69	271	4	5	29%	5%	45	-2.7	195/253/281	87	245	8	0	23%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	44	37→45	46→55	51	205/287/284	78	263	3	8	22%	9%	65	-1.2	197/282/292	95	244	7	14	21%	8%	65	-1.2	200/269/297	97	251	8	12	23%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	40	37→45	45→30	42	191/256/259	68	246	4	5	24%	6%	48	-2.5	210/260/300	90	277	8	4	26%	4%	58	-1.7	184/228/264	80	253	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	41→44	38→50	47→50	54	193/285/279	86	256	5	8	25%	11%	63	-1.3	188/262/304	116	277	10	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	41→44	36→50	48→45	43	194/262/264	70	258	3	9	25%	6%	51	-2.2	218/281/363	145	322	16	4	35%	7%	81	-0.1	210/279/360	150	310	18	4	36%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Daniel Lopez 2011 · A	19	42	35→45	49→60	43	194/267/256	61	260	2	12	24%	6%	52	-2.2	219/280/308	89	280	5	17	22%	6%	68	-1.0	240/299/357	117	293	6	30	19%	5%	83	+0.0

Roiner Cespede

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps