Miguel Valdez

P DSL Arizona Black

Age 20 LHP 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Arizona B…	18	25	9.36	6.18	18.2%	15.2%	—	K 12.4% · BB 18.9% · FIP 7.01
2026	19	ROKDSL Arizona B…	11	10	3.72	3.10	18.4%	12.2%	—	K 18.4% · BB 12.2% · FIP 3.10
2027PROJ	20	MLBARI	14	15	5.24	5.24	21.1%	14.9%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBARI	11	12	5.02	4.93	21.7%	13.1%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsBoone Logan (age 21) · Brendan Nail (age 23) · Enrique Perez (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116125vR 133

ERA5.24

FIP5.24

K%21.1%

BB%14.9%

K-BB%6.2%

Proj IP15

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	18	0	25	132	24	20	5	0%	1.4	12.4%	18.9%	-6.6%	4.6%	9.36	7.01	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	18	0	25	132	24	20	5	0%	1.4	12.4%	18.9%	-6.6%	4.6%	9.36	7.01	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	18	0	25	132	24	20	5	0%	1.4	18.2%	15.2%	3.0%	3.8%	9.36	6.18	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	11	0	10	49	9	6	0	0%	0.9	18.4%	12.2%	6.1%	0.0%	3.72	3.10	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	11	0	10	49	9	6	0	0%	0.9	18.4%	12.2%	6.1%	0.0%	3.72	3.10	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	11	0	10	49	9	6	0	0%	0.9	18.4%	12.2%	6.1%	0.0%	3.72	3.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	ARI	14	0	15	63	13	9	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	14.9%	6.2%	3.0%	5.24	5.24	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ARI	22	0	24	100	22	13	3	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.1%	8.7%	3.0%	5.02	4.93	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	ARI	11	0	12	51	11	7	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.1%	8.7%	3.0%	5.02	4.93	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	49	11	6	1	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.1%	8.7%	3.0%	5.02	4.55	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	103	17	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.1%	8.7%	3.0%	5.02	4.55	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		29	0	35	181	25	31	6	0%	1.2	14.0%	17.1%	-3.1%	3.4%	7.79	5.95	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		167	0	200	1044	146	179	35	0%	1.2	14.0%	17.1%	-3.1%	3.4%	7.79	5.95	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Miguel Valdez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.24	21.1%	14.9%	3.0%	—	4.93	21.7%	8.7%	24	-0.31	—	—	—
Boone Logan L 2006 · 4.69 FIP	21	SU	4.69	16.1%	14.0%	2.1%	.302	4.14	17.2%	10.5%	110	-0.55	2.58	442	83
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	82
Enrique Perez L 2018 · 4.81 FIP	20	SU	4.81	16.2%	14.3%	2.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	133	82
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	82
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	82
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	288	81
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	81
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	81
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	80
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	79
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	79
Peter Bonilla L 2024 · 4.63 FIP	19	SU	4.63	20.9%	18.3%	1.8%	.250	6.24	19.5%	-5.4%	51	+1.61	4.27	134	78
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	78
Tim Collins L 2011 · 4.36 FIP	21	SU	4.36	20.3%	15.6%	1.8%	.255	3.47	25.9%	15.6%	144	-0.89	3.16	297	78
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	78
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.24	22.9%	8.7%	176	+0.05	3.24	203	78
Nick Jones L 2022 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	22.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.284	3.63	21.7%	12.0%	143	-0.58	1.32	201	78
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	78
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.09	225	77
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2021 · 4.55 FIP	21	SU	4.55	25.7%	21.3%	1.7%	.389	5.41	22.7%	0.2%	76	+0.86	2.58	155	77