Cesar Mateo

SS DSL Rangers Blue

Age 18 R/R ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Rangers B…	225	.352/.475/.570	5	46	82	—	.211/.321/.321
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBTEX	335	.210/.289/.308	4	13	70	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBTEX	94	.215/.295/.321	1	4	75	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBTEX	191	.219/.299/.332	3	7	79	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed97

wOBA95

wRC+93

ISO87

Chase%82

Whiff%64

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsCarlos Jorge (age 18) · Adrian Pinto (age 19) · Eduardo Quintero (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 194 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .286 / .305

PA194

HR2

SB8

K%27

BB%9

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$31M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE67

scouting grade only

SPEED80

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	225	179	63	12	6	5	38	50	4	46	12	352	475	570	1.045	218	453	22	17	450	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	225	190	40	7	4	2	27	61	4	46	12	211	321	321	642	111	281	27	12	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	225	190	40	7	4	2	27	61	4	46	12	211	321	321	642	111	290	27	12	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	225	179	63	12	6	5	38	50	4	46	12	352	475	570	1.045	218	453	22	17	450	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	225	192	40	7	4	2	27	61	4	46	12	208	321	318	639	109	281	27	12	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	225	192	40	7	4	2	27	61	4	46	12	208	321	318	639	109	281	27	12	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	335	299	64	11	4	4	30	89	3	13	1	210	289	308	596	97	284	27	9	272	70	-12	+2	+0	+4	+7	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	274	245	52	9	3	3	24	72	3	11	1	215	294	319	613	105	286	26	9	279	75	-8	+2	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2029	20	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	395	352	77	13	4	6	35	103	5	15	2	218	299	329	628	111	288	26	9	285	79	-10	+2	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2030	21	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	485	432	95	16	5	8	43	124	7	18	3	221	302	338	640	116	289	26	9	290	82	-10	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2031	22	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	548	487	110	19	6	10	49	139	7	20	3	224	304	345	649	121	290	25	9	293	85	-10	+3	+0	+6	+12	1.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	592	526	119	21	6	11	53	149	8	22	4	226	306	351	657	124	291	25	9	296	87	-9	+3	+0	+6	+13	1.3
2033	24	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	616	548	124	21	6	12	55	155	8	22	4	227	307	353	660	125	292	25	9	297	87	-9	+3	+0	+7	+13	1.4
2034	25	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	627	558	127	22	6	12	56	157	8	23	4	227	307	353	661	126	292	25	9	298	88	-9	+3	+0	+7	+14	1.4
2035	26	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	635	565	128	22	6	12	57	159	8	23	4	227	307	353	660	126	292	25	9	298	88	-9	+3	+0	+7	+14	1.5
2036	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	634	564	127	22	6	12	57	160	8	22	4	226	306	351	657	125	291	25	9	296	87	-10	+3	+0	+7	+14	1.4
2037	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	629	560	125	22	6	11	56	160	8	21	4	224	304	346	651	122	290	25	9	294	85	-11	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.1
2038	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	619	551	123	21	6	11	55	159	8	20	3	222	302	340	642	118	289	26	9	290	83	-13	+3	-1	+7	+13	0.9
2039	30	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	609	543	119	20	6	10	54	159	7	19	3	219	298	333	631	114	288	26	9	286	80	-15	+3	-2	+7	+13	0.6
2040	31	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	595	531	114	19	6	9	52	157	7	17	3	215	294	323	617	108	285	26	9	280	76	-17	+2	-3	+6	+13	0.2
2041	32	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	576	515	108	18	5	8	50	155	6	15	4	210	288	312	600	101	281	27	9	273	71	-20	+1	-4	+6	+12	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	94	85	18	3	1	1	8	25	1	4	0	215	295	321	616	106	286	27	9	280	75	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	191	170	37	6	2	3	17	50	2	7	1	219	299	332	631	113	288	26	9	286	79	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	263	234	53	9	3	5	23	67	4	10	2	222	303	341	644	119	289	25	9	291	82	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	310	275	62	10	3	6	28	79	4	11	2	225	305	349	654	124	290	25	9	295	85	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	341	303	68	11	3	7	30	86	5	12	2	227	307	355	662	128	291	25	9	298	87	-5	+2	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	351	312	72	12	4	7	31	88	5	13	2	228	308	357	665	129	291	25	9	299	87	-5	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	356	316	72	12	4	7	32	89	5	13	2	228	308	357	666	129	292	25	9	300	88	-5	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2035	26	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	359	319	73	12	4	7	32	90	5	13	2	228	308	357	665	129	291	25	9	300	88	-5	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	352	312	72	12	4	7	32	89	5	12	2	227	307	355	662	128	291	25	9	298	87	-6	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2037	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	345	307	69	11	3	7	31	88	4	12	2	225	305	350	655	125	290	26	9	296	85	-6	+2	-0	+4	+7	0.6
2038	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	331	294	65	11	3	6	30	85	4	11	2	223	302	344	646	121	289	26	9	292	83	-7	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	321	286	63	10	3	6	28	84	4	10	2	220	299	336	635	116	287	26	9	288	80	-8	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2040	31	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	310	276	60	10	3	5	27	82	4	9	2	216	294	326	621	111	285	26	9	282	76	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2041	32	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	299	268	56	9	3	4	26	80	3	8	2	211	288	314	603	104	281	27	9	274	71	-10	+1	-2	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4223	3757	840	138	43	78	375	1082	55	145	25	224	303	345	649	122	291	26	9	292	82	-85	+19	-6	+45	+91	6.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	129	21	7	12	58	167	8	22	4	223	303	346	649	123	290	26	9	292	82	-13	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	8253	7340	1624	278	83	139	740	2121	104	322	59	221	302	339	640	117	290	26	9	290	82	-168	+36	-10	+86	+174	12.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	129	22	7	11	58	167	8	25	5	223	302	343	645	119	293	26	9	290	82	-14	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#2Freddie Patek'68-'81 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,246 PA	9.4	6,246	41	385	242*	311*	356*	+66	-5	14.7	15.3
/162	664	4	41	+7.0	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 16
#3Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
#4Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.7	4,418	75	151	223	299	341	+47	+24	9.7	8.3
/162	664	11	23	+7.1	+3.6	1.5	pk7: 7
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cesar Mateo (OGILVIE)	18	40→45	35→40	79→80	67	208/286/305	97	284	2	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jorge 2022 · A	18	46→56	39→45	62→60	49	216/288/319	103	277	5	24	23%	8%	73	-0.6	208/282/338	130	299	12	26	32%	8%	76	-0.4	193/266/325	132	285	13	29	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Adrian Pinto 2022 · A	19	49	38→45	60→65	58	225/314/315	90	253	4	32	13%	10%	82	+0.0	225/310/318	93	284	5	23	21%	9%	82	-0.0	231/312/342	111	292	7	11	21%	9%	84	+0.0
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Nelson Rada 2024 · A	18	52→61	36→30	60	51	240/329/312	72	318	3	29	23%	9%	87	+0.4	246/323/306	60	340	2	33	26%	9%	83	+0.1	255/332/312	57	351	2	38	25%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Eddy Diaz 2018 · A	18	46→53	36→40	60→65	50	213/281/286	73	264	2	29	19%	8%	63	-1.4	212/286/288	76	250	2	35	15%	9%	65	-1.2	221/285/287	66	293	2	43	24%	6%	62	-0.9
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	50→54	36→45	60→55	50	229/296/300	71	270	2	24	15%	7%	72	-0.7	231/278/311	80	292	4	22	21%	5%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Jorge Mateo 2014 · A	19	39→49	39→50	60→65	49	190/263/275	84	238	6	30	22%	8%	54	-2.0	208/262/297	89	288	5	36	27%	6%	58	-1.7	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Charlie Culberson 2008 · A	19	45→54	38→45	60→50	41	212/274/296	84	304	4	18	30%	6%	63	-1.4	218/263/298	80	292	5	11	26%	5%	58	-1.7	253/299/420	167	321	18	9	26%	5%	101	+0.6
✕Delino DeShields 2013 · A	20	47→56	42→45	61→65	45	227/292/330	103	308	9	36	28%	8%	77	-0.3	238/310/344	106	319	7	37	26%	8%	87	+0.4	239/317/344	105	318	6	38	24%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jett Williams 2024 · AA	20	44→48	45→50	60→55	54	209/324/338	129	296	11	25	30%	12%	93	+0.8	216/310/345	129	299	10	23	28%	11%	88	+0.4	214/300/348	134	288	11	26	27%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Monte Harrison 2015 · A	19	46→45	36→50	59→60	45	208/296/275	67	310	3	25	31%	8%	68	-1.0	186/255/278	92	313	8	16	40%	6%	53	-2.1	201/270/324	123	349	15	41	43%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2009 · A	19	44→54	37→45	58→60	48	208/269/282	74	252	4	24	19%	7%	57	-1.8	242/293/325	83	287	5	28	16%	6%	75	-0.5	278/316/373	95	318	7	16	14%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Luigi Rodriguez 2011 · A	18	44→49	37→50	59→55	52	205/277/291	86	252	3	23	19%	9%	63	-1.4	224/277/314	90	328	6	17	31%	7%	67	-1.1	226/267/359	133	345	15	15	38%	5%	72	-0.4
✕Jay Allen II 2023 · A	20	44→47	40→45	60→55	44	207/294/300	93	300	7	32	30%	8%	72	-0.7	192/283/280	88	280	8	28	32%	8%	64	-1.3	202/286/304	103	275	11	24	29%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	45→48	36→50	56→50	48	210/272/282	72	247	3	16	16%	6%	59	-1.7	217/279/313	96	271	9	15	22%	6%	69	-0.9	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Kyren Paris 2022 · A	20	48→49	43→45	60	42	210/293/328	118	366	9	24	41%	9%	78	-0.3	204/293/331	127	327	12	29	37%	10%	79	-0.2	189/282/319	130	294	14	35	37%	10%	71	-0.5
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕José Peraza 2014 · A	20	53→63	36→45	61→65	44	248/288/316	68	295	2	33	17%	4%	71	-0.8	275/301/357	82	318	4	36	14%	3%	85	+0.2	275/311/366	91	307	8	25	13%	4%	91	+0.7
✕Andrew Velazquez 2013 · A	19	47→53	38→50	60	41	214/274/305	90	332	3	20	34%	7%	64	-1.3	228/282/312	84	346	4	17	32%	7%	68	-1.0	226/274/363	137	318	12	31	31%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8

Cesar Mateo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps