Gabriel Lopez

C ACL Rockies

Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 169 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKCOL	105	.214/.365/.345	1	1	29	—	.133/.250/.222
2026	20	ROKCOL	132	.274/.364/.434	3	0	51	—	.195/.264/.305
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBCOL	242	.203/.272/.292	3	3	60	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBCOL	66	.219/.287/.330	1	1	65	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBCOL	149	.223/.291/.341	3	2	69	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO69

Whiff%67

Z-Con%66

K%50

wRC+48

wOBA41

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsTomás Nido (age 21) · Aaron McKeithan (age 22) · Francisco Acuna (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 110 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .270 / .290

PA110

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	122	102	18	2	0	0	14	31	4	2	2	176	300	196	496	20	254	25	11	244	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	105	84	18	6	1	1	18	22	2	1	2	214	365	345	711	131	279	21	17	328	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	132	113	31	7	1	3	14	28	2	0	0	274	364	434	798	159	337	21	11	350	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	122	107	12	1	0	0	9	38	4	2	2	112	208	121	330	9	170	31	7	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	105	90	12	3	1	1	12	26	2	1	2	133	250	222	472	89	172	25	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	132	118	23	5	1	2	9	40	2	0	0	195	264	305	569	110	258	30	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	122	107	12	1	0	0	9	38	4	2	2	112	208	121	330	9	174	31	7	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	122	102	18	2	0	0	14	31	4	2	2	176	300	196	496	20	254	25	11	244	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	105	90	12	3	1	1	12	26	2	1	2	133	250	222	472	89	175	25	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	105	84	18	6	1	1	18	22	2	1	2	214	365	345	711	131	279	21	17	328	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	132	118	23	5	1	2	9	40	2	0	0	195	264	305	569	110	273	30	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	132	113	31	7	1	3	14	28	2	0	0	274	364	434	798	159	337	21	11	350	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	122	108	12	1	0	0	9	38	4	2	2	111	208	120	329	9	170	31	7	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	105	90	12	3	1	1	12	26	2	1	2	133	250	222	472	89	172	25	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	132	120	23	5	1	2	9	40	2	0	0	192	264	300	564	108	258	30	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	122	108	12	1	0	0	9	38	4	2	2	111	208	120	329	9	170	31	7	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	105	90	12	3	1	1	12	26	2	1	2	133	250	222	472	89	172	25	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	132	120	23	5	1	2	9	40	2	0	0	192	264	300	564	108	258	30	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	COL	0%	242	219	45	8	2	3	18	68	3	3	1	203	272	292	564	89	278	28	7	257	60	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	COL	34%	191	173	36	6	1	3	14	53	2	3	1	208	277	305	581	97	280	28	7	264	65	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	COL	48%	307	278	59	11	2	5	23	84	3	5	2	211	280	315	595	104	281	27	7	270	69	-11	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	COL	53%	389	352	77	14	3	7	30	105	4	7	2	214	284	323	607	109	283	27	8	275	72	-13	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	COL	55%	436	394	85	15	3	8	34	117	5	7	3	216	286	329	615	113	283	27	8	278	74	-13	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	465	421	92	17	3	9	36	123	5	8	3	218	288	333	621	116	283	26	8	280	76	-13	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.5
2033	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	478	433	94	17	3	9	37	127	5	8	3	216	287	330	617	114	283	27	8	279	75	-14	+0	+0	+9	+10	0.5
2034	28	MLB MLE	COL	55%	481	436	94	17	3	9	37	129	5	7	3	215	284	326	610	111	282	27	8	276	73	-16	+0	-1	+9	+10	0.3
2035	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	477	432	91	16	3	8	37	130	5	7	3	212	282	319	601	107	280	27	8	272	70	-17	+0	-1	+9	+10	0.1
2036	30	MLB MLE	COL	53%	470	426	90	16	3	8	36	129	5	6	4	209	278	312	590	103	278	27	8	268	67	-18	-0	-2	+8	+10	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	COL	34%	66	60	13	2	1	1	5	18	1	1	0	219	287	330	617	111	294	27	8	278	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	COL	48%	149	135	30	5	1	3	11	41	2	2	1	223	291	341	632	118	296	28	7	284	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	COL	53%	205	185	42	7	2	4	16	55	2	3	1	226	294	350	644	124	297	27	8	289	72	-7	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	COL	55%	239	216	49	9	2	5	18	64	3	4	2	228	297	356	653	128	298	27	8	293	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	259	234	53	10	2	5	20	69	3	4	2	230	299	361	659	131	298	27	8	295	76	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	263	238	54	10	2	5	20	70	3	4	2	228	297	358	655	129	297	27	8	294	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	COL	55%	263	238	54	10	2	5	20	71	3	4	2	226	295	352	647	126	296	27	8	291	73	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	254	229	51	9	2	5	20	69	3	4	2	223	292	345	637	122	294	27	8	286	70	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.0
2036	30	MLB CTX	COL	53%	247	224	49	9	2	4	19	68	2	3	2	220	288	336	624	116	292	28	8	281	67	-10	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1945	1759	395	71	16	37	149	525	22	29	14	225	293	346	639	122	297	27	8	289	67	-65	+0	-2	+35	+42	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	132	24	5	12	50	175	7	10	5	224	293	344	637	119	297	27	8	289	67	-22	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4163	3760	786	142	27	70	322	1132	48	62	29	209	280	317	597	108	278	27	8	268	67	-129	+2	-4	+68	+82	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	122	22	4	11	50	177	7	10	5	208	278	315	593	107	276	27	8	268	67	-22	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,054	35	32	214	281	323	+37	+24	2.5	2.4
/162	664	11	10	+11.9	+7.8	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Lopez (OGILVIE)	21	38→43	36→41	43→48	57	202/270/290	88	278	1	1	28%	7%	60	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→45	39→45	49→30	43	213/268/301	88	286	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	234/265/337	103	307	9	2	26%	4%	68	-1.0	244/279/354	110	291	9	0	19%	4%	75	-0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2021 · A	21	44→47	37→45	49→50	42	209/268/285	76	291	4	7	28%	6%	58	-1.7	192/272/283	91	271	6	10	30%	7%	60	-1.6	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	45→41	39→45	46→40	43	217/266/297	81	277	7	6	24%	6%	59	-1.6	224/295/328	104	296	9	4	26%	8%	78	-0.3	216/291/318	102	282	9	2	25%	8%	72	-0.4
✕José Alvarez 2021 · A	21	45	36→40	49→50	43	213/268/283	70	286	3	6	26%	6%	57	-1.8	223/273/288	65	326	3	9	30%	6%	59	-1.6	234/283/282	48	330	2	10	28%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	41→51	40	47→55	43	199/261/283	85	276	8	11	30%	7%	55	-1.9	223/280/299	76	311	6	16	28%	7%	65	-1.2	239/306/325	86	316	6	16	24%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Gioskar Amaya 2014 · A	21	44→49	39→40	49→50	40	209/263/301	92	290	5	9	29%	5%	59	-1.6	208/274/287	79	291	5	10	28%	7%	61	-1.5	200/270/271	71	280	5	10	28%	7%	53	-1.4
✕Jio Mier 2012 · A	21	42→44	39→40	46→50	45	201/269/283	82	277	6	9	28%	8%	58	-1.7	201/266/277	76	275	6	9	27%	8%	55	-1.9	196/252/279	82	253	6	7	24%	6%	48	-1.3
✕Jose Cordoba 2024 · A	21	43	40	47→55	41	208/265/304	96	287	7	9	29%	6%	61	-1.5	202/256/294	92	268	6	14	26%	5%	55	-1.9	190/244/281	91	247	7	18	25%	5%	45	-1.2
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	40→50	39→45	52→50	41	192/253/281	89	260	5	10	27%	6%	51	-2.2	222/270/312	90	297	7	9	26%	5%	64	-1.3	254/293/350	97	308	8	4	20%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Jair Fernandez 2008 · A	21	44	39→40	49→30	45	210/271/297	86	271	6	6	24%	7%	61	-1.5	220/275/309	89	284	6	4	23%	6%	65	-1.2	209/278/304	95	270	8	1	24%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2019 · A	21	43→44	37→40	48→50	45	203/266/276	74	281	5	7	28%	8%	55	-1.9	190/267/267	77	281	5	14	31%	9%	54	-2.0	202/287/292	90	293	7	15	31%	10%	64	-0.7
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	44→54	39→45	50	42	209/270/300	91	293	6	11	29%	7%	62	-1.4	235/286/340	105	319	10	10	28%	6%	77	-0.3	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	42→46	40→45	47→60	43	203/269/295	92	295	8	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	197/255/288	91	320	7	24	38%	7%	53	-2.1	210/270/327	118	310	11	32	34%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Liover Peguero 2021 · A	20	45→49	38→45	50→55	41	212/263/292	80	293	5	9	28%	6%	57	-1.8	229/272/346	117	315	12	22	30%	5%	73	-0.6	229/273/352	123	303	13	24	28%	5%	72	-0.6
✕Imeldo Diaz 2019 · A	21	44	41→40	46→45	41	215/264/307	91	269	9	5	23%	5%	61	-1.5	231/265/311	80	306	5	5	25%	4%	61	-1.5	238/261/300	62	316	3	2	25%	2%	55	-0.6
✕Keyber Rodriguez 2022 · A	21	44→47	40→45	48→50	40	213/267/308	95	296	7	8	30%	6%	63	-1.4	208/255/293	85	281	7	13	27%	5%	54	-2.0	212/256/312	100	274	9	12	25%	5%	58	-1.4
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	75	292	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	193/262/269	76	307	6	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Joshwan Wright 2022 · A	21	46	39→40	47→45	43	218/271/302	84	279	6	6	23%	6%	63	-1.4	224/270/303	79	284	4	6	21%	5%	62	-1.4	231/272/299	68	288	2	5	20%	4%	59	-0.7
✕Noah Miller 2024 · A	21	40→47	38→40	51→50	47	191/267/270	79	268	5	11	29%	9%	55	-2.0	217/269/299	82	278	6	6	23%	7%	61	-1.5	224/272/309	85	279	7	4	21%	6%	63	-1.2

Gabriel Lopez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps