Gabriel Lopez — OGILVIE

Gabriel LopezC ACL Rockies

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 169 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION132 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .231 / .167

PA13

HR0

K%31

BB%8

BABIP286

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	122	102	18	2	0	0	14	31	4	2	2	176	300	196	496	20	254	25	11	244	51	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2025	19	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	105	84	18	6	1	1	18	22	2	1	2	214	365	345	711	131	279	21	17	328	108	+1	-1	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	122	108	13	1	0	0	8	45	4	2	2	120	208	130	338	9	203	37	7	163	-4	-15	-0	—	—	+3	-1.3
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	105	91	14	4	1	1	11	31	2	1	2	154	260	253	512	99	209	30	10	225	38	-8	-1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	122	108	13	1	0	0	8	45	4	2	2	120	208	130	338	9	206	37	7	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	122	102	18	2	0	0	14	31	4	2	2	176	300	196	496	20	254	25	11	244	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	105	91	14	4	1	1	11	31	2	1	2	154	260	253	512	99	220	30	10	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	105	84	18	6	1	1	18	22	2	1	2	214	365	345	711	131	279	21	17	328	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	122	109	13	1	0	0	8	45	4	2	2	119	208	128	337	9	203	37	7	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	105	91	14	4	1	1	11	31	2	1	2	154	260	253	512	99	209	30	10	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	122	109	13	1	0	0	8	45	4	2	2	119	208	128	337	9	203	37	7	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	105	91	14	4	1	1	11	31	2	1	2	154	260	253	512	99	209	30	10	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	COL	—	132	118	23	5	1	2	9	40	2	0	0	195	264	305	569	110	273	30	7	245	52	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	COL	—	132	113	31	7	1	3	14	28	2	0	0	274	364	434	798	159	337	21	11	350	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	COL	0%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	167	231	167	397		271	31	8	256	59	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	COL	—	145	130	25	5	1	2	10	44	2	0	0	192	261	292	553	100	271	30	7	246	53	-8	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	COL	34%	199	180	37	7	1	3	15	54	2	3	1	206	274	306	580	100	273	27	8	266	66	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	COL	48%	325	293	62	12	2	6	25	87	4	5	2	212	283	328	610	116	275	27	8	273	71	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	COL	54%	410	371	79	15	2	8	31	108	5	7	2	213	283	329	611	116	277	26	8	278	74	-12	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	COL	55%	468	423	91	17	3	9	36	123	6	8	3	215	286	333	619	118	278	26	8	281	76	-13	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	COL	56%	500	451	97	18	3	10	39	131	6	9	3	215	286	335	621	120	278	26	8	282	77	-14	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	518	467	101	19	3	11	40	136	6	9	3	216	287	340	627	124	278	26	8	282	77	-14	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	COL	60%	520	468	101	19	3	11	41	136	6	9	3	216	287	340	627	124	278	26	8	282	77	-14	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	COL	62%	520	467	100	19	3	10	42	137	6	9	3	214	287	332	619	118	277	26	8	281	76	-15	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	COL	63%	518	465	100	19	3	10	42	138	6	9	3	215	288	333	622	118	276	27	8	279	75	-15	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	COL	63%	509	457	97	18	3	10	41	137	6	9	3	212	286	330	616	118	275	27	8	276	73	-16	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2037	31	MLB MLE	COL	65%	481	433	90	17	2	9	39	131	6	8	3	208	282	319	601	111	273	27	8	272	70	-17	+0	-3	+9	+10	-0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	COL	34%	68	62	14	3	1	1	5	19	1	1	0	226	294	355	649	129	288	28	7	272	66	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	COL	48%	157	142	31	6	1	3	12	42	2	2	1	218	288	338	626	120	291	27	8	280	71	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	COL	54%	222	200	46	9	2	5	17	59	3	4	1	230	300	370	670	140	293	27	8	285	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	COL	55%	259	234	53	10	2	6	20	68	3	5	2	226	296	363	659	137	294	26	8	288	76	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	COL	56%	280	253	57	11	2	6	22	73	3	5	2	225	295	356	651	130	294	26	8	289	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	291	262	61	12	2	7	23	76	4	5	2	233	304	374	679	141	294	26	8	289	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	COL	60%	310	279	63	12	2	7	24	81	4	6	2	226	296	358	655	133	294	26	8	289	77	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	COL	62%	321	288	65	13	2	7	26	85	4	6	2	226	299	358	656	132	293	26	8	288	76	-9	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	COL	63%	325	292	66	13	2	7	26	86	4	6	2	226	298	356	654	130	292	26	8	286	75	-10	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	COL	63%	323	290	64	12	2	7	26	87	4	5	2	221	294	348	642	128	290	27	8	283	73	-10	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	COL	65%	313	281	62	12	2	6	25	85	4	5	2	221	294	342	635	121	288	27	8	278	70	-11	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2869	2583	582	113	20	62	226	761	36	50	18	225	297	357	653	131	293	27	8	285	72	-87	+3	-4	+51	+62	2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	133	26	5	14	51	172	8	11	4	227	298	361	658	133	296	26	8	285	72	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5208	4686	984	185	29	98	411	1398	65	88	33	210	283	325	607	115	275	27	8	275	72	-151	+5	-7	+89	+108	4.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	123	23	4	12	51	174	8	11	4	210	282	325	607	115	276	27	8	275	72	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.5	2,971	57	51	214	283	331	+53	+28	4.6	4.2
/162	664	13	11	+11.9	+6.3	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Lopez (OGILVIE)	20	30→35	34→39	44→49	53	197/266/291	93	271	1	1	28%	7%	59	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	40	-3.1	206/263/285	79	260	5	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	227/270/319	92	275	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	47	-2.5	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	39	39→45	47→50	45	192/256/277	84	251	7	8	26%	7%	52	-2.2	210/290/338	128	295	14	8	31%	9%	79	-0.2	177/254/299	122	259	13	14	35%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	53	-2.1	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	68	-1.0	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→50	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	52	-2.2	204/247/318	114	284	10	6	31%	5%	57	-1.8	161/223/251	90	239	8	7	35%	7%	32	-1.1
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	41	-3.0	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	24	-1.1
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	57	-1.8	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	49	-2.4	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	11	-1.2
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	56	-1.9	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	56	-1.9	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	75	-0.2
✕Frank Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	40	36→45	48→30	43	191/262/259	68	272	4	4	30%	7%	50	-2.3	182/239/268	86	269	8	4	34%	5%	43	-2.8	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Marco Guzman 2015 · A	20	41	39→45	44→50	48	196/264/281	85	246	6	7	22%	8%	56	-1.9	216/262/303	87	264	5	7	19%	6%	59	-1.7	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Alex Murphy 2015 · A	20	42→37	39→45	49→40	42	201/258/288	87	277	5	8	28%	6%	55	-2.0	199/255/314	115	292	11	3	34%	6%	60	-1.6	186/246/308	123	270	13	1	35%	6%	52	-1.2
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/249/281	94	269	8	13	32%	6%	51	-2.3	196/261/274	78	315	7	10	37%	7%	53	-2.1	188/258/263	75	295	9	10	37%	7%	47	-1.2
✕Alexis Wilson 2017 · A	20	39	37→40	49→30	45	188/257/266	78	249	4	3	25%	7%	50	-2.3	202/263/285	83	265	6	4	24%	7%	56	-1.9	212/265/301	89	256	9	1	20%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	42→45	49→40	40	191/253/297	106	266	9	5	31%	6%	55	-1.9	201/259/305	104	303	9	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	191/250/291	100	290	9	2	35%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	55	-2.0	224/279/352	128	280	13	10	24%	6%	78	-0.3	225/276/353	127	282	14	8	25%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	191/260/268	77	304	6	15	36%	7%	51	-2.2	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps