Gabriel Lopez — OGILVIE

Gabriel LopezC ACL Rockies

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 169 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION122 act + 81 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .258 / .283

PA81

HR1

K%30

BB%7

BABIP264

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.6M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	122	109	13	1	0	0	7	45	4	2	2	119	200	128	328	9	203	37	6	161	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	122	102	18	2	0	0	14	31	4	2	2	176	300	196	496	20	254	25	11	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	105	91	14	4	1	1	11	30	2	1	2	154	260	253	512	99	217	29	10	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	105	84	18	6	1	1	18	22	2	1	2	214	365	345	711	131	279	21	17	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	COL	—	122	110	20	3	1	2	9	40	1	0	0	182	250	282	532	100	261	33	7	237	40	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
YTD	20	ROK	COL	—	122	105	28	5	1	3	14	28	1	0	0	267	358	419	777	152	333	23	11	344	121	+3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.9
ROS	20	ROK	COL	0%	81	74	14	2	1	1	6	24	1	1	0	188	258	283	541	94	268	30	7	251	50	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	COL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		288	—	—	260	57	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	COL	—	122	111	20	3	1	2	9	40	1	0	0	180	250	279	529	99	257	33	7	237	40	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
TOT	20	ROK	COL	—	203	184	34	5	2	3	15	64	2	1	0	184	253	282	535	98	262	31	7	243	44	-13	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	COL	34%	233	211	43	8	1	4	18	66	2	3	1	204	273	308	581	104	273	28	8	263	59	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2028	22	MLB	COL	48%	351	317	66	12	2	6	27	97	4	6	2	208	279	315	594	107	275	28	8	271	65	-14	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.3
2029	23	MLB	COL	54%	428	387	82	15	3	8	33	116	5	7	3	212	282	328	611	116	277	27	8	275	69	-15	+0	+0	+8	+12	0.5
2030	24	MLB	COL	55%	480	434	93	17	3	10	38	129	5	8	3	214	285	336	622	122	278	27	8	278	71	-16	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.7
2031	25	MLB	COL	56%	508	457	98	18	3	10	40	137	6	9	3	214	286	333	619	118	278	27	8	279	72	-16	+1	+0	+9	+14	0.8
2032	26	MLB	COL	56%	520	468	101	18	3	11	41	140	6	9	3	216	287	338	625	122	278	27	8	279	72	-17	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.8
2033	27	MLB	COL	60%	520	467	100	18	3	11	42	140	6	9	3	214	287	336	624	122	278	27	8	279	72	-17	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.8
2034	28	MLB	COL	62%	520	467	99	18	3	10	42	141	6	9	3	212	285	328	613	116	277	27	8	278	71	-17	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.7
2035	29	MLB	COL	63%	519	466	98	17	3	10	42	142	6	9	3	210	284	324	608	114	276	27	8	276	70	-18	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.5
2036	30	MLB	COL	63%	510	457	96	17	3	10	42	140	6	9	3	210	285	326	611	116	275	27	8	273	67	-19	+1	-2	+9	+14	0.3
2037	31	MLB	COL	65%	482	435	90	16	3	9	39	134	5	8	3	207	280	320	599	113	272	28	8	269	64	-19	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.0
2027	21	MLB	COL	34%	80	73	16	3	1	1	6	23	1	1	0	219	287	329	616	110	293	29	8	273	67	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	22	MLB	COL	48%	170	153	34	6	1	4	13	47	2	3	1	222	292	353	645	131	296	28	8	281	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2029	23	MLB	COL	54%	232	209	48	9	2	5	18	63	3	4	1	230	300	364	664	134	298	27	8	286	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2030	24	MLB	COL	55%	266	240	55	10	2	6	21	72	3	5	2	229	299	362	662	133	299	27	8	289	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2031	25	MLB	COL	56%	284	257	60	11	2	7	22	76	3	5	2	233	301	374	675	140	299	27	8	290	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2032	26	MLB	COL	56%	292	264	61	11	2	7	23	79	3	5	2	231	300	367	667	136	299	27	8	290	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	27	MLB	COL	60%	310	279	64	12	2	7	25	84	3	6	2	229	300	362	662	133	299	27	8	290	80	-7	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.8
2034	28	MLB	COL	62%	321	288	66	12	2	7	26	87	4	6	2	229	302	358	660	128	298	27	8	289	80	-7	+0	-0	+6	+9	0.8
2035	29	MLB	COL	63%	325	292	66	12	2	7	26	89	4	6	2	226	298	353	651	127	297	27	8	287	78	-8	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.7
2036	30	MLB	COL	63%	324	291	66	12	2	7	26	89	4	5	2	227	299	354	653	127	296	27	8	284	76	-9	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.5
2037	31	MLB	COL	65%	313	282	63	11	2	7	25	87	3	5	2	223	294	351	645	128	293	28	8	280	72	-10	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2917	2629	599	109	20	65	231	796	33	51	18	228	298	359	657	131	299	27	8	287	78	-74	+3	-4	+52	+83	6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	132	24	4	14	51	177	7	11	4	225	295	352	646	126	296	27	8	287	78	-17	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	5379	4840	1007	181	32	101	428	1481	64	90	34	208	281	321	602	113	276	28	8	272	66	-207	+4	-7	+96	+152	4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	122	22	4	12	52	179	8	11	4	209	282	321	604	113	277	28	8	272	66	-25	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	122	102	18	2	0	0	14	31	4	2	2	176	300	196	496	20	254	25	11	244	45	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2025	19	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	105	84	18	6	1	1	18	22	2	1	2	214	365	345	711	131	279	21	17	328	109	+1	-1	—	—	+3	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,036	58	52	212	280	327	+54	+28	3.2	3.0
	/162	664	13	11	212	280	327	+11.9	+6.1	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Lopez (OGILVIE)	20	29→34	34→39	44→49	53	184/253/282	98	262	3	1	31%	7%	44	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	32	-3.0	206/263/288	82	261	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	226/269/325	99	274	9	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40→37	40	50→40	50	194/278/287	93	254	6	9	25%	9%	58	-1.2	189/282/293	104	252	11	4	27%	11%	62	-0.9	173/268/275	101	223	12	2	27%	11%	50	-1.2
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	50	-1.7	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	50	-1.7	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	47	-1.9	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.8	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	42	-2.3	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	-1	-1.2
✕Marco Guzman 2015 · A	20	41	39→45	44→50	48	196/264/281	85	246	6	7	22%	8%	50	-1.7	217/263/307	90	264	5	7	19%	6%	55	-1.4	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	33	-2.9	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	36	-2.7	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	14	-1.1
✕Daniel Santos 2019 · A	20	41	39→45	45→40	41	197/262/285	88	270	7	5	28%	6%	50	-1.7	200/262/282	82	300	5	6	33%	6%	50	-1.8	141/209/188	47	235	0	5	37%	5%	1	-0.9
✕Deivi Mejia 2010 · A	20	40	41→40	46→30	41	197/265/294	97	276	9	5	30%	6%	54	-1.4	205/261/294	89	269	7	4	25%	6%	52	-1.6	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	49	-1.8	224/280/353	129	280	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.0	226/277/353	127	285	14	8	25%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	49→40	40	193/254/304	111	268	10	5	31%	6%	53	-1.5	201/260/303	102	309	9	3	36%	6%	54	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→40	43→50	47→55	47	208/276/316	107	257	11	9	23%	7%	64	-0.8	211/277/355	144	271	15	17	27%	7%	75	-0.0	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	40	-2.4	186/288/267	81	287	6	15	33%	11%	59	-1.1	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4