Gabriel Lopez

C ACL Rockies
Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 169 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1642ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKCOL122.176/.300/.19602-6—.112/.208/.121
202519ROKCOL105.214/.365/.3451129—.133/.250/.222
202620ROKCOL132.274/.364/.4343051—.195/.264/.305
2027PROJMLE21MLBCOL242.203/.272/.29233600.0
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBCOL41.219/.287/.33011650.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBCOL96.223/.291/.34122690.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO69
Whiff%67
Z-Con%66
K%50
wRC+48
wOBA41
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsAdan Velazquez (age 21) · Tyler Ladendorf (age 21) · Tim Kennelly (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA
wRC+†60
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .270 / .290
PA68
HR1
K%28
BB%7
ISO89
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.30.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 41
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT43
scouting grade only
POWER41
scouting grade only
EYE57
scouting grade only
SPEED48
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2036Arb-1$3M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $0.8M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202418 ROKDSL Rockies — 122102 18200 14314 22 176300196496 20254 2511 244 -6 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Rockies — 10584 18611 18222 12 214365345711 131279 2117 328 29 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Rockies — 132113 31713 14282 00 274364434798 159337 2111 350 51 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 122107 12100 9384 22 112208121330 9170 317 160 -6 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 10590 12311 12262 12 133250222472 89172 2511 211 29 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 132118 23512 9402 00 195264305569 110258 307 243 51 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 122107 12100 9384 22 112208121330 9174 317 160 -6 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Rockies — 122102 18200 14314 22 176300196496 20254 2511 244 -6 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 10590 12311 12262 12 133250222472 89175 2511 211 29 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWDSL Rockies — 10584 18611 18222 12 214365345711 131279 2117 328 29 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 132118 23512 9402 00 195264305569 110273 307 243 51 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWACL Rockies — 132113 31713 14282 00 274364434798 159337 2111 350 51 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 122108 12100 9384 22 111208120329 9170 317 160 -6 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 10590 12311 12262 12 133250222472 89172 2511 211 29 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 132120 23512 9402 00 192264300564 108258 307 243 51 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 122108 12100 9384 22 111208120329 9170 317 160 -6 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 10590 12311 12262 12 133250222472 89172 2511 211 29 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 132120 23512 9402 00 192264300564 108258 307 243 51 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECOL 0% 242219 45823 18683 31 203272292564 89278 287 257 60 -11 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECOL 34% 118107 23412 9331 21 208277305581 97280 288 264 65 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
202923 MLB MLECOL 48% 198179 38713 15542 31 211280315595 104281 278 270 69 -7 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.1
203024 MLB MLECOL 53% 283256 551025 22763 52 214284323607 109283 278 275 72 -9 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.2
203125 MLB MLECOL 55% 342309 661226 26914 62 216286329615 113283 278 278 74 -11 +0 +0 +6 +7 0.3
203226 MLB MLECOL 56% 377341 731327 291004 62 218288333621 116283 278 280 76 -11 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.5
203327 MLB MLECOL 55% 393355 761427 311054 73 216287330617 114283 278 279 75 -12 +0 +0 +7 +9 0.4
203428 MLB MLECOL 55% 397359 771427 311074 63 215284326610 111282 278 276 73 -13 +0 -1 +7 +9 0.2
203529 MLB MLECOL 53% 392355 761427 301064 63 212282319601 107280 278 272 70 -14 +0 -1 +7 +8 0.0
203630 MLB MLECOL 53% 383347 721326 291054 53 209278312590 103278 278 268 67 -15 -0 -2 +7 +8 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXCOL 34% 4138 8101 3110 10 219287330617 111294 277 278 65 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202923 MLB CTXCOL 48% 9688 19312 7261 21 223291341632 118296 277 284 69 -4 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.0
203024 MLB CTXCOL 53% 149135 30513 11402 31 226294350644 124297 277 289 72 -5 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.1
203125 MLB CTXCOL 55% 187169 39724 14502 31 228297356653 128298 277 293 74 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.2
203226 MLB CTXCOL 56% 210190 43824 16562 41 230299361659 131298 278 295 76 -6 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.3
203327 MLB CTXCOL 55% 216195 44824 17582 41 228297358655 129297 278 294 75 -6 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.3
203428 MLB CTXCOL 55% 217196 44824 17582 31 226295352647 126296 278 291 73 -7 +0 -0 +4 +5 0.1
203529 MLB CTXCOL 53% 209189 42724 16572 32 223292345637 122294 278 286 70 -7 -0 -1 +4 +5 -0.0
203630 MLB CTXCOL 53% 201182 41724 15552 32 220288336624 116292 277 281 67 -8 -0 -1 +4 +4 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 15261382 310541430 11641115 2610 224291349640 124295 278 289 67 -51 +1 -2 +27 +33 0.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 13223613 491756 114 224290350640 126295 278 289 67 -22 +1 -1 +12 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 33102985 6151121854 25790039 5024 206278310588 104274 278 267 67 -100 +1 -4 +53 +64 1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 12222411 501778 105 208280316595 108277 278 267 67 -22 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Rockies · 132 PAwOBA .344 → .243 (−100)K% 21.2% → 30.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.21%÷1.000×1.440——30.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.61%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9956.54%
HBP% /PA1.52%—×0.720—×0.9951.09%
Singles /BIP23.53%÷1.000×0.820×0.979×0.99518.79%
Doubles /BIP8.24%÷1.000×0.720×0.979×0.9955.77%
Triples /BIP1.18%÷1.000×0.720×0.979×0.9950.82%
Home runs /BIP3.53%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9952.74%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .344 → .243; ISO .159 → .113; BABIP .337 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rockies · 105 PAwOBA .321 → .211 (−110)K% 21.0% → 24.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.95%÷1.026×1.220——24.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.14%÷1.007×0.700—×0.99511.85%
HBP% /PA1.90%—×0.700—×0.9951.33%
Singles /BIP16.13%÷1.026×0.680×1.005×0.99510.69%
Doubles /BIP9.68%÷1.107×0.600×1.005×0.9955.25%
Triples /BIP1.61%÷0.900×0.600×1.005×0.9951.08%
Home runs /BIP1.61%÷0.864×0.470—×0.9950.87%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 105, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 105, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .321 → .211; ISO .131 → .077; BABIP .279 → .172. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Rockies · 122 PAwOBA .239 → .160 (−79)K% 25.4% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.41%÷1.001×1.220——30.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.48%÷1.099×0.700—×1.0087.36%
HBP% /PA3.28%—×0.700—×1.0082.31%
Singles /BIP22.54%÷1.006×0.680×0.994×1.00815.26%
Doubles /BIP2.82%÷0.977×0.600×0.994×1.0081.73%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.994×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.188×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 100, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .239 → .160; ISO .020 → .012; BABIP .254 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).