Dariel Morillo — OGILVIE

Dariel Morillo P DSL Tigers 2

Age 20 RHP 5'11" / 204 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 17 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139130vR 122

ERA5.55

FIP5.55

K%17.2%

BB%15.0%

K-BB%2.2%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	8	6	18	84	13	12	2	75%	2.2	10.5%	17.9%	-7.3%	3.5%	3.00	6.39	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	8	6	18	84	13	12	2	75%	2.2	10.5%	17.9%	-7.3%	3.5%	3.00	6.39	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	8	6	18	84	13	12	2	75%	2.2	15.5%	14.3%	1.2%	2.4%	3.00	5.10	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	13	8	29	142	27	26	0	62%	2.3	12.9%	22.9%	-10.0%	0.0%	4.60	4.91	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	13	8	29	142	27	26	0	62%	2.3	12.9%	22.9%	-10.0%	0.0%	4.60	4.91	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	13	8	29	142	27	26	0	62%	2.3	19.0%	18.3%	0.7%	0.0%	4.60	3.92	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	19	0	30	129	16	13	3	0%	1.6	8.4%	12.6%	-4.2%	3.3%	3.90	5.77	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	19	0	30	129	16	13	3	0%	1.6	8.4%	12.6%	-4.2%	3.3%	3.90	5.77	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	19	0	30	129	16	13	3	0%	1.6	12.4%	10.1%	2.3%	2.3%	3.90	4.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	BOS	16	0	17	72	12	11	2	0%	1.1	17.2%	15.0%	2.2%	3.0%	5.55	5.55	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BOS	27	0	28	120	23	16	3	0%	1.1	18.8%	13.2%	5.6%	2.9%	5.26	5.15	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	BOS	13	0	14	59	11	8	2	0%	1.1	18.8%	13.2%	5.6%	2.9%	5.26	5.15	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	59	11	8	2	0%	1.1	18.8%	13.2%	5.6%	2.9%	5.26	4.77	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	158	115	29	0%	1.1	18.8%	13.2%	5.6%	2.9%	5.26	4.77	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		40	14	77	355	38	64	7	35%	1.9	10.7%	18.0%	-7.2%	2.0%	3.96	5.57	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		103	36	200	918	98	165	18	35%	1.9	10.7%	18.0%	-7.2%	2.0%	3.96	5.57	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dariel Morillo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.55	17.2%	15.0%	3.0%	—	5.15	18.8%	5.6%	28	-0.40	—	—	—
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	88
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	88
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	87
Matthew Swain R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	21	SW	4.37	15.9%	13.9%	1.6%	.362	5.19	20.6%	7.5%	115	+0.82	4.37	175	84
David Landeta R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	20	SU	5.04	14.5%	15.3%	2.2%	.353	3.86	16.8%	-0.4%	64	-1.18	3.64	111	83
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	83
Sunayro Martina R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	20	SW	4.57	16.3%	16.9%	1.3%	.305	5.69	13.9%	-4.9%	71	+1.12	4.57	118	83
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	83
Juan Burgos R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	15.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.292	4.38	17.7%	0.8%	58	-0.37	3.50	284	83
Alejandro Méndez R 2021 · 5.70 FIP	20	SU	5.70	14.6%	14.5%	3.6%	.321	5.60	15.8%	-7.5%	91	-0.10	4.65	136	83
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	82
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	81
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	81
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	81
Tyler Driver R 2021 · 5.26 FIP	20	SW	5.26	15.0%	13.8%	3.1%	.312	5.68	14.5%	1.4%	88	+0.42	5.17	180	81
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	80
Eury Ramos R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	19	SW	5.40	13.0%	14.8%	2.8%	.343	7.19	14.1%	0.6%	29	+1.79	3.33	176	80
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	80
Victor Espiritu R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	14.6%	12.7%	1.8%	.294	4.04	13.5%	1.8%	60	-0.41	3.49	101	80
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	80