Wifrailyn Jaquez

Wifrailyn Jaquez P FCL Pirates

Age 19 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.9 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.89

FIP5.89

K%15.2%

BB%16.8%

K-BB%-1.6%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†3050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	11	11	38	169	34	18	0	100%	3.5	13.7%	13.3%	0.4%	0.0%	3.79	3.63	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	11	11	38	169	34	18	0	100%	3.5	13.7%	13.3%	0.4%	0.0%	3.79	3.63	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	11	11	38	169	34	18	0	100%	3.5	20.1%	10.7%	9.5%	0.0%	3.79	2.73	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	12	11	40	179	41	22	2	92%	3.3	15.6%	15.4%	0.2%	1.3%	5.17	4.46	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	12	11	40	179	41	22	2	92%	3.3	15.6%	15.4%	0.2%	1.3%	5.17	4.46	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	12	11	40	179	41	22	2	92%	3.3	22.9%	12.3%	10.6%	1.1%	5.17	3.35	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	19	11	46	214	32	30	1	58%	2.4	10.4%	17.3%	-6.9%	0.7%	6.41	4.77	—
YTD	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	19	11	46	214	32	30	1	58%	2.4	10.4%	17.3%	-6.9%	0.7%	6.41	4.77	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	PIT	14	11	33	156	23	24	1	79%	2.4	14.7%	15.4%	-0.6%	0.6%	6.75	4.16	—
2026	19	A RAW	PIT	5	0	13	58	9	6	0	0%	2.6	15.5%	10.3%	5.2%	0.0%	5.54	3.10	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	48	201	34	30	6	100%	5.3	16.8%	15.0%	1.8%	2.8%	5.60	5.51	-0.3
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	50	212	38	29	6	100%	5.6	17.8%	13.8%	4.0%	2.8%	5.35	5.24	-0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	53	222	42	28	6	100%	5.3	19.0%	12.8%	6.2%	2.7%	5.12	4.99	-0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	55	231	46	28	6	100%	5.5	19.8%	12.2%	7.6%	2.7%	4.93	4.82	+0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	56	236	48	28	6	100%	5.6	20.4%	11.8%	8.5%	2.6%	4.80	4.71	+0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	57	239	50	28	6	100%	5.7	20.8%	11.7%	9.1%	2.6%	4.71	4.65	+0.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	57	239	50	28	6	100%	6.3	21.0%	11.6%	9.3%	2.6%	4.66	4.63	+0.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	56	236	49	28	6	100%	6.2	20.9%	11.7%	9.3%	2.7%	4.66	4.66	+0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	PIT	4	4	23	97	16	15	3	100%	5.8	16.8%	15.0%	1.8%	2.6%	5.48	5.39	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	37	156	28	22	4	100%	5.3	17.8%	13.8%	4.0%	2.6%	5.24	5.13	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	44	186	35	24	5	100%	5.5	19.0%	12.8%	6.2%	2.5%	5.01	4.88	-0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	9	9	49	207	41	25	5	100%	5.4	19.8%	12.2%	7.6%	2.5%	4.82	4.71	+0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	9	9	52	220	45	26	5	100%	5.8	20.4%	11.8%	8.5%	2.4%	4.69	4.60	+0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	9	9	53	224	46	26	5	100%	5.9	20.8%	11.7%	9.1%	2.4%	4.60	4.54	+0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	9	9	54	228	48	26	6	100%	6.0	21.0%	11.6%	9.3%	2.4%	4.55	4.52	+0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	9	9	53	224	47	26	6	100%	5.9	20.9%	11.7%	9.3%	2.5%	4.55	4.55	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		67	67	365	1540	306	190	38	100%	5.4	19.9%	12.3%	7.5%	2.5%	4.80	4.35	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	168	104	21	100%	5.5	19.9%	12.3%	7.5%	2.5%	4.80	4.35	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		42	33	124	562	73	87	4	79%	3.0	13.0%	15.5%	-2.5%	0.7%	5.21	4.33	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	53	200	904	118	140	6	79%	3.0	13.0%	15.5%	-2.5%	0.7%	5.21	4.33	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wifrailyn Jaquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.89	15.2%	16.8%	2.9%	—	5.24	17.9%	4.0%	150	-0.65	—	—	—
Jose Pena Jr. R 2022 · 5.48 FIP	19	SP-	5.48	15.0%	18.7%	2.3%	.269	4.62	19.2%	3.1%	124	-0.86	3.48	176	91
Lisandro Almonte R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	19	SP-	4.89	16.3%	16.4%	2.0%	.298	4.93	19.6%	4.9%	78	+0.04	3.81	128	87
Anderson Munoz R 2018 · 5.90 FIP	19	SP-	5.90	14.4%	18.2%	3.1%	.306	4.35	25.7%	13.3%	73	-1.55	4.15	109	87
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	86
Yosber Sanchez R 2019 · 5.58 FIP	18	SP-	5.58	14.6%	14.9%	3.3%	.315	4.61	20.2%	-5.2%	13	-0.97	3.21	199	86
Randry De Leon R 2023 · 6.45 FIP	18	SP-	6.45	17.7%	20.2%	4.2%	.308	4.83	18.4%	3.3%	123	-1.62	4.37	153	86
Harold Chirino R 2017 · 6.05 FIP	19	SP-	6.05	13.2%	16.0%	3.7%	.327	3.11	19.0%	6.2%	34	-2.94	3.11	321	85
Gillian Wernet R 2018 · 5.46 FIP	19	SP-	5.46	11.2%	16.6%	2.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	107	84
Brailin Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.19 FIP	18	SP-	5.19	15.8%	17.8%	2.1%	.322	4.82	16.8%	2.1%	76	-0.37	4.15	168	84
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	83
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	83
Denis Diaz R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	12.7%	16.6%	2.5%	.264	5.65	11.9%	-4.9%	92	+0.14	3.39	129	83
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	83
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	83
Edgar Isea R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	19	SP-	5.51	19.3%	20.3%	2.7%	.371	5.19	21.4%	-4.1%	98	-0.32	4.50	162	82
Tyler Gough R 2023 · 5.48 FIP	19	SP	5.48	13.4%	13.3%	3.3%	.297	3.58	20.0%	6.5%	158	-1.90	3.12	188	82
Jaydenn Estanista R 2021 · 4.72 FIP	19	SP-	4.72	18.1%	19.2%	1.3%	.254	5.35	21.0%	2.6%	109	+0.63	4.59	230	82
Malcolm Van Buren R 2017 · 5.70 FIP	19	SP	5.70	11.4%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	7.79	14.5%	-7.8%	33	+2.09	4.99	108	82
Chad Bryant R 2019 · 4.96 FIP	19	SP-	4.96	12.8%	13.3%	2.3%	.345	5.43	14.4%	-4.5%	49	+0.47	3.93	136	82
Eliezer Pena R 2023 · 6.54 FIP	17	SP	6.54	10.5%	18.5%	3.6%	.265	4.47	18.1%	1.2%	114	-2.07	3.26	150	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	50	19.4%	12.7%	1.04	5.01
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10