Eduardo Ponce — OGILVIE

Eduardo PonceC ACL Mariners

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 172 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 164 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .281 / .300

PA13

HR0

K%24

BB%8

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$38M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	174	140	32	7	2	4	27	24	5	3	0	229	372	393	765	164	246	14	16	346	120	+4	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	194	162	35	3	1	3	27	29	3	1	0	216	339	302	641	86	242	15	14	299	89	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	174	149	26	5	2	3	18	34	5	3	0	174	285	295	580	121	197	20	10	259	61	-8	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	194	172	30	2	1	3	17	42	3	1	0	174	260	250	510	76	203	22	9	226	39	-14	+0	—	—	+4	-1.0
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	174	149	26	5	2	3	18	34	5	3	0	174	285	295	580	121	202	20	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	174	140	32	7	2	4	27	24	5	3	0	229	372	393	765	164	246	14	16	346	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	194	172	30	2	1	3	17	42	3	1	0	174	260	250	510	76	209	22	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	194	162	35	3	1	3	27	29	3	1	0	216	339	302	641	86	242	15	14	299	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	174	149	26	5	2	3	18	34	5	3	0	174	285	295	580	121	197	20	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	194	172	30	2	1	3	17	42	3	1	0	174	260	250	510	76	203	22	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	174	149	26	5	2	3	18	34	5	3	0	174	285	295	580	121	197	20	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	194	172	30	2	1	3	17	42	3	1	0	174	260	250	510	76	203	22	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	167	231	167	397		269	23	8	267	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	245	220	48	8	2	4	20	57	3	3	1	218	292	327	619	109	273	23	8	279	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2028	21	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	368	330	74	13	3	7	30	85	5	5	1	224	299	345	644	121	275	23	8	286	80	-9	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2029	22	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	455	408	92	16	3	9	38	104	6	6	2	225	301	346	646	120	277	23	8	291	83	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2030	23	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	513	458	104	18	4	10	43	116	7	7	2	227	303	349	652	122	278	23	8	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	520	464	106	18	4	11	44	117	7	7	2	228	305	356	660	127	279	22	8	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	520	464	106	18	4	11	44	117	7	7	2	228	305	356	660	127	279	22	8	296	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	SEA	60%	520	464	106	18	4	11	44	117	7	7	2	228	305	356	660	127	278	22	8	296	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	SEA	62%	520	463	105	18	3	11	45	117	7	7	2	227	305	350	655	123	278	22	9	296	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	SEA	63%	520	463	105	18	3	11	45	118	7	7	2	227	305	350	655	123	278	23	9	295	86	-9	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	SEA	64%	520	463	104	18	3	11	45	119	7	7	2	225	303	348	651	123	277	23	9	293	85	-9	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2037	30	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	520	463	103	18	3	10	45	120	7	6	2	222	301	339	640	117	276	23	9	291	83	-11	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2038	31	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	504	448	99	17	3	10	44	118	7	6	2	221	301	339	640	118	273	23	9	286	80	-12	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.6
2039	32	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	489	437	95	16	3	9	43	117	6	5	2	217	296	330	626	112	270	24	9	281	76	-14	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.2
2040	33	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	458	409	87	14	3	8	40	112	6	5	2	213	292	320	613	108	266	24	9	274	72	-15	+0	-4	+8	+10	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	84	76	17	3	1	1	7	20	1	1	0	224	298	329	627	105	270	24	8	267	75	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	178	159	35	6	1	3	15	41	2	2	1	220	295	327	622	107	273	23	8	274	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	247	221	49	8	2	5	21	56	3	3	1	222	298	344	642	122	274	23	9	279	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	23	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	290	260	58	10	2	6	24	66	4	4	1	223	299	346	645	123	275	23	8	281	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2031	24	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	294	263	59	10	2	6	25	66	4	4	1	224	301	346	647	122	276	22	9	283	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	294	263	59	10	2	6	25	66	4	4	1	224	301	346	647	122	276	22	9	284	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	SEA	60%	314	280	63	11	2	6	27	71	4	4	1	225	302	343	645	118	276	23	9	284	87	-5	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	SEA	62%	323	288	65	11	2	7	28	73	4	4	1	226	303	351	654	125	276	23	9	284	87	-5	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	SEA	63%	329	293	66	11	2	7	29	75	4	4	1	225	304	348	652	123	275	23	9	283	86	-5	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.8
2036	29	MLB CTX	SEA	64%	332	296	66	11	2	7	29	76	4	4	1	223	301	345	646	122	274	23	9	281	85	-6	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.7
2037	30	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	338	301	66	11	2	6	30	78	4	4	1	219	299	329	627	110	273	23	9	278	83	-7	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.6
2038	31	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	328	292	64	11	2	6	29	77	4	4	1	219	298	332	631	113	271	23	9	274	80	-8	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.4
2039	32	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	318	283	61	10	2	6	28	76	4	4	1	216	295	329	624	113	268	24	9	269	76	-9	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.2
2040	33	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	298	266	56	9	2	5	26	73	4	3	1	211	291	316	606	105	264	24	9	263	72	-10	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3967	3541	784	132	26	77	343	914	50	49	13	221	299	339	638	117	275	23	9	278	81	-82	+5	-10	+71	+86	7.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	129	22	4	13	56	150	8	8	2	222	299	341	641	119	276	23	9	278	81	-13	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7053	6287	1392	235	48	139	606	1613	97	89	26	221	300	340	640	119	274	23	9	288	81	-139	+7	-15	+119	+145	12.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	128	22	4	13	56	149	9	8	2	221	300	340	640	119	273	23	9	288	81	-13	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.2	4,130	80	52	224	297	342	+74	+36	10.1	8.4
/162	664	13	8	+11.9	+5.8	1.6	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eduardo Ponce (OGILVIE)	19	35	25	40	50	208/281/300	92	269	2	2	24%	8%	67	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	66	-1.1	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	53	-2.1	209/308/288	79	290	8	4	28%	11%	73	-0.2
✕Victor Moscote 2013 · A	19	41	40→30	41→45	41	200/260/288	88	281	8	4	31%	6%	55	-1.9	204/254/265	61	283	3	5	27%	5%	47	-2.5	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Alixon Suarez 2013 · A	19	41	39→45	42→40	49	197/283/282	85	252	6	3	23%	8%	64	-1.3	198/259/275	77	269	4	5	26%	6%	52	-2.2	148/180/183	35	205	0	2	27%	3%	-1	-1.2
✕Erick Brito 2021 · A	19	47→44	37→30	42→55	50	219/302/296	78	288	4	7	24%	9%	74	-0.5	219/292/276	57	288	2	18	22%	8%	65	-1.2	216/273/282	66	280	2	23	22%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Raul Juarez 2017 · A	19	42	41→45	42→40	41	208/273/305	97	268	9	6	25%	5%	65	-1.2	204/257/279	75	279	6	5	28%	5%	53	-2.1	180/221/220	41	250	4	2	29%	3%	23	-0.9
✕Jose Ovalles 2013 · A	19	40	42→45	45→40	47	199/278/308	110	248	9	5	23%	7%	68	-1.0	215/277/321	106	257	9	5	19%	6%	70	-0.9	219/276/329	110	242	9	3	14%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	53	-2.1	211/261/303	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	59	-1.6	185/229/266	80	254	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	55	196/303/262	65	273	4	8	27%	12%	68	-1.0	197/297/284	87	275	8	5	28%	11%	70	-0.8	175/284/254	79	245	9	2	29%	12%	58	-0.6
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	41→45	44→50	45	221/274/319	97	271	8	8	21%	6%	68	-1.0	244/300/352	108	288	9	15	18%	6%	85	+0.2	263/321/381	118	302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.6
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	50	191/273/255	63	252	3	8	24%	9%	53	-2.1	201/307/293	92	271	5	6	25%	12%	76	-0.4	184/305/272	88	246	5	5	24%	13%	69	-0.3
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	38	39→40	42→40	48	184/276/263	79	271	7	5	32%	10%	57	-1.8	200/281/271	71	286	5	5	29%	9%	61	-1.5	176/264/209	33	250	3	3	28%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Anderson De Los Santos 2023 · A	19	45→36	41→40	46→50	48	216/286/318	102	272	7	8	23%	8%	72	-0.7	179/244/268	89	273	8	10	35%	7%	45	-2.7	168/259/267	99	249	10	13	34%	10%	49	-1.7
✕Shaydron Buckridge 2007 · A	19	46	35→30	48→50	45	214/275/271	58	272	3	5	22%	6%	57	-1.8	219/291/274	55	280	2	7	21%	7%	65	-1.2	259/340/295	36	306	0	9	14%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	288	5	7	31%	8%	58	-1.7	194/291/271	77	319	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	158/267/223	66	272	6	3	39%	10%	45	-1.1
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	211/291/293	83	275	4	8	23%	9%	69	-0.9	213/293/326	113	268	10	14	23%	8%	78	-0.3	212/279/323	110	272	10	12	25%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Fernando Pujadas 2011 · A	19	46	42→40	42→30	47	222/280/326	104	261	8	5	19%	6%	72	-0.7	212/280/309	97	269	8	3	23%	7%	68	-1.0	208/295/292	84	266	6	1	22%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Ismerling Mota 2017 · A	19	43	40→45	46→40	41	211/253/301	90	262	8	5	23%	5%	55	-1.9	203/254/278	75	282	5	4	28%	5%	51	-2.3	180/231/230	51	220	3	0	19%	5%	30	-0.9
✕Luis De La Cruz 2007 · A	19	40	39→30	42→40	40	194/250/277	84	255	6	5	26%	5%	50	-2.3	201/288/264	63	257	3	6	21%	10%	61	-1.5	178/300/202	24	220	0	4	16%	13%	53	-0.7
✕Samuel Ortiz 2010 · A	19	40	37→40	42→50	43	190/271/256	66	271	4	5	30%	7%	54	-2.0	205/275/274	69	274	3	8	24%	7%	59	-1.7	203/273/268	65	267	1	10	22%	7%	54	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps