Eduardo Ponce

C ACL Mariners
Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 172 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1008ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKSEA174.229/.372/.3934345—.150/.273/.238
202518ROKSEA194.216/.339/.3023140—.174/.260/.250
2027PROJMLE20MLBSEA304.207/.280/.29534640.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBSEA27.209/.283/.30400690.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBSEA82.213/.287/.31511730.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Whiff%84
K%82
Z-Con%74
Chase%73
BB%52
ISO43
CompsRudy van Heydoorn (age 20) · Cesar Gonzalez (age 19) · Onil Perez (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj PA
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .278 / .292
PA53
HR1
K%25
BB%8
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.40.50.50.40.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.4M
2036Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M
2037Arb-2$1M———
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $4M $4M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Mariners — 174140 32724 27245 30 229372393765 164246 1416 346 45 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Mariners — 194162 35313 27293 10 216339302641 86242 1514 299 40 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 174147 22512 20295 30 150273238511 88163 1711 235 45 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 194172 30213 17423 10 174260250510 76205 229 228 40 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 174147 22512 20295 30 150273238511 88169 1711 235 45 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 174140 32724 27245 30 229372393765 164246 1416 346 45 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 194172 30213 17423 10 174260250510 76209 229 228 40 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 194162 35313 27293 10 216339302641 86242 1514 299 40 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 174147 22512 20295 30 150273238511 88163 1711 235 45 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 194172 30213 17423 10 174260250510 76205 229 228 40 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 174147 22512 20295 30 150273238511 88163 1711 235 45 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 194172 30213 17423 10 174260250510 76205 229 228 40 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLESEA 0% 304274 56923 24753 41 207280295574 88268 258 263 64 -13 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLESEA 34% 7871 15211 6191 10 211285308593 97270 248 270 69 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202922 MLB MLESEA 48% 169151 32513 14412 21 215289319608 104272 248 276 73 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
203023 MLB MLESEA 54% 267240 53925 22643 41 218292328620 110274 248 281 76 -8 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.3
203124 MLB MLESEA 55% 357320 721237 30854 52 220295335629 114276 248 285 79 -9 +0 +0 +6 +8 0.5
203225 MLB MLESEA 60% 409367 821438 34975 52 222296339636 117277 248 287 80 -10 +0 +0 +7 +9 0.7
203326 MLB MLESEA 62% 440395 871538 371045 62 222296339635 118276 248 287 80 -10 +0 +0 +8 +10 0.8
203427 MLB MLESEA 63% 445400 881538 371065 62 221295337632 116276 248 286 79 -11 +0 +0 +8 +10 0.7
203528 MLB MLESEA 65% 445400 881538 371075 52 219293332625 113275 248 283 78 -12 +0 -1 +8 +10 0.5
203629 MLB MLESEA 65% 445400 871538 371085 43 216290326616 109273 248 279 75 -13 -0 -1 +8 +10 0.3
203730 MLB MLESEA 65% 443399 851437 361095 43 213286318604 104271 258 274 72 -15 -0 -2 +8 +10 0.0
202821 MLB CTXSEA 34% 2725 5100 270 00 209283304587 95268 267 268 69 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202922 MLB CTXSEA 48% 8274 16311 7201 10 213287315602 102270 249 274 73 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203023 MLB CTXSEA 54% 145130 28512 12352 21 216290323614 108272 248 278 76 -4 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.2
203124 MLB CTXSEA 55% 198178 38614 16472 31 218293330623 112274 248 282 79 -5 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.3
203225 MLB CTXSEA 60% 244219 49825 20583 31 220294335629 115274 248 285 80 -6 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.4
203326 MLB CTXSEA 62% 273245 54925 23643 41 220294335629 115274 238 284 80 -6 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.5
203427 MLB CTXSEA 63% 281253 55925 23673 41 219293332625 113274 248 283 79 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.5
203528 MLB CTXSEA 65% 289260 56925 24693 31 217291327618 111273 248 280 78 -8 +0 -0 +5 +6 0.4
203629 MLB CTXSEA 65% 289260 56925 24703 32 214288321609 107271 248 277 75 -9 -0 -1 +5 +6 0.2
203730 MLB CTXSEA 65% 288259 55925 24713 32 211285313598 102269 258 272 72 -10 -0 -1 +5 +6 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 21161903 412681537 17550823 2610 217290326617 110275 248 280 74 -58 +1 -3 +38 +46 2.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 12721511 541567 83 217291326618 109276 248 280 74 -18 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 39193510 7511252769 33192449 4718 214291324615 110269 248 277 74 -98 +1 -4 +63 +77 4.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 12421411 551538 83 213289320609 107268 248 277 74 -18 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKACL Mariners · 194 PAwOBA .296 → .228 (−68)K% 14.9% → 21.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.95%÷0.999×1.440——21.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.92%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0088.70%
HBP% /PA1.55%—×0.720—×1.0081.12%
Singles /BIP21.05%÷0.942×0.820×0.986×1.00818.21%
Doubles /BIP2.26%÷1.046×0.720×0.986×1.0081.54%
Triples /BIP0.75%÷0.900×0.720×0.986×1.0080.60%
Home runs /BIP2.26%÷0.886×0.780—×1.0082.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .296 → .228; ISO .086 → .072; BABIP .242 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Mariners · 174 PAwOBA .342 → .235 (−107)K% 13.8% → 16.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.79%÷1.004×1.220——16.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.52%÷0.938×0.700—×1.00811.67%
HBP% /PA2.87%—×0.700—×1.0082.03%
Singles /BIP16.38%÷0.976×0.680×0.990×1.00811.39%
Doubles /BIP6.03%÷0.940×0.600×0.990×1.0083.84%
Triples /BIP1.72%÷0.934×0.600×0.990×1.0081.10%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷1.012×0.470—×1.0081.61%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 88, 3B 87, K 101, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .342 → .235; ISO .164 → .094; BABIP .246 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).