Dony Aguilera
P
ACL Reds
Age 19
RHP
5'11" / 154 lbs
ROK
peak 0.6 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 38 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 116
ERA5.14
FIP5.14
K%14.5%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%4.0%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rojos | 13 | 11 | 46 | 180 | 31 | 12 | 0 | 85% | 3.5 | 11.7% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 2.56 | 3.17 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rojos | 13 | 11 | 46 | 180 | 31 | 12 | 0 | 85% | 3.5 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 0.0% | 2.56 | 2.53 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Reds | 14 | 9 | 58 | 229 | 52 | 17 | 2 | 64% | 4.2 | 15.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 1.70 | 3.65 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Reds | 14 | 9 | 58 | 229 | 52 | 17 | 2 | 64% | 4.2 | 22.7% | 7.4% | 15.3% | 0.9% | 1.70 | 2.64 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL Reds | 10 | 2 | 33 | 150 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 20% | 3.3 | 15.9% | 16.7% | -0.8% | 4.7% | 6.75 | 6.43 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | CIN | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 23 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.5% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.14 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.5% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.14 | 5.14 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 71 | 310 | 58 | 37 | 10 | — | — | 18.8% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 5.89 | 5.74 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | CIN | 5 | 5 | 40 | 168 | 27 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 8.0 | 16.3% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 4.97 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | CIN | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 6.7 | 16.3% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 4.97 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 20 | 83 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 6.5 | 16.3% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 4.97 | 4.54 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 27 | 27 | 200 | 844 | 133 | 82 | 20 | 100% | 7.3 | 16.3% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 4.97 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 37 | 22 | 137 | 559 | 80 | 61 | 10 | 59% | 3.7 | 14.4% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.21 | 4.24 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 32 | 200 | 814 | 117 | 89 | 14 | 59% | 3.7 | 14.4% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.21 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dony Aguilera (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.14 | 14.5% | 10.5% | 2.8% | — | 4.91 | 16.3% | 6.1% | 40 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Steven Fuentes R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.60 | 12.1% | 10.1% | 2.3% | .319 | 3.98 | 16.7% | 10.2% | 131 | -0.62 | 2.36 | 359 | 89 |
| Edward Escoboza R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.73 | 15.3% | 11.7% | 2.6% | .345 | 4.05 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 157 | -0.68 | 3.44 | 213 | 88 |
| Luis Ojeda R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.45 | 12.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .344 | 5.39 | 12.1% | 3.7% | 92 | +0.94 | 4.45 | 131 | 88 |
| Alexander Vizcaíno R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.40 | 11.8% | 10.4% | 3.6% | .321 | 4.88 | 17.3% | 7.0% | 220 | -0.52 | 3.96 | 273 | 88 |
| Anthony Escobar R 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.44 | 15.1% | 9.7% | 2.5% | .263 | 5.33 | 14.2% | -3.5% | 23 | +0.89 | 3.07 | 122 | 86 |
| Aneudis Beard R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.69 | 11.5% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .322 | 3.18 | 15.9% | 7.2% | 59 | -1.51 | 3.18 | 106 | 86 |
| Julio Goff R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.80 | 16.1% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .364 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 5.9% | 207 | +0.04 | 4.43 | 251 | 85 |
| Jorge Cespedes R 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.88 | 11.2% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .284 | 4.14 | 12.9% | 5.6% | 107 | -0.74 | 3.47 | 153 | 85 |
| Argenis Romano R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.32 | 11.5% | 7.5% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.85 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 86 | +0.53 | 3.54 | 144 | 85 |
| Starlyn Castillo R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.18 | 16.4% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .271 | 4.75 | 15.3% | 0.9% | 117 | +0.57 | 4.18 | 138 | 85 |
| Mike Garcia R 2024 · 4.11 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.11 | 17.7% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 125 | 84 |
| Leuris Portorreal R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.43 | 11.5% | 8.2% | 2.3% | .326 | 4.31 | 12.9% | 2.3% | 51 | -0.12 | 3.98 | 179 | 84 |
| Ruben Galindo R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.13 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .345 | 3.57 | 19.0% | 7.7% | 149 | -1.56 | 2.91 | 239 | 84 |
| Joel Díaz R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 18 | SP- | 5.57 | 15.3% | 11.9% | 4.1% | .335 | 5.17 | 16.2% | 8.2% | 174 | -0.40 | 1.98 | 308 | 84 |
| Mauricio Estrella R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.33 | 12.5% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .368 | 4.23 | 19.6% | 9.0% | 97 | -1.10 | 3.33 | 220 | 84 |
| Gerardo Bojorquez R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.76 | 12.1% | 11.1% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.12 | 102 | 84 |
| Adolfo Oviedo R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.98 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .272 | 4.74 | 13.4% | 8.0% | 90 | +0.76 | 3.79 | 201 | 84 |
| Williander Moreno R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.21 | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .302 | 5.34 | 20.2% | 10.1% | 57 | +1.13 | 3.05 | 246 | 84 |
| Nolberto Henriquez R 2028 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.75 | 16.0% | 13.4% | 2.4% | .305 | 5.43 | 11.3% | -3.1% | 52 | +0.68 | 4.75 | 108 | 83 |
| Yon Castro R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.21 | 12.0% | 9.5% | 1.7% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.5% | 5.6% | 55 | +0.19 | 3.21 | 274 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 39 | 15.4% | 10.3% | 1.08 | 5.05 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |