Yondrei Rojas — OGILVIE

Yondrei Rojas P New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 23 RHP 5'11" / 180 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.37

FIP4.37

K%22.9%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%12.5%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4550

CMD4050

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	16	0	21	96	27	9	0	0%	1.3	19.1%	11.7%	7.4%	0.0%	2.95	2.97	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	16	0	21	96	27	9	0	0%	1.3	28.1%	9.4%	18.8%	0.0%	2.95	1.83	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	8	46	187	43	12	5	73%	4.2	16.0%	7.8%	8.2%	4.1%	4.89	4.97	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	8	46	187	43	12	5	73%	4.2	23.0%	6.4%	16.6%	2.7%	4.89	3.43	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	9	53	242	46	22	5	56%	3.3	14.0%	11.2%	2.8%	2.3%	5.60	4.59	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	9	53	242	46	22	5	56%	3.3	14.0%	11.2%	2.8%	2.3%	5.60	4.59	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	9	53	242	46	22	5	56%	3.3	19.0%	9.1%	9.9%	2.1%	5.60	3.84	—
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	33	0	43	196	57	22	5	0%	1.3	21.5%	13.2%	8.3%	3.3%	4.36	4.77	—
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	33	0	43	196	57	22	5	0%	1.3	21.5%	13.2%	8.3%	3.3%	4.36	4.77	—
2024	21	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	33	0	43	196	57	22	5	0%	1.3	29.1%	11.2%	17.9%	2.6%	4.36	3.49	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	38	145	47	11	1	0%	1.3	25.3%	8.6%	16.7%	1.0%	1.43	2.60	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	38	145	47	11	1	0%	1.3	25.3%	8.6%	16.7%	1.0%	1.43	2.60	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	38	145	47	11	1	0%	1.3	32.4%	7.6%	24.8%	0.7%	1.43	1.83	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	38	0	46	201	41	19	6	0%	1.2	16.5%	10.0%	6.5%	3.2%	5.72	4.74	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	38	0	46	201	41	19	6	0%	1.2	16.5%	10.0%	6.5%	3.2%	5.72	4.74	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	TOR	1	0	1	4	3	0	0	0%	1.3	75.0%	0.0%	75.0%	0.0%	0.00	-3.23	—
2026	23	AA RAW	TOR	35	0	42	187	38	17	5	0%	1.2	20.3%	9.1%	11.2%	2.7%	5.53	4.00	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	TOR	2	0	2	10	0	2	1	0%	1.0	0.0%	20.0%	-20.0%	10.0%	13.50	11.12	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TOR	51	0	54	227	53	22	6	0%	1.1	23.5%	9.7%	13.8%	2.7%	4.28	4.23	+0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	52	0	54	230	55	21	6	0%	1.0	23.9%	9.3%	14.5%	2.7%	4.21	4.15	+0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	TOR	52	0	54	230	55	21	6	0%	1.0	24.1%	9.3%	14.8%	2.8%	4.17	4.14	+0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	TOR	51	0	54	226	54	21	6	0%	1.1	24.0%	9.4%	14.7%	2.8%	4.18	4.18	+0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	TOR	23	0	24	101	24	10	3	0%	1.0	23.5%	9.7%	13.8%	2.7%	4.28	4.23	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	34	0	36	152	36	14	4	0%	1.1	23.9%	9.3%	14.5%	2.7%	4.21	4.15	+0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	TOR	41	0	43	182	44	17	5	0%	1.0	24.1%	9.3%	14.8%	2.8%	4.17	4.14	+0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	TOR	44	0	46	194	47	18	5	0%	1.0	24.0%	9.4%	14.7%	2.8%	4.18	4.18	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		142	0	149	629	150	59	17	0%	1.0	23.9%	9.4%	14.5%	2.8%	4.20	3.79	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	201	79	23	0%	1.1	23.9%	9.4%	14.5%	2.8%	4.20	3.79	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		144	17	247	1067	194	111	28	12%	1.7	18.2%	10.4%	7.8%	2.6%	4.41	4.30	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	14	200	864	157	90	22	12%	1.7	18.2%	10.4%	7.8%	2.6%	4.41	4.30	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yondrei Rojas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.37	22.9%	10.4%	2.7%	—	4.17	23.8%	14.4%	162	-0.20	—	—	—
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	91
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	91
Shane Broyles R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	21.9%	11.5%	2.2%	.338	3.75	25.7%	14.5%	159	-0.16	3.34	218	90
Johnny Barbato R 2015 · 3.57 FIP	23	SU	3.57	21.3%	9.4%	2.0%	.284	4.32	21.6%	11.4%	167	+0.75	2.59	304	90
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	90
Todd Van Steensel R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	22.5%	11.6%	2.0%	.294	3.31	19.3%	6.5%	157	-0.48	2.87	223	89
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	89
Stephen Jones R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SU	3.62	23.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.304	4.53	21.5%	9.8%	142	+0.91	3.62	309	89
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	89
Carlos Navas R 2016 · 3.67 FIP	23	SU	3.67	22.0%	8.4%	2.5%	.283	3.52	22.0%	16.1%	229	-0.15	2.98	385	89
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	89
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	89
Alex Klonowski R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	23	SU	3.58	21.8%	9.4%	2.1%	.331	4.69	14.3%	7.1%	413	+1.11	3.58	539	89
Ronnie Muck R 2015 · 3.24 FIP	23	SU	3.24	22.1%	8.7%	1.7%	.316	4.63	15.0%	0.3%	75	+1.39	3.24	137	88
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	88
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	88
Brett Standlee R 2022 · 4.13 FIP	23	SU	4.13	19.7%	11.1%	2.4%	.322	4.45	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.32	4.13	128	88
Donovan Benoit R 2022 · 3.58 FIP	23	SU	3.58	25.3%	12.4%	1.9%	.284	4.43	17.6%	4.3%	138	+0.85	3.58	183	88
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	88
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	87

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	54	23.7%	9.6%	1.07	4.24
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84