Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 39 | 0 | 59 | 255 | 58 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.12 | 4.30 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 39 | 0 | 59 | 255 | 58 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.7% | 7.1% | 15.7% | 2.7% | 4.12 | 3.59 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 49 | 206 | 45 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.6% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 1.9% | 3.31 | 3.55 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 49 | 206 | 45 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.8% | 6.3% | 15.5% | 1.5% | 3.31 | 2.86 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 30 | 0 | 49 | 218 | 37 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 13.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.47 | 5.11 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 30 | 0 | 49 | 218 | 37 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.0% | 5.0% | 11.9% | 2.3% | 3.47 | 3.59 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 33 | 0 | 50 | 231 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 8.3% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.65 | 5.14 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 33 | 0 | 50 | 231 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 10.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 4.65 | 3.97 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 29 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 10.0% | 8.8% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 5.47 | 5.47 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 31 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.1% | 9.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.43 | 5.48 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 31 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.7% | 9.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.48 | 5.57 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.1% | 9.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.43 | 5.48 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.7% | 9.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.48 | 5.57 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 49 | 0 | 52 | 218 | 25 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.4% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.46 | 5.16 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 97 | 78 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.4% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.46 | 5.16 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 140 | 0 | 208 | 910 | 125 | 63 | 29 | 0% | 1.5 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 3.90 | 4.54 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 135 | 0 | 200 | 876 | 120 | 60 | 27 | 0% | 1.5 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 3.90 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Rob Griswold (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.47 | 10.0% | 8.8% | 3.1% | — | 5.52 | 11.4% | 2.2% | 128 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Sandoval R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.89 | 8.6% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .253 | 5.27 | 5.8% | -5.7% | 62 | +0.38 | 4.89 | 146 | 91 |
| Eder Llamas R 2027 · 5.20 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.20 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .261 | 3.71 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.49 | 3.27 | 171 | 86 |
| Luis Angel Daniel R 2028 · 4.75 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.75 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | .292 | 4.46 | 11.6% | 2.4% | 107 | -0.29 | 4.11 | 156 | 84 |
| Jose Casilla R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 104 | 84 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.23 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 3.92 | 14.1% | 5.5% | 68 | -1.31 | 3.92 | 256 | 83 |
| Tyler Mizenko R 2024 · 5.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.20 | 13.3% | 10.2% | 3.5% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 104 | 82 |
| Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2029 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 9.8% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .307 | 3.44 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 80 | -0.85 | 2.23 | 173 | 81 |
| Tyler Myrick R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.19 | 13.0% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 204 | 80 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.62 | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 79 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.11 | 14.0% | 11.0% | 3.3% | .250 | 5.81 | 16.3% | 3.1% | 79 | +0.70 | 4.49 | 215 | 79 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 79 |
| Kyle McMyne R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 12.5% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 181 | 78 |
| Tyson Perez R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.83 | 12.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | .338 | 5.62 | 14.0% | 6.8% | 32 | +0.79 | 3.27 | 121 | 78 |
| Carlos Frías R 2025 · 5.72 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.72 | 10.4% | 13.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 4.59 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 31 | -1.13 | 3.64 | 204 | 77 |
| Jose De La Torre R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 14.5% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .256 | 2.88 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 65 | -1.51 | 2.54 | 130 | 77 |
| Fernando Villalobos R 2028 · 5.27 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.27 | 8.3% | 13.1% | 2.2% | .365 | 4.44 | 11.4% | 3.1% | 109 | -0.83 | 4.15 | 152 | 75 |
| Mark Peterson R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.84 | 13.7% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 185 | 75 |
| Jarod Wright R 2024 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.28 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 2.0% | .231 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 170 | 75 |
| Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.44 | 12.0% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .371 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 207 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 10.9% | 9.0% | 1.27 | 5.46 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Josh Fleming ('24) | 5 | 51 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 1.17 | 4.77 |