Jonaikel Meza
P
ACL Guardians
Age 19
RHP
5'11" / 154 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 12 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120110vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%22.4%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL CLE Mendoza | 12 | 0 | 17 | 80 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 12.8% | 17.2% | -4.4% | 1.7% | 1.62 | 5.16 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL CLE Mendoza | 12 | 0 | 17 | 80 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.8% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 1.62 | 4.06 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL CLE Goryl | 15 | 0 | 23 | 101 | 17 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 11.4% | 16.1% | -4.6% | 0.0% | 3.97 | 4.17 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL CLE Goryl | 15 | 0 | 23 | 101 | 17 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.8% | 12.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 3.97 | 3.32 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | DSL CLE Mendoza | 10 | 1 | 23 | 118 | 27 | 13 | 1 | 10% | 2.3 | 15.8% | 13.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 8.22 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.43 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 35 | 170 | 39 | 18 | 3 | — | — | 22.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 1.5% | 6.90 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | PIT | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | PIT | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 37 | 1 | 62 | 299 | 40 | 46 | 3 | 3% | 1.7 | 13.5% | 15.4% | -2.0% | 1.1% | 4.91 | 4.54 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 119 | 3 | 200 | 959 | 129 | 148 | 11 | 3% | 1.7 | 13.5% | 15.4% | -2.0% | 1.1% | 4.91 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jonaikel Meza (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.4% | 9.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.30 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 20 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Harold Cortijo R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.46 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .309 | 5.87 | 13.5% | 2.2% | 73 | +1.41 | 4.13 | 179 | 88 |
| Blake Workman R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.00 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .307 | 3.92 | 23.8% | 19.5% | 105 | -0.08 | 3.34 | 213 | 86 |
| Osiris German R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.26 | 20.6% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .346 | 3.25 | 26.3% | 15.5% | 59 | -1.01 | 3.11 | 187 | 86 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 85 |
| Chris Gau R 2028 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 85 |
| Danny Dopico R 2028 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 84 |
| Michael Gomez R 2029 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 84 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2029 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 84 |
| Yoel Diaz R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 19 | SU | 3.26 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .268 | 4.63 | 14.5% | -3.9% | 42 | +1.37 | 3.26 | 143 | 83 |
| Addison Russ R 2029 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 83 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2029 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 83 |
| David Morillo R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 19 | SU | 3.23 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 1.2% | .273 | 4.15 | 17.0% | 1.6% | 69 | +0.92 | 3.23 | 142 | 83 |
| Caleb Freeman R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.17 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.19 | 3.98 | 222 | 82 |
| Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.12 | 25.1% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .327 | 3.37 | 23.8% | 13.4% | 81 | -0.75 | 3.30 | 104 | 82 |
| Mason Fox R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.59 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .260 | 7.31 | 21.3% | 4.8% | 30 | +3.72 | 3.59 | 112 | 82 |
| Jeff Bain R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .339 | 4.13 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 274 | +0.19 | 3.37 | 475 | 82 |
| Felix Castro R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 19 | SU | 3.48 | 24.0% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .295 | 5.02 | 14.9% | -1.8% | 97 | +1.54 | 3.48 | 144 | 82 |
| Pedro Da Costa Lemos R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.62 | 23.5% | 13.2% | 1.5% | .286 | 5.15 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 157 | +1.53 | 3.62 | 181 | 82 |
| Justin Meis R 2028 · 3.80 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.80 | 25.6% | 13.6% | 2.1% | .300 | 5.11 | 18.2% | 5.5% | 261 | +1.31 | 3.80 | 385 | 81 |
| Sean Boyle R 2028 · 4.70 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.70 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .342 | 2.85 | 22.6% | 15.3% | 86 | -1.85 | 2.85 | 496 | 81 |