Jacob Mayers

P Salem RidgeYaks

Age 23 RHP 6'5" / 205 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2029

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	22	MIX2 levels	21	14	65	4.43	3.95	30.5%	20.7%	—	K 22.8% · BB 24.2% · FIP 5.20
2027PROJ	23	MLBBOS	9	9	46	5.61	5.61	22.9%	20.0%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBBOS	5	5	26	5.28	5.15	23.5%	16.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBBOS	7	7	40	5.00	4.85	23.9%	14.7%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 87%

CompsZach Linginfelter (age 24) · Wills Montgomerie (age 23) · Alonzo Tredwell (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 123

ERA5.61

FIP5.61

K%22.9%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%2.9%

Proj IP46

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	14	65	295	90	61	4	67%	3.1	22.8%	24.2%	-1.4%	1.7%	4.43	5.20	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	14	65	295	90	61	4	67%	3.1	22.8%	24.2%	-1.4%	1.7%	4.43	5.20	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	14	65	295	90	61	4	67%	3.1	30.5%	20.7%	9.8%	1.4%	4.43	3.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	BOS	9	9	46	194	44	39	5	100%	5.1	22.9%	20.0%	2.9%	2.8%	5.61	5.61	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	60	253	60	43	7	100%	5.5	23.5%	16.8%	6.7%	2.8%	5.28	5.15	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	BOS	10	10	61	257	61	38	7	100%	6.1	23.9%	14.7%	9.2%	2.8%	5.00	4.85	+0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	BOS	10	10	61	257	62	37	7	100%	6.1	24.1%	14.4%	9.7%	2.8%	4.87	4.81	+0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	BOS	10	10	60	253	61	36	7	100%	6.0	24.0%	14.3%	9.7%	2.8%	4.84	4.83	+0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	BOS	5	5	26	110	26	18	3	100%	5.2	23.5%	16.8%	6.7%	2.8%	5.28	5.15	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	BOS	7	7	40	169	40	25	5	100%	5.7	23.9%	14.7%	9.2%	2.8%	5.00	4.85	+0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	BOS	8	8	48	203	49	29	6	100%	6.0	24.1%	14.4%	9.7%	2.8%	4.87	4.81	+0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	BOS	8	8	51	215	52	31	6	100%	6.4	24.0%	14.3%	9.7%	2.8%	4.84	4.83	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		28	28	165	697	167	103	20	100%	5.9	23.9%	14.8%	9.1%	2.8%	4.96	4.50	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	202	125	24	100%	5.9	23.9%	14.8%	9.1%	2.8%	4.96	4.50	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		21	14	65	295	67	71	5	67%	3.1	22.8%	24.2%	-1.4%	1.7%	4.43	5.20	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	43	200	908	207	220	16	67%	3.1	22.8%	24.2%	-1.4%	1.7%	4.43	5.20	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jacob Mayers (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.61	22.9%	20.0%	2.8%	—	4.94	23.8%	8.5%	182	-0.67	—	—	—
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	85
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	84
Alonzo Tredwell R 2024 · 4.43 FIP	22	SP-	4.43	19.3%	17.4%	1.4%	.336	4.19	22.0%	9.9%	100	-0.24	4.19	166	81
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	80
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	80
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	80
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	80
Nick Gallagher R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	23	SP-	4.56	22.0%	17.9%	1.9%	.274	5.02	21.0%	7.0%	73	+0.46	4.10	196	79
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	79
R.J. Freure R 2019 · 5.13 FIP	22	SP-	5.13	21.7%	18.5%	2.8%	.286	6.05	21.4%	4.2%	107	+0.92	5.13	196	78
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	78
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	77
James McArthur R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	18.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.304	4.41	20.0%	10.7%	131	-0.63	3.48	352	77
Kevin Abel R 2022 · 5.92 FIP	23	SW	5.92	25.2%	22.4%	3.9%	.441	4.63	18.6%	4.5%	308	-1.29	4.50	450	76
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	76
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	76
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	74
Nic Swanson R 2022 · 6.18 FIP	23	SP-	6.18	18.5%	15.9%	4.8%	.302	4.74	18.6%	7.7%	284	-1.44	4.29	438	74
Connor Sadzeck R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	17.8%	16.5%	2.2%	.288	4.40	20.1%	10.1%	272	-0.50	3.20	549	74
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	57	23.7%	15.8%	1.08	5.09
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*