Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025
22
MIXMLE
2 levels
22
13
80
323
76
24
4
59%
3.7
17.6%
8.7%
8.9%
1.5%
2.69
3.53
—
2025
22
MIXMLE
2 levels
22
13
80
323
76
24
4
59%
3.7
17.6%
8.7%
8.9%
1.5%
2.69
3.53
—
2025
22
MIXRAW
2 levels
22
13
80
323
76
24
4
59%
3.7
23.5%
7.4%
16.1%
1.2%
2.69
2.75
—
2026
23
MIXMLE
2 levels
19
18
81
359
80
40
7
95%
4.3
17.0%
11.6%
5.4%
1.6%
5.56
4.00
—
2026
23
MIXMLE
2 levels
19
18
81
359
80
40
7
95%
4.3
17.0%
11.6%
5.4%
1.6%
5.56
4.00
—
2026
23
MIXRAW
2 levels
19
18
81
359
80
40
7
95%
4.3
22.3%
11.1%
11.1%
1.9%
5.56
3.73
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
24
MLB
PHI
12
12
67
283
46
32
7
100%
5.6
16.4%
11.2%
5.2%
2.6%
4.94
4.94
-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
25
MLBMLE
PHI
13
13
74
312
55
33
8
100%
5.7
17.6%
10.6%
7.1%
2.6%
4.81
4.77
+0.1
2029
26
MLBMLE
PHI
12
12
74
312
57
32
8
100%
6.1
18.2%
10.4%
7.8%
2.7%
4.74
4.71
+0.2
2030
27
MLBMLE
PHI
12
12
73
307
57
32
8
100%
6.1
18.5%
10.4%
8.1%
2.7%
4.73
4.73
+0.1
2031
28
MLBMLE
PHI
12
12
70
298
55
31
8
100%
5.9
18.5%
10.5%
7.9%
2.8%
4.77
4.81
+0.1
2032
29
MLBMLE
PHI
11
11
67
284
52
31
8
100%
6.1
18.2%
10.8%
7.5%
3.0%
4.87
4.94
-0.0
2033
30
MLBMLE
PHI
11
11
63
267
48
30
8
100%
5.8
17.9%
11.1%
6.8%
3.2%
5.02
5.11
-0.2
2028
25
MLBCTX
PHI
5
5
32
135
24
14
4
100%
6.4
17.6%
10.6%
7.1%
2.8%
4.91
4.87
+0.0
2029
26
MLBCTX
PHI
8
8
49
207
38
22
6
100%
6.1
18.2%
10.4%
7.8%
2.8%
4.85
4.82
+0.1
2030
27
MLBCTX
PHI
9
9
56
236
44
25
7
100%
6.2
18.5%
10.4%
8.1%
2.9%
4.84
4.84
+0.1
2031
28
MLBCTX
PHI
10
10
59
249
46
26
8
100%
5.9
18.5%
10.5%
7.9%
3.0%
4.88
4.92
+0.1
2032
29
MLBCTX
PHI
10
10
59
249
45
27
8
100%
5.9
18.2%
10.8%
7.5%
3.2%
4.99
5.06
-0.0
2033
30
MLBCTX
PHI
10
10
57
241
43
27
8
100%
5.7
17.9%
11.1%
6.8%
3.4%
5.15
5.24
-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
52
52
312
1318
240
140
40
100%
6.0
18.2%
10.6%
7.6%
3.1%
4.94
4.59
+1.1
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
33
33
200
844
154
90
26
100%
6.0
18.2%
10.6%
7.6%
3.1%
4.94
4.59
+0.7
Career
—
MLE
41
31
161
682
118
70
10
76%
3.9
17.3%
10.2%
7.1%
1.5%
4.13
3.78
+0.3
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
51
38
200
845
146
87
13
76%
3.9
17.3%
10.2%
7.1%
1.5%
4.13
3.78
+0.1
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.