JP Smith II3B
Fort Myers Mighty Mussels
Age 21
R/R
6'2" / 240 lbs
A
BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.6 · 2032
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .274 / .329
PA104
HR2
K%30
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.6peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.6 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.5 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.3 | $13M | +$11M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.1 | $11M | +$8M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.8 | $4M | +$0.8M |
| Totals | $12M | $73M | +$61M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 101 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .189 | .238 | .295 | .532 | .105 | .281 | 36 | 5 | .214 | 22 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 60 | 52 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .173 | .283 | .288 | .572 | .115 | .242 | 30 | 13 | .243 | 44 | -4 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIN | 44 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .220 | .273 | .341 | .614 | .122 | .284 | 30 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| TOT | 21 | MLB | MIN | 104 | 93 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .194 | .279 | .312 | .591 | .118 | .267 | 30 | 11 | .255 | 54 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | MIN | 203 | 181 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 51 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .215 | .294 | .348 | .642 | .133 | .275 | 25 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | MIN | 316 | 281 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 77 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .228 | .307 | .381 | .687 | .153 | .277 | 24 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | MIN | 394 | 350 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 94 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .229 | .309 | .377 | .687 | .149 | .278 | 24 | 9 | .309 | 95 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | MIN | 440 | 391 | 91 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 105 | 4 | 9 | 2 | .233 | .314 | .391 | .705 | .159 | .279 | 24 | 10 | .313 | 97 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | MIN | 467 | 415 | 96 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 45 | 111 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .231 | .312 | .390 | .703 | .159 | .280 | 24 | 10 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | MIN | 479 | 425 | 98 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 114 | 4 | 9 | 2 | .231 | .313 | .386 | .699 | .155 | .280 | 24 | 10 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 482 | 427 | 98 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 116 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .230 | .313 | .384 | .697 | .155 | .279 | 24 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 477 | 422 | 97 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 116 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .230 | .314 | .386 | .701 | .156 | .278 | 24 | 10 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 1.3 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 469 | 415 | 93 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 47 | 116 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .224 | .309 | .376 | .685 | .152 | .277 | 25 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 457 | 404 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 46 | 115 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .306 | .366 | .673 | .146 | .275 | 25 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +13 | 0.8 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 440 | 389 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 113 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .219 | .304 | .360 | .664 | .141 | .274 | 26 | 10 | .300 | 87 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 411 | 364 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 108 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .217 | .301 | .357 | .659 | .140 | .272 | 26 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 367 | 325 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 100 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .209 | .294 | .342 | .635 | .132 | .270 | 27 | 10 | .288 | 78 | -9 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2040 | 35 | MLB | MIN | 313 | 278 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 88 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .205 | .287 | .331 | .618 | .126 | .268 | 28 | 10 | .280 | 72 | -10 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +9 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5860 | 5203 | 1161 | 211 | 33 | 163 | 566 | 1473 | 50 | 74 | 18 | .223 | .305 | .370 | .676 | .147 | .278 | 25 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -67 | +8 | -25 | +21 | +166 | 10.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 577 | 129 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 63 | 163 | 6 | 8 | 2 | .224 | .307 | .371 | .678 | .147 | .278 | 25 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -7 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | 1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 101 | 93 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .237 | .297 | .344 | .641 | .108 | .303 | 25 | 7 | .291 | 81 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| JP Smith II (OGILVIE) | 21 | — | — | — | — | .211/.274/.329 | .118 | .290 | 2 | 2 | 30% | 7% | 67 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Alonzo Harris 2010 · A |
21 | 41→50 | 45→55 | 50→60 | 37 | .209/.251/.325 | .116 | .281 | 14 | 12 | 31% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .210/.248/.305 | .095 | .275 | 8 | 15 | 26% | 4% | 48 | -1.9 | .240/.296/.401 | .161 | .286 | 19 | 35 | 22% | 7% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
●Felix Reyes 2022 · A |
21 | 42→52 | 43→50 | 49→45 | 38 | .205/.269/.316 | .111 | .287 | 11 | 12 | 31% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .203/.244/.316 | .113 | .258 | 13 | 7 | 26% | 4% | 50 | -1.7 | .241/.274/.386 | .144 | .275 | 17 | 8 | 19% | 4% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Eguy Rosario 2021 · A |
21 | 43→49 | 42→55 | 48→55 | 39 | .213/.259/.322 | .109 | .292 | 9 | 12 | 30% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .227/.286/.366 | .139 | .304 | 14 | 20 | 28% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .223/.285/.369 | .146 | .292 | 15 | 21 | 28% | 7% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A |
20 | 43→53 | 45→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .213/.264/.339 | .126 | .281 | 12 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .248/.297/.383 | .135 | .313 | 14 | 13 | 24% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .257/.307/.397 | .140 | .313 | 15 | 13 | 22% | 6% | 94 | +1.2 |
|
✕Michael Chavis 2017 · A |
21 | 36→46 | 45→60 | 46→45 | 34 | .189/.233/.308 | .119 | .271 | 13 | 6 | 35% | 4% | 44 | -2.1 | .224/.274/.401 | .177 | .296 | 23 | 4 | 32% | 5% | 86 | +0.8 | .235/.292/.438 | .203 | .304 | 29 | 3 | 32% | 6% | 100 | +1.1 |
|
✕Ryan McKenna 2018 · A |
21 | 43→53 | 42→50 | 52→55 | 39 | .210/.265/.317 | .107 | .297 | 9 | 12 | 31% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .226/.289/.332 | .106 | .311 | 9 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .218/.295/.357 | .140 | .319 | 16 | 13 | 34% | 9% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Michael A. Taylor 2012 · A |
21 | 37→47 | 44→55 | 49→60 | 36 | .192/.234/.309 | .117 | .264 | 11 | 12 | 32% | 4% | 44 | -2.1 | .200/.251/.314 | .114 | .303 | 10 | 21 | 35% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .236/.294/.379 | .143 | .303 | 19 | 14 | 28% | 7% | 86 | +0.6 |
|
✕Clint Frazier 2016 · A |
21 | 44→46 | 44→55 | 47→50 | 40 | .213/.274/.332 | .119 | .314 | 11 | 9 | 34% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .227/.285/.378 | .151 | .308 | 15 | 11 | 30% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .237/.308/.417 | .181 | .301 | 20 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 101 | +0.9 |
|
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A |
21 | 41→44 | 45→50 | 49→45 | 39 | .206/.256/.333 | .127 | .283 | 12 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .202/.261/.347 | .145 | .281 | 16 | 8 | 33% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.268/.374 | .161 | .271 | 20 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
●Aristides Aquino 2015 · A |
21 | 36→40 | 46→65 | 49→50 | 35 | .190/.230/.319 | .130 | .259 | 13 | 10 | 32% | 4% | 45 | -2.1 | .201/.240/.341 | .140 | .267 | 15 | 9 | 30% | 4% | 55 | -1.4 | .218/.283/.452 | .234 | .267 | 35 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
●Rainel Rosario 2011 · A |
22 | 42→51 | 45→50 | 46→50 | 44 | .207/.283/.342 | .135 | .296 | 11 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .210/.267/.310 | .100 | .310 | 8 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .253/.308/.402 | .150 | .285 | 19 | 6 | 18% | 7% | 96 | +1.1 |
|
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A |
21 | 41→43 | 44→55 | 50 | 43 | .203/.259/.325 | .122 | .273 | 11 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .199/.278/.352 | .153 | .276 | 18 | 12 | 33% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .216/.308/.399 | .183 | .269 | 22 | 12 | 28% | 11% | 97 | +1.2 |
|
✕Chris Nelson 2007 · A |
21 | 41→51 | 42→50 | 49→50 | 37 | .204/.244/.308 | .104 | .272 | 9 | 9 | 28% | 4% | 48 | -1.9 | .223/.274/.359 | .136 | .280 | 13 | 12 | 24% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .257/.301/.387 | .130 | .311 | 13 | 7 | 21% | 5% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Edgardo Baez 2006 · A |
21 | 42→46 | 44→50 | 50 | 40 | .207/.259/.323 | .116 | .295 | 11 | 8 | 33% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .214/.263/.328 | .114 | .302 | 12 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .226/.277/.357 | .132 | .306 | 15 | 9 | 30% | 6% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
●Jonathan India 2019 · A |
22 | 43→51 | 45→50 | 51→50 | 45 | .208/.290/.333 | .125 | .296 | 12 | 10 | 32% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .217/.304/.340 | .123 | .297 | 12 | 10 | 29% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .243/.342/.393 | .150 | .294 | 17 | 11 | 22% | 10% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A |
21 | 40→45 | 44→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .201/.263/.319 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .203/.270/.325 | .122 | .295 | 10 | 17 | 33% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .220/.291/.388 | .168 | .274 | 20 | 25 | 27% | 8% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A |
21 | 37→46 | 49→60 | 51→45 | 45 | .195/.277/.339 | .144 | .267 | 18 | 8 | 33% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .231/.297/.425 | .194 | .284 | 25 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 102 | +1.9 | .233/.299/.438 | .204 | .278 | 26 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 105 | +1.8 |
|
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A |
21 | 40→47 | 41→55 | 46→55 | 42 | .197/.253/.288 | .091 | .267 | 9 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .203/.263/.335 | .132 | .270 | 14 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .225/.292/.400 | .175 | .278 | 20 | 21 | 26% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 |
|
✕Jorge Alfaro 2014 · A |
21 | 40→50 | 46→50 | 51→50 | 33 | .203/.255/.338 | .135 | .299 | 14 | 11 | 36% | 4% | 62 | -0.9 | .213/.261/.347 | .134 | .308 | 14 | 7 | 34% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .259/.315/.406 | .147 | .380 | 19 | 6 | 35% | 5% | 97 | +0.8 |
|
●James Outman 2019 · A |
22 | 40→49 | 47→60 | 53→50 | 39 | .203/.260/.335 | .132 | .285 | 15 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .196/.265/.334 | .138 | .273 | 16 | 13 | 33% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .223/.317/.418 | .195 | .310 | 25 | 14 | 34% | 10% | 107 | +2.0 |