Alejandro Chiquillo

P Hickory Crawdads

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 180 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2029

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	ROKDSL Rangers R…	7	6	27	0.67	1.99	29.1%	9.7%	—	K 19.8% · BB 12.1% · FIP 2.96
2025	22	ROKTEX	9	4	29	6.75	3.13	27.2%	8.8%	—	K 18.5% · BB 11.0% · FIP 4.24
2026	23	MIX2 levels	17	13	56	4.79	4.11	23.2%	10.8%	—	K 17.2% · BB 12.9% · FIP 5.56
2027PROJ	24	MLBTEX	5	5	30	5.07	5.07	19.4%	12.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBTEX	4	4	22	4.90	4.84	20.4%	11.0%	0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBTEX	6	6	34	4.81	4.78	20.9%	10.8%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsRay Gaither (age 24) · Tanner Hall (age 22) · Carlos Torres (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.07

FIP5.07

K%19.4%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%7.4%

Proj IP30

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	7	6	27	103	30	10	0	86%	3.9	19.8%	12.1%	7.7%	0.0%	0.67	2.96	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	7	6	27	103	30	10	0	86%	3.9	19.8%	12.1%	7.7%	0.0%	0.67	2.96	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	7	6	27	103	30	10	0	86%	3.9	29.1%	9.7%	19.4%	0.0%	0.67	1.99	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	9	4	29	136	37	12	3	44%	3.3	18.5%	11.0%	7.5%	2.4%	6.75	4.24	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	9	4	29	136	37	12	3	44%	3.3	18.5%	11.0%	7.5%	2.4%	6.75	4.24	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	9	4	29	136	37	12	3	44%	3.3	27.2%	8.8%	18.4%	2.2%	6.75	3.13	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	13	56	241	56	26	7	76%	3.3	17.2%	12.9%	4.3%	4.2%	4.79	5.56	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	13	56	241	56	26	7	76%	3.3	17.2%	12.9%	4.3%	4.2%	4.79	5.56	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	13	56	241	56	26	7	76%	3.3	23.2%	10.8%	12.4%	2.9%	4.79	4.11	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TEX	5	5	30	127	25	15	4	100%	6.0	19.4%	12.0%	7.4%	3.1%	5.07	5.07	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	9	9	51	217	44	24	7	100%	5.7	20.4%	11.0%	9.4%	3.1%	4.90	4.84	+0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	TEX	9	9	51	217	45	24	7	100%	5.7	20.9%	10.8%	10.0%	3.1%	4.81	4.78	+0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	TEX	8	8	50	213	45	23	7	100%	6.3	21.0%	10.8%	10.2%	3.1%	4.79	4.79	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	4	4	22	93	19	10	3	100%	5.5	20.4%	11.0%	9.4%	3.1%	4.90	4.84	+0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	TEX	6	6	34	144	30	16	4	100%	5.7	20.9%	10.8%	10.0%	3.1%	4.81	4.78	+0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	TEX	6	6	39	165	35	18	5	100%	6.5	21.0%	10.8%	10.2%	3.1%	4.79	4.79	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	16	95	401	83	44	12	100%	5.9	20.8%	10.9%	9.9%	3.1%	4.82	4.42	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	175	93	25	100%	6.0	20.8%	10.9%	9.9%	3.1%	4.82	4.42	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		33	23	113	480	87	59	13	70%	3.4	18.1%	12.2%	5.9%	2.8%	4.31	4.63	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	41	200	852	155	104	24	70%	3.4	18.1%	12.2%	5.9%	2.8%	4.31	4.63	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alejandro Chiquillo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	19.4%	12.0%	3.1%	—	4.80	20.8%	9.8%	153	-0.27	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	89
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	85
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	85
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	84
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	84
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	83
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	83
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	81
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	80
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2014 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	20.5%	13.3%	2.3%	.208	3.88	19.8%	10.2%	210	-0.44	3.22	242	80
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	79
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	78
Michael Knorr R 2024 · 5.56 FIP	24	SP-	5.56	21.6%	12.5%	4.9%	.314	4.95	22.3%	9.7%	83	-0.61	4.30	181	78
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	78
Carson Rudd R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	21.0%	13.0%	4.7%	.274	4.61	17.5%	-0.1%	110	-0.92	3.39	242	78
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	77
Jeremy Lee R 2024 · 4.17 FIP	22	SP-	4.17	16.8%	11.5%	1.9%	.318	5.21	11.2%	-0.5%	46	+1.04	4.17	125	76
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	76
Rafael Montero R 2014 · 5.04 FIP	23	SP-	5.04	21.6%	11.9%	4.1%	.298	4.32	19.3%	8.2%	296	-0.72	2.43	714	76
Jackson Finley R 2024 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	18.0%	12.8%	1.7%	.361	3.97	20.9%	9.8%	67	-0.19	3.97	150	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	46	20.5%	11.1%	1.20	4.87
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*