Nolan Sailors

RF Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 24 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+KC	133	.283/.415/.368	0	17	93	—	.252/.362/.324
2026	23	A+KC	450	.263/.372/.409	6	35	80	—	.235/.315/.355
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBKC	1	.200/.284/.289	0	0	66	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBKC	79	.204/.288/.303	1	2	71	-0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBKC	135	.206/.290/.311	2	4	74	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed96

Z-Con%70

BB%67

wOBA61

wRC+59

Chase%57

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.4, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsDonta' Williams (age 24) · River Town (age 24) · Matt Rudick (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .284 / .289

PA1

HR0

K%29

BB%10

BABIP281

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	133	106	30	5	2	0	20	28	4	17	4	283	415	368	783	85	380	21	15	356	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	450	372	98	16	10	6	62	113	3	35	8	263	372	409	781	145	362	25	14	343	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	133	111	28	4	2	0	15	35	4	17	4	252	362	324	686	72	351	26	11	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	450	392	92	14	9	5	43	144	3	35	8	235	315	355	670	120	337	32	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	133	111	28	4	2	0	15	35	4	17	4	252	362	324	686	72	364	26	11	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	133	106	30	5	2	0	20	28	4	17	4	283	415	368	783	85	380	21	15	356	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	450	392	92	14	9	5	43	144	3	35	8	235	315	355	670	120	357	32	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	450	372	98	16	10	6	62	113	3	35	8	263	372	409	781	145	362	25	14	343	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	133	113	28	4	2	0	15	35	4	17	4	248	362	319	680	71	351	26	11	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	450	401	92	14	9	5	43	144	3	35	8	229	315	347	662	117	337	32	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	133	113	28	4	2	0	15	35	4	17	4	248	362	319	680	71	351	26	11	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	450	401	92	14	9	5	43	144	3	35	8	229	315	347	662	117	337	32	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	KC	0%	380	338	68	13	3	4	36	110	3	12	3	201	285	292	578	91	282	29	9	266	66	-15	+1	+0	-4	+8	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	KC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	200	284	289	574	90	281	0	0	264	66	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	KC	30%	260	231	47	9	2	3	25	74	2	8	2	205	289	307	596	101	283	28	10	272	71	-9	+1	+0	-3	+6	-0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	KC	44%	305	270	57	10	3	5	29	86	3	9	2	208	292	316	608	108	283	28	10	277	74	-10	+1	+0	-3	+7	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	KC	30%	79	70	15	3	1	1	8	22	1	2	1	204	288	303	590	99	282	28	10	270	71	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	KC	44%	135	120	25	5	1	2	13	38	1	4	1	206	290	311	601	105	282	28	10	274	74	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	214	190	40	8	2	3	21	60	2	6	2	211	296	321	617	111	289	28	10	273	76	-7	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	121	24	6	9	64	182	6	18	6	210	295	319	614	109	288	28	10	273	76	-21	+1	+0	-7	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1358	1190	262	44	18	15	132	400	14	76	18	220	305	325	631	105	316	29	10	280	76	-27	+2	+0	-8	+17	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	126	21	9	7	63	191	7	36	9	221	307	326	633	105	317	29	10	280	76	-23	+2	+0	-7	+14	-1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 450 PAwOBA .335 → .287 (−47)K% 25.1% → 31.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.11%	÷1.000	×1.270	—	—	31.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.56%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.998	9.61%
HBP% /PA	0.67%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	0.53%
Singles /BIP	25.48%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×0.998	24.57%
Doubles /BIP	6.18%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.050	×0.998	5.24%
Triples /BIP	3.86%	÷1.000	×0.850	×1.050	×0.998	3.44%
Home runs /BIP	2.32%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	1.85%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .335 → .287; ISO .145 → .124; BABIP .362 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 133 PAwOBA .351 → .305 (−46)K% 21.1% → 26.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.05%	÷1.007	×1.270	—	—	26.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.04%	÷0.981	×0.710	—	×1.012	11.01%
HBP% /PA	3.01%	—	×0.790	—	×1.012	2.40%
Singles /BIP	29.49%	÷1.027	×0.920	×1.050	×1.012	28.06%
Doubles /BIP	6.41%	÷1.055	×0.810	×1.050	×1.012	5.23%
Triples /BIP	2.56%	÷1.012	×0.850	×1.050	×1.012	2.29%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.983	×0.800	—	×1.012	0.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 105, 2B 111, 3B 102, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .351 → .305; ISO .085 → .074; BABIP .380 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	215	3	6	208	288	314	-1	+0	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	9	20	-4.0	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nolan Sailors (OGILVIE)	24	33	34	66	56	199/283/290	90	282	2	7	29%	10%	66	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A	24	43→34	39→40	56→55	47	200/283/291	91	291	6	21	31%	9%	65	-1.2	186/272/268	82	283	5	20	33%	9%	57	-1.8	166/256/236	71	255	5	20	33%	9%	42	-1.2
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	44→40	55→50	47	201/283/322	121	254	11	15	25%	8%	74	-0.6	215/303/306	91	265	8	14	20%	9%	77	-0.3	215/311/283	68	261	5	15	18%	9%	73	-0.3
✕Matt Rudick 2022 · A	24	45→43	39→45	56→50	49	214/280/305	90	268	6	11	22%	8%	67	-1.1	207/291/310	103	258	8	14	22%	8%	74	-0.6	199/293/308	109	249	11	16	23%	10%	71	-0.5
✕Ryan Rogowski 2008 · A	24	47→46	39→40	61→55	50	219/289/319	100	273	4	25	20%	8%	74	-0.6	218/286/303	85	270	5	25	20%	8%	69	-0.9	215/286/284	70	259	5	32	18%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Collin Burns 2024 · AA	24	44	39→45	55	42	214/269/299	85	280	6	17	25%	6%	61	-1.5	205/262/287	82	281	6	16	28%	6%	56	-1.9	192/249/262	70	263	5	18	27%	5%	42	-1.8
✕Tyler Callihan 2024 · AA	24	43	42→45	55	41	210/263/318	108	284	8	18	28%	6%	63	-1.3	219/281/337	118	311	12	21	31%	7%	75	-0.5	213/281/334	121	303	14	24	32%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Shawon Dunston Jr. 2017 · A	24	44	38→40	57→55	39	211/255/304	92	284	4	18	26%	5%	57	-1.8	213/261/305	92	279	7	16	25%	5%	59	-1.6	205/245/281	76	255	6	22	22%	5%	45	-0.9
✕Max Ferguson 2024 · A	24	37→35	40	61→60	47	178/265/267	89	273	7	30	35%	10%	54	-2.0	184/259/278	94	263	9	26	31%	9%	54	-2.0	179/256/271	92	242	11	27	29%	9%	48	-1.7
✕Thomas Coyle 2015 · A	24	47→51	39→40	58→55	48	223/292/312	89	292	5	21	24%	8%	73	-0.6	199/264/292	93	285	6	19	30%	8%	58	-1.7	177/246/271	94	259	6	22	32%	8%	45	-1.4
✕Duke Ellis 2022 · A	24	37→47	38→40	55→80	36	182/235/256	74	279	7	24	36%	6%	39	-3.1	208/267/293	85	315	8	43	34%	6%	59	-1.6	238/288/332	95	331	8	94	29%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Danny Payne 2011 · A	25	39→41	41→45	55→50	48	190/277/293	103	282	8	19	33%	10%	64	-1.3	198/279/320	122	314	11	14	37%	10%	71	-0.8	175/269/315	140	286	13	11	40%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Agustin Septimo 2008 · A	24	41→34	40	56→55	42	201/255/292	91	269	8	19	28%	6%	55	-2.0	204/254/290	86	284	7	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	195/224/256	61	275	3	11	30%	4%	31	-0.9
✕Connor Kokx 2024 · AA	24	44	39→40	54→60	48	209/298/296	87	286	6	23	27%	9%	73	-0.6	216/293/300	84	304	6	22	29%	7%	72	-0.7	199/279/224	26	297	0	37	30%	5%	46	-0.5
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	38→45	39→45	55→60	43	187/258/272	85	276	7	25	33%	8%	52	-2.2	210/281/311	101	279	9	30	26%	8%	69	-0.9	211/284/306	95	276	9	33	25%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Joe Lampe 2024 · A	23	43→48	38→45	56→55	48	206/282/288	82	270	5	16	24%	8%	64	-1.3	213/276/313	100	290	6	18	27%	7%	67	-1.1	210/271/314	104	289	7	21	28%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Aaron Knapp 2019 · A	24	43→36	36→30	54→55	48	198/282/262	63	297	3	20	32%	10%	59	-1.7	200/272/276	76	307	6	17	33%	9%	57	-1.8	174/245/237	63	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-1.9
✕Jonny Butler 2024 · AA	25	41→33	44→50	61→55	41	203/266/328	125	283	11	21	32%	7%	68	-1.0	188/263/297	109	256	9	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	164/247/265	101	220	7	12	27%	9%	44	-1.4
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	38	39→45	60→55	35	183/230/277	93	286	5	18	36%	5%	41	-3.0	202/245/291	89	293	6	17	31%	5%	50	-2.3	206/229/274	68	271	5	26	26%	2%	36	-0.8
✕Isaiah Greene 2024 · A	22	41→42	38→40	56→55	50	187/286/268	81	306	5	19	36%	12%	62	-1.4	198/272/294	96	312	7	14	35%	9%	62	-1.4	155/236/258	102	239	4	15	34%	10%	37	-0.6
✕Jason Christian 2011 · A	24	44	41→40	55	41	213/263/309	96	292	8	17	29%	6%	61	-1.5	209/259/286	77	299	5	12	30%	6%	54	-2.0	204/255/260	56	290	3	11	29%	6%	45	-1.1

Nolan Sailors

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps