Nolan Sailors — OGILVIE

Nolan SailorsOF Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION324 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .308 / .330

PA216

HR2

SB11

K%27

BB%10

BABIP311

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED71

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.4M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	133	111	27	4	2	0	15	37	4	17	4	243	354	315	669	72	360	28	11	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	133	106	30	5	2	0	20	28	4	17	4	283	415	368	783	85	380	21	15	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	KC	—	324	284	69	13	8	2	31	93	1	25	7	243	320	366	686	123	353	29	10	297	85	-5	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.4
YTD	23	A+	KC	—	324	269	75	15	9	3	45	69	1	25	7	279	383	435	818	156	364	21	14	357	131	+11	+2	+0	-2	+9	2.1
ROS	23	A+	KC	0%	216	191	43	8	3	2	21	58	2	11	3	225	308	330	638	105	309	27	10	288	79	-5	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.1
ROS	23	MLB	KC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						306	0	0	280	72	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	KC	—	325	285	69	13	8	2	31	93	1	25	7	242	319	365	684	123	351	29	10	297	85	-5	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.4
TOT	23	A+	KC	—	540	475	112	21	11	4	52	151	3	36	10	236	315	352	667	116	335	28	10	293	83	-11	+3	+0	-3	+15	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	KC	30%	568	503	115	22	8	7	55	149	5	21	6	229	311	346	657	117	306	26	10	295	84	-10	+2	+0	-3	+16	0.4
2028	25	MLB	KC	44%	583	516	119	23	7	9	57	151	5	20	5	231	313	355	668	124	306	26	10	300	88	-8	+2	+0	-3	+17	0.7
2029	26	MLB	KC	51%	589	522	121	23	7	10	57	151	5	19	5	232	313	360	674	128	305	26	10	303	90	-7	+2	+0	-4	+17	0.9
2030	27	MLB	KC	52%	588	520	121	23	7	10	58	151	5	19	5	233	316	362	677	129	305	26	10	304	91	-6	+2	+0	-4	+17	0.9
2031	28	MLB	KC	53%	583	515	120	23	7	10	58	151	5	18	5	233	317	363	680	130	304	26	10	303	90	-7	+2	-1	-3	+17	0.7
2032	29	MLB	KC	53%	575	508	117	22	7	9	57	150	5	17	5	230	314	354	668	124	303	26	10	301	88	-8	+1	-1	-3	+16	0.5
2033	30	MLB	KC	56%	567	501	114	21	7	9	56	149	5	16	4	228	311	351	663	124	302	26	10	298	86	-9	+2	-2	-3	+16	0.3
2034	31	MLB	KC	59%	557	492	110	21	6	8	55	148	5	15	4	224	308	339	647	116	299	27	10	294	83	-11	+1	-3	-3	+16	0.0
2027	24	MLB	KC	30%	172	152	34	6	2	2	17	45	1	6	2	224	306	329	635	105	303	26	10	286	77	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	KC	44%	258	229	52	10	3	4	25	67	2	9	2	227	309	349	658	122	302	26	10	291	81	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2029	26	MLB	KC	51%	299	265	61	11	4	5	29	77	3	10	3	230	313	358	672	128	302	26	10	294	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2030	27	MLB	KC	52%	308	272	63	12	4	5	30	79	3	10	3	232	315	360	675	129	301	26	10	294	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2031	28	MLB	KC	53%	311	274	63	12	4	5	31	80	3	10	3	230	315	358	673	128	301	26	10	293	83	-6	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.1
2032	29	MLB	KC	53%	302	266	61	11	4	5	30	79	3	9	2	229	314	357	672	128	300	26	10	291	81	-6	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.1
2033	30	MLB	KC	56%	320	282	64	12	4	5	32	84	3	9	2	227	312	351	663	124	298	26	10	289	79	-8	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2034	31	MLB	KC	59%	329	290	65	12	4	5	33	87	3	9	2	224	310	345	655	121	296	26	10	285	76	-9	+1	-2	-2	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2300	2031	463	86	29	36	227	598	21	72	19	228	312	352	664	124	303	26	10	291	81	-51	+7	-4	-14	+65	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	130	24	8	10	64	169	6	20	5	226	311	348	659	122	301	26	10	291	81	-14	+2	-1	-4	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	4959	4379	1007	190	61	74	489	1295	46	173	46	230	314	352	666	122	307	26	10	299	87	-73	+16	-7	-30	+141	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	132	25	8	10	64	170	6	23	6	230	313	354	667	124	307	26	10	299	87	-10	+2	-1	-4	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	133	106	30	5	2	0	20	28	4	17	4	283	415	368	783	85	380	21	15	356	131	+5	+2	—	—	+4	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,301	36	71	230	310	354	-14	+0	2.4	2.4
	/162	664	10	21	230	310	354	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nolan Sailors (OGILVIE)	23	37→42	32→37	66→71	61	236/315/352	116	335	4	36	28%	10%	83	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leon Johnson 2008 · A	23	49	40	58→60	50	229/302/326	97	301	6	22	24%	9%	77	+0.1	218/282/296	78	282	5	17	23%	7%	61	-1.0	200/262/221	21	248	0	22	18%	6%	30	-0.7
✕Anthony Norman 2008 · A	23	53→42	37→50	61→55	48	245/303/328	84	291	2	12	16%	6%	77	+0.1	222/302/363	141	273	13	18	23%	9%	88	+0.9	212/297/363	151	268	15	22	25%	9%	83	+0.2
✕Ryan Rogowski 2008 · A	24	47→46	39→40	61→55	50	221/291/321	100	275	4	25	20%	8%	71	-0.3	219/287/304	85	272	5	25	20%	8%	66	-0.6	216/288/287	71	262	5	32	18%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Joshua Howard 2006 · A	23	51	36→40	57→60	44	236/288/314	77	305	2	18	22%	6%	67	-0.5	225/299/290	65	314	3	20	26%	9%	66	-0.6	218/300/268	50	309	2	23	27%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	40→45	58→55	46	205/275/300	94	276	6	17	27%	8%	59	-1.1	222/298/307	85	300	5	16	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→38	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	63	-0.9	207/276/283	76	320	2	18	33%	8%	55	-1.4	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Kyle Mottice 2019 · A	23	50	35→30	58→55	54	229/334/291	63	272	2	18	15%	9%	85	+0.7	227/322/287	60	279	2	18	18%	8%	78	+0.2	232/325/276	44	287	0	25	17%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Jon Matthews 2014 · A	23	42	38→40	58→60	41	198/263/275	77	277	5	25	29%	6%	48	-1.9	231/299/299	68	313	3	16	25%	8%	69	-0.4	243/314/298	55	326	2	16	24%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Corey Rosier 2023 · A	23	48→51	42→40	62→60	49	229/304/341	112	296	9	28	25%	9%	82	+0.5	215/276/314	99	288	8	33	26%	7%	63	-0.8	205/266/300	95	272	8	36	26%	7%	52	-1.0
✕James Ramsay 2015 · A	23	43→53	38→40	58→50	46	201/269/295	94	278	3	19	28%	8%	55	-1.4	223/281/321	98	288	7	11	24%	7%	67	-0.5	227/285/322	95	286	8	8	22%	7%	66	-0.5
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
✕Matt Rudick 2022 · A	24	45→44	39→45	56→50	49	215/284/308	92	270	6	11	22%	8%	66	-0.6	212/297/327	115	264	10	14	22%	9%	77	+0.1	206/302/338	132	254	15	16	24%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Adam Klein 2008 · A	24	48	35→30	57→60	60	214/334/275	61	301	2	27	26%	14%	80	+0.4	229/328/296	67	315	2	16	24%	12%	82	+0.5	240/347/297	58	324	1	17	23%	14%	88	+0.5
✕Adonis Pacheco 2013 · A	22	45	39→50	57→55	45	213/271/312	99	277	4	16	24%	7%	60	-1.0	204/258/296	92	260	5	11	22%	6%	50	-1.7	160/206/240	80	191	3	9	17%	6%	11	-1.2
✕Randy Romero 2022 · A	22	46	35→40	59→60	44	214/257/281	66	260	2	21	18%	5%	46	-2.0	199/246/267	68	293	4	13	32%	5%	37	-2.6	166/202/202	36	264	3	19	37%	4%	1	-1.0
✕Donnie Dewees 2017 · A	23	49→51	40→45	62→50	41	233/275/340	108	297	4	17	23%	5%	69	-0.4	215/263/324	109	266	8	14	22%	5%	59	-1.1	205/256/316	111	247	9	13	21%	6%	52	-1.3
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	49→59	38→30	56→70	49	228/296/314	87	301	4	17	24%	8%	72	-0.2	265/309/316	51	306	1	59	13%	6%	76	+0.0	299/334/350	51	335	0	65	10%	5%	92	+0.9
✕Thomas Coyle 2014 · A	23	49→50	40	58→55	51	232/303/331	99	293	6	21	22%	9%	79	+0.3	209/277/302	93	295	6	20	29%	8%	61	-1.0	192/262/280	88	279	6	22	31%	8%	46	-1.3
✕Anthony Jackson 2008 · A	24	43→53	41→40	61→55	42	209/264/315	106	286	6	19	28%	6%	58	-1.2	230/284/308	78	295	4	25	22%	6%	64	-0.8	255/321/326	71	317	4	28	19%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Carlos Willoughby 2012 · A	23	45→42	36→40	57→60	48	210/280/284	74	264	2	21	20%	7%	57	-1.2	210/280/285	75	276	3	14	23%	8%	57	-1.2	206/287/267	61	274	0	13	22%	10%	53	-0.6