Esteban Romero

OF DSL Astros Blue

Age 20 L/R 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Astros Or…	98	.296/.412/.309	0	1	51	—	.221/.309/.233
2026	19	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	105	.276/.388/.345	0	8	37	—	.174/.262/.207
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBHOU	215	.233/.299/.308	2	4	74	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBHOU	61	.239/.306/.326	1	1	79	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBHOU	149	.242/.309/.338	2	3	82	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%99

Z-Con%99

K%96

Speed85

Chase%58

wOBA49

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsKean Wong (age 20) · Charlie Tilson (age 21) · Hak-Ju Lee (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 90 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .297 / .306

PA90

HR1

K%23

BB%8

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 77 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT77

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	150	39	8	0	0	17	25	4	12	1	260	351	313	664	53	312	15	10	309	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	81	24	1	0	0	15	9	1	1	0	296	412	309	721	12	329	9	15	340	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	105	87	24	2	2	0	16	10	0	8	4	276	388	345	733	69	312	10	15	334	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	155	26	5	0	0	12	31	4	12	1	168	246	200	446	32	209	18	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	86	19	1	0	0	10	11	1	1	0	221	309	233	542	12	233	11	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	105	92	16	1	1	0	11	12	0	8	4	174	262	207	469	33	202	11	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	155	26	5	0	0	12	31	4	12	1	168	246	200	446	32	210	18	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	150	39	8	0	0	17	25	4	12	1	260	351	313	664	53	312	15	10	309	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	86	19	1	0	0	10	11	1	1	0	221	309	233	542	12	250	11	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	81	24	1	0	0	15	9	1	1	0	296	412	309	721	12	329	9	15	340	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	105	92	16	1	1	0	11	12	0	8	4	174	262	207	469	33	200	11	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	105	87	24	2	2	0	16	10	0	8	4	276	388	345	733	69	312	10	15	334	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	154	26	5	0	0	12	31	4	12	1	169	246	201	447	32	209	18	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	87	19	1	0	0	10	11	1	1	0	218	309	230	539	11	233	11	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	105	93	16	1	1	0	11	12	0	8	4	172	262	204	466	32	202	11	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	154	26	5	0	0	12	31	4	12	1	169	246	201	447	32	209	18	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	87	19	1	0	0	10	11	1	1	0	218	309	230	539	11	233	11	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	105	93	16	1	1	0	11	12	0	8	4	172	262	204	466	32	202	11	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	215	195	46	7	2	2	16	49	2	4	1	233	299	308	608	75	299	23	7	277	74	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	177	159	38	6	1	2	14	40	2	4	1	237	304	322	626	86	300	23	8	284	79	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	308	278	66	10	2	4	24	68	3	7	2	239	307	334	641	94	301	22	8	290	82	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	399	361	87	13	3	6	31	88	4	9	2	241	309	343	652	101	301	22	8	295	85	-7	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	460	415	101	16	3	7	37	101	5	10	3	243	311	350	661	107	302	22	8	298	88	-7	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	495	447	109	17	3	9	40	109	5	11	3	244	312	355	667	111	301	22	8	300	89	-6	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	515	464	113	18	3	9	41	113	5	11	3	244	312	355	668	112	301	22	8	301	90	-6	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	523	471	114	18	3	9	42	116	5	11	3	243	311	353	664	110	301	22	8	299	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.2
2035	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	524	472	114	18	3	9	42	117	5	10	3	241	309	348	658	107	300	22	8	297	87	-8	+1	-1	-3	+11	0.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	517	466	111	17	3	8	41	117	5	9	3	239	307	342	649	103	299	23	8	293	84	-10	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	509	460	110	17	3	8	40	117	4	9	3	236	303	334	638	98	297	23	8	288	81	-11	+1	-2	-3	+11	-0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	61	55	13	2	0	1	5	14	1	1	0	239	306	326	633	87	304	23	8	287	79	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	149	135	32	5	1	2	12	33	1	3	1	242	309	338	647	96	305	22	8	293	82	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	216	195	48	8	2	3	17	48	2	5	1	244	312	346	658	102	305	22	8	297	85	-4	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	255	230	57	9	2	4	20	56	3	6	1	246	314	353	667	108	306	22	8	301	88	-4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	277	250	62	10	2	5	22	61	3	6	2	246	315	358	673	112	305	22	8	303	89	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	290	262	65	11	2	5	23	64	3	6	2	246	315	359	674	113	305	22	8	303	90	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	289	261	64	10	2	5	23	64	3	6	2	245	314	356	670	111	305	22	8	302	89	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	287	259	63	10	2	5	23	64	3	6	2	244	312	352	664	108	304	22	8	299	87	-4	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	276	249	60	10	2	4	22	63	3	5	2	241	309	346	655	104	303	23	8	295	84	-5	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	268	243	58	9	2	4	21	62	2	5	2	239	306	338	644	99	301	23	8	291	81	-6	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2368	2139	522	84	17	38	188	529	24	49	15	244	312	353	665	108	306	22	8	298	82	-39	+4	-2	-14	+51	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	143	23	5	10	52	145	7	13	4	244	313	351	664	107	306	22	8	298	82	-11	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4892	4408	1044	160	29	72	392	1060	49	114	31	237	306	335	642	98	294	22	8	289	82	-76	+8	-4	-27	+98	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	139	21	4	10	52	141	7	15	4	237	307	338	645	101	295	22	8	289	82	-11	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Jack Rothrock'25-'37 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,719 PA	5.6	3,719	28	75	248*	313*	376*	-15	-14	2.5	4.0
/162	664	5	13	-2.7	-2.5	0.4	pk7: 5
#4Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#5Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.7	2,459	38	50	242	306	346	-15	+0	1.7	1.7
/162	664	10	13	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Esteban Romero (OGILVIE)	20	72→77	28→33	50→55	62	231/297/306	74	299	1	2	23%	8%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kean Wong 2015 · A	20	57→63	36→45	48→55	41	269/302/333	63	340	3	10	21%	4%	80	-0.2	257/294/327	70	326	4	12	21%	5%	76	-0.4	262/307/372	111	343	9	9	25%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Charlie Tilson 2014 · A	21	54→60	38→40	52→55	42	257/293/338	80	317	6	11	21%	5%	78	-0.3	259/298/348	89	324	6	18	21%	5%	82	+0.0	266/308/358	92	328	5	22	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2011 · A	20	54→59	36→40	54→55	45	251/301/319	68	321	2	17	22%	6%	77	-0.3	254/308/346	92	329	4	24	22%	7%	86	+0.3	240/297/328	88	314	4	25	23%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Kendall George 2024 · A	19	55→60	36→30	52→65	48	253/320/322	69	342	3	22	25%	8%	85	+0.2	249/328/307	58	343	2	42	25%	10%	85	+0.2	262/344/315	53	355	2	56	24%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Luis Guillorme 2016 · A	21	56→64	33→40	45	48	262/310/302	40	317	1	10	17%	6%	76	-0.4	263/320/317	54	317	2	6	16%	8%	84	+0.1	277/347/351	74	322	5	4	14%	9%	99	+0.9
✕Carlos Rodríguez 2022 · A	21	49→59	36→40	50→55	44	227/280/296	68	311	2	14	26%	7%	64	-1.3	245/301/329	84	310	4	15	21%	7%	80	-0.2	265/323/349	84	315	3	16	16%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Jorge Ruiz 2024 · A	20	54→52	38→40	51→50	45	252/308/336	85	308	4	12	19%	6%	84	+0.2	226/274/301	75	294	4	13	23%	5%	63	-1.3	220/267/292	72	284	3	13	23%	5%	56	-1.5
✕Tyler Wade 2015 · A	20	53→58	35→45	49→60	43	241/298/306	65	344	2	12	29%	7%	73	-0.6	246/301/323	77	327	4	20	24%	7%	78	-0.3	238/306/337	99	319	7	34	26%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Alexi Amarista 2009 · A	20	51→61	38→45	50→55	51	239/294/319	80	267	5	17	13%	7%	74	-0.5	264/309/366	102	308	4	18	15%	5%	91	+0.6	270/311/375	105	314	4	19	15%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Euribiel Angeles 2022 · A	20	56→62	39→40	51→50	44	263/313/353	91	333	5	13	22%	6%	90	+0.6	245/277/329	84	298	6	13	19%	4%	70	-0.8	243/278/327	84	280	6	17	15%	4%	67	-0.9
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	46→56	37→40	57→60	51	211/279/293	82	248	2	14	16%	8%	63	-1.3	227/286/295	68	281	2	19	19%	6%	67	-1.1	260/318/350	90	329	5	34	21%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Ramón Flores 2013 · A	21	51→59	41→45	51→50	45	244/297/346	101	307	7	12	22%	6%	82	+0.0	245/307/354	109	301	8	8	20%	8%	88	+0.4	255/328/354	99	304	9	8	18%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2019 · A	20	46→55	36→45	50→60	46	216/276/285	69	264	2	13	18%	6%	61	-1.5	235/296/323	88	327	3	20	27%	7%	76	-0.4	253/316/355	102	332	7	33	24%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Nick Gordon 2016 · A	20	51→57	36→50	52→55	41	237/279/304	68	311	2	14	24%	5%	65	-1.2	241/284/333	92	323	5	13	25%	5%	74	-0.5	257/301/391	134	328	10	19	24%	4%	94	+0.5
✕Brent Keys 2011 · A	21	48→58	35→30	49→50	51	225/292/282	57	274	2	12	18%	8%	66	-1.1	256/314/322	66	306	3	13	16%	7%	83	+0.1	282/343/338	56	313	2	12	10%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Yohendrick Pinango 2022 · A	20	51→54	38→50	50	44	243/286/325	83	297	5	9	20%	6%	73	-0.6	221/266/322	101	276	9	10	22%	6%	65	-1.2	223/292/355	132	284	14	7	25%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Eury Pérez 2010 · A	20	51→61	38→40	54→65	48	241/306/317	75	289	5	19	18%	7%	79	-0.2	271/304/332	61	335	3	34	19%	4%	80	-0.1	300/333/376	75	363	4	37	18%	3%	96	+0.8
✕Rubén Tejada 2010 · AA	20	53→62	37→40	51→50	47	248/300/324	76	291	4	12	16%	6%	78	-0.3	257/311/327	70	304	3	8	15%	6%	83	+0.1	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
●Mallex Smith 2013 · A	20	50→60	38→45	53→65	39	234/275/308	74	319	5	18	28%	5%	65	-1.2	250/318/330	80	330	5	41	23%	8%	86	+0.3	278/341/377	99	360	5	52	22%	8%	102	+1.1

Esteban Romero

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps