Leandro Morgado — OGILVIE

Leandro MorgadoOF DSL Astros Blue

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 155 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .268 / .292

PA70

HR1

K%25

BB%6

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	188	170	37	12	0	2	9	30	5	12	5	218	277	324	601	106	246	16	5	268	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	140	126	22	2	1	0	10	22	3	12	4	175	252	206	458	32	210	16	7	218	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	188	173	26	8	0	1	6	38	5	12	5	150	201	214	415	64	172	20	3	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	140	129	15	1	1	0	7	28	3	12	4	116	180	140	319	23	143	20	5	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	188	173	26	8	0	1	6	38	5	12	5	150	201	214	415	64	181	20	3	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	188	170	37	12	0	2	9	30	5	12	5	218	277	324	601	106	246	16	5	268	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	140	129	15	1	1	0	7	28	3	12	4	116	180	140	319	23	147	20	5	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	140	126	22	2	1	0	10	22	3	12	4	175	252	206	458	32	210	16	7	218	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	188	175	26	8	0	1	6	38	5	12	5	149	201	211	413	63	172	20	3	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	140	129	15	1	1	0	7	28	3	12	4	116	180	140	319	23	143	20	5	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	188	175	26	8	0	1	6	38	5	12	5	149	201	211	413	63	172	20	3	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	140	129	15	1	1	0	7	28	3	12	4	116	180	140	319	23	143	20	5	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	250	230	49	9	2	2	15	62	3	7	1	214	270	295	565	81	281	25	6	257	60	-12	+1	+0	-2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	121	111	24	4	1	1	7	30	2	3	1	219	277	312	589	93	283	25	6	266	66	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	42	38	8	2	0	0	3	10	1	1	0	222	279	316	596	95	287	24	7	269	66	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	42	38	8	2	0	0	3	10	1	1	0	211	286	263	549	53	286	24	7	269	23	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	124	31	0	0	46	155	15	15	0	211	285	264	548	53	286	24	7	269	23	-26	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	519	478	79	16	2	3	24	113	11	29	10	165	222	226	448	61	207	22	5	202	23	-8	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	100	20	3	4	30	142	14	36	13	167	224	230	455	63	208	22	5	202	23	-28	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leandro Morgado (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	212/268/292	80	281	1	2	25%	6%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Yordalin Peña 2024 · A	19	36→37	37→55	55	41	176/232/253	77	233	4	10	26%	5%	37	-3.3	188/246/290	102	278	8	14	33%	6%	51	-2.2	184/241/311	127	279	12	17	37%	6%	52	-1.2
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	37→32	39→40	51→50	49	180/260/269	89	230	6	13	24%	8%	53	-2.1	179/254/271	92	260	6	10	31%	8%	50	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	33	38→40	47→60	44	164/228/238	74	214	6	13	26%	7%	33	-3.6	203/257/270	67	260	5	19	22%	6%	50	-2.3	211/263/264	53	270	3	24	22%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→40	38→50	54→55	44	200/273/281	81	280	6	20	29%	7%	59	-1.6	210/281/330	120	279	11	18	27%	7%	74	-0.6	204/280/342	138	273	13	19	29%	8%	74	-0.5
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	39→33	39→55	59→50	45	191/248/281	90	242	5	22	23%	6%	49	-2.4	195/243/347	152	271	18	8	34%	5%	63	-1.3	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	41	38→40	53→55	45	197/253/283	86	255	5	6	24%	7%	51	-2.2	212/290/283	71	299	4	17	27%	9%	66	-1.1	209/299/294	85	336	7	27	36%	9%	69	-0.3
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	34	39→45	54→45	38	169/229/251	81	271	6	13	38%	7%	36	-3.4	173/235/269	96	305	10	11	44%	6%	42	-2.9	160/223/268	108	267	13	9	43%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Raddy Sierra 2008 · A	20	40	39→40	51→55	42	193/266/277	84	278	6	17	31%	7%	56	-1.9	205/267/288	83	304	6	13	32%	6%	59	-1.7	207/262/261	54	318	0	16	32%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Brian Sanchez 2016 · A	20	35	39→50	47→45	37	173/232/259	86	255	6	7	33%	5%	39	-3.1	185/246/289	104	268	10	4	33%	6%	51	-2.2	177/247/294	117	245	12	0	32%	7%	52	-0.7
✕Zack Larson 2014 · A	20	46→36	41→45	53→50	41	221/279/318	97	292	8	13	26%	6%	70	-0.9	201/256/267	66	276	3	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	183/239/233	50	254	1	10	26%	5%	34	-1.9
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	41	36→40	54→45	48	191/268/264	73	243	2	13	21%	8%	54	-2.0	204/266/293	89	275	7	9	27%	7%	59	-1.6	185/249/263	77	271	7	8	32%	7%	44	-1.1
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	42	36→40	54→60	43	195/260/262	67	275	2	19	28%	7%	49	-2.4	203/255/272	69	317	3	11	34%	6%	50	-2.3	184/229/215	32	332	0	4	42%	5%	23	-1.0