Leandro Morgado — OGILVIE

Leandro MorgadoOF DSL Astros Blue

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 155 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 117 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .265 / .304

PA117

HR1

K%25

BB%5

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	188	174	31	9	0	2	5	46	5	12	5	178	223	264	487	86	223	24	3	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	188	170	37	12	0	2	9	30	5	12	5	218	277	324	601	106	246	16	5	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	140	130	17	1	1	0	6	33	3	12	4	131	187	154	341	23	173	24	4	157	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	140	126	22	2	1	0	10	22	3	12	4	175	252	206	458	32	210	16	7	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	HOU	—	117	109	23	4	1	1	6	30	1	3	1	211	259	294	552	83	283	26	5	259	56	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	HOU	34%	204	187	42	8	1	3	12	51	3	5	1	225	282	326	608	102	285	25	6	271	65	-8	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.3
2028	21	MLB	HOU	48%	336	308	70	13	2	6	20	82	5	8	2	227	285	341	626	114	287	24	6	279	72	-11	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.3
2029	22	MLB	HOU	54%	431	396	91	17	3	8	26	104	6	11	2	230	287	348	636	119	288	24	6	284	76	-12	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.1
2030	23	MLB	HOU	57%	495	454	105	19	3	10	31	119	7	12	3	231	291	352	643	121	289	24	6	287	78	-12	+1	+0	-3	+14	-0.0
2031	24	MLB	HOU	57%	537	491	114	21	3	11	34	128	7	13	3	232	291	354	646	122	290	24	6	289	79	-13	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.1
2027	20	MLB	HOU	34%	70	65	14	3	0	1	4	17	1	2	0	215	271	308	579	92	288	24	6	264	60	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	HOU	48%	163	150	34	6	1	3	10	40	2	4	1	227	284	340	624	113	290	25	6	272	66	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	22	MLB	HOU	54%	234	215	48	9	1	4	14	56	3	6	1	223	280	330	610	107	291	24	6	277	70	-8	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.2
2030	23	MLB	HOU	57%	280	257	60	11	2	6	17	67	4	7	2	233	291	362	653	128	292	24	6	280	73	-9	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2031	24	MLB	HOU	57%	304	278	65	12	2	6	19	73	4	8	2	234	292	356	648	122	293	24	6	282	74	-9	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1051	965	221	41	6	20	64	253	14	27	6	229	287	346	633	117	288	24	6	277	71	-35	+3	+0	-6	+30	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	136	25	4	12	40	156	9	17	4	228	287	343	630	116	287	24	6	277	71	-22	+2	+0	-4	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	2448	2249	493	92	14	41	140	593	37	76	21	219	276	327	603	108	277	24	6	270	65	-98	+7	+0	-15	+69	-3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	131	24	4	11	37	157	10	20	6	219	276	328	605	109	277	24	6	270	65	-26	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	188	170	37	12	0	2	9	30	5	12	5	218	277	324	601	106	246	16	5	268	63	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	140	126	22	2	1	0	10	22	3	12	4	175	252	206	458	32	210	16	7	218	25	-12	+1	—	—	+4	-0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,167	21	28	229	284	344	-7	+0	-0.5	-0.2
	/162	664	12	16	229	284	344	-4.0	+0.0	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leandro Morgado (OGILVIE)	19	46→51	32→37	56→61	39	215/265/304	89	283	1	3	25%	5%	56	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	48	-1.9	215/267/306	91	282	7	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Edwin Ventura 2017 · A	19	48	37→30	54→55	41	225/280/299	74	293	4	12	24%	5%	61	-1.0	192/240/242	50	258	2	14	25%	5%	28	-3.2	167/212/188	21	225	0	20	24%	4%	1	-1.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Franklin Rollin 2015 · A	19	45	36→40	53→55	40	210/279/281	71	264	2	15	20%	4%	57	-1.2	233/284/317	84	282	4	17	18%	4%	67	-0.5	235/277/325	90	285	5	20	18%	4%	62	-0.5
✕Charlie Culberson 2008 · A	19	45→49	37→45	60→50	41	210/271/293	83	300	4	18	30%	6%	56	-1.3	213/257/291	78	286	5	11	26%	4%	49	-1.8	254/306/422	168	324	18	9	26%	6%	98	+0.7
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2008 · A	19	40→50	42→40	56→55	40	199/252/310	111	278	8	14	30%	6%	52	-1.6	223/287/308	85	277	6	19	20%	7%	66	-0.6	232/302/304	72	281	5	22	18%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	46	-2.0	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	61	-1.0	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Robert Vasquez 2006 · A	19	49	40	52→50	47	232/289/326	94	289	6	12	22%	7%	72	-0.2	206/273/275	69	276	4	8	25%	8%	52	-1.6	196/269/254	58	272	5	9	27%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Daniel Padilla 2016 · A	19	48	36→30	52→55	42	224/274/285	61	300	4	14	26%	6%	54	-1.4	217/288/282	65	293	3	16	24%	8%	59	-1.1	218/302/265	47	288	0	27	22%	10%	61	-0.3
✕Oswald Peraza 2019 · A	19	43→52	35→50	54→60	41	201/265/263	62	286	2	12	29%	6%	46	-2.0	222/277/311	89	292	8	20	26%	5%	63	-0.9	228/285/371	143	284	18	30	26%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Juan Lagares 2008 · A	19	40→50	39→45	52→50	39	194/239/288	94	268	5	12	29%	5%	40	-2.4	218/247/301	83	286	5	12	25%	3%	46	-2.0	261/302/366	105	316	7	13	19%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Ryan Vega 2017 · A	20	44	40	54→45	41	212/260/305	93	270	8	9	24%	5%	54	-1.4	213/273/302	89	289	8	7	27%	6%	59	-1.1	191/259/271	81	269	8	6	30%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Adrián Sanchez 2010 · A	19	43→45	37→45	52→50	43	206/249/284	78	252	4	13	20%	5%	43	-2.2	226/250/298	72	274	4	12	19%	2%	46	-2.0	255/291/358	104	310	7	11	20%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Diego Infante 2018 · A	18	42→52	35→45	54→50	41	199/244/266	67	276	2	12	28%	6%	36	-2.7	197/241/267	70	299	4	10	33%	5%	36	-2.7	234/285/359	124	358	14	14	36%	6%	76	+0.1
✕Jose Monserrate 2023 · A	18	47	38→40	51→50	46	221/290/309	87	287	5	13	23%	7%	68	-0.5	215/293/282	67	300	3	21	27%	9%	63	-0.9	180/265/225	45	288	1	34	34%	9%	34	-0.6
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2017 · A	19	49→58	37→45	52→50	43	227/285/300	73	272	3	14	17%	4%	63	-0.8	234/271/306	72	285	2	15	18%	3%	58	-1.2	249/294/353	104	292	8	16	17%	3%	76	+0.1
✕Mikey Edie 2016 · A	19	48	35→30	49→50	42	224/295/281	56	296	3	13	24%	5%	64	-0.8	212/267/270	58	314	2	15	31%	4%	48	-1.9	187/236/240	52	281	2	10	32%	3%	22	-1.4
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	211/276/297	86	310	7	9	32%	8%	59	-1.1	239/285/329	90	301	8	17	22%	5%	70	-0.3	252/302/359	107	305	10	17	20%	6%	82	+0.4