Alexander Almonte

P FCL Yankees

Age 20 RHP 6'4" / 205 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.7 · 2032

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #361MiLBFA 2037

ETA2028FG ETA2031MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	11	10	52	3.29	3.22	21.0%	9.2%	—	K 14.3% · BB 11.5% · FIP 4.27
2026	19	ROKNYY	12	1	23	7.15	5.39	12.6%	19.3%	—	K 8.6% · BB 24.2% · FIP 6.08
2027PROJ	20	MLBNYY	12	12	68	5.88	5.88	16.5%	17.4%	-0.7
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBNYY	9	9	52	5.75	5.70	17.3%	15.8%	-0.4
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBNYY	19	19	107	5.38	5.22	19.6%	13.8%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$4M+2

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Command40FB velo55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsHunter Parks (age 21) · Reynardo Cruz (age 20) · Kyle Larsen (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.88

FIP5.88

K%16.5%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%-0.9%

Proj IP68

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4055

CMD2540

K†4055

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$7M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	9	9	26	109	26	12	3	100%	2.9	16.2%	13.8%	2.5%	4.0%	3.51	5.69	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	9	9	26	109	26	12	3	100%	2.9	16.2%	13.8%	2.5%	4.0%	3.51	5.69	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	9	9	26	109	26	12	3	100%	2.9	23.9%	11.0%	12.8%	2.8%	3.51	4.00	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	11	10	52	229	48	21	3	91%	4.7	14.3%	11.5%	2.8%	1.7%	3.29	4.27	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	11	10	52	229	48	21	3	91%	4.7	14.3%	11.5%	2.8%	1.7%	3.29	4.27	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	11	10	52	229	48	21	3	91%	4.7	21.0%	9.2%	11.8%	1.3%	3.29	3.22	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	12	1	23	119	15	23	1	8%	1.9	8.6%	24.2%	-15.6%	1.2%	7.15	6.08	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	12	1	23	119	15	23	1	8%	1.9	8.6%	24.2%	-15.6%	1.2%	7.15	6.08	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	12	1	23	119	15	23	1	8%	1.9	12.6%	19.3%	-6.7%	0.8%	7.15	5.39	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	NYY	12	12	68	287	47	50	8	100%	5.7	16.5%	17.4%	-0.9%	2.9%	5.88	5.88	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	NYY	19	19	106	446	77	70	13	100%	5.6	17.3%	15.8%	1.5%	2.9%	5.64	5.59	-0.8
2029	22	MLB MLE	NYY	26	26	147	620	122	86	17	100%	5.7	19.6%	13.8%	5.8%	2.8%	5.28	5.12	-0.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	NYY	31	31	175	739	156	93	20	100%	5.6	21.2%	12.6%	8.6%	2.8%	4.98	4.81	+0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	NYY	32	32	179	757	168	89	21	100%	5.6	22.2%	11.8%	10.4%	2.7%	4.75	4.61	+0.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	NYY	31	31	180	760	173	86	21	100%	5.8	22.8%	11.3%	11.4%	2.7%	4.60	4.50	+0.8
2033	26	MLB MLE	NYY	30	30	180	760	175	86	21	100%	6.0	23.1%	11.3%	11.7%	2.7%	4.52	4.47	+0.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	NYY	30	30	177	749	172	85	21	100%	5.9	23.0%	11.4%	11.6%	2.8%	4.51	4.50	+0.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	NYY	29	29	172	726	166	84	21	100%	5.9	22.9%	11.5%	11.4%	2.9%	4.56	4.59	+0.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	NYY	27	27	164	694	157	82	21	100%	6.1	22.7%	11.8%	10.9%	3.0%	4.66	4.72	+0.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	NYY	26	26	154	652	146	79	21	100%	5.9	22.3%	12.1%	10.2%	3.2%	4.80	4.90	0.0
2038	31	MLB MLE	NYY	24	24	144	608	133	76	21	100%	6.0	21.9%	12.4%	9.5%	3.5%	4.98	5.10	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	NYY	9	9	52	220	38	35	7	100%	5.8	17.3%	15.8%	1.5%	3.0%	5.75	5.70	-0.4
2029	22	MLB CTX	NYY	19	19	107	452	89	63	14	100%	5.6	19.6%	13.8%	5.8%	3.0%	5.38	5.22	-0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	NYY	26	26	148	625	132	79	18	100%	5.7	21.2%	12.6%	8.6%	3.0%	5.08	4.91	+0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	NYY	28	28	160	676	150	80	20	100%	5.7	22.2%	11.8%	10.4%	2.9%	4.85	4.71	+0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	NYY	28	28	165	697	158	79	20	100%	5.9	22.8%	11.3%	11.4%	2.9%	4.70	4.60	+0.8
2033	26	MLB CTX	NYY	28	28	168	709	164	80	21	100%	6.0	23.1%	11.3%	11.7%	2.9%	4.62	4.57	+0.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	NYY	28	28	168	709	163	81	21	100%	6.0	23.0%	11.4%	11.6%	3.0%	4.61	4.60	+0.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	NYY	27	27	163	688	158	79	21	100%	6.0	22.9%	11.5%	11.4%	3.1%	4.67	4.70	+0.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	NYY	26	26	156	659	149	78	21	100%	6.0	22.7%	11.8%	10.9%	3.2%	4.77	4.83	+0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	NYY	24	24	147	621	139	75	21	100%	6.1	22.3%	12.1%	10.2%	3.5%	4.92	5.02	0.0
2038	31	MLB CTX	NYY	23	23	137	578	127	72	21	100%	6.0	21.9%	12.4%	9.5%	3.7%	5.11	5.23	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		267	267	1571	6632	1466	799	206	100%	5.9	22.1%	12.1%	10.1%	3.1%	4.87	4.46	+8.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	187	102	26	100%	5.9	22.1%	12.1%	10.1%	3.1%	4.87	4.46	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		32	20	100	457	61	70	10	62%	3.1	13.2%	15.3%	-2.1%	2.1%	4.22	5.08	+2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	40	200	911	121	140	19	62%	3.1	13.2%	15.3%	-2.1%	2.1%	4.22	5.08	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alexander Almonte (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.88	16.5%	17.4%	2.9%	—	5.11	19.7%	5.9%	428	-0.77	—	—	—
Hunter Parks R 2022 · 5.17 FIP	21	SP-	5.17	18.7%	16.8%	2.8%	.312	5.23	17.7%	-0.3%	163	+0.06	4.42	301	88
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	87
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	85
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	85
Mason McGwire R 2024 · 6.46 FIP	20	SP-	6.46	11.7%	21.2%	3.0%	.298	4.11	21.4%	10.7%	79	-2.35	4.11	155	83
Jacob Cravey R 2024 · 5.15 FIP	22	SP-	5.15	14.4%	18.0%	1.8%	.333	5.84	14.7%	1.0%	124	+0.69	4.97	208	82
Jefferson Medina R 2015 · 5.12 FIP	21	SP-	5.12	13.1%	16.1%	2.0%	.279	3.89	14.1%	2.6%	187	-1.23	3.56	350	82
James McArthur R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	18.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.304	4.41	20.0%	10.7%	131	-0.63	3.48	352	82
Jose Alberto Rivera R 2017 · 5.65 FIP	20	SW	5.65	16.1%	19.2%	2.7%	.185	3.68	20.3%	9.9%	115	-1.97	3.39	163	82
Yeury Tatiz R 2021 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	17.4%	15.6%	3.5%	.295	5.10	13.0%	-1.0%	100	-0.44	3.73	221	82
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	81
Garrett Nuss R 2015 · 5.71 FIP	22	SW	5.71	14.1%	14.9%	3.5%	.352	4.58	15.0%	5.3%	92	-1.13	4.57	174	81
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	81
Manuel Perez R 2024 · 5.41 FIP	18	SW	5.41	13.7%	19.8%	1.7%	.319	4.93	13.6%	1.4%	78	-0.48	3.40	188	81
Kolton Curtis R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	20	SP-	4.91	17.2%	14.4%	2.6%	.236	4.41	19.9%	2.5%	66	-0.50	4.41	148	80
Alejandro Hidalgo R 2023 · 6.05 FIP	20	SW	6.05	16.0%	21.7%	2.8%	.283	6.42	22.0%	9.7%	151	+0.37	4.03	275	80
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	80
Michele Vassalotti R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SP-	5.31	17.8%	20.8%	2.0%	.280	4.22	19.1%	2.6%	82	-1.09	2.60	238	80
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	80
Orlando Gonzalez R 2024 · 6.34 FIP	21	SP-	6.34	13.8%	18.8%	3.7%	.155	4.18	18.9%	4.9%	71	-2.16	3.83	114	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	9.2	154	21.7%	12.4%	1.12	4.84
Tony Cloninger ('61-'72, 4 WAR*)	8.8	147	18.9%*	11.2%*	1.26*	4.83*
Bill Stoneman ('67-'74, 7 WAR*)	6.2	155	22.8%*	11.1%*	1.25*	4.75*
Tim Lollar ('80-'86, 3 WAR*)	4.5	129	21.2%*	12.2%*	1.35*	4.94*
Jason Bere ('03)	5.6	123	18.4%	12.6%	1.17	5.14
Robert Person ('03)	4.5	128	19.8%	11.2%	1.29	4.64
Jonathan Sánchez ('13)	3.9	112	22.8%	12.5%	1.04	4.70