Vahn Lackey

C Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 22 R/R A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP57ETA2028MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	A+MIN	52	.316/.500/.500	2	8	140	—	.286/.423/.452
2026	21	AMIN	72	.204/.394/.370	1	5	77	—	.190/.338/.345
2027PROJ10% MLB	22	MLBMIN	12	.227/.322/.368	0	0	96	0.0
2028PROJ53% MLB	23	MLBMIN	108	.230/.324/.375	3	2	99	0.5
2029PROJ65% MLB	24	MLBMIN	202	.233/.325/.382	5	4	101	1.0

Next 3 projected WAR 1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$4M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%99

wOBA98

wRC+98

Chase%92

K%91

Whiff%81

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 9, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 84%

CompsHarry Ford (age 21) · Agustín Ramírez (age 22) · Zack Gelof (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .322 / .368

PA12

HR0

K%25

BB%8

BABIP297

ISO142

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$67M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER58

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+1.3	$6M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+1.2	$5M	+$2M
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$13M		$39M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	52	38	12	1	0	2	14	8	0	8	1	316	500	500	1.000	184	357	15	27	449	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	72	54	11	2	2	1	14	16	3	5	1	204	394	370	765	167	263	22	19	351	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	52	42	12	1	0	2	10	10	0	8	1	286	423	452	875	167	329	19	19	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	72	58	11	2	2	1	10	22	3	5	1	190	338	345	683	155	239	31	14	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	124	100	23	3	2	3	20	32	3	13	2	230	374	390	764	160	303	26	16	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	124	92	23	3	2	3	28	24	3	13	2	250	439	424	863	174	303	19	23	392	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	124	100	23	3	2	3	20	32	3	13	2	230	374	390	764	160	277	26	16	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	124	100	23	3	2	3	20	32	3	13	2	230	374	390	764	160	277	26	16	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	10%	234	204	46	7	2	6	25	63	3	6	1	227	322	367	689	140	297	27	11	311	96	-1	+1	+1	+4	+5	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIN	10%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	227	322	368	689	140	297	25	8	311	96	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	203	177	40	6	2	5	22	54	2	5	1	230	323	375	698	145	298	27	11	314	99	-0	+1	+1	+4	+4	1.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	310	270	63	10	3	8	33	82	4	7	1	232	325	381	706	149	298	26	11	317	101	+0	+1	+2	+6	+7	1.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	70%	373	326	75	12	3	10	40	97	4	7	1	234	325	386	711	152	298	26	11	319	102	+1	+1	+2	+7	+8	1.9
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	72%	415	363	86	14	4	12	44	107	5	8	1	235	325	389	714	154	297	26	11	320	103	+1	+1	+3	+7	+9	2.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	71%	433	380	90	15	4	12	45	112	5	8	1	234	324	387	711	153	297	26	10	319	102	+1	+1	+3	+8	+9	2.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	71%	442	388	91	15	4	12	46	115	5	8	1	232	322	382	704	150	296	26	10	316	100	-0	+1	+2	+8	+10	2.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	69%	439	385	88	14	3	12	46	116	5	7	1	230	319	376	695	146	294	26	10	312	97	-1	+1	+1	+8	+10	1.9
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	74%	434	381	86	14	3	11	45	116	5	7	1	227	316	368	683	141	292	27	10	308	94	-3	+1	+1	+8	+9	1.6
2036	31	MLB MLE	MIN	77%	410	361	81	13	3	10	42	111	4	5	1	223	311	357	668	135	289	27	10	302	90	-5	+1	-0	+7	+9	1.2
2037	32	MLB MLE	MIN	79%	383	337	73	11	3	9	39	105	4	5	2	217	305	345	650	128	285	27	10	294	85	-7	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.8
2038	33	MLB MLE	MIN	80%	345	305	64	10	2	7	34	97	3	4	4	211	297	330	627	119	280	28	10	285	79	-9	-1	-2	+6	+7	0.2
2039	34	MLB MLE	MIN	75%	295	262	54	8	2	6	29	85	2	3	7	203	288	312	601	109	274	29	10	274	72	-10	-2	-3	+5	+6	-0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	108	94	21	3	1	3	12	29	1	2	0	230	324	375	699	145	298	27	11	315	99	-0	+0	+1	+2	+2	0.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	202	176	41	7	2	5	22	53	2	4	1	233	325	382	707	149	298	26	11	317	101	+0	+0	+1	+4	+4	1.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	70%	261	228	53	9	2	7	28	68	3	5	1	234	325	386	712	152	298	26	11	319	102	+1	+1	+2	+5	+6	1.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	72%	298	261	61	10	3	8	31	77	4	6	1	235	325	389	715	154	298	26	10	320	103	+1	+1	+2	+5	+6	1.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	71%	308	269	64	10	3	9	32	80	4	6	1	234	324	388	712	153	297	26	10	319	102	+1	+1	+2	+6	+7	1.6
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	71%	313	273	64	10	3	9	33	82	4	5	1	233	322	383	705	150	296	26	11	316	100	-0	+1	+1	+6	+7	1.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	69%	303	265	61	10	2	8	32	80	3	5	1	230	319	376	696	146	294	26	11	312	97	-1	+1	+1	+5	+7	1.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	74%	320	281	63	10	2	8	33	85	3	5	1	227	316	368	684	141	292	27	10	308	94	-2	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.2
2036	31	MLB CTX	MIN	77%	315	277	62	10	2	8	32	85	3	4	1	223	311	358	669	135	289	27	10	302	90	-4	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.9
2037	32	MLB CTX	MIN	79%	301	265	58	9	2	7	30	83	3	4	2	217	305	345	650	128	285	28	10	294	85	-5	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.6
2038	33	MLB CTX	MIN	80%	276	244	52	8	2	6	27	78	3	3	3	211	297	330	628	119	280	28	10	285	79	-7	-1	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2039	34	MLB CTX	MIN	75%	222	196	40	6	1	4	22	64	2	2	6	203	288	313	601	109	274	29	10	274	72	-7	-2	-2	+4	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3227	2829	640	102	25	82	334	864	35	51	19	226	316	367	682	141	294	27	10	307	94	-24	+3	+5	+58	+70	11.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	130	21	5	17	67	174	7	10	4	228	317	372	689	144	295	27	10	307	94	-5	+1	+1	+12	+14	2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4727	4141	938	149	39	120	498	1262	52	90	24	227	317	368	685	142	294	27	11	308	94	-32	+7	+8	+82	+100	16.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	129	20	5	17	68	174	7	12	3	227	316	369	685	142	294	27	10	308	94	-4	+1	+1	+12	+14	2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Kelly Shoppachlast yr '13 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,839 PA	2.8	1,839	70	1	225	314	417	+33	+14	11.3	11.5
/162	664	25	0	+11.9	+5.0	4.1	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	4.9	3,239	82	53	227	312	368	+58	+27	12.2	10.9
/162	664	17	11	+11.9	+5.5	2.5	pk7: 10
#4Jake Early'39-'49 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,518 PA	3.8	2,518	32	7	233*	313*	381*	+45	+0	9.9	9.8
/162	664	8	2	+11.9	+0.0	2.6	pk7: 10
#5Mike Fitzgerald'83-'92 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	48	31	234*	320*	372*	+43	-1	9.5	9.3
/162	664	12	8	+10.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9
#6Admiral Schlei'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,169 PA	3.3	2,169	6	38	241*	316*	378*	+35	+0	7.6	7.6
/162	664	2	12	+10.6	+0.2	2.3	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Vahn Lackey (OGILVIE)	22	41→57	44→58	56→50	60	225/319/364	139	297	3	3	27%	11%	96	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Harry Ford 2024 · A	21	46→53	46→45	52→55	56	220/336/355	135	298	13	15	28%	13%	101	+1.4	227/331/344	117	301	11	16	25%	12%	97	+1.1	223/330/334	111	296	10	16	25%	12%	91	+0.5
✕Agustín Ramírez 2024 · AA	22	44→48	48→55	48→55	47	226/286/366	140	275	16	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	237/299/402	165	282	19	17	22%	7%	97	+1.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
●Zack Gelof 2022 · A	22	48→53	49→55	54→55	43	235/299/383	148	333	16	17	33%	8%	93	+0.8	237/301/410	173	329	21	20	32%	8%	99	+1.3	233/299/410	177	319	22	24	33%	8%	97	+1.0
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46→47	49→50	52→50	42	230/312/381	150	296	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	223/306/371	148	287	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	210/295/352	142	268	18	11	27%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	49→52	51→55	53→50	45	247/308/415	168	312	18	13	26%	7%	103	+1.6	240/302/401	161	300	18	7	25%	7%	98	+1.2	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	51→48	46→60	49→55	42	249/311/386	137	314	13	12	25%	6%	97	+1.1	248/318/428	180	302	21	19	24%	6%	111	+2.1	246/319/446	200	307	24	25	27%	7%	116	+2.6
●Derek Norris 2011 · A	22	43→53	50→55	44→50	53	214/320/371	157	294	18	6	32%	12%	98	+1.2	213/305/381	168	277	20	11	29%	11%	95	+1.0	257/333/410	152	314	16	5	22%	9%	112	+1.6
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2024 · A	22	52→61	43→45	53→50	48	249/311/362	113	301	9	14	20%	7%	91	+0.7	256/314/367	111	304	10	14	18%	7%	94	+0.9	261/323/368	107	303	10	16	17%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	48→52	41→45	48→45	51	225/337/325	100	294	8	9	24%	9%	95	+1.0	235/325/347	112	296	10	7	23%	7%	95	+0.9	237/330/347	110	299	10	5	22%	7%	95	+0.5
●Chase Meidroth 2023 · A	22	49→58	52→40	48→50	51	248/325/415	167	283	19	12	20%	8%	109	+2.0	254/348/353	99	314	9	12	20%	11%	104	+1.6	263/352/365	101	313	10	11	17%	11%	107	+1.8
✕Charles McAdoo 2024 · A	22	49→47	49→50	50→55	48	243/314/390	147	311	17	12	27%	9%	99	+1.3	223/285/364	141	308	16	19	31%	7%	82	+0.0	218/283/359	140	297	16	21	31%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	50→55	54→50	49	211/301/366	155	290	17	16	32%	10%	90	+0.6	217/302/391	174	272	21	10	27%	10%	96	+1.0	206/293/384	178	246	22	6	26%	10%	92	+0.5
●Sean Rodríguez 2007 · AA	22	47→51	52→60	48→50	46	240/313/415	174	307	20	12	28%	8%	105	+1.7	236/309/417	181	299	21	10	28%	7%	105	+1.7	244/318/452	208	301	26	12	27%	7%	113	+1.7
●Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	47→52	46→60	48→50	49	233/308/370	136	299	14	13	26%	9%	93	+0.8	220/293/335	115	302	9	13	28%	9%	79	-0.2	243/307/436	194	312	22	11	28%	8%	108	+1.1
●Miguel Vargas 2022 · AA	22	52→54	50→55	51→50	45	260/311/412	152	306	17	9	21%	6%	103	+1.6	238/317/395	157	283	16	12	21%	9%	101	+1.4	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0
✕Chun-Hsiu Chen 2011 · A	22	53→60	46→50	47→45	47	257/317/401	144	325	11	6	24%	7%	103	+1.5	249/309/381	132	344	12	6	29%	8%	95	+1.0	242/305/367	124	340	12	7	30%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	44→43	44→50	50→40	51	216/311/333	117	280	11	7	25%	10%	86	+0.3	226/312/365	139	299	15	5	28%	9%	94	+0.9	230/302/374	144	273	16	1	22%	7%	92	+0.3
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A	22	46→50	42→65	50→40	43	219/290/331	112	301	9	7	29%	7%	78	-0.3	214/267/405	191	281	24	4	33%	6%	86	+0.3	232/286/458	227	274	32	3	28%	6%	107	+1.6
●Paul DeJong 2016 · A	22	50→51	47→65	52→45	44	244/299/383	138	310	13	13	25%	6%	92	+0.7	243/292/422	179	312	23	4	29%	5%	99	+1.3	248/312/469	221	290	30	4	26%	7%	119	+2.7
✕J.R. Towles 2006 · A	22	55→53	47→50	49→50	44	266/331/410	144	326	12	15	22%	6%	110	+2.1	251/316/396	145	293	15	12	19%	6%	102	+1.5	240/312/382	142	276	16	11	19%	6%	95	+0.6

Vahn Lackey

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps