Ryan Verdugo

P Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	MIX2 levels	4	4	8	10.57	5.32	25.6%	20.5%	—	K 25.6% · BB 20.5% · FIP 4.94
2026	23	AHOU	21	7	89	4.26	4.04	25.7%	16.4%	—	K 19.0% · BB 19.4% · FIP 5.27
2027PROJ	24	MLBHOU	59	0	62	5.68	5.68	20.1%	18.2%	-0.8
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBHOU	33	0	35	5.38	5.28	20.9%	15.6%	-0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBHOU	51	0	54	5.23	5.18	21.2%	15.0%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsZach Linginfelter (age 24) · Matt Ruppenthal (age 23) · Nick Gallagher (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.68

FIP5.68

K%20.1%

BB%18.2%

K-BB%1.9%

Proj IP62

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	4	8	39	10	8	1	100%	1.9	25.6%	20.5%	5.1%	2.6%	10.57	4.94	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	4	8	39	10	8	1	100%	1.9	25.6%	20.5%	5.1%	2.6%	10.57	4.94	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	4	8	39	10	8	1	100%	1.9	25.6%	20.5%	5.1%	2.6%	10.57	5.32	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	21	7	89	378	97	62	7	33%	4.2	19.0%	19.4%	-0.4%	2.4%	4.26	5.27	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	21	7	89	378	97	62	7	33%	4.2	19.0%	19.4%	-0.4%	2.4%	4.26	5.27	—
2026	23	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	21	7	89	378	97	62	7	33%	4.2	25.7%	16.4%	9.3%	1.9%	4.26	4.04	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	HOU	59	0	62	262	53	48	8	0%	1.1	20.1%	18.2%	1.9%	2.9%	5.68	5.68	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	77	0	81	341	71	53	10	0%	1.0	20.9%	15.6%	5.3%	2.9%	5.38	5.28	-0.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	HOU	77	0	81	341	72	51	10	0%	1.0	21.2%	15.0%	6.2%	2.9%	5.23	5.18	-0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	HOU	76	0	80	336	78	47	10	0%	1.0	23.2%	13.9%	9.3%	3.0%	5.01	4.90	-0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	HOU	74	0	77	326	75	45	10	0%	1.0	23.1%	13.9%	9.2%	3.1%	4.98	4.97	-0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	HOU	70	0	74	311	71	44	10	0%	1.1	22.9%	14.1%	8.7%	3.2%	5.05	5.10	-0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	HOU	66	0	69	293	66	42	10	0%	1.1	22.5%	14.4%	8.1%	3.4%	5.19	5.28	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	33	0	35	148	31	23	4	0%	1.1	20.9%	15.6%	5.3%	2.9%	5.38	5.28	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	HOU	51	0	54	228	48	34	7	0%	1.1	21.2%	15.0%	6.2%	2.9%	5.23	5.18	-0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	HOU	58	0	61	258	60	36	8	0%	1.1	23.2%	13.9%	9.3%	3.0%	5.01	4.90	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	HOU	62	0	65	274	63	38	8	0%	1.0	23.1%	13.9%	9.2%	3.1%	4.98	4.97	-0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	HOU	61	0	64	270	62	38	9	0%	1.0	22.9%	14.1%	8.7%	3.2%	5.05	5.10	-0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	HOU	59	0	62	262	59	38	9	0%	1.1	22.5%	14.4%	8.1%	3.4%	5.19	5.28	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		325	0	341	1441	323	207	44	0%	1.0	22.4%	14.4%	8.1%	3.1%	5.12	4.72	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	121	26	0%	1.1	22.4%	14.4%	8.1%	3.1%	5.12	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		25	11	96	417	82	81	10	44%	3.9	19.6%	19.5%	0.1%	2.4%	4.76	5.24	-3.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	23	200	866	170	168	21	44%	3.9	19.6%	19.5%	0.1%	2.4%	4.76	5.24	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Verdugo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.68	20.1%	18.2%	2.9%	—	5.12	21.8%	6.9%	241	-0.56	—	—	—
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	78
Matt Ruppenthal R 2019 · 4.50 FIP	23	SP-	4.50	19.1%	14.3%	2.2%	.290	4.32	21.4%	6.5%	143	-0.18	3.74	283	77
Nick Gallagher R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	23	SP-	4.56	22.0%	17.9%	1.9%	.274	5.02	21.0%	7.0%	73	+0.46	4.10	196	77
Jacob Cravey R 2024 · 5.15 FIP	22	SP-	5.15	14.4%	18.0%	1.8%	.333	5.84	14.7%	1.0%	124	+0.69	4.97	208	75
Andrew Lee R 2018 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	21.4%	22.6%	1.6%	.232	4.44	19.1%	7.3%	169	-0.58	2.43	364	75
R.J. Freure R 2021 · 6.10 FIP	24	SP-	6.10	21.7%	16.2%	5.1%	.298	5.89	20.3%	0.1%	26	-0.21	5.13	196	74
Austin Vernon R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	24	SW	5.75	22.1%	16.8%	4.3%	.325	3.68	23.3%	10.0%	100	-2.07	3.37	261	74
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	74
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	73
Dan Hammer R 2022 · 6.09 FIP	24	SW	6.09	18.3%	22.4%	3.1%	.255	4.52	21.8%	5.0%	105	-1.57	3.81	260	72
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	72
Holt Jones R 2023 · 5.06 FIP	24	SP-	5.06	16.1%	17.9%	1.9%	.285	4.33	21.4%	7.0%	173	-0.73	4.21	254	72
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	72
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	72
Wilian Bormie R 2024 · 4.86 FIP	23	SW	4.86	21.1%	14.7%	3.1%	.288	3.65	24.6%	11.2%	122	-1.21	3.51	226	71
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	71
Elian Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.60 FIP	24	SW	5.60	18.3%	21.9%	2.3%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	5.60	109	71
Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	21	SP-	5.22	13.9%	15.4%	2.5%	.237	4.69	20.8%	6.1%	105	-0.53	3.76	133	71
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	71
Reid Johnston R 2023 · 5.00 FIP	24	SP-	5.00	19.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.256	5.86	17.2%	2.4%	31	+0.86	3.74	234	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	75	22.0%	14.9%	1.18	5.21
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*