Bobby Olsen — OGILVIE

Bobby Olsen P Peoria Chiefs

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 210 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 95

ERA4.13

FIP4.13

K%22.4%

BB%7.5%

K-BB%15.0%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	5	0	15	58	16	3	0	0%	3.0	20.4%	6.1%	14.3%	0.0%	3.00	2.15	—
2025	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	5	0	15	58	16	3	0	0%	3.0	20.4%	6.1%	14.3%	0.0%	3.00	2.15	—
2025	23	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	5	0	15	58	16	3	0	0%	3.0	27.6%	5.2%	22.4%	0.0%	3.00	1.57	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	41	0	60	281	68	26	10	0%	1.5	18.6%	10.4%	8.2%	4.7%	6.60	5.44	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	41	0	60	281	68	26	10	0%	1.5	18.6%	10.4%	8.2%	4.7%	6.60	5.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	STL	39	0	57	265	64	24	10	0%	1.5	24.2%	9.1%	15.1%	3.8%	6.67	4.28	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	STL	2	0	3	16	4	2	0	0%	1.6	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	5.40	2.57	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	STL	57	0	60	251	58	19	7	0%	1.0	22.9%	7.5%	15.4%	2.9%	4.11	4.09	+0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	STL	57	0	60	251	58	19	7	0%	1.0	23.2%	7.6%	15.5%	2.9%	4.10	4.09	+0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	STL	56	0	59	247	57	19	7	0%	1.0	23.2%	7.8%	15.4%	3.0%	4.12	4.13	+0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	STL	25	0	26	110	25	8	3	0%	1.0	22.9%	7.5%	15.4%	2.9%	4.11	4.09	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	STL	38	0	40	169	39	13	5	0%	1.1	23.2%	7.6%	15.5%	2.9%	4.10	4.09	+0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	STL	43	0	45	190	44	15	6	0%	1.0	23.2%	7.8%	15.4%	3.0%	4.12	4.13	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		105	0	110	466	108	36	14	0%	1.1	23.1%	7.7%	15.4%	2.9%	4.11	3.73	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	196	65	25	0%	1.1	23.1%	7.7%	15.4%	2.9%	4.11	3.73	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		46	0	75	339	64	33	13	0%	1.6	18.9%	9.7%	9.2%	3.9%	5.88	4.88	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	0	200	904	171	87	35	0%	1.6	18.9%	9.7%	9.2%	3.9%	5.88	4.88	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bobby Olsen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.13	22.4%	7.5%	2.9%	—	4.10	23.1%	15.4%	178	-0.03	—	—	—
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.36	22.2%	13.5%	185	+0.63	3.73	223	88
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	85
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	85
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	85
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	85
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	84
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	24	SU	3.52	23.4%	8.2%	2.5%	.262	6.07	20.4%	11.3%	128	+2.55	3.52	207	84
Breckin Williams R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	24	SU	3.65	22.6%	7.3%	2.8%	.282	2.78	23.4%	15.8%	48	-0.87	2.76	107	84
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.59	20.8%	8.4%	121	+0.80	3.77	244	83
Jarod Bayless R 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.7%	8.1%	3.5%	.250	4.55	20.7%	13.1%	100	+0.66	1.29	260	83
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	82
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	82
Will Vest R 2019 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	21.8%	8.5%	2.5%	.282	3.65	20.9%	11.9%	124	-0.06	2.56	448	81
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	81
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	81
Dakota Donovan R 2021 · 3.15 FIP	24	SU	3.15	22.2%	8.4%	1.6%	.310	3.55	20.3%	8.9%	95	+0.40	3.15	153	81
Cristofer Ogando R 2018 · 3.23 FIP	24	SU	3.23	22.1%	8.7%	1.6%	.157	4.76	24.3%	10.2%	101	+1.53	3.23	179	81
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	81
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	47	23.0%	7.6%	1.13	4.11
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Chris Devenski ('24)	1.9	62	26.0%	6.9%	1.25	3.61