Jack Spanier — OGILVIE

Jack SpanierSS Visalia Rawhide

Age 23 R/R A HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .264 / .289

PA79

HR1

K%29

BB%6

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	65	60	17	2	0	0	5	13	0	3	0	283	338	317	655	33	362	20	8	302	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	65	62	15	2	0	0	3	18	0	3	0	242	277	274	551	32	331	28	5	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	65	62	15	2	0	0	3	18	0	3	0	242	277	274	551	32	341	28	5	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	65	60	17	2	0	0	5	13	0	3	0	283	338	317	655	33	362	20	8	302	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	65	62	15	2	0	0	3	18	0	3	0	242	277	274	551	32	331	28	5	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	65	62	15	2	0	0	3	18	0	3	0	242	277	274	551	32	331	28	5	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	175	161	35	5	1	2	11	50	1	3	1	212	266	291	558	79	291	29	6	253	58	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	30%	169	155	34	5	1	2	11	48	1	3	1	215	270	300	570	85	292	28	7	258	61	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	44%	267	246	53	8	1	4	17	74	2	5	1	217	273	307	580	90	292	28	6	263	64	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	51%	337	310	68	10	2	5	22	93	2	6	1	219	276	313	588	94	292	28	7	266	66	-14	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	373	343	76	12	2	6	25	102	2	7	1	219	277	315	592	96	291	27	7	267	67	-15	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	394	361	79	12	2	6	27	108	3	6	1	219	277	315	593	97	290	27	7	268	67	-15	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	30%	51	48	11	2	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	220	275	309	584	89	300	27	6	264	61	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	44%	118	108	25	4	1	2	8	33	1	2	0	222	278	316	594	94	300	28	7	268	64	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	51%	171	157	36	6	1	3	11	47	1	3	1	224	280	322	602	98	300	27	6	271	66	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	195	179	40	7	1	3	13	54	1	4	1	224	282	324	606	100	300	28	7	273	67	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	210	193	42	7	1	3	14	58	1	3	1	224	282	324	606	100	299	28	7	273	67	-8	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	745	685	154	26	4	12	49	206	4	13	3	225	280	327	607	102	301	28	7	271	65	-30	+1	-0	+8	+16	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	134	23	3	10	43	180	3	11	3	224	280	323	602	99	302	28	7	271	65	-26	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1684	1551	340	51	8	24	110	466	10	32	5	219	275	309	584	90	296	28	7	264	65	-67	+4	-1	+17	+35	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	131	20	3	9	42	180	4	12	2	219	274	307	582	88	295	28	6	264	65	-27	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.2	824	13	15	219	273	312	+9	+9	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	10	12	+7.1	+7.3	-0.1	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Spanier (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	211/264/289	78	291	1	2	29%	6%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	180/213/275	96	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/263/300	84	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→30	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	192/262/298	106	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41	36→45	47→50	40	196/255/263	68	278	4	7	30%	6%	48	-2.5	210/268/321	111	288	11	13	30%	6%	66	-1.1	216/266/339	123	276	15	11	27%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	36	186/240/271	86	298	6	9	38%	6%	44	-2.8	181/264/286	105	253	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.7	163/255/263	100	223	10	3	30%	9%	47	-1.3
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/277	87	252	5	11	26%	5%	51	-2.3	186/241/309	123	254	15	9	32%	5%	54	-2.0	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Alfredo González 2015 · A	23	42	38→40	52→45	43	203/263/284	81	270	6	9	26%	6%	55	-1.9	233/294/296	63	311	4	6	24%	7%	70	-0.9	228/290/283	56	297	4	5	23%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Bryson Ware 2024 · A	23	39→32	44→45	50	40	196/260/308	112	283	12	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	189/249/307	118	281	13	11	36%	6%	56	-1.9	182/242/307	125	267	15	11	36%	6%	51	-1.4
✕E.J. Exposito 2024 · A	23	37→33	41→50	50→55	43	177/262/268	90	293	9	14	39%	9%	53	-2.1	189/246/321	132	265	16	17	34%	6%	59	-1.7	184/237/328	144	240	19	19	32%	6%	55	-1.5
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	41→36	42→40	49→50	39	203/253/300	97	265	10	15	27%	5%	56	-1.9	210/256/331	121	304	12	11	34%	5%	64	-1.3	185/218/329	144	263	16	11	36%	3%	49	-0.6
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	43	40→50	50→40	42	205/278/298	94	281	7	6	28%	6%	65	-1.2	202/274/329	127	271	14	4	30%	7%	72	-0.7	175/259/316	141	226	20	0	32%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Glenn Santiago 2024 · A	23	44	40	50→45	43	209/272/301	92	295	8	8	30%	7%	63	-1.3	199/260/287	88	290	8	9	32%	7%	55	-1.9	146/208/202	56	213	6	8	33%	6%	15	-1.6
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	37→34	41→40	47→45	40	187/241/281	94	233	9	7	24%	4%	47	-2.5	200/255/290	90	257	7	6	24%	4%	55	-2.0	195/250/279	83	251	6	3	23%	3%	47	-0.9
✕Brian Ruggiano 2009 · A	23	39→42	38→45	54→55	37	188/242/272	84	288	5	10	35%	6%	45	-2.7	210/263/316	106	300	8	14	31%	5%	63	-1.4	210/264/322	112	293	9	15	30%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Sammy Infante 2024 · A	23	37→26	42→45	50→55	37	183/252/282	99	292	10	15	39%	7%	52	-2.2	200/263/295	95	313	8	15	36%	7%	59	-1.7	164/228/246	82	264	6	18	38%	6%	32	-0.9
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	39→37	38→40	46→45	45	188/271/264	76	269	5	9	30%	8%	55	-1.9	179/259/251	72	255	5	8	29%	8%	48	-2.5	163/242/223	60	236	4	6	30%	7%	33	-2.4
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	35	42→50	52→40	39	182/228/283	101	243	10	7	29%	5%	42	-2.9	209/254/329	120	292	12	5	31%	5%	63	-1.4	190/235/299	108	268	11	1	32%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Jesus Valdez 2021 · A	23	40	39→45	49→50	45	194/264/284	90	257	6	11	26%	7%	57	-1.8	203/242/321	118	297	13	9	35%	4%	57	-1.8	193/252/279	86	271	10	3	31%	6%	48	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps